future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in...

Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of Technologyjohan.stahre@chalmers.se

Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation

Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

5G

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Frey and Osborne (2013) The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation?

• Transportation and Material Moving

• Production• Installation,

Maintenance, and Repair

• Construction and Extraction

• Farming, Fishing,and Forestry

• Office and Administrative Support

• Sales and Related• Technical Service• Healthcare

Practitioners• Education, Legal,

Community Service, Arts, and Media

• Computer, Engineering, and Science

• Management, Business, and Financial

Conclusion: 47% of the US jobs are at risk!

Which jobs could be automated?(Occupations-based analysis)

Oxford Prof. J.Stahre 2017

http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-34066941

Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017

OCCUPATIONS

JOBS TASKS

Arntz, M., T. Gregory and U. Zierahn (2016), “The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries: A Comparative Analysis”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 189, OECD Publishing, Paris.

Jobs in the OECD (Task-based analysis)

OECD

Oxford - Occupation-based analysis47% of the jobs automatable

OECD - Task-based analysis9% of the jobs automatable

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Automation potential based on demonstrated technology of occupation titles in the United States

SOURCE: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis

[Mckinsey Global Institute (2017) A Future that Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity ] Prof. J.Stahre 2017

HistoricFarming

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Modern Farming

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Demographics

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Demographics 2050

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Our old friend - Automation

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Autopilot 1947 (Getty Images)

Automation Paradox

[Bainbridge, L. (1983) Ironies of automation, IFAC]

The designer who tries to eliminate the operator still leaves the operator to do the tasks which the designer cannot think how to automate.

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

Fitts’ list1951

Human / Automation task allocation

PhysicalTask

Allocation

CognitiveTask

Allocation

Prof. J.Stahre 2017

www.sosmarteu.eu

SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734

• ChalmersUniversityof

Technology,Sweden(Coord)

• FondazionePolitecnicodiMilano,Italy

• LMSPatras,Greece

• Festo,Germany

• DeepWhite,Germany

• TampereUniversityof

Technology,Finland

SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture

Prof.J.Stahre 2017

www.sosmarteu.eu

SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734

SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture

Prof.J.Stahre 2017

www.sosmarteu.eu

SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734

SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture

4maindimensionsofsociallysustainablecorporatecultureleadingtocorporatesuccess

Prof.J.Stahre 2017

www.sosmarteu.eu

SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734

OnlineinventoryofGoodexamplesofstimulating

workplaces

Prof.J.Stahre 2017

[The Internet of things: Mapping the value beyond the hype (2015) MGI]

Global market for digitalisation (McKinsey)

Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017[Autor,D (2014) Polanyi’s Paradox and the Shape of Employment Growth]

Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of Technologyjohan.stahre@chalmers.se

Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation

Ø What will be the impact of digitalisation and automation on future manufacturing work?

Ø How can we handle the paradoxes of automation?Ø How can social sustainability of manufacturing be

achieved in future manufacturing?

Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of Technologyjohan.stahre@chalmers.se

Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation

Ø Noone can know how many jobs will be automatedØ Automation, robot collaboration and massive

skill development needed to handle demographicsØ Socially sustainable manufacturing is key to

attracting and retaining skilled personnel

Thank you for you interest