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Foresight Future of Mobility:

a time of unprecedented change

in the transport system

Dr Mike Short

Chief Scientific Adviser

csa@trade.gov.uk

5th February 2019

Changes can occur quickly in transport

Government Office for Science

Large technological change

Government Office for Science

Internet sales as percentage of total retail sales

Sources: 1. VTOL conceptual image Airbus Vahana 2. Droid image, Starship

Transport and behaviours

Government Office for Science 1. Figure adapted from Whittle et al. Decision Making in the UK Transport System

Visions of the future

Government Office for Science

Smart Transport Conference

Consider transport as a system.

Consider wider objectives where the Transport system can help further.

Outline a clear national vision, with goods for local priorities.

Understand the geography.

Address rural areas with specific challenges.

For planning, integrate passenger transport with freight and housing priorities.

• Consider transport as a system.

• Consider wider objectives where the Transport system can help further.

• Outline a clear national vision, with goods for local priorities.

• Understand the geography.

• Address rural areas with specific challenges.

Smart Transport Conference

• For planning, integrate passenger transport with freight and housing priorities.

• Use scenarios.

• Hard and soft measures are needed for scale of change.

• Consider the impact of future technologies.

• Walking and cycling priorities to be included in land use.

scenariowww.gov.uk/government/news/uk-at-forefront-of-transport-innovation

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