korus fta
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2007.11.19.
Team 7
KORUS FTA ; Boon or Bane?
- Priority to the WTO
- The power of FTA is rising
- US experience with FTAs goes back
more than two decades
Team 7 - Majjing Korea GSIS
Multi-Track Strategy
- Broad Range
- Various initiatives in the world’s
many places
Team 7 - Majjing Korea GSIS
Background of FTA in the US
- Exclusively engaged in GATT & WTO
- Diversified negotiation channels after
the breakdown of WTO in 1999
Team 7 - Majjing Korea GSIS
Background of FTA in the Korea
LOGO
Team 7 – Soo In Korea GSIS
Potential Effects on Individual Korean Industries
Macro-Economy
Manufacturing
Services
Corporate Management
LOGO
Team 7 – Soo In Korea GSIS
Macro-Economy
Positive
Production & Employment UP
Options for Consumers UP
Trade dependency on Japan DOWN
Global Standard UP
Negative
Competition among Agri/SMs UP
Income Gap UP
Hostile M&A from US firms UP
LOGO
Team 7 – Soo In Korea GSIS
Manufacturing
Negative
Machinery & ElectronicsImports UP
Chemical Products Imports
UP
Positive
Car Imports & Exports UP
Steel, Textile Exports UP
Anti-dumping TariffsDown
LOGO
Team 7 – Soo In Korea GSIS
Services
Negative
Small-and-Mid Sized firms
DOWN
Positive
Foreign Direct Inv.UP
Construction OrdersUP
Finance QualityUP
LOGO
Team 7 – Soo In Korea GSIS
Corporate Management
Negative
Domestic Price Competition
DOWN
Corporate Finance Health
Possibly DOWN
Positive
Corporate TransparencyUP
Regulations in Fair-TradeDOWN
Participation in US Procurement Market
UP
- One of the most sensitive sectors
- Tighter Intellectual Property Rights
Team 7 – Sun Mi Korea GSIS
Bane for Korea-Boon for the US
<Pharmaceuticals>
LOGO
Team 7 – Sun Mi Korea GSIS
Original VS Generic
Low risk-Low return
-Copy drugs
-domestic companies
EX) Donga-Gemcit
High risk-High return
- Large R&D expenses
- Multinational firms
EX) Lilly-Gemzar
LOGO
Team 7 – Sun Mi Korea GSIS
Bane for Korea
Positive
-Longer exclusive sales period
-More control on pricing In Korea
Negative
-No more generic medicines
-Larger dominance of US rivals
-Higher medical cost for Koreans
Boon for US
- ---
- ---
Team 7 – Wen Min Korea GSIS
Boon for Korea-Bane for the US
<Auto Industry>
LOGO
Team 7 – Wen Min Korea GSIS
Korean Car VS American Car
Ford
-~~~~
-~~~~
EX) …
Hyundai
- ~~~
-~~~~
EX)…
LOGO
Team 7 – Wen Min Korea GSIS
Boon for Korea
Negative
-Korean car makers-dominant Korean Market
(96%)
-Nontransparent Safety & Environmental
Regulations
-Ongoing FTA talks withEurope & Japan
Positive
-~~~
-~~~
-~~~~
Bane for US
- Lack of Internal agreements
- Confusing Prospects
- Obsession with ‘Trade’
Team 7 – Hae Jin Korea GSIS
Procedural Problems
- FTA is a global trend
- FTA is a competition among firms
- Both will see gains as well as losses
- Decision is in your hands, Now.
Team 7 – Hae Jin Korea GSIS
Summary & Conclusions
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