survey of arizona registered voters
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Survey of Arizona Registered Voters
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 2
Sample Size600 interviews with Arizona registered voters who are likely to vote in the November 2022 General Elections
Dates of Interview June 17 - 23, 2021
Languages of Interview English, Spanish
Margin of Error +/- 4.0 percentage points
METHODOLOGY
IMAGE RATINGS &
ARIZONA AUDIT
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 4
Governor Doug Ducey
2%
2%
21%
16%
28%
31%
No answer
Do not recognize
Somewhat / Very Unfavorable
Very / Somewhat Favorable 47%
49%
4% of respondents did not recognize or
did not answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 5
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Favorable 22% 72% 43%
Unfavorable 74% 25% 52%
Do not recognize/No answer 4% 3% 5%
Governor Doug Ducey
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 6
3%
8%
31%
40%
18%
No answer
Do not recognize
Somewhat / Very Unfavorable
Very / Somewhat Favorable 49%
48%
3% of respondents did not answer
President Joe Biden
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 7
President Joe BidenBY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Favorable 94% 11% 49%
Unfavorable 5% 88% 49%
Do not recognize/No answer 1% 1% 2%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 8
Former President Donald Trump
3%
7%
32%
44%
14%
No answer
Do not recognize
Somewhat / Very Unfavorable
Very / Somewhat Favorable 46%
51%
3% of respondentsdid not answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 9
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Favorable 8% 86% 38%
Unfavorable 88% 14% 58%
Do not recognize/No answer 4% - 4%
Former President Donald Trump
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 10
As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots?
5%
7%
37%
42%
9%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / Strongly Oppose
Strongly / Somewhat Support 46%
49%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 11
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Support 18% 75% 38%
Oppose 78% 19% 56%
Don’t know/No answer 4% 6% 6%
As you may or may not be aware, in Arizona there is currently an audit that is recounting ballots cast in Maricopa County from last November’s Presidential election. Based on what you know about the audit, do you support or oppose the Maricopa County audit of Presidential ballots?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 12
To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County?
5%
7%
34%
44%
10%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / Strongly Oppose
Strongly / Somewhat Support 44%
51%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 13
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Support 17% 73% 37%
Oppose 79% 21% 59%
Don’t know/No answer 4% 6% 4%
To give you a little more information, the Maricopa County audit of the 2020 Presidential ballots is the first full, hand-recount of all the ballots cast in the county last November. Initiated by Arizona Senate Republicans, the recount is being conducted by a firm with no experience in conducting election audits, and the company’s CEO also believes that widespread fraud marred the 2020 elections. Election experts, Democratic officials and Republican members of the Maricopa County Board of Supervisors oppose the recount, pointing out the voting machines have already been checked by an accredited firm and that the election results were validated by a previous audit. Having now heard this information, do you support or oppose the new audit now happening in Maricopa County?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 14
Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate?
17%
9%
23%
37%
14%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / Much Less Likely
Much / Somewhat MoreLikely 37%
46%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 15
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
More likely 13% 63% 28%
Less likely 77% 15% 46%
Don’t know/No answer 10% 22% 26%
Thinking about future elections in Arizona, if a candidate for elected office in Arizona supported this Maricopa County audit, would you be more or less likely to vote for that candidate?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 16
Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024?
37%
53%
10%
Yes No Don't know/No answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 17
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Yes 81% 7% 26%
No 7% 91% 53%
Don’t know/No answer 12% 2% 21%
Based on how he has performed as President so far, in your opinion does President Joe Biden deserve to be reelected to another 4-year term if he decides to run again in 2024?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 18
Certified results of 2020 Presidential Election in Arizona
49.4% 49.1%
1.5%Joe Biden Donald Trump Other
1,672,143votes
1,661,686votes Biden +10,457
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 19
If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?
51% 44%
5%
Joe Biden Donald Trump Don't know/No answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 20
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Joe Biden 95% 8% 54%
Donald Trump 2% 86% 41%
Don’t know/No answer 3% 6% 5%
If the election for President of the United States were held again today and the candidates were – Joe Biden and Donald Trump, whom would you vote for?
ARIZONA US SENATORSMARK KELLY &
KYRSTEN SINEMA
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 22
US Senator Mark Kelly
6%
5%
18%
26%
23%
22%
No answer
Do not recognize
Somewhat / Very Unfavorable
Very / Somewhat Favorable 48%
41%
11% of respondents did not recognize or
did not answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 23
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Favorable 82% 17% 46%
Unfavorable 5% 75% 41%
Do not recognize/No answer 13% 8% 13%
US Senator Mark Kelly
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 24
Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in whichMark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator?
14%
13%
24%
22%
27%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove
Strongly / Somewhat Approve 51%
35%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 25
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Approve 87% 19% 44%
Disapprove 6% 66% 31%
Don’t know/No answer 7% 15% 25%
Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which Mark Kelly is handling his job as United States Senator?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 26
US Senator Kyrsten Sinema
6%
7%
23%
11%
14%
39%
No answer
Do not recognize
Somewhat / Very Unfavorable
Very / Somewhat Favorable 50%
37%
13% of respondents did not recognize or
did not answer
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 27
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Favorable 52% 51% 44%
Unfavorable 34% 36% 40%
Do not recognize/No answer 14% 13% 16%
US Senator Kyrsten Sinema
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 28
Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in whichKyrsten Sinema is handling her job as United States Senator?
14%
23%
12%
13%
38%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove
Strongly / Somewhat Approve 50%
36%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 29
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Approve 47% 54% 46%
Disapprove 38% 32% 40%
Don’t know/No answer 15% 14% 4%
Do you approve or disapprove of the manner in which KyrstenSinema is handling her job as United States Senator?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 30
A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion?
18%
12%
34%
24%
12%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / StronglyDisapprove
Strongly / Somewhat Approve 46%
36%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 31
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Approve 25% 70% 41%
Disapprove 48% 15% 36%
Don’t know/No answer 27% 15% 23%
A filibuster is a procedure used in the U.S. Senate to block a bill from being put to a vote until a supermajority of 60 senators agree to end debate on it. Do you approve or disapprove of the filibuster or do you have no opinion?
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 32
Arizona U.S. Senator Kyrsten Sinema has expressed a preference for maintaining the use of the filibuster in the U.S. Senate. This support may mean the policy priorities of President Biden and the Democratic Leadership may not have a chance of becoming law and being implemented. Do you support or oppose Senator Sinema’s decision to maintain the filibuster in the U.S. Senate?
11%
12%
36%
27%
14%
Don't know/No answer
Somewhat / Strongly Oppose
Strongly / Somewhat Support 50%
39%
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 33
BY PARTY
Democrat Republican Independent
Support 21% 75% 51%
Oppose 68% 15% 37%
Don’t know/No answer 11% 10% 12%
Arizona U.S. Senator Kyrsten Sinema has expressed a preference for maintaining the use of the filibuster in the U.S. Senate. This support may mean the policy priorities of President Biden and the Democratic Leadership may not have a chance of becoming law and being implemented. Do you support or oppose Senator Sinema’s decision to maintain the filibuster in the U.S. Senate?
DEMOGRAPHICS
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 35
What is your current political party affiliation – Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Other or No preference/No party?
40% 36%
12%
3%9%
Republican Democrat No preference/Noparty
Libertarian Other
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 36
The media generally classifies people as Non-Hispanic White, Hispanic/Latino, Black, or Asian– what do you consider yourself?
76%
12%4% 2% 4% 2%
Non-Hispanic White Hispanic/Latino Black Asian Other Refused
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 37
GENDER
47%53%Male Female
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 38
AREA
77%
21%
2%Phoenix DMA and surrounding area Tucson DMA and surrounding area Yuma DMA and surrounding area
2021 Survey of Arizona Registered Voters 39
Bendixen & Amandi International (B&A) is a full-service public opinion research and communications consultingfirm. B&A’s research capabilities include conducting live operator telephone polling, focus groups, executiveinterviews, door-to-door interviewing, economic impact studies, hard to reach populations and multilingualresearch in more than 30 languages. Utilizing research as the core of our work, the firm specializes in providingsound strategic recommendations and developing impactful multi-media communications campaigns through thecreation of TV/Radio commercials, digital advertising, direct mail and traditional print advertising. Since ourfounding in 1984, B&A has had the honor of conducting numerous complex and large scale projects forcorporations, NGO’s, governmental agencies, and political candidates across the United States and around theworld.
For additional information about the firm please visit www.BendixenandAmandi.com or call us at 305.529.9916
Survey of Arizona Registered Voters
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