the "green race" is on - wbcsd president björn stigson
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8/9/2019 The "Green Race" is on - WBCSD President Bjrn Stigson
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World Business Council for
Sustainable Development
Beyond Copenhagen The Green Race is on
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Coalition of some 200 leading companies
Market capitalization: 8,000 BUSD
Total member company employees:13 million
Global outreach
Supplies products and services to half of the worlds
population every day
WBCSD
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WBCSD Membership
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68
40
24
18
16
117 21
Europe (EU)
North America (NAFTA)
Japan
Europe (non-EU)
Asia (ex-Japan)
Latin America
Oceania
Africa
Middle East
68
40
24
18
16
11
7
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A World in Transition to Sustainability
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Society
Economy Environment
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The Future Society: A growth story
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1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Source: United Nations Population Division, WorldPopulation Prospects: The 2006 Revision.
World population (in Billions): 1950-2050
85%
15%
Population in less developed countries
Population in more developed countries
2010= 6.9 billion
2050= 9.2 billion
+33%
85%
15%
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Income poverty: Over 2 billion people live on less than $2/day
Energy poverty:
1.6 billion people today without access to electricityMobility poverty:
900 million people without access to transport
Water poverty:
1.8 million deaths per year due to lack of sanitation,poor hygiene and unsafe drinking water.
Development: The Poverty Challenge
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The Urbanized Future
Billions of inhabitants47% urban
60% urban
1970 2000 2030
36% urban
urbanrural
70% urban
3.2 3.32.9
5.0
1.3
2.42.8
6.4
2050
Source: United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects:The 2007 Revision
70% urban in 2050: 6 billion2010: 3 billion
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Shifting Fortunes
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Emerging economies > 50% of global GDP and trend will continue
Source:AngusMaddison,OEC
D;IMF
FromTheEconomistprintedition.
Wrestlingforinfluence.July3
rd2008.
% Share of GDP
0
20
40
60
80
1913 1950 2005 2025
Emerging economies Developed economies
* At purchasing-power parity
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The Green Race is on between countries to
transform to low carbon economies and tobecome the leading supplier of resourceefficient technologies & solutions
If you want to win:
oTransform your home market to build competencesand scale
The World is Turning Green
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Key transformations:
oEnergy
oTransport
oUrban infrastructure
oFood
o
Water
The World is Turning Green
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Less oil, more renewables and more nuclear Reduced carbon intensity of existing energy:
CCS, sinks
A focus on smart technology solutions: energy efficiency
smart grids
Demand side management
Increased electrification of transportation
Value for carbon - carbon taxes/emissions trading
A Transformed Energy System
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Additional investments to reach 450 ppm
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SOURCEIEA- ETP, 2010
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Agriculture and forestry = 30% global GHGemissions (IPCC 4th assessment)
Livestock (beef) is the worlds largest user ofland resources (70% of agricultural land) Major driver for deforestation
Competition for land-use with consequences for Food consumption
Biofuels
Water
Agriculture & Land-use changes
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Water: The challenge
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Takeaways:
Copenhagen saw the end of old ways of
intergovernmental negotiations
The Copenhagen Accord
A non binding Letter of Intent
But little clarity on how this will be implemented
COP 15 Copenhagen
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1. Climate change is not a priority for all2. Whose carbon is it? Who pays for what?
3. What type of commitments are countries
willing to accept? National sovereignty?4. Support to developing countries?
5. Competition concerns; a level playing field?
6. Robustness of climate science and IPCCconclusions?
7. Domestic US legislation?
Stumbling Blocks in the internationalclimate negotiations
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Bottom-up country pledges for action withbilateral/regional agreements
A global umbrella agreement:
Copenhagen Accord elements System for a global carbon market
Broader than CDM
Recognition of sectoral approaches
Climate Change post-COP 15
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Sectoral approaches
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...while governments provide thenecessary policy framework, the realsolutions must come from business.Copenhagen did not provide us with aclear agreement in legal terms, but thepolitical commitment and sense ofdirection toward a low-emissions world
are overwhelming. This calls for newpartnerships with the business sector andI now have the chance to help make thishappen
Yvo de Boer, 2010
Growing role of business
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Providing business perspectives on markets,finance and technologies Reports
Glion Dialogues
COP Business Day Co-operation with IEA, World Bank
Advisory roles to governments China, US, Germany
EU: contract to develop proposal for a formal businessrole in climate negotiations
Provide tools for measurement and reporting WRI / WBCSD GHG-Protocol
WBCSD Roles on Climate
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Trilogy of policy reports Power to Change: A business
contribution to a low-carbon electricityfuture
Roadmap of sector specific policyrecommendations
Next phase:
Delivering input into the new IEA
Carbon and Electricity Report(IEA-CER)
Exploring smart technologies
Electricity Utilities
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Co-Chairs:
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Buildings represent 50 % of worldenergy use
Report: Transforming the Market
(April 2009)
Cutting building emissions by 50%
globally by 2050 is possible at anaverage abatement cost of25USD/tCO2 (PIIE, 2009)
Energy Efficiency in Buildings (EEB)
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Leading the way on industry sectoral approaches
Actions:o CO2 measuring and reporting
o CDM methodology
IEA- WBCSD Technology Roadmapo Outlines existing and potential technologies, and how they
may help the industry support a halving of global CO emission
Cement Sustainability Initiative
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Water, Energy and Climate Change Water & Energy linked
Impacts from ecosystems and climatechange
Measuring water use & assessingimpacts: WBCSD Global Water Tool
CH2MHill
Water Footprint Network
Development of ISO standard on waterfootprint
Water
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Living well, within limits of the planet
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Human Development Index (HDI)
Source:GFN/UNDP
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The future is going to be resourceand carbon constrained
I.e. The Green Race Business has a major role to play
as a solution provider
Business cannot succeed in asociety that fails
A World in Transition to Sustainability
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www.wbcsd.org
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