monsoon onset monitoring and its social and ecosystem impacts …iocwestpac.org/final ppt westpac...

Acknowledgement:

Somkiat Khokiattiwong , Budi Sulistiyo, Tukul Rameyo Adi, Fredolin Tangang, Hrin Nei Thiam

Monsoon Onset Monitoring

and its Social and Ecosystem Impacts (MOMSEI)MOMSEI Progress Report

Weidong Yu

First Institute of Oceanography, SOA, China

IOC/WESTPAC SEAGOOS Pilot Project

Monsoon Onset Monitoring

and its Social and Ecosystem Impacts

(MOMSEI)

Bay of Bengal and Andaman Sea:

Where the monsoon onset first occurs

El NinoAsian Monsoon

Monsoon-- route to link civilizations, trade …

MOMSEI Development Strategy

• Learning through the pilot study• Identifying national/regional concerns• Developing comprehensive science plan

Science

&

Application

Observation

Research

Capacity Building

Cruise (8)

Buoy (1)

Summer school (5)

Workshop (8)

Roadmap of MOMSEI Implementation

How do we run MOMSEI?

MOMSEI Cruise Progress2010-2012

2012,11,15-17

90 95 100 105 110Longitude

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Lat

itude

2010,11.20-23

2011,3.11-17

2011,4.19-5.132012,4.26-5.14

Indonesia

Thailand

First MOMSEIcruise during20-23 Nov. 2010in Andaman Sea.

Third and Fourth MOMSEI cruises in 2011 and 2012 in the East Equatorial Indian Ocean

Second MOMSEIcruise during Mar.2011 in AndamanSea.

MOMSEI Bai-Longbuoy deployment fromSEAFDEC vessel on16th Nov 2012

5th MOMSEI Cruise, 15-17 Nov. 2012, in Andaman Sea

With support from PMBC and SEAFDEC

6th MOMSEI Cruise, 11-23 May 2013, in Bay of Bengal

With support from PMBC and SEAFDEC

7th MOMSEI Cruise, 22 Sep. - 02 Oct. 2013, South of Java

With support from KKP and LIPI of Indonesia

8th MOMSEI Cruise, 11-17 May 2014, in Andaman Sea

With support from PMBC and SEAFDEC

1st MOMSEI Workshop, 5 Mar. 2009, Phuket, Thailand

Hosted by Phuket Marine Biological Center, Thailand

MOMSEI Workshop

---- Mechanism to promote scientific understanding

2nd MOMSEI Workshop, 8-9 Aug. 2009, Qingdao, China

Hosted by First Institute of Oceanography, SOA

3rd MOMSEI Summer School, 25-27 Nov. 2009, Manila, Philippine

Hosted by Univ. Philippine

4th MOMSEI Workshop, 27-28 December 2010, Melaka, MalaysiaHosted by National Oceanography Directory, Malaysia

5th MOMSEI Workshop, 28-30 Sep. 2011, Yogyakarta, Indonesia

Hosted by Centre for Marine and Coastal Resources, AMFR/MMAF, Indonesia

6th MOMSEI Workshop, 10-12 Sep. 2012, Yangon, Myanmar

Hosted by Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Myanmar

MOMSEI Workshop

---- Mechanism to promote scientific understanding

7th MOMSEI Workshop, 4-5 Nov. 2013, Qingdao, China

Hosted by First Institute of Oceanography, SOA

Capacity Building Program: Summer School

4th MOMSEI Summer School

Terengganu, Malaysia, 19-23 August 2013

5th MOMSEI Summer School

Jakarta, Indonesia, 9-13 Sep. 2014

Monsoon OnsetlaterEarlierNormal

Understanding Monsoon Onset over Bay of Bengal

---- from RAMA buoy data

Li, Z., W. Yu, et al., 2013, J. Climate.

Unique cyclone behavior in Bay of Bengal modulated by monsoon

Days with reference to monsoon onset date(vector: wind; shaded and contour: OLR;

greed dots: genesis location of super cyclones; pink dots: final location of super cyclones)

Occurrence of Super Cyclones

during monsoon onset period

One example of MOMSEI Science Application

Identify local concerns through Pilot Study

• Myanmar: cyclones, extreme rainfall

• Thailand: internal waves, OMZ, coral bleaching

• Malaysia: cold surge, floods

• Indonesia: upwelling/fishery, wet/dry transition

• China: flood/drought

Developing comprehensive science plan

MOMSEI Learning Curve through its Pilot Study

• Core scientific question:Why does monsoon firstly onset over BoB?How does Malaysia experience distinct monsoon from its neighborhood?How does Indonesian-Australian monsoon onset?

• Social focus: Flood/Drought associated with monsoon anomalies---- Support the regional monsoon outlook forum in line with GFCS

• Ecosystem Impact:Coral bleaching associated with late monsoon onsetOxygen Minimum Zone and its impacts on coastal regionUpwelling associated with monsoon forcing and linkage to fishery

Red: Initial MOMSEI ideas

Blue: Extended MOMSEI ideas after pilot study

Summary

• Monsoon onset really matters• Asian Monsoon firstly onsets over BoB/AS• Monsoon onset science still weak• Monsoon onset favors the super cyclone

• MOMSEI, through its network in observation, capacity building and target research, aims to further improve our understanding of the complex monsoon system

Looking for more

collaboration

Thanks