nj future forum 2012 energizing redevelopment sturm

Fork in the Road for Solar Energy in NJ:

Redevelopment or Open Lands?

New Jersey Future Redevelopment ForumMarch 9, 2012

Chris Sturm

Solar Energy is “White Hot” in New Jersey

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110

100

200

300

400

500

600

Installed Capacity (MW) Total Installed Capacity (MW)

Total Photovoltaic Capacity, 2008-2011

California New Jersey Colorado Arizona Nevada0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Solar Energy Industries Associatiion. Data as of September 30, 2011

Cum

ula

tie Inst

alled C

apaci

ty (

MW

)

Density of Photovoltaic Capacity, 2008-2011

California New Jersey Colorada Arizona Nevada0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2008

2009

2010

2011

Source: National Renewable Energy Laboratory; Solar Energy Inudustries Association; United States Census. Data as of September 30, 2011

Capaci

ty p

er

Square

Mile (

kW

)

Solar Capacity by Mounting Type (MW)12/13/2011

297

98

1317 Roof (70%)

Ground (23%)

Pole (3%)

Unknown (4%)

A Market Driven by Incentives

Solar Targets from the Renewable Portfolio Standard: 4,005 MW needed by 2026

Source: Advance & Rutgers Report: Solar Power in the Garden State

Meeting 2026 solar goals could consume a lot of land...

Ground-mounted systems:

• 20,600 acres or 32 square miles needed

• Over 3.5% of farmland• Equivalent to 70% of

Hudson County land area

Notes:Acres are estimated based on a conversion factor of 5.15 Megawatts per acre, derived from existing data for ground-mounted solar projects in New Jersey.

Piers installed for 53,200 panels at Oak Solar Site in Fairfield Township, NJ. (NJ.com. 10-5-2011)

What about “redevelopment options”: rooftops, parking, etc.?

Rooftop systems: 319 million square feet needed

– Northern NJ industrial space estimated at 800 million square feet

– Total commercial and industrial impervious surfaces (buildings, parking lots, etc.) estimated at 156,400 acres or 6.8 billion square feet.

Notes:• Square footage estimates are based on a conversion factor of 12.54 MW per million

square feet, typical of rootop systems.• Industrial space: Weichert Commercial Brokerage Update, Fourth Quarter, 2011 – NJ • Impervious surface estimates: New Jersey Department of Environmental Protection,

2007; Rowan Geospatial Research Lab, 2012. Estimates derived from commercial, industrial, and institutional parcels.

5 MW installation at Toys R Us in Wayne, NJ. (Reepedia.com, 8/11) Parking canopy at Morris County administration parking garage.

...And also brownfields and landfills

Brownfields:• Over 10,000 in NJ• More than 300 “Brownfield

Development Areas” on 3,300 acres

Landfills – a DEP priority • 5 operating solar facilities

(17.9 MW)• 24 proposed or in development

(73.1 MW) 1.09 MW system at the Pennsauken Sanitary Landfilll. Source: Pfisterenergy.com.

Source: “Brownfields Economic Development.” NJTPA – NJIT.

Uncertainty re: Future Solar Locations

• Unresolved: SREQ price & demand• Energy Master Plan policy on solar siting– Will incentives be tiered to favor rooftops,

landfills, brownfields?• Legislation to ease solar access to the grid– Any review for land use implications?

Thank you!

Chris SturmSenior Director for State Policy

csturm@njfuture.org

www.njfuture.org