us weekly weather outlook - fbicgroup · 2016-09-06 · china: 86.186.1420.3016...

1 DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&TECHNOLOGYDEBORAHWEINSWIG@FUNG1937.COMUS:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

June 2, 2016

US WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK

• May 29–June 4: Sweet Summertime Continues in the East, While TemperaturesModerateAcrossthePlains.BonnieBringsHeavyRainasSheExitstheEastCoast.

• June 5–11: Cooler Temperatures than Last Year Return for Most of North America,SofteningSeasonalComps.ShowersandStormsExpectedintheEastandtheWest.

US:WEEKOFMAY29–JUNE4Retail implications:Heat in the Eastwill drive seasonal demand, but theWestwill face lessfavorabletemperatures.

• Last year, this week was the coolest since 2009: Severeweather focused in the Rockies, Northern Plains andMidwest.

• Bonnievoyage:TropicalDepressionBonniewillcrawlalongtheCarolinacoastearly in theweek, spreadingheavy rainnorthward to New England. Meanwhile, rain andthunderstorms will slowly move across the Central US,exacerbating flooding in Texas. The West will remainrelativelydry.

• An East-West split:HotandhumidconditionswillblankettheEastearly intheweek,witha late-weekfrontbringingtemperaturesbackdowntonormal.TheWestwillstartoutcooler than last year, but temperatures will climb abovenormalandlastyearbymidweek.Thecoolertemperatureswillmove across theRockies and settle into the SouthernPlains,leavingtheregioncoolerthanlastyear.

US:WEEKOFJUNE5–11

Retail implications: Cool conditions in the Eastwill discourageseasonalproductdemand,whilethoseintheWestcanstaymoreoptimistic,thankstothewarmertemperaturesintheregion.

• Lastyear,thisweekwasthewarmestin55years:Rainfallwas the least since 2012, although still above normal.Severe weather was focused from the South CentralregionintotheNortheast.

• Cool runnings: Cooler-than-normal temperatures willcover the South Central region at the beginning of theweek, and spread throughout the East as the weekprogresses. Warmer-than-normal temperatures willextend fromtheWest into theNorthernPlains,althoughtheywillmoderatethroughouttheweek.

• Summertime showers:MuchoftheCentralUSwillseeabreak fromheavy rainand severe storms,while theEastwillseelightshowersandisolatedthunderstormsearlyinthe week. Scattered storms are anticipated in theSouthern Rockies, and the heaviest rain is expectedthroughoutFlorida.

IMPACTONRETAIL:AirConditioners+81%

IMPACTONRETAIL:Suncare-9%

Source:Planalytics

Source:Planalytics

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June 2, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&TECHNOLOGYDEBORAHWEINSWIG@FUNG1937.COMUS:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

EUROPE WEEKLY WEATHER OUTLOOK • May29–June4:SummerWarmthContinues,withPlentyofRain.

• June5–11:WarmerWest,CoolerEast.

EUROPE:WEEKOFMAY29–JUNE4

Retailimplications:Thewetconditionsinmostareaswillhaveanegativeimpactonretailstoretraffic.

• Summer warmth continues: Warmer-than-normaltemperatureswillpersistacrossalargeswathofthecontinent.CoolerairwillremainintheSouthwestandSoutheast.

• Plenty of rain: A very slow-moving front will generatewidespread rain and thunder for themajority ofmainlandEurope. Drier conditions are expected across the northerntierandtheMediterraneanBasin.

EUROPE:WEEKOFJUNE5–11

Retailimplications:UnseasonablecoldintheSoutheasternhalfofthecontinentwillhamperdemandforseasonalproducts.

• Warmer West, cooler East: Temperatures that are coolerthan normal and last year will settle into the Southeast,whilewarmthwillrebuildacrossWesternEurope.

• A largelysettledweek:Lightrainwill lingeracrosstheEastearly in the week and a front will cause light showers inNorthernBritain.

IMPACTONRETAIL:Rainwear(Poland)Fans(Denmark)

IMPACTONRETAIL:Long-SleeveShirts(Greece)Duvets(Sweden)

Source:Planalytics

Source:Planalytics

3

June 2, 2016

DEBORAHWEINSWIG,MANAGINGDIRECTOR–HEADOFGLOBALRETAIL&TECHNOLOGYDEBORAHWEINSWIG@FUNG1937.COMUS:917.655.6790HK:852.6119.1779CN:86.186.1420.3016Copyright©2016TheFungGroup.Allrightsreserved.

DeborahWeinswig,CPAManagingDirectorFungGlobalRetail&TechnologyNewYork:917.655.6790HongKong:852.6119.1779China:86.186.1420.3016deborahweinswig@fung1937.comAragornHoResearchAssociate

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