matthias knappe unc ee & dc competitiveness final

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  • 1. Business for Development Trade in Textiles and Clothing Eastern Europe and Developing County Clothing Manufacturers and Competitiveness after 2005 Presentation by Mr. Matthias KNAPPE International Trade Centre UNCTAD/WTO Chapel Hill, North Carolina, 14 October 2004
  • 2. ITC has 5 Organisational Goals
    • Facilitate integration into the world trading system.
    • Support national efforts to design & implement trade development strategies.
    • Strengthen key trade support services.
    • Improve export performance in priority sectors.
    • Foster international competitiveness within the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME)
  • 3. The importance of the product sector of T&C for Developing Countries
    • World trade in T&C 353 billion US$ (clothing 201 billion US$)
    • Accounts For 7% of Global Merchandise Trade & 14% of Employment. Share of clothing in total merchandise trade: LA 10%, Africa 21%; Asia 9%
    • Many DCs (extremely) dependent on clothing exports
  • 4. Structure
    • Selected
    • regions
    • trade in T&C
    Competitiveness Challenges at the trade policy level Competitiveness Challenges at the micro level
  • 5. Dependence of the EU market (% of total T&C exports Source: EU
  • 6. EU Imports: 1995 to 2003 Source: EU
  • 7. Close linkages with EU due to OPT business Source: EC)
  • 8. US Imports from SSA 2001 - 2003 Source: OTEXA
  • 9. Who is using AGOA Preferences? Source: OTEXA
  • 10. US Apparel Imports from Africa by Product Source: OTEXA
  • 11. US Imports from CBI by Product in 2003 Source: OTEXA
  • 12. US Imports from Andean Countries by Product in 2003 Source: OTEXA
  • 13. Summary
    • Since early 1990s exports to EU have been growing
    • Almost 50% of exports is in knit or woven garments
    • Highly constraint categories with high quota utilisation rates
    • In DCs this product dependence is even higher
    • High dependence on European and North American market
  • 14. Structure
    • Selected
    • regions
    • trade in T&C
    Competitiveness Challenges at the macro level Competitiveness Challenges at the micro level
  • 15. 1. Challenge: Removal of the Quota System
    • 1 January 2005: Integration of T&C into the normal WTO rules after 30 years of restrictions
    • Artificial advantages will disappear and existing trade patterns will blow up
    • Companies will gain market share based on competitiveness rather than quotas
    • But: What after loss of quota-free benefits?
  • 16. And with it prices will fall further More supply and quota rents disappear Source: Robin Anson, Director Textiles Intelligence; ITMF, Dresden October 2003; www.textilesintelligence.com and Textile Outlook International No. 110 March-April 2004
  • 17. China: Unit Value Change in EU after product integration in 2001 Underwear Parkas Pile Farbrics Art. Fabrics Track Suits
  • 18. Post-2004 Sourcing Pattern Source: US Department of Commerce: Report to the Congressional Textile Caucus on the administrations efforts on textile issues; Washington, September 2002
  • 19. Quota Removal: Norway experience
    • Quoatas were removed in 1998
  • 20. 2. Challenge: Erosion of Preferential Duty-free Market Access: DDA
    • What remains: Duty advantage
    • EU: 4% Yarns; 8% Fabrics; 12% Clothing
    • US: 12-17% Cotton Apparel; 25-32% MMF Apparel
    • DDA aims at reducing high tariffs, tariff peaks and tariff escalation
    Source: OTEXA & EC
  • 21. Erosion of Benefits: EU FTAs & RTAs
    • If not multilateral then bilateral!
    • EU envisaged a Euro-Mediterranean Zone
    • Diagonal cumulation: Use fabrics from Egypt, trims from Turkey, assemble in Morocco and export duty-free to EU
    • But: all countries need to have FTAs among them in place with identical rules of origin requirements
  • 22. 3. Challenge: EU Enlargement
    • Adaptation of EU lower tariffs (except Czech Rep., Slovakia, Hungary) i.e. more competition
    • New EU members to apply quotas for 8 months
    • DCs: This violates WTO rules: Article 2.4 ATC & DSP following EU-Turkey customs union
    • EU quota increase pro rata for new EU 10: China & HGK quota increase extensive (old trade links)
    • category 6 (trousers):+50%;
    • category 4 (knit shirts): +41%
  • 23. 4. Challenge: Erosion of OPT Benefits
    • Quota system & trade liberalisation with EU has faclitated OPT
    • Based on competitive EU fabrics & low labour costs in OPT countries
    • OPT to survive where EU fabric is competitive (mainly wool) & where labour costs are low (CIS & Mediterranean)
    • Highly dependent on outside skills & decision making
  • 24. 5. Challenge: Use of Trade Remedies
    • Safeguards (fairly traded imports).
    • Antidumping & countervailing duties (unfairly traded imports).
    • T&C products as targets for retaliation in dispute settlement cases.
    • New EU members take over EU cases
  • 25. 6. Challenge: New Requirements
    • Social sourcing as a criteria for trade.
    • Corporate Social Responsibility project of FTA: EU platform for monitoring social standards
    • EU: New origin marking and social label initiatives
    • ECO Labelling: Remain voluntary but can reduce market access
  • 26. 7. Challenge: China as a WTO Member
    • US clothing imports from China: 2002: +60%; 2003: +46%
    • Japan: In 2001 85% of all clothing imports from China
    • Australia: 69% (clothing) & 21% (textile) imports from China
    • EU: 3 rd stage liberalisation: Imports from China increased by 46% (value) and 192% (volume)
    • However, accession protocol introduces possibility of new quotas against China
    • USA: 3 cases under transitional textile safeguards.
  • 27. Summary: / Challenges
    • 1. Loss of Quota-free benefits
    • 2. Erosion of Duty-free benefits
    • 3. EU Enlargement
    • 4. Change of OPT Business
    • 5. Use of trade remedies
    • 6. Changing Buyers Requirements
    • 7. China as a WTO member
  • 28. Structure
    • Selected
    • regions
    • trade in T&C
    Competitiveness Challenges at the macro level Competitiveness Challenges at the micro level
  • 29. Manufacturing Manufacturing & Sourcing Manufacturing & Sourcing & Product Development Full Service Value-Added Buyers requirements Time 2005 1970 Changing Trade Competitiveness
  • 30. A Sector Strategy (Action Plan )
    • Develop overall country response
    • Build critical country mass
    • Build PPP based on strong sector associations
    • Do a sector value chain analysis
  • 31. Knowledge about competitors
    • Quotas stifle competition
    • Now competitors are everywhere
  • 32. Information on Sourcing and Supply Chain Management Skills are key 75% of cost = sourcing Cost-structure of a woven shirt up to the FOB point
  • 33. Any reduction in purchasing and logistics costs has a direct and large impact on export competitiveness A 10 % reduction in the supply cost of fabric and trimmings = A 60 % increase in its Gross profits without increasing sales Input supplies & Logistics $0.75 Labour $0.07 Overheads $0.08 Profit now $0.16 $0.69 ! Woven shirt: For every 1 Dollar earned approximately 60cts is spent on inputs Action Plan: Sourcing (SCM) to Increase Profit Fabrics: $0,59 Trimmings:$0.16 Labour $0.07 Overheads $0.08 Profit $0.10
  • 34. Understand changing markets , adapt products & penetrate new markets
    • Numerous competitors and complex trade structure;
    • Opportunities in higher-end and niche markets with value-added products;
    • Exploit market potential in other developing countries, especially in a regional context .
  • 35. Forming Partnerships with Buyers/Retailers Today Producer Producer Conflicts Conflicts Conflicts Retailer Retailer Competition Competition Future Response Demand Response Retailer Producer Retailer Producer Demand Competition Customer Customer
  • 36. 4.- Understanding changing markets 1.- Sector Strategy Development 2.- Understanding its own and competitors performance 3.- Developing fabric sourcing skills to become full-packagesuppliers 5.- Applying e-applications in the T&C sector Implementing tailor- made market penetration approaches in line with buyer requirements New ITC T&C website Workshops Tailored Product & Market Development The SHAPE The FiT Sourcing Guide and database Business Guide in e-commerce for T&C ITC Tailored Consultation What can ITC do for you Sourcing Manufacturing Sales (+Marketing, and Services) Inbound Logistics Customs, Import Clearance Outbound Logistics Customs-GSP/Quota Export Clearance Sourcing Manufacturing Sales (+Marketing, and Services) Inbound Logistics Customs, Import Clearance Outbound Logistics Customs-GSP/Quota Export Clearance
  • 37.
    • THANK YOU !

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