s(1) asian maize conference, 11th

11th Asian Maize Conference

Nanning, 2011 Dr. Thomas Lumpkin - CIMMYT

Director General

“MAIZE CRP and Relevance for Asia”

Outline of Presentation

CIMMYT Background

Challenges for Food Security

CIMMYT’s Response

CIMMYT Mission Statement

To sustainably increase the productivity of maize and wheat systems to ensure global

food security and reduce poverty.

CIMMYT Locations 160 researchers from 40 countries in 19 offices worldwide.

Partners include universities, private companies, advanced research institutes, NGOs and farmer associations.

$100+ million budget.

Global Challenges

Water groundwater

surface water

Biodiversity extinction emerging pests

Nutrients & Soils fertilizer cost depleted soils

Energy petroleum

biofuels

Climate Change heat, drought, extreme events

Demand population growth, changing diets

Bangladesh, Cambodia, and the Philippines included in list of top 10 countries most vulnerable to climate change. (Maplecroft,

2012)

Pakistan Flooding 1.3 million hectares of crops destroyed

Worst flood in 80 years (2010)

Repeated flooding in 2011

“Pakistan’s agricultural industry – a pillar of the economy – could take up to two years to start recovering” Asian Development

Bank.

Projected Temperature Increases

Krechowicz, et. al., “Weeding Risk: Financial Impacts of Climate Change and Water Scarcity on Asia’ Food and Beverage Sector”, World Resources Institute, 2010.

Up to 23% of South Asia’s maize crop could will be lost due to higher temperatures by 2050.

Biofuels

Demand Table 1: Projected Trends in Total Maize Demand in Asian Regions. IMPACT model projections under the Global Futures Project with IFPRI.

Year Asia East Asia South Asia Southeast Asia West Asia North Asia

Base (thousand tonnes)

2000 198,642 144,612 16,164 24,222 10,774 2,870

2010 268,447 197,851 22,519 31,795 12,962 3,320

2020 331,463 239,682 31,344 40,139 16,727 3,570

2030 385,552 271,206 42,569 47,406 20,684 3,686

2040 443,874 302,112 57,952 55,732 24,358 3,720

2050 509,170 334,402 78,707 64,461 27,918 3,683

Changing Diets

Half of the world’s pork is eaten in China. Chicken and beef are becoming important.

Dependence on Maize Imports

Indonesia imported 1.6 million tons in 2010. This year, Indonesia will import an estimated 3.2 million tons.

At 16 million tons, Japan is the world’s largest importer of maize.

China became a new importer of maize last year for the first time in 14 years.

By 2015, China is expected to import 15 million metric tons of maize from the US alone.

Percentage of Annual Income Used to Purchase Food + Malnutrition Rates

CIMMYT’s Response to the Challenges and Opportunities Facing Maize

Ten Point Action Agenda for MAIZE “Strategic Initiatives”

1. Socioeconomics and policies for maize futures

2. Sustainable intensification and income opportunities for the poor

3. Smallholder precision agriculture

4. Stress tolerant maize for the poorest

5. Towards doubling maize productivity

6. Integrated postharvest management

7. Nutritious maize (with CRP4)

8. Seeds of Discovery – tackling the black box of genetic diversity

9. New tools and methods for NARS and SMEs

1-9. Strengthening local capacities

MAIZE CRP Target Areas

Expected Impact

Increased productivity of target populations by 7% in 2020 and 33% by 2030.

An added annual value of $2.0 billion by 2020 and $8.8 billion in 2030.

Reach 40 million smallholder farm family members by 2020 and 175 million by 2030.

Provide enough maize to meet the annual food demand of an additional

– 135 million consumers in 2020

– 600 million by 2030.

Our Partners

SAGARPA - Mexico

KARI - Kenya, Syngenta Foundation

Syngenta Foundation for Sustainable Agriculture

130 national agricultural research institutes

18 regional and international organizations

21 advanced agricultural research institutes

75 universities

Another xample: BISA Borlaug Institute for South Asia

General Objective: Develop state-of-the art research facilities to support maize and wheat research and development and capacity building.

Train partners in cutting-edge biotechnology and bioinformatics tools.

Train agronomists in conservation and precision agriculture.

Develop wheat varieties which increase yields up to 50%.

Initiate a Second Green Revolution.

谢谢 Thank you