an analysis on domestic airlines capacity ......received from airlines operator for the domestic...

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http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 38 [email protected] International Journal of Management (IJM) Volume 6, Issue 12, Dec 2015, pp. 38-49, Article ID: IJM_06_12_004 Available online at http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=6&IType=12 ISSN Print: 0976-6502 and ISSN Online: 0976-6510 © IAEME Publication ___________________________________________________________________________ AN ANALYSIS ON DOMESTIC AIRLINES CAPACITY PERFORMANCE IN INDIA A. Thirunavukkarasu Scholar, Research & Development., Bharathiyar University, Coimbatore, India V. R. Nedunchezian Professor, KCT Business School, Coimbatore, India ABSTRACT Capacity Growth and Utilisation are the leading indicators of Airlines performance. This paper compares the Airlines capacity growth and utilisation of Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines. The data for the study were taken from Directorate General of Civil Aviation websites from 2005 to 2015. The findings indicate that Low Cost Airlines are able to deploy higher capacity growth and utilise the capacity during the last 10 year. However, in response to excellent performance of Low Cost Airlines in a short span of time, Full Service Airlines have been fighting hard to achieve higher capacity utilisation, matching the levels achieved by Low Cost Airlines. The gap between the Low Cost Airlines and Full Service Airlines operating performance are narrowing down as a result of competitive fares, further study establish that distinction between Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines no longer exists in Indian market and passenger are not having any preference on business models for their travel choice. Key words: Capacity, Airlines, Low Cost, Full Service, Load Factor, Seat Factor Cite this Article: A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian. An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance in India. International Journal of Management, 6(12), 2015, pp. 38-49. http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=6&IType=12 1. INTRODUCTION Airlines Industry is a fascinating market with high standard of safety and security embedded to it. The industry has been de-regulated with many liberal policies encouraging more people to travel in Air. The industry has transformed from the highly regulated to Competitive environment after the gradual liberalised policy followed in successive years.This de-regulation process started with United States of America in 1978 and proceeded to rest of the world namely, Europe, Australia, Asia and Middle East etc. In India, the de-regulation process started with the repeal of Air

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http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 38 [email protected]

International Journal of Management (IJM)

Volume 6, Issue 12, Dec 2015, pp. 38-49, Article ID: IJM_06_12_004

Available online at

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=6&IType=12

ISSN Print: 0976-6502 and ISSN Online: 0976-6510

© IAEME Publication

___________________________________________________________________________

AN ANALYSIS ON DOMESTIC AIRLINES

CAPACITY PERFORMANCE IN INDIA

A. Thirunavukkarasu

Scholar, Research & Development., Bharathiyar University, Coimbatore, India

V. R. Nedunchezian

Professor, KCT Business School, Coimbatore, India

ABSTRACT

Capacity Growth and Utilisation are the leading indicators of Airlines

performance. This paper compares the Airlines capacity growth and

utilisation of Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines. The data for the

study were taken from Directorate General of Civil Aviation websites from

2005 to 2015. The findings indicate that Low Cost Airlines are able to deploy

higher capacity growth and utilise the capacity during the last 10 year.

However, in response to excellent performance of Low Cost Airlines in a short

span of time, Full Service Airlines have been fighting hard to achieve higher

capacity utilisation, matching the levels achieved by Low Cost Airlines. The

gap between the Low Cost Airlines and Full Service Airlines operating performance are narrowing down as a result of competitive fares, further

study establish that distinction between Full Service Airlines and Low Cost

Airlines no longer exists in Indian market and passenger are not having any

preference on business models for their travel choice.

Key words: Capacity, Airlines, Low Cost, Full Service, Load Factor, Seat

Factor

Cite this Article: A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian. An Analysis

on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance in India. International Journal of

Management, 6(12), 2015, pp. 38-49.

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/issues.asp?JType=IJM&VType=6&IType=12

1. INTRODUCTION

Airlines Industry is a fascinating market with high standard of safety and security

embedded to it. The industry has been de-regulated with many liberal policies

encouraging more people to travel in Air. The industry has transformed from the

highly regulated to Competitive environment after the gradual liberalised policy

followed in successive years.This de-regulation process started with United States of

America in 1978 and proceeded to rest of the world namely, Europe, Australia, Asia

and Middle East etc. In India, the de-regulation process started with the repeal of Air

An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance In India

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 39 [email protected]

Corporation of India in 1994. As a result of liberation process, private airlines entered

the market in 1993 and deployed the capacity on most lucrative metro sectors, but

they are not lowering the prices but improved the service quality of the service. This

ensured better return on investment for start up private Airlines.

Airlines business market primarily consists of legacy, low-cost and regional

operators. Legacy airlines, also called as network airlines was only business model in

India for the long time. The network airlines operates with hub and spoke model with

thousands of employees on their payroll, mixed aircraft types to meet the route

economics, roomy seats, frequent flyer programs, connects to both domestic and

international destinations. Low Cost business model concept has attracted much

attraction all over the world and Airlines business is no exception. The Low Cost

Carriers expanded the market on new routes and newer markets, which was

unexplored by the legacy carrier (Civil Aviation Authority, 2006). The operating

performances of LCC are phenomenal in short span of time and marching towards in

capturing more market share from the FSC. The liberalised policy of Aviation in India

in successive years encouraged Low Cost Carriers to enter into the market with

business model as similar to Southwest Airlines of US. Air Deccan, was the first to

enter into airlines business with low cost operation structure, revolutionised the

business and many airlines followed with Low Cost Carrier (LCC) concept. Low Cost

Airlines operates with only or few types of aircraft connecting point to point

destinations. Low Cost Carrier have been showing strong influence in the market as

they changed the fundamental way of doing the business. It revolutionalized the short

haul airline market, radically changing the fares and choice of airlines (Civil Aviation

Authority, 2006).

The performance of the Airlines has been improving in the recent years on many

operating parameters which are vital to the operations of the Airlines and increase of

profitability. The performance of the domestic airlines for a longer period of 20 years

grew at an annual average rate of 10.4 % and in the last two decades, the fastest

growth in overall domestic air traffic in India was witnessed during 2004-05 to 2010-

11 at the rate of 18.5 % (Working group civil aviation sector, 2012). They have been

many studies done on comparing financial performance of Airlines, but there is no

study done on comparing operating capacity performance of Airlines. The operating

parameters are (1) Passenger load factor (2) Revenue Passengers travelled (3)

Revenue Passenger Kilometer (4) Available Seat Kilometer (Working group Civil

Aviation sector, 2012). Passenger load factor, measure of revenue passenger travelled

to the Aircraft capacity on any stage length, is the primary operating parameter and is

determined by many parameters viz (1) Convenient time of the day (2) Average

Airfare (3) demand supply of the particular stage length.

The motivation for this paper is to understand the Airlines capacity growth and

utilisation in Indian domestic The study will compare the operating capacity and

utilisation of Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines operating in domestic

market of India as it has high impact on market share. This paper will contribute to

literature on understanding on Airlines capacity performance in the Indian domestic

market.

A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 40 [email protected]

2. LITERATURE REVIEW

Assaf (2009) concluded that Airlines should adopt benchmarking procedure to

perform a continuous evaluation of their performance against the operational

strategies and make corrective actions. However, the results can be validated with

qualitative study of the major airlines. Factors like Load factor and Airlines size are

significantly related to technical efficiency of the Airlines. Barros (2009) found that

there was growth trend in operational performance of the European airlines. Ajayi

(2010) study indicated that US large Airlines are not efficient than smaller Airlines of

US by using data from 1977 to 2007. However, US large Airlines have superior

optimal mix of resources than smaller Airlines. They further showed that higher

efficiency are associated with higher net profit margins. Asaaf (2012)study found that

European Airlines are slightly better performers than US Airlines. The study further

established that Low Cost Airlines are better performer than most Full Service airlines

in both US and Europe. Low Cost Airlines success is based on improved productivity

of Labour and Aircraft utilisation.

Backx (2002) found that there was no relationship between ownership and load

factors but public airlines utilise the aircraft less intensively than private airlines.

Also, the ownership structure remains the consideration, factors such as (1) Scale and

scope advantage, (2) Wealth and existence of competition in a home market, (3)

Geographic region of origin have important impact on Airlines Performance.

Evangelho (2005) indicated that business travellers of large firm use Full Service

Airlines, but there seems no indication that there exists no prejudice against the LCC

in the Brazil market. Fourie (2006) reiterated that South Africa business travellers

working for large companies were more likely to use Full Service Airlines and South

Africa Business travellers with small to medium size companies would like to use

Low Cost Airlines. Daraban(2012) found that convergence has been taking place

between the competing LCC and FSC business models as labor Cost , yield and

airport Services are similar in nature. LCC revolution in the US airline industry still

continues and equilibrium may be emerged depending upon the response of the Full

ServiceAirlines. Pasari (2006) emphasised that there was huge demand potential

available in India for Low Cost Airlines as there were unfulfilled demand in the

country not unfulfilled by network airlines or Full Service airlines as growing middle

class would like to fly for a cheaper price. However, Low Cost Airlines have serious

limitation of punctuality i.e On Time Performance and poor service quality level.

Many studies used ATKM (Available Tonne Kilometre) as output measures of

Airlines operating performance (Schmidt and Sickles., 1984 ; Barla and Perelman.,

1989 ; Cornwall, Schmidt, and Sickles.,1990 ; Distexhe and Perelman., 1994 ; Good

et al., 1995 ; Oum and Yu .,1995 ; Baltagi, Griffin and Rich.,1995 ; Ahn, Good and

Rich ., 1995 ; Coelli et al.,1999; Barbot et al.,2008 ; Barros and Paypoch., 2009) as

the best measurement variable based on one or combination of inputs used (1) Labour

index (2) Materials (3) Energy (4) Capital reserves (5) Aircraft capacity (6) No of

Planes (7) Flight Equipment (8) Number of Employees (9) Fuel - Gallons consumed

(10) Operational Costs. Airlines Manager uses inputs, which are mostly discretionary

and within their command, to maximise the capacity available to the passengers for

their choice of Convenient time and frequency on the particular route. Duliba (2001)

found that number of departures and advertising expenses are considered to increase

the Load factor in US but in Jenatabadi (2006) study, Computerised system, shorter

average length, Private organisation and change in vehicle kilometre were having

influence on load factor in Iran. Cho (2007) confirms that operational factor such as

An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance In India

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 41 [email protected]

capacity have important effect on Load factor. Baltagi et al.,(1998) found that excess

capacity is a fundamental reason for losses in the US Airlines industry. Jenatabadi

(2014) observed that economic situation has strong effect on the internal operation

and performance of the Airlines and the indirect effect is more stronger than direct

effect by analyzing 214 Airlines that differs in operations.

Therefore, It is observed that Low Cost Airlines are gaining the momentum all

over the world and they have been showing better operational performance and excess

capacity be the most important contributor of Airlines losses. In India, Low Cost

Airlines operation is new phenomena which is stimulating the market in an

unprecedented way of attracting the passengers. They have able to gain market share

by deploying higher capacity and better capacity utilisation than Full Service Airlines.

However, many startup airlines ceased their operations in the last decade as they have

incurred huge financial losses due to several factors such as excess capacity in the

market, High Aircraft Turbine Fuel Cost, seasonal demand etc. From the extant

literature available on performance and business models studies, there was no study

done in India to compare the capacity performance of Low Cost and Full Service

Airlines business model. Therefore, this will be first study to provide the insights on

comparing operating capacity performance of both business models of the Airlines.

3. DATA COLLECTION

The data for the study was taken from Director General of Civil Aviation website

(www.dgca.nic.in) for the last 10 years available which is the compilation of the data

received from Airlines operator for the domestic operation services. The data was

collected for the 10 year period from 1.4.2005 to 31.03.2015. The operations of Indian

Airlines , Air India , Alliance Air, Jet Airways, Kingfisher Airlines and Paramount

Airways are classified as Full Service Airlines and other Airlines namely Air India

Express, Indigo , Spicejet, Go Airlines and Air Deccan are offering limited or basic

service to the passengers and classified as Low Cost Carriers. It is noted that Indian

Airlines, Air India, Alliance Air and Air India Express are Govt Owned Airlines and

Kingfisher, Air Deccan, Paramount Airways, Indigo, Spicejet, Go Airlines are

privately owned Airlines. During the study period, operations of Govt Owned Full

Service Airlines namely Air India and Indian Airlines have been merged as single

entity as Air India in 2007. Another Full service Airlines, Jet Airlines acquired Sahara

Airlines operations in 2007 which have been positioned as Full Service Airlines and

renamed as Jetlite as a Lowest Cost Carriers. Similarly, Full Service Airlines,

Kingfisher Airlines took over Low Cost Airlines, Air Deccan operations and merged

as single corporate entity in 2007. However, owing to heavy losses, Kingfisher

Airlines ceased its operations in 2012 as a combined entity. Paramount Airways, late

entrant to Full Service Airline category, started its operations in 2005 as regional

airline, but stopped its operations in 2010.

A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 42 [email protected]

4. DATA ANALYSIS

4.1. Capacity expansion of the Airlines market

Though Low Cost Airlines offered ATKM and ASKM capacity are lower than

Full Service Airlines as they have entered the market in 2003 but they have steadily

increased the unprecedented capacity in the market (annual ATKM growth – 47 %

and annual ASKM growth - 46.6 %). Full Service Airlines capacity growth is very

modest (ATKM 2.2 % annual growth and ASKM 1.2 % annual growth) as they have

not deployed more capacity in domestic market. However, Full Service Airlines have

flexibility to deploy more Aircraft capacity on international operations substantially

instead of domestic operations as Govt of India relaxed the flying rules to Foreign

countries by allowing Airlines having 20 Aircraft and 5 years experience in domestic

flying. The capacity offered in terms of ATKM and ASKM are output parameter of

(1) Aircraft fleet (2) Seating capacity (3) Aircraft flying hours (4) Short haul flying

operation. The comparison of Aircraft fleet (Table 1) indicates that Full Service

Airlines are able to increase the Aircraft fleet capacity modestly whereas Low Cost

Airlines have ordered quite large number of Aircraft for their operations aggressively

as they have forecasted Indian Market as having huge potential for air travel due to

(1) De-regulation of domestic operations (2) High GDP growth (3) Concentration of

Urban population (4) Low penetration of air travel market 0.05 trips per annum

compared to 2.02 trips per annum in US (5) Expansion of Middle Income Population.

2538 2955 3346 3485 3577 3721

4186 3273 3112 3089 948

1795 2632 2419 2546

3058 3846

4500 5059 5405

0

2000

4000

6000

Y 05-06 Y 06-07 Y 07-08 Y 08-09 Y 09-10 Y 10-11 Y 11-12 Y 12-13 Y 13-14 Y 14-15

ATKM - FSC VS LCC

Full Service Carrier Low Cost Carrier

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

Y 05-06 Y 06-07 Y 07-08 Y 08-09 Y 09-10 Y 10-11 Y 11-12 Y 12-13 Y 13-14 Y 14-15

FSC LCC

ASKM - FSC Vs LCC

An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance In India

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 43 [email protected]

Table 1 Comparison of Aircraft fleet of the Airlines

Month IC AI AIX CD Jet JL Idgo Sjet GO AD KF PM Tot

Y 05-06 55 38 4 15 53 29 0 5 3 29 11 1 243

Y 06-07 59 35 13 15 63 27 8 11 5 39 25 5 305

Y 07-08 72 23 18 20 81 25 17 19 6 41 41 5 368

Y 08-09 72 31 21 16 88 24 19 19 7 83 5 385

Y 09-10 76 33 25 17 88 25 25 20 8 66 0 383

Y 10-11 77 29 21 14 98 18 38 27 10 66 0 398

Y 11-12 94 21 11 103 19 55 40 12 0 0 355

Y 14-15 107 17 11 115 98 38 19 0 0 405

Source: DGCA, India & Websites

Among the Low Cost Airlines, Indigo Airlines capacity growth during the study

period is the highest among all the Airlines operating in the domestic market. Indigo

Airlines ordered 100 narrow body Aircraft at Paris Air show and received the delivery

as per planned schedule, which was major contributing factor for the massive capacity

augmentation of Low Cost Airlines business in the India market. Kapil Kaul of Center

for Asia Pacific Aviation (2012) said while “ IndiGo has increased weekly capacity

by over 30 per cent in a year, Jet Airways has been moderating its domestic capacity

growth over the last few years with capacity growth coming largely due to changes in

aircraft configuration, which increased more seats with the launch of Jet Konnect.

IndiGo has gone for a long-term expansion plan instead of getting swayed by short-

term changes in the market. That has paid off”. Similarly, Spicejet Airlines capacity

addition is consistent with the market requirement. Go Air capacity share growth was

the least among the airlines operating in the market.t it is also noted that Kingfisher

Airlines acquired aircraft at a steady pace including orders released by Air Deccan but

they were not able to sustain the operations as they have faced severe financial losses

and ceased their operation.

4.2. Capacity Share Dominance

Full Service Airlines have been dominating Indian market till the year 2003 as Low

Cost Airlines have no presence in the market and continue to lead over Low Cost

Airlines till 2011-12. But, within the span of 8 years in the business, Low Cost

Airlines are able to increase the capacity share both in terms of ATKM and ASKM i.e

from 2011-12 as they have added more Aircraft in their fleet. The sudden shift in

capacity happens as Full Service Airlines not able to increase the capacity growth due

to deployment of capacity in International market as compared to Low Cost Airlines.

Moreover, Jet Airways, after acquiring Sahara Airlines, converted into Low Cost

Airlines to take advantage of passenger trend in using Low Cost Airlines service.

A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 44 [email protected]

Table 2 Comparison of capacity share of Airlines Business Model

Year

Capacity Share in %

ATKM ASKM

FSC LCC FSC LCC

Y 05-06 73 27 72 28

Y 06-07 62 38 66 34

Y 07-08 56 44 60 40

Y 08-09 59 41 57 43

Y 09-10 58 42 56 44

Y 10-11 55 45 53 47

Y 11-12 52 48 48 52

Y 12-13 42 58 39 61

Y 13-14 38 62 35 65

Y 14-15 36 64 34 66

4.3. Capacity utilisation of Airlines Business Model

During the study period, Load factors of Full Service Airlines has been declining

from 2005-09 as a result of entry of Low Cost Airlines to reach to 56 % and gradually

rising to higher level to 70 % due to aggressively selling of their tickets at competitive

rates . In response to poor capacity utilisation, Full Service Airlines stopped adding

more capacity in the domestic market by retiring the fuel inefficient aircraft from the

fleet, As a result, the capacity utilisation of Full Service Airlines have been steadily

increased to reach 70 % in 2014-15. Low Cost Airlines was able to achieve higher

capacity utilisation than Full Service Airlines as result of low fares initially. However,

Low Cost Airlines capacity utilisation declined steadily till 2008-09 as they were not

able to maintain the lowest fares for long time as major input cost, Aircraft Turbine

Fuel were increasing in the market threatening the survival of the Airlines operations.

As a result, Low Cost Airlines calibrated the capacity growth along with decrease in

ATF cost, contributed to increase of capacity utilisation for another 2 years. The

economic recession along with increase in ATF cost during the period 2010-14

contributed for further reduction of capacity utilisation of Low Cost Airlines.

There is decline in load factor of both Full Service and Low cast Airlines from

2010 to 14 from the peak achieved in 2010-11 but the drop in percentage is higher in

case of Low Cost Airlines than Full Service Airlines. At the end of study period, Full

Service Airlines have been able to achieve higher capacity utilisation, matching with

Low Cost Airlines and the gap in the capacity utilisation is narrowing down between

Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines. The higher capacity utilisation of Full

65 64 62 56 59 63 62 61 63 70

72 68 71 64

75 79 74 72 70 76

40

90

Y 05-06 Y 06-07 Y 07-08 Y 08-09 Y 09-10 Y 10-11 Y 11-12 Y 12-13 Y 13-14 Y 14-15

LOAD FACTORS - FSC VS LCC

Full Service Carrier Low Cost Carrier

An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance In India

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 45 [email protected]

Service Airlines, could be aggressive marketing their service by offering competitive

fare matching the low cost Airlines with high service standards.

Both Full Service Airlines and Low Cost Airlines seat factors i.e Aircraft seat

capacity utilisation declined simultaneously for the period from 2005 to 2009 and

matched each other in the year 2009. Again, Full Service Airlines and Low Cost

Airlines seat factors increased from 2009 to higher level in 2011 and again declined

from 2011 to 2014. It is interesting to observe 2 factors (1) Low Cost Airlines seat

capacity utilisation is higher than Full Service Airlines during the study period.(2) At

the end of study period, Full Service Airlines seat capacity utilisation starts matching

with Low Cost Airlines. The entry of Low Cost Airlines in the market from the

beginning impacted the capacity utilisation of Full Service Airlines. The Low Cost

Airlines capacity utilisation decline during the beginning of the study period till FY

2008-09 was marginal but reduction was significant in 2008-09. Similarly, the

capacity utilisation of Full Service Airlines, dropped sharply to all time low of 52 % ,

as they were taken by surprise growth of Low Cost carrier (LCC) and could not fill

the capacity due to innovative marketing strategy of low promotion fares offered. The

capacity utilisation of Low Cost Airlines declined sharply to match with capacity

utilisation of Full Service Airlines in 2013-14. During the last year of the study period

2014-15, both Low Cost Airlines and Full Service Airlines have increased the

capacity utilisation but converging as compared to last several years. The decline in

capacity utilisation of both Full Service and Low Cost Airlines happened to coincide

with decline of passenger growth due to high increase of Aircraft Turbine fuel price

and global recession.

Table 3 Comparison of Passenger traffic of Business Model

Year Passenger fLown in ‘000 Growth In %

FSC LCC Total FSC LCC Total

Y 05-06 16878 8327 25205

Y 06-07 18148 17644 35793 8 112 42

Y 07-08 18439 25945 44384 2 47 24

Y 08-09 14432 22056 36488 -22 -15 -18

Y 09-10 16396 28869 45264 14 31 24

Y 10-11 18527 35315 53843 13 22 19

Y 11-12 21008 39829 60837 13 13 13

Y 12-13 21342 36218 57560 2 -9 -5

Y 13-14 22122 38466 60588 4 6 5

Y 14-15 24511 44195 68706 11 15 13

Source: DGCA, India

65 52

52

61 68

72 72 70 71 78

76 74 72 58

77 82 78 77 75 80

40

60

80

100

Y 05-06 Y 06-07 Y 07-08 Y 08-09 Y 09-10 Y 10-11 Y 11-12 Y 12-13 Y 13-14 Y 14-15

SEAT FACTORS - FSC VS LCC

SF_FSC SF_LCC

A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 46 [email protected]

5. DISCUSSIONS

The increase in capacity of the Low Cost Airlines can be attributed by adding (1)

Narrow Body Aircraft to the fleet to deploy flights on regional routes, which was not

catered by Full Service Airlines. (2) More seats per Aircraft in single configuration

rather than two class configuration, (3) Higher Aircraft Hours operations. The

stagnant growth of the capacity deployed by Full Service Airlines can be due to (1)

High operating cost including Aircraft Turbine Fuel (2) Global recession in the

market (3) Passenger preference to travel on low promotional fares (4) Lower

productivity on Aircraft utilisation and Labour.

The Low Cost airlines were able to fill the capacity by (1) Leisure traveller from

Non Metro cities (2) Business traveller of small and medium companies for their

business trips. These segment of passenger are generally middle income group and

expanding in the country. They were first time passengers who have been using rail

service for their travel needs and untapped demand for the Air travel. They are willing

to use Air service for transportation needs but they could not use it as travel cost

involved were very high. Low Cost Airlines innovative promotional low fare to attract

the first time passenger, helped middle income group and encouraged common people

to become travelling passengers on the flights. As ticket price of Low Cost Airlines

was low and comparable with rail fare, many passengers travelling on rail have

switched over to Low Cost airlines, for comfort and saving time even for short haul

distance upto 750 kms. It can be concluded that Passenger growth have been

increasing exponentially during the last 10 years in Indian market as Low Cost

Airlines were able to fulfil the demand not met by Full Service Airlines. This study

supports Pasari (2006) emphasis that there is huge demand potential available in India

for Low Cost Airlines as there are unfulfilled demand in the country not unfulfilled by

network airlines or full service airlines as growing middle class would like to fly for a

cheaper price.

Low Cost Airlines in India established that they have been performing better than

Full Service Airlines in adding Capacity and Utilisation of Capacity deployed. This

fact supported the findings of Asaaf (2012) that Low Cost Airlines are better

performer than most Full Service airlines. This is validated in Indian Market also. The

study provide ample evidence that LCC revolution continues in Indian Airlines

industry. As the competition is maturing, Full Service Airlines are able to match Load

Factor (FSC 70 % Vs LCC 76 % in 2015) and Seat factor (FSC 78% Vs LCC 80 % in

2015) of Low Cost Airlines. The result provides an interesting question on whether

Full Service Airlines will be able to maintain the Load Factor and Seat Factor in

future by offering similar fare on competitive routes.

Table 4 Fare Comparison between FSC and LCC

Delhi-Mumbai 1 week in advance 1 month in advance 3 months in advance Ave

rage

Airlines 6 AM -

Noon

Noon-6

PM

After 6

PM

6 AM

-Noon

Noon-6

PM

After

6 PM

6 AM -

Noon

Noon-6

PM

After

6 PM

Full

Service

Air India 4709 4709 4709 5006 5006 5006 2880 2880 2880 4198

Jet 3993 6257 5622 4141 4141 3538 4141 4141 4141 4457

Low

Cost

Indigo 6270 6483 6270 3863 3863 3409 2886 2886 2886 4313

Spicejet 5532 6484 5532 3363 3363 3363 2757 2757 2757 3990

GoAir 5743 5524 4938 3785 3785 3785 2771 2771 2771 3986

An Analysis on Domestic Airlines Capacity Performance In India

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 47 [email protected]

Delhi-Chennai 1 week in advance 1 month in advance 3 months in advance

Ave

rage

Airlines 6 AM -

Noon

Noon-6

PM

After

6 PM

6 AM-

Noon

Noon-6

PM

After 6

PM

6 AM -

Noon

Noon-6

PM

After 6

PM

Full

Service

Air India 5175 5175 5175 6645 6645 6645 4900 4900 4900 5573

Jet 4124 4124 4124 6821 6821 6218 4315 4315 4315 5020

Low Cost Indigo 5144 4170 4170 6238 6238 6238 4170 4170 4170 4968

Spicejet 4262 4262 4262 4950 4950 4950 4051 7701 7701 5232

Source: www.makemytrip.com data as on 18.11.2015.

The comparison of fares ( Table: 4 ) provides evidence that there is no much

difference between the fares between the Full Service and Low Cost Airlines for

ticket booked in 1 week advance, 1 month advance and 3 months advance for the

competitive sector, Delhi - Chennai and Delhi-Mumbai. Both Full Service and Low

Cost Airlines capacity utilisation are almost similar and offering competitive pricing

policy, the comparative analysis supports Daraban (2012) finding that convergence

has been taking place between the competing LCC and FSC business models in

Airlines market. The capacity growth (ATKM & ASKM ) and capacity utilisation(

Load Factors and Seat Factors ) of the state owned Airlines such as Indian Airlines,

Air India, Alliance Air and Air India Express have not been better than private

airlines such as Jet Airways , Indigo , Spicejet and Go Airlines. The analysis does not

support Backx (2002) finding that there was no relationship between ownership and

load factors. .

6. FINDINGS

The study analysis provides lot of insights of Airlines capacity growth and utilisation

and the findings are summarised as follows (1) The capacity growth and utilisation of

capacity of Low Cost Airlines is higher than Full Service Airlines during the study

period. (2) The gap between the capacity growth between Low Cost and Full Service

Airlines is widening as a result of the higher capacity augmentation by Low Cost

Airlines. (3) The gap between the capacity utilisation between Low Cost Airlines and

Full Service Airlines is narrowing down. The better capacity utilisation of the Full

Service Airlines during the study period puts interesting question on its ability to

match with Low Cost Airlines. (4) Full Service Airlines have been able to fight the

Low Cost Airlines by (a) Competitive Pricing Policy (b) Better Service quality and

Loyalty among business traveller. (5) Private Airlines capacity growth and utilisation

are better than Govt owned airlines.

7. CONCLUSION

The objective of the study was to understand insights on operating capacity

performance of both business models. The data analysis proves that capacity growth

and utilisation of capacity of Low Cost Airlines are higher than Full Service Airlines.

This analysis presents the interesting research question that Low Cost and Full

Service business model are converging in India and there is no significant difference

between the both business models in achieving the capacity utilisation. Another

question worth considering for further investigation is that there is significant

difference in service quality between Full Service and Low Cost Airlines as Full

Service Carrier is able to increase the capacity utilisation by offering the similar fare

A. Thirunavukkarasu and V. R. Nedunchezian

http://www.iaeme.com/IJM/index.asp 48 [email protected]

on competitive routes. The study findings stimulated the further interest on specific

areas of research. First, the gap between the capacity utilisation between Low Cost

Airlines and Full Service Airlines is marginal, which can lead to further investigation

that there is no difference between the both business models in achieving the capacity

utilisation. Secondly, there is non-tangible aspect of customer satisfaction involved in

the operating capacity performance that can be investigated i.e there is difference in

service quality between Full Service and Low Cost Airlines.

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