hot lanes on i-77 widen i-77 goes to raleigh apr 3, 2013

HOT Lanes on I-77Widen I-77 Goes To Raleigh

Apr 3, 2013

What is a HOT lane?

Vehicles w/three or more occupants use lane for free

All others pay toll electronically “Congestion pricing” Designed, built, operated, financed

for profit by a private company (P3) 50 year contract Trucks prohibited

The Problem

Congestedstretch of four lane road from exit 23 to

exit 36

A GP Lane Estimate

Source: “I-77 HOT Discussion with Cornelius Town Board”, email from Bill Coxe to Andrew Grant, Oct. 10, 2012

A ballpark cost for two GP lanes from exit 23 to exit 36:

$80- $130M

The Current HOT Lane Proposal

Source: “I-77 HOT Lanes Project Overview NCSITE Lunch N’ Learn”, August 21, 2012; “I-77 Widening Update”, MUMPO (Bill Coxe), Sept 19, 2012; “Billions invested in Roads”, Charlotte Observer, Jan 14, 2013

27.5 Miles of HOT Lanes

Cost: $550 Million

GP vs HOT

HOTGP

27.5 Miles

$550M

13 Miles

$80- 130M (est)

Why the difference?

Source: RFP

Majority of travel time

savings

Majority of Cost

HOT Lanes and Congestion

HOT lanes rely on congestion

“Congestion Pricing” means more congestion = more toll revenue

HOT Lane Revenues

Source: “Managed Lanes: More than a Revenue Tool”, Parsons Brinkerhoff, 2013

Some other factoids

Automated Vehicle Occupancy Verification…

…doesn’t exist

MAP 21 Legislation… Grants categorical exclusion to every capacity

addition within the existing ROW…

Puts GP lanes on same legal footing as toll lanes

Toll Lanes on I-77:

1. Cost much more than GP lanes

2. Ensure congestion instead of relieving it

3. Limits our ability to make future I-77

improvements

4. Locks us into an agreement with a private

company for 50 years

5. Will negatively impact our economy

So what did Raleigh have to say about all

this?

Speaker Thom Tillis on Tolling I-77

"I think the takeaway is that… the choice is (a high-occupancy toll lane) project ... or no improvements to I-77 for 15 or 20 years."

Source: “Tillis: Toll Lanes or Wait 20 Years for I-77 Widening”, LKN Citizen, March 27, 2013

What else are y’all worried

about?We’re going to have to look at alternative revenue sources…

We can’t actually discredit the effort to use toll roads by going out and starting to backtoll existing roads.

Speaker Thom Tillis on Tolling I-95

… because if it happens to I-95…

We’re not going to toll I-95.

…why wouldn’t it work for 77?

…sales taxes subject to a vote of the people……We understand how this affects your industry…

…Retail industry, everybody else…

…We’ve got to do it in a smart, responsible way.

If tolls won’t work on I-95, why will they

work on I-77?

According to Speaker Tillis…

Fiscal Realities State doesn’t have the money Fuel tax receipts are declining

Political Realities Federal Local State

The State Has No Money

NC’s First Toll Road…

In twenty years the TriEx is projected to carry half the traffic I-77 does today.

Source: Toll Road News, Dec 29, 2012

Gas Tax Receipts

Cost Breakdown I-77 Toll Lanes -$M

Source: “Billions invested in Roads”, Charlotte Observer, Jan 14, 2013

$170

$380

Public

Private

Toll Lanes vs GP Lanes

So there is enough public money. But can we use it for GP lanes?

GP lanes:$80- $130M

$170

$380

$170M

Public Funds:

According to Speaker Tillis…

Fiscal Realities State doesn’t have the money Fuel tax receipts are declining

Political Realities Federal Local State

HOT Lane Funding- Federal

Source: NCDOT

State FederalState Mobility 28CMAQ 1 12NHPP 13 117

Total 42 128

Source ($M)

What do the Feds Say?

From the NCDOT

Q: “Does Federal funding (NHPP) receive a higher priority due to HOT lanes?”

A: ”We are going to get the same amount… from the feds funding regardless of what projects we build.  The feds play no part in the selection process for projects that use NHPP funding.”

Source: NCDOTSo the Feds are a non-issue…

According to Speaker Tillis…

Fiscal Realities State doesn’t have the money Fuel tax receipts are declining

Political Realities Federal Local State

The Buck Stops Where?

Davidson Mayor John Woods: “We are

under the direction of the state. The town of Davidson doesn't manage I-77, nor does the City of Charlotte, Mecklenburg County or Iredell County.”

-Huntersville Herald, Jan 31, 2013

Speaker Thom Tillis: The state doesn't decide where to spend money in the regions. Rather those decisions rest in the hands of (MUMPO).

-Lake Norman Citizen, Mar 27, 2013

MUMPO Priority #93

Source: 2035 LRTP

Speaker Tillis on MUMPO

“Unless the local entity prioritizing roads changes that (prioritization), the only way you could potentially move up is to move other things down.“- Mar 27, 2013 (emphasis added)

Well Guess What…

MUMPO Criteria Are A’ Changin’!

Source: Potential LRTP Roadway Project Priortization Process, RS&H, Feb 2, 2013

2/3 of possible points

1/3 of possible points

MUMPO Tier 1

Highly Negative Highly Positive

Impact on I-77 GP Lanes Priority

Source: Potential LRTP Roadway Project Priortization Process, RS&H, Feb 2, 2013; MUMPO LRTP Roadway Ranking Methodology, approved 11/14/07

Tier 1 Criteria Old NewReduces Congestion 9% 33%Safety 9% 20%Accesses Employment Centers 9% 13%

Score Weighting

MUMPO Tier 2

Highly Negative Highly Positive

Impact on I-77 GP Lanes Priority

Tier 2 Criteria Old NewProvides Benefits > Project Costs 9% 17%System Connectivity 0% 5%Supports Local Land Use 9% 3%Impacts on Natural Environment 14% 3%Supports Low Income/Minority Communities9% 3%Historic Resource 0% 3%Accesses Transit 9% 0%Center City 9% 0%Impacts Air Quality 9% 0%Intermodal Connectivity 9% 0%

Score Weighting

Source: Ibid.

I-77 General Purpose Lanes Poised to Be Much Higher Priority

A Question

IF… …the 50 year P3 contract is supposed to

be signed by Dec 2013 BUT… …the new MUMPO ranking won’t be

completed until May 2014, THEN…

Shouldn’t we wait four months for the new MUMPO rankings before signing a 50 year contract?

Toll Lanes WILL be an Election Issue in November…

According to Speaker Tillis…

Fiscal Realities State doesn’t have the money Fuel tax receipts are declining

Political Realities Federal Local State

NCDOT on Toll Lanes

“My perspective on why express (toll) lanes should be how we add future capacity to all our interstates is founded on… the reality of declining revenue….”

-James Trogdon, COO NCDOT (emphasis added)

Mobility Fund Criteria Weighting

Mobility Cost-Benefit measured by the estimated travel time

savings the project will provide divided by the cost to the Mobility Fund.

Multimodal/Intermodal measured by whether the project

provides an improvement to more than one mode of transportation

80%

20%

Weighting

HOT Lanes are worth an extra

The State of North Carolina WANTS to Build Toll Lanes

Source: Connect NCDOT

Mobility Funding

Source: “Mobility Fund Project Scoring,” NCDOT, 2012

Speaker Tillis on Tolls

"That option (to use mobility fund transfer money on I-77) is not on the table," Tillis said.

"If Wilmington, for example, says, 'We are ready for a managed lane project, let's take the mobility fund money and transfer it for that use if (the Lake Norman area) isn't ready to do that," the money will go there.

Where’s Wilmington?

State Priority- As Is

What if MUMPO Supported GP Lanes?Source: Prioritization Scores for Roads, NCDOT

Quantitative TotalScore Division MPO/RPO MULTI Score

1 Independence Blvd

U-2509Hayden Way to Krefeld Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

39.44 100 100 11 80.44

2 Independence Blvd

U-2509Krefeld Dr to Village Lake Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.84 100 100 11 76.84

3 Independence Blvd

U-2509NC 51 to Hayden Way. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.34 100 100 11 76.34

4 I-77 I-4750A

SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue) to I-40. Widen and Reconstruct Roadway. Section A: SR 5544 (West Catawba Ave) to US 21 in Iredell County).

41.14 100 52 8 74.34

5 Independence Blvd

U-2509Village Lake Dr to Conference Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

33.18 100 100 11 74.18

6 Independence Blvd

U-2509I-485 to NC 51. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

40.75 100 0 11 71.75

7 I-77 I-3311B5th Street in Charlotte to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue). Additional Lanes. Section B: I-485 to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue)

51.64 100 0 0 71.64

8 I-26 I-4700BNC 280 to I-40 at Asheville. Add Additional Lanes. Section B: NC 146 (Long Shoals Road) to I-40.

39.47 100 100 0 69.47

9 US401 U-5302 Short term improvement. Superstreet. 47.05 85 50 0 69.05

10 NC024Construct at four-lane freeway with a two-lane service road. Service Road will have sidewalks and paved shoulders.

25.41 100 100 13 68.41

PoliticalPriority

State Priority w/MUMPO Priority

With Local Support, I77 Moves to the Top of the List…

Quantitative TotalScore Division MPO/RPO MULTI Score

1 I-77 I-3311B5th Street in Charlotte to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue). Additional Lanes. Section B: I-485 to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue)

51.64 100 100 0 81.64

2 Independence Blvd

U-2509Hayden Way to Krefeld Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

39.44 100 100 11 80.44

3 I-77 I-4750A

SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue) to I-40. Widen and Reconstruct Roadway. Section A: SR 5544 (West Catawba Ave) to US 21 in Iredell County).

41.14 100 100 8 79.14

4 Independence Blvd

U-2509Krefeld Dr to Village Lake Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.84 100 100 11 76.84

5 Independence Blvd

U-2509NC 51 to Hayden Way. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.34 100 100 11 76.34

6 Independence Blvd

U-2509Village Lake Dr to Conference Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

33.18 100 100 11 74.18

7 Independence Blvd

U-2509I-485 to NC 51. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

40.75 100 0 11 71.75

8 I-26 I-4700BNC 280 to I-40 at Asheville. Add Additional Lanes. Section B: NC 146 (Long Shoals Road) to I-40.

39.47 100 100 0 69.47

9 US401 U-5302 Short term improvement. Superstreet. 47.05 85 50 0 69.05

10 NC024Construct at four-lane freeway with a two-lane service road. Service Road will have sidewalks and paved shoulders.

25.41 100 100 13 68.41

PoliticalPriority

State Priority Based on Merit

Competing on Merit, There’s a Clear Winner…

Quantitative TotalScore Division MPO/RPO MULTI Score

1 I-77 I-3311B5th Street in Charlotte to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue). Additional Lanes. Section B: I-485 to SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue)

51.64 100 100 0 81.64

2 I-77 I-4750A

SR 5544 (West Catawba Avenue) to I-40. Widen and Reconstruct Roadway. Section A: SR 5544 (West Catawba Ave) to US 21 in Iredell County).

41.14 100 100 0 71.14

3 I-26 I-4700BNC 280 to I-40 at Asheville. Add Additional Lanes. Section B: NC 146 (Long Shoals Road) to I-40.

39.47 100 100 0 69.47

4 Independence Blvd

U-2509Hayden Way to Krefeld Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

39.44 100 100 0 69.44

5 US401 U-5302 Short term improvement. Superstreet. 47.05 85 50 0 69.05

6 Independence Blvd

U-2509Krefeld Dr to Village Lake Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.84 100 100 0 65.84

7 Independence Blvd

U-2509NC 51 to Hayden Way. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

35.34 100 100 0 65.34

8 Independence Blvd

U-2509Village Lake Dr to Conference Dr. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

33.18 100 100 0 63.18

9 Independence Blvd

U-2509I-485 to NC 51. Upgrade corridor to provide additional capacity and safety. Feasibility Study underway.

40.75 100 0 0 60.75

10 NC024Construct at four-lane freeway with a two-lane service road. Service Road will have sidewalks and paved shoulders.

25.41 100 100 0 55.41

PoliticalPriority

Speaker Tillis on Tolls

Toll lanes or no lanes for 20 years

No Mobility Funds

No Support from MPO

I-77 Is Just the Beginning

ESTIMATED CAPITAL COST

ESTIMATED REVENUE

ESTIMATED O & M COST

ESTIMATED REVENUE

ESTIMATED O & M COST

I-85 NORTH 30$550,000,000 TO $1,200,000,000

$1,000,000 TO $4,000,000

$13,000,000 $3,000,000 TO $17,000,000

$21,000,000 ?

I-77 NORTH 21$250,000,000 TO

$500,000,000$5,000,000 TO $25,000,000

$9,000,000 $10,000,000 TO

$60,000,000$15,000,000 PRIVATE

US-74 EAST 12$225,000,000 TO

$700,000,000$2,000,000 TO $11,000,000

$6,000,000 $6,000,000 TO $20,000,000

$8,000,000 ?

I-85 SOUTH 28$750,000,000 TO $1,700,000,000

$6,000,000 TO $27,000,000

$12,000,000 $20,000,000 TO

$95,000,000$20,000,000 ?

NC-16 NORTH 10$175,000,000 TO

$200,000,000$1,000,000 $4,000,000

$1,000,000 TO $3,000,000

$6,000,000 ?

I-77 SOUTH 12$500,000,000 TO

$800,000,000$1,000,000 TO

$5,000,000$5,000,000

$3,000,000 TO $23,000,000

$9,000,000 ?

I-485 SOUTH 15$400,000,000 TO

$700,000,000$2,000,000 TO $14,000,000

$6,000,000 $3,000,000 TO $15,000,000

$13,000,000 ?

I-485 WEST 10$225,000,000 TO

$375,000,000NA $4,000,000

$1,000,000 TO $2,000,000

$9,000,000 ?

I-485 NORTHEAST 6$175,000,000 TO

$300,000,000NA $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $5,000,000 ?

YEAR 2013 YEAR 2030CORRIDOR LENGTH (MILES)

CHARLOTTE AREA

PUBLIC / PRIVATE

Source: Charlotte Region Fast Lanes Study, Presentation to NCTA, Mar 3, 2011

NCDOT Sources of Funding

Toll Roads are a Poor Way to Pay for Construction

Operating Costs & Profit Pennies on the dollar goes toward

construction Only those willing/able to pay extra

will have access to good infrastructure and yet…

…NCDOT is looking at $40B+ in toll revenues from 2020- 2040

Source: NCDOT 2040 Plan

Summarizing

All the necessary elements are coming together to build GP lanes… Funding ($170M) Local priority (MUMPO) Enabling environmental legislation (MAP

21)

…except the State of North Carolina wants to build toll roads

So why does Thom Tillis want to build toll lanes?

What Can I Do?

Call/email Thom Tillis: Thom.tillis@ncleg.net919-733-3451

Follow us wideni77.org and FB Sign the petition Take a petition Vote!

Appendix

AccessPoint

(1 req’d)

AccessPoint

(1 req’d)

Westmoreland & Hambright Bridges (to be replaced)

Access Points