finding a job after unemployment: key factors in russia and germany
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Finding a job after unemployment: key factors in
Russia and Germany
Gladnikova Ekaterina (HSE, Moscow)Ketzmerick Thomas (ZSH, Halle)Malkova Maria (HSE, Moscow)
Problem
Scientific problem Comparison of two countries by the same methodology
=> finding universal and specific factorsPractical problem High level of unemployment – problem of both
countries Long term unemployment => social exclusion The need to reveal contributing factors of finding a job
after unemployment (especially long term)
Recommendations to social policy
Transitions from unemployment to employment
t
has a job has no job
t-1
had a job
regular employees
short-term unemployed
at the moment
had no job
successful employees at the moment that had experience of
unemployment in the past
long-term unemploye
d
Object and Subject
The object of the investigation is divided into two groups 1) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who moved from unemployment into a job2) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who were and stay unemployed
The subject is factors influencing the probability of finding a job after unemployment
The Aim and TasksThe aim: to find out factors influencing the probability of
finding a job after unemployment in Russia and Germany.
To achieve the aim it is necessary to set the following tasks:
To describe who are the unemployed (particularly long-term) in Russia and Germany?
To reveal factors that have a negative / positive impact on finding a job after unemployment in each country.
To find and to explain differences and similarities between countries.
Methodology
1st task methods of descriptive statistics (frequencies and crosstabulations, methods of comparing means etc.)
2nd task regressional analysis: binary logistic regression
Database and Variables Russian Longitude Monitoring Survey, RLMS (Russia), 2001-
2007 German Socio-Economic Panel, GSOEP (Germany), 2001-
2007
VariablesDependent: Successfulness in a job finding after unemployment (two
groups who are succeed and are not)
Independent (in t-1 period): wave (year) socio-economical and demographic characteristics of
employees (sex, region, family structure, education etc.) ways of job searching duration of unemployment or economic inactivity expectations about future job etc.
Hypothesis Positive factors of finding a job:
Duration of unemployment (short term), Education (higher), Sex (male), Age (30-40), Type of area (urban), Region (West Germany, Moscow, St.
Petersburg), Family structure (partnership, no children at
the age of 0-3 years), Year (2006 in Germany and 2003-2006 in
Russia) etc.
Thanks for your attention!
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