the digital paradox: finding the balance

The Digital Paradox:

World Future 2015 July 26, 2015 San Francisco

Karl Albrecht  

Finding the Balance  

The “Oh-S***” Future

Whose “Future” Do You Believe?

The “Gee-Whiz” Future

What is the Fate of the Individual In an All-Digital Society?

Is Privacy Dead? (If so, does it matter?)

The Digital Mantra:

Disruption

1: Preposterous; never gonna happen

2: Not in this century

3: Late this century (2075+)

4: Middle of this century (2050-2075)

5: Before mid-century (2050)

Where is Artificial Intelligence Going? By What Year Will Artificially Intelligent Entities (Robots) Displace Humans and Take Over Control of at Least One Modern Society?

Poll:  

Is There Anything

That Can’t Be

Robotized?

“Software  is  eating  the  world.”  

~ Marc Andreessen, Founder, Netscape; High-tech Venture Capitalist  

“By  the  time  we  get  to  the  2040s,  we'll  be  able  to  multiply  human  intelligence  a  billionfold.  ”    “Computers  are  going  to  keep  getting  smaller  .  .  .  Ultimately,  they  will  go  inside  our  bodies  and  brains  and  make  us  healthier,  smarter.  ”  

~ Ray Kurzweil, Inventor, Futurist

“The  development  of  artiEicial  intelligence  could  spell  the  end  of  the  human  race.”  

~ Stephen Hawking, Theoretical Physicist

Stephen  Hawking,  Theore2cal  Physicist  

“With  artiEicial  intelligence,  we  are  summoning  the  demon.”    “AI  is  .  .  .  potentially  more  dangerous  than  nukes.”  

~ Elon Musk, Founder, PayPal,

Tesla Motors, SpaceX

“Within  a  few  decades,  AI  will  be  strong  enough  to  be  a  concern.”    “I  agree  with  Elon  Musk  and  some  others  on  this  and  I  don't  understand  why  some  people  are  not  concerned.  ”  

~ Bill Gates, Founder, Microsoft; Philanthropist  

“Computers  are  going  to  take  over  from  humans.  No  question.”   “If  we  build  these  devices  to  take  care  of  everything  for  us,  eventually  they'll  think  faster  than  us  .  .  .  Will  we  be  their  pets?”  

~ Steve Wozniak Co-founder, Apple Computer

“.  .  .  ?”  

~ Steve Jobs Co-founder, Apple Computer

The Turning Point?

“Civilization  is  more  and  more  a  race  between  education  and  catastrophe.”  

~ H.G. Wells, Novelist, Futurist

The “Chucky” Effect

Ascribing “agency,” sentience, or intent to an inanimate object

“Technology is revolutionizing society.” “Robots are putting people out of work.” “Drones will change law enforcement forever.”

Robots Do Not Put People Out of Jobs.

Business Owners Do.

Three Scenarios for an All-Digital Future?

Robots Take Over

Cyborg Scenario

Humans Prevail

We’ll  get  the  future  we  deserve.  

Our  challenge  is  to  deserve  the  future  we  want.