analysis of the 2002 census data

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Analysis of the 2002 Census Data National Bureau of Statistics Friday 2 nd February 2007

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Analysis of the 2002 Census Data

National Bureau of StatisticsFriday 2nd February 2007

Population Growth and Distribution

Population is an important resource for development.

It is a resource for labour supply for production as well as consumption of various products

Hence the size of a population is one of the important parameters for economic development

Growth of the population increase demands for food, water, energy and other natural resources

Tanzania Population Trends

12.3

17.5

23.1

34.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

1967 1978 1988 2002

Census Years

Popu

latio

n in

Mill

ions

Population Structure of Tanzania

Tanzania Total Percent of Total Population

Percent

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 90123456789

0-4

10-14

20-24

30-34

40-44

50-54

60-64

70-74

80+

Male Female

Population Structure of Tanzania

A population pyramid shows the total picture of a population by age and sex.

It is a useful way of illustrating the age structure of the population.

Tanzania population pyramid with a broad base indicating high fertility rates and mortality rates and a youthful age structure in Tanzania.

The proportion of population under 15 years was 44 percent

Population Structure of Tanzania

The working group (15-64) accounted for 52 percent

The proportion of population 65+ years was 4 percent

District Variations in terms of Population Growth Rate – 2002 Census

Districts with higher population growth rate:West (Urban West) - Zanzibar 9.2%Bukombe (Shinyanga) 7.4%Simanjiro (Manyara) 7.0%

Districts with lower population growth rateLindi Urban (Lindi) -0.1%Makete (Iringa) 0.2%Morogoro (Morogoro) 0.5%

District Variations in terms of Population Growth Rate – 2002 Census

Districts with lower population growth rate:

Rungwe (Mbeya) 0.9%

Newala (Mtwara 0.9%

The rest of the districts had a population growth rate between 1.0% to 6.9% per annum.

Marital Status

At national level: 2002 Population and Housing Census showed that 56 percent of males aged 15 years and above were currently married; two percent were widowed, one percent were divorced; two percent were separated

For females aged 15 years and above showed that 60 percent were married, 9 percent were widowed, 2 percent were divorced and 5 percent were separated

Marital Status

Analysis of Data by sex has shown that most of the widows/widowers were females.

Marital Status: District Variations

Incidence of WidowhoodDistrict with high number of

Widows/WidowersMakete 10.2%Bukoba Rural 8.0%Njombe 7.0%Dodoma Rural 6.7%

Marital Status: District Variations

The following districts had a lower number of Widows/widowers:Mbeya Urban (Mbeya) 0.9%West (Urban West) 1.9%Central (South Unguja) 2.4%Bukombe (Shinyanga) 2.4%

Survival of Parents

Census data showed that at national level one percent of population aged 0 to 17 years were orphans (both parents dead). Similar results obtained in 2004-05 -TDHS

Survival of Parents: District Variations

Districts with highest number of orphans (aged 10 – 17 years):Makete (Iringa) 4.6%Iringa Urban (Iringa) 3.8%Bukoba Rural (Kagera) 3.6%Kyela (Mbeya) 3.2%Rungwe (Mbeya) 3.2%

Survival of Parents: District Variations

Districts with lowest number of orphans:Micheweni (North Pemba) 0.1%North “A” (North Unguja) 0.2%Hanang (Manyara) 0.3%

Economic Activities

Main economic occupations were:Agriculture 70%Business operations 10%Elementary occupations more than 9%

Building Materials: Roofing and Wall Materials

The census results portrayed that iron sheets were the most commonly used as roofing materials for their houses, this accounts for 46.3 percent for all private households

Concerning wall materials census results showed that a significant proportion of households in Tanzania (34 percent) lived in the houses with mud and poles walls, followed by sun-dried bricks (33 percent)

Housing Conditions: District Variations

Districts whose household members used iron sheets or tiles for roofing by more than 90%:Nyamagana 98%Moshi Urban 98%Rombo 97%Arusha 97%Kinondoni 97%Mbeya Urban 96%

Housing Conditions: District Variations

Districts whose household members used iron sheets or tiles by less than 15%

Ngorongoro 9%Kishapu 12%Lindi Rural 13%Sumbawanga Rural 13%

Water scarcity is a problem of all ages: Universal access to Safe Water (Tanzania Development Vision 2025 : Goal)

Universal access to Safe Water

This is one of the Tanzania Development Vision 2025 goal

But what we have seen from the previous censuses was that, the proportion of the private households indicated piped water as the main source of drinking water was 34.4 percent slightly increased from 31.6 percent in 1988.

Universal access to Safe Water: District Variations

There were 69 districts whose households had access to safe and clean water by more than 50%. Best five districts were:Arusha (Arusha Region) 99%Urban ( Urban West Region 98%Nyamagana (Mwanza) 97%Mbeya Urban (Mbeya) 96%South Unguja 95%

Universal access to Safe Water: District Variations

Districts whose household members had less than 15% access to safe and clean waterUrambo (Tabora) 5%Igunga (Tabora) 9%Mkuranga (Pwani) 11%Uyui (Tabora) 11%Kishapu (Shinyanga) 13%

Main Source of Energy for Cooking

The 2002 Census data portrayed that firewood is the main source of energy for cooking in Tanzania (accounts for 77.4 percent of all private households, followed by charcoal (16.7 percent)

In the rural areas, 95.6 percent of the private households used fire wood as the main source of energy for cooking,

While in the urban areas the main source of energy for cooking is charcoal accounts for 53 percent of all private households

Environmental Degradation due to deforestation

Main Source of Energy for Lighting: District Variations

Districts whose household members used electricity for lighting by more than 50%

Moshi Urban 52%Urban (Urban – West in Zanzibar) 63%

Main Source of Energy for Lighting: District Variations

Five districts whose households used electricity for lighting by between 40% and 50%Ilala 49%Kinondoni 47%Iringa Urban 47%Arusha 41%Temeke 40%

Main Source of Energy for Lighting: District Variations

Some of the 21 districts whose households used electricity for lighting by below 1%.

Mbeya Rural Sumbawanga RuralUyuiBiharamuloKasulu

Toilet Facilities

At National Level: The 2002 Census results showed that; most commonly used toilet facility is traditional pit latrine86 percent of all private households reported to use pit latrine9 percent of all private households reported no toilet facilities in their houses

Toilet Facilities: District Variations

Districts which lacked toilet facilities by more than 50%Kiteto (Manyara) 50%Chake Chake (South Pemba) 52%Ngorongoro (Arusha) 54%North “A” (Unguja North) 58%Wete ( North Pemba) 63%Monduli (Arusha) 67%

Toilet Facilities: District Variations

Districts which lacked toilet facilities by more than 50%

Mkoani (South Pemba) 70%Micheweni (North Pemba) 83%

Fertility

Previous censuses portrayed a slightly decline of fertility in Tanzania from 1967 -2004

Trends in Fertility in Tanzania

6.6 6.96.5 6.3

5.7

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

1967 1978 1988 2002 2004-05TDHS

Tota

l Fer

tility

Rat

e

Trends in IMR and U5MR Using Census Data

137115

95

50

231

191

153

79

0

50

100

150

200

250

1978 1988 2002 2010

Years

Num

ber

of D

eath

s pe

r 1 ,

000

Live

Bir

ths

IMRU5MR

GOAL

Deaths per 1000 live births

141 and Below142 - 160Above 160

Cent ral 137 Urban 107

West 110

Nort h'B' 139

Nort h 'A' 187

Sout h 148

Wet e 156

Mkoani 158

Chake Chake 147

Micheweni 176

U5MR by District: Tanzania, 2002Deaths per 1000 live births

40 - 7980 - 153154 - 200201 - 250

Songea (R) 175

Singida ( R) 126

Ileje 146

Mpanda 164

Sumbawanga (R) 195

Nkasi 185

Mbozi 165

Sumbawanga (U) 138

Chunya 165

Urambo 139

Kigoma Rural 191

Sikonge 124

Uyui 141

Muf indi 160

Maket e 180

Kyela 172

Mbeya (R) 192

Rungwe 170

Mbinga 125

Ludewa 160

Njombe 166

Manyoni 165

Mbeya (U) 106

Mbarali 192

Dodoma (R) 239

Ir inga Rural 191

Kondoa 110 Tabora Urban 123

Kahama 127

Kasulu 109

Kigoma Urban 167

Kibondo 136

Bukombe 141

Biharamulo 153 Ngara 212

Karagwe 189 Bukoba (R) 204

Sengerema 127

Geit a 142

Muleba 182

Bukoba (U) 113

Kwimba 122 Maswa 146

Nzega 129 Igunga 134

Shinyanga (R) 145 Kishapu 147 Shinyanga (U) 113

Iramba 125

Singida (U) 108

Hanang 103

Meat u 172 Karat u 93

Mbulu 107

Ngorongoro 40

Magu 156 Ilemela 140

Missungwi 133

Nyamagana 100

Ukerewe 176

Tarime 207

Serenget i 181

Bariadi 178

Musoma (R) 191

Bunda 166

Musoma Urban 134

Temeke

Mvomero 148

Ulanga 156

Namt umbo 213 Songea (U) 162

Tunduru 212

Liwale 221

Mpwapwa 195

Kilombero 160

Ir inga Urban 133 Kilolo 170

Morogoro 209

Kilosa 166

Kilwa 217

Ruangwa 250

MASASI 225

Nachingwea 198 Mt wara (R) 231

Newala 197 Tandahimba 200

Lindi (R) 220

Mt wara (U) 146

Lindi (U) 159

Kisarawe 152

Ruf iji 158 Maf ia 176

Mkuranga 173

Bagamoyo 174

Simanjiro 57

Kit et o 167

Dodoma (U) 153 Kongwa 217

Morogoro Urban 123

Kilindi 179 Handeni 172

Arusha 55

Babat i 91

Monduli 48

Arumeru 58

Moshi (R) 57

Mwanga 68

Same 84

Hai 65

Moshi (U) 63

Rombo 73

Kinondoni 138 Kibaha 160

Pangani 173

Ilala 130

Tanga 118

Korogwe 192 Muheza 158

Lushot o 147

Lessons Learnt from the 2002 Population and Housing Census

The failings today are the learning’s tomorrow

The success of today are the lessons of tomorrow

Use Census Data for Quality and evidenced Planning

End

Thank you