whats wrong with a little climate change sep 2011

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change1

CLIMATE CHANGE?

WHAT’S WRONG with a little

Like blades, phrases can be blunted by overuse.

You may have heard about the dangers of “climate change”.It’s like old news.It hardly gets you concerned.Well, there are some recent findings.They are scaring the hell out of scientists.

hoto: Photodisc S

ingles

All the leading centres on climate change…

United Nations (IPCC) NASA World Resources Institute

hoto: Scanpix / C

orbis / David P

ollack

The vast majority of climate scientists…

And the most authoritative climate reports.

Are all sounding a clear ALARM.

We are polluting the atmosphere with

so much CO2, it is causing global overheating and

dangerous climate changes.

SOURCE: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2007 – Synthesis Report © PHOTO: Scanpix / Reuters / Mick TsikasPLACE: Chemical manufacturing facility in Australia

www.steria.com/sustainability

The evidence is based on OBSERVATIONS

across the globe

13.09.2011 Climate change8© Photo: NASA

NASA satellite images…

The Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii…

SOURCE: www.mlo.noaa.gov/ © PHOTO: NSOPLACE: Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawai, 3353m above sea level

Several hundred coastal tide gauges…

SOURCE: Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory (POL) © PHOTO: Les Bradley POL

And many other climate observatories.

hoto: Office of N

aval Research (O

So please, OPEN your eyes.

It’s time to take a wider perspective.

Look outside the comforts of your neighbourhood.

It’s time to look at what’s happening with Earth.

This is also your HOME.

In the next 40 years there will be BIG changes.

2 billionExpected increase in world population.

SOURCE: UN Population Division/DESA, Press release: World Population to exceed 9 billion by 2050, March 11, 2009 © PHOTO: Scanpix / Corbis / Alan Schein Photography

200%World demand for energy is expected to more than DOUBLE.

SOURCE: European Comission, World Energy Technology Outlook to 2050, 2007 © PHOTO: Scanpix / Folio / Tor LindbergPLACE: Chicago

300%The number of cars in the world is expected to TRIPLE.

SOURCE: 50 by 50: Global Fuel Economy Initiative, 2009: FIA Foundation, United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), International Energy Agency, International Transport Forum (ITF) © PHOTO: Pixtal

400%The size of the world economy

(GDP) is expected to QUADRUPLE.

SOURCE: European Comission, World Energy Technology Outlook to 2050, jan. 2007 © PHOTO: Masterfile / R. Ian Lloyd PLACE: Ship near harbor in Singapore

Parts of the world will grow and PROSPER.

1,5 billionProjected population in China.

China is expected to become the world's LARGEST economy.

SOURCE: Goldman Sachs, The N-11: More Than an Acronym" - Goldman Sachs study of N11 nations, Global Economics Paper No: 153, March 28, 2007. © PHOTO: AFP / Liu Jin

1,6 billionProjected population in India.

India is expected to become the THIRD largest economy in the world.

SOURCE: Goldman Sachs, The N-11: More Than an Acronym" - Goldman Sachs study of N11 nations, Global Economics Paper No: 153, March 28, 2007. © PHOTO: Reuters / Stringer / India

Other parts of the world will be DEVASTATED.

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change26SOURCE: World Resource Institute, Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Synthesis, 2005 © PHOTO: Scanpix / AFP / David BoilyPLACE: Oil-sand field in Canada

Over the past 50 years, we have changed ecosystems more extensively

than in any period in human history.

75%of the natural ecosystems on which we depend

have already been degraded.

SOURCE: WWF, A roadmap for a lving planet, 2009 © PHOTO: Luth / Fancy

50%of all the forests that once covered the Earth,

have been cleared for farmland and urban development.

SOURCE: World Resources Institute, World Resources 1998–99 © PHOTO: Luth / Fancy

13 millionhectares of forest disappear each year.

That’s an area about the size of New York.

SOURCE: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, State of World Forests, 2007 © PHOTO: Luth / Photodisc

2xEarths’By 2050 we will be using TWICE as many natural resources as the Earth

can replenish.

SOURCE: WWF, A roadmap for a lving planet, 2009 © PHOTO: Scanpix / Corbis

The competition for FOOD, WATER, LAND and ENERGY will intensify.

As we keep CROWDING the Earth.

EVENT: Earth at night © PHOTO: DMSP and NASA

In ever growing METROPOLISES

PLACE: Chicago © PHOTO: Scanpix / Corbis / Robert Llewellyn

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change34PLACE: 5th Avenue, New York © PHOTO: Scanpix / Masterfile / Mark Leibowitz

DID YOU KNOW!Urban areas account for only 4% of the world’s land area,

but they hold about half of the world’s population.

SOURCE: ?

The KEY point is…

UnsustainableThe fashion and speed in which we keep exploiting Earth,

is simply unsustainable in the long term

If we continue POLLUTING the atmosphere…

Carbon emissionsfrom human activities are expected to DOUBLE.

SOURCE: PricewaterhouseCoopers, The world in 2050, Impact of global growth on carbon emissions, 2006 © PHOTO: Scanpix / AP / Frank Augstein

The highest CO2 levels in 650,000 years.

Source: NASA, Global Climate Change, 2009 and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

YEARS before today (0=1950)

CO2 levels have never been higher than this line – until now

Historical CO2 levels

The carbon overloadin the atmosphere, acts like a warming blanket covering Earth.

Global warmingis already happening and it’s accelerating.

SOURCE: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Climate Change 2007 – Synthesis Report © PHOTO: Scanpix / Reuters / Mick TsikasEVENT: Chemical manufacturing facility in Australia

Our climate will get totally OUT OF BALANCE.

Climate changesare being observed across the globe.

Most of the changes are related to WARMING and WATER.

Because we’re mainly a water-world.

The most obvious EVIDENCE is…

The 17 warmest years ever recorded have all occurred in the last 20.

The warmth of the last century is unprecedentedin the previous 1,300 years.

Warming!

SOURCE: Met Office Hadley Centre, Warming: Climate Change – the facts, 2009 © PHOTO: Scanpix / Thomas Nykrog

More humidityThe large oceans and land moisture evaporates more quickly with increasing temperatures.

SOURCE: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2008 © PHOTO: mercurialn at flickr.com

Ice meltingThe Arctic ice cap has lost 30% of its surface area in 30 years.

The rate of loss has accelerated since 2002.

SOURCE: US National Snow and Ice Data Centre, 2007 / United Nations Environment Programme, Global Outlook for Ice & Snow, 2007 © PHOTO: UnknownThe Arctic ice cap

1982 2007

Ice meltingLakes are beginning to appear on the Greenland ice sheet.It is melting much faster than previously predicted.

SOURCE: Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass-balance modelling and freshwater flux for 2007, and in a 1995-2007 perspective. Hydrological Processes, 2009 © PHOTO: Unknown

The most dangerous THREAT is…

Rising sea levels

Rising temperatures cause the oceans to heat up and expand.

Gnawing away at low-lying coastal communities.

SOURCE: NASA mission help dissect sea-level rise, 2006 © PHOTO: Luth / Digital Vision SinglesEVENT: Cancun, Mexico

Extreme weather

Heavy rainfall, floods, storms and

heat waves will become more frequent and

extreme.

SOURCE: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2008 © PHOTO: Scanpix / AP / Sergei GritsEVENT: Flood in central Minsk, Belarus, July 2009

Worse hurricanesThe warm wet air is like superfuel for hurricanes.

The number of category 4 and 5 hurricanes has doubled in the last 30 years.

SOURCE: Emanuel, K., Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years, Nature, 2005 © PHOTO: NASAEVENT: Eye of an hurricane as seen from a NASA satellite

Destruction of urban infrastructures is inevitable.

Hurricane Ike approachingGalveston Island in Texas.

SOURCE: Associated Press, Sept. 208 © PHOTO: Scanpix / AP / David J. PhillipEVENT: Galveston Island, Texas

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change56SOURCE: The Stern Review: The economics of climate change, Cambridge University Press, 2007 © PHOTO: Scanpix / AP / Matt SlocumEVENT: Aftermath from Hurricane Ike, Galveston, Texas, 2008

Some regions will get WETTER and WILDER.

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change58SOURCE: Associated Press © PHOTO: AP / Educardo VerdugoEVENT: Hurricane hitting Cuba in 2008

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change59SOURCE: EPA, Sept. 2008 © PHOTO: Scanpix / EPA / Kai FoersterlingEVENT: Flood in Sueca, Valencia, eastern Spain on 23 September 2008.

Other regions will get HOTTER and DRIER.

Heat waveswill be more intense.

SOURCE: © PHOTO:EVENT:

Forest fires will be more frequent and destructive.

EVENT: Fire in the San Fernando Valley in Los Angeles, Oct. 2008 © PHOTO: Scanpix / Associated Press / Dan Steinberg

Droughtswill be more severe,

leading to crop failures.

SOURCE: World Resource Institute, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005 © PHOTO: Rodney Dekker EVENT: Failed harvest in Ouyen, Victoria, Australia

250million people are directly affected by desertification.One billion in 100 countries

are at risk.

SOURCE: United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), Explanatory Leaflet, The problem of land degradation © PHOTO: Scanpix, EPA, Michael ReynoldsEVENT: Tengger Desert, China

Food-shortages and malnutrition will strike already hard-hit areas.

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change66EVENT: Food Crisis in Kolkata, West Bengal, India © PHOTO: Scanpix / ZUMA press

2 billionpeople are already affected by water scarcity.

SOURCE: World Resource Institute, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005 © PHOTO: Scanpix / ReutersEVENT: Water crisis in Wangcheng county, central China, July 2007

Up to 25% of the world’s food production may become lost due to environmental breakdown by 2050 unless action is taken.”

– UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) ,The Environmental Food Crisis – The Environment's Role in Averting Future Food Crises, 2009

Mass MIRGRATION is inevitable.

Damage from climate change forces people to leave hard-hit rural areas to seek better conditions in already over-crowded cities.

Migration

200 millionEstimated number of climate refugees by 2050.

SOURCE: Synthesis Report, Climate Change, Global Risks, Challenges & Decisions, 2009

Mass extinction of WILDLIFE is inevitable.

17,000 species are currently threatened with extinction.

SOURCE: Wildlife in a changing world, the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), 2008 © PHOTO: UnknownEVENT: Elephans fleeing

90%of the large fish in the seas have been plundered.

25% of species is heading for extinction by 2050.

SOURCE: Wildlife in a changing world, the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN), 2008 EVENT: Seabird caught in fishnet

20% of coral reefs have been lost and an additional 20% are degraded.

SOURCE: World Resource Institute, Ecosystems and Human Well-being: Synthesis, 2005 PHOTO: Lonely Planet / Holger Leue / Lon

Over the past few hundred years, humans have increased the species extinction rate by as much as 1,000 times over background rates typical over the planet’s history.”

– World Resource Institute, Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005

The Lancet SUMS it up best

Climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st Century. Climate change will have its greatest impact on those who are already the poorest in the world: it will deepen inequities and the effects of global warming will shape the future of health among all peoples.

May 2009

We must respond NOW.

We only have a few years to reverse the rise in man-made carbon emissions

This is NOT a task for the poorest and developing nations.

2,6 billionAlmost half the world’s population live on $2 per day or less.

www.steria.com/sustainability 13.09.2011 Climate change84EVENT: Priests perform special prayers in order to appease the rain god due to lack of rain. Mumbai August 26, 2009. © PHOTO: Scanpix / Reuters / Punit Paranjpe

They can only hope and pray for better times.

This is a task for the INDUSTRIALIZED world.

16%of the world’s population account for

80% of the money spent on private consumption.

We = the consumers, the leaders, the politicians, the corporationsWe =US, Japan, China, Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Russia, Spain, Brazil, Canada, India, Scandinavia, and many more…

Because we’ve created the problem, we must fix it.

Here’s what we should do.

We must get and use energy smarter.

The way we currently use coal, oil and gas…

… pollutes the atmosphere with huge amounts of CO2

We must start to capture and store CO2 emissions.

Especially from: Factories Power stations Transport

We must use more renewable energy sources.

For example: Hydrogen Solar Wind

We must use more energy-efficient cars.

ital V

We must build more energy-efficient buildings.

We must be better at sustainable forest management.

We must push for more climate-friendly farming.

We must reduce and recycle our waste.

Some FINAL thoughts…

We now have an UNIQUE chance.

To be more creative than ever before.To totally rethink and redesign our lives:

- How we get and use energy.- How we work and live.- How we make things.

We owe it to our children.

In the end…It’s not us who will suffer the most from climate changes.It’s our children and grandchildren.

So please, dear friend…

Start to think and act green today and help safeguard our future.

A Steria insight series production.Produced by: Anders Lindgren, Steria AS

whats wrong with a little climate change sep 2011

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