analyst meeting - bangkok life · analyst meeting 3q/2015 performance update november 12th, 2015....
TRANSCRIPT
Analyst Meeting3Q/2015 Performance Update
November 12th, 2015
Outlines
• Production
• Investment
• Key Operating Highlight
2
PRODUCTION
4
FYP
RYP
TP
1,229 1,298 2,108 1,589 3,039
17,7716,7366,147 6,240
13,9135,805 5,398
26,501
25,117
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
(Million
Baht)
7,376 7,538 7,394
44,272
16,021
8,437
31,853
850 766 1,640 1,235 2,661
15,936
5,5363,256 2,425
10,640
2,943 2,498
17,584
16,081
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
3,1914,106
12,280
4,178
33,520
5,159
21,617
305 471 342 294 318 1,602 954
2,714 3,700 2,891 2,604 2,734
8,086 8,229
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
3,019
4,1713,233
9,688
2,898 3,052
9,183
Bancassurance Agent
All type
FYP Growth increased partly from low base last year RYP declined due to premium payment of products ended
5
First Year Premium Renewal Year Premium Total Premium
Bancassurance share 82% of FYP and 68% of TP
49%
14%
41%
82%
10%
4%
78%
33%
9%
64%
13%
3%
Agent Banc Others
71%
29%
17%
68%
13% 3%
6
3Q15 9M15 3Q15 3Q14 9M15 9M14
Regular Endowment 12.59 (61.36) 38.25 35.40 29.68 37.64
Whole Life (11.46) 25.49 54.76 64.43 63.96 29.66
Single Premium N.M. (90) 6.99 0.17 6.36 32.70
Total 4.19 (47.33) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
FYP (%Growth)Agent Channel
Proportion (%)
3Q15 9M15 3Q15 3Q14 9M15 9M14
Endowment 488.39 (71.79) 81.91 43.80 74.12 90.46
Credit Life 1.23 (6.63) 18.09 56.20 25.88 9.54
Total 214.58 (65.57) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
FYP (%Growth)Bancassurance
Proportion (%)
9M15 Wholelife Agent share remained over 60%Credit Life remained over 25%
7
3Q15 9M15 3Q15 3Q14 9M15 9M14
Endowment 384.93 (71.96) 76.05 38.79 65.87 87.34
Life Protection (2.49) 0.44 21.46 54.43 29.53 11.22
Group Employee (9.83) 23.83 1.98 5.42 3.90 1.18
Others (6.93) (1.67) 0.51 1.35 0.70 0.26
Total 147.34 (62.71) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
%GrowthFrist Year Premium
Proportion (%)
3Q15 9M15 3Q15 3Q14 9M15 9M14
Endowment 18.35 (32.25) 78.97 76.31 82.74 87.46
Life Protection 3.11 (1.16) 18.18 20.16 13.76 10.08
Group Employee (9.14) 1.80 2.40 3.02 3.16 2.22
Others 3.14 6.51 0.46 0.51 0.35 0.23
Total 14.37 (28.30) 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
%GrowthTotal Premium
Proportion (%)
FYP product mix was back on track with Life Protection 30% of TP
8
Target 2015 = 1,000 persons
Single LicensePersons
113
514521
77
559 513
7,5504,438
13,085
17,452
100
2,100
4,100
6,100
8,100
10,100
12,100
14,100
16,100
18,100
20,100
0
150
300
450
600
750
2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 9M15
TNQA IQA Active Agents Registered Agents
TNQA : Thailand National Quality Awards
IQA : International Quality Awards
Persons
Number of Agent was stagnant; FA continue to grow
No. of TNQA of Industry
Company 2014 2013 2012 2011
AIA 1,002 880 847 577
TLI 791 662 569 465
BLA 599 586 548 348
OLIC 450 435 380 395
KTAL 93 135 97 95
MTL 65 30 30 30
SCBLife 13 9 10 18
Industry 3,117 2,835 2,554 2,036
Unit: person
Persons
84 105 112 145 186 205253
298 320
482
730
853
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 9M15
91 92 92 90 91 90 92 94 94
8693 93
82
8890 90 89 90 91 91
93 9386
93 93
82
All Type
Ordinary
Ordinary (%) 9M15 2014 2013 2012
AIA 90 91 90 92
AZAY 87 87 88 87
KTAL 86 86 89 92
SCBLife 84 86 86 88
TLI 83 91 88 92
MTL 81 82 82 90
OLIC 75 80 75 84
Industry 84 87 88 90
All Type (%) 9M15 2014 2013 2012
AIA 86 87 86 88
AZAY 86 85 86 85
SCBLife 84 86 85 87
TLI 83 91 86 91
KTAL 83 86 88 90
MTL 81 82 82 90
OLIC 78 80 77 82
Industry 83 86 86 88
Premium collection rate dropped to 82% due to the premium payment of products ended
INVESTMENT
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Investment Assets Total Assets
9193
94 95 96 96 96 97 96
MB
5,092
44,410
Investment assets / Total assets
215,588
9M15 Total Asset continue to grow, increased by 27,000 MB to 242,447 MB
242,447
+5,735
+22,067
+30,563
+27,489
+42,697
+21,920
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
9M15
B/G Investments New Fund
2
9M15 Investment asset continue to grow by 22,000 MB , while ROI remained over 5%Asset Allocation moved more to Unit Trust at 4.08%
5.5 5.8 5.84.8
5.5 5.4 5.3
5.1 5.05.4
5.35.6 6.4 6.7
2.3
7.0 6.95.5
8.3
4.7
6.0
4.4
ROI
ROI -Accounting ROI -MTM equity
9M15Bond
52.96%
Short Term 1.92 %
Debenture 21.91%
Bank Deposit 5.56%
Unit Trust 4.08%
Loans 2.46%
Stocks 6.57%
Note 4.54%
230,560
Cap Gains
ROI
Dividend
Interest
ROI -Accounting ROI -MTM equity
5.19 6.28
6.62
4.45
4.81
5.08
5.30 6.73 4.32
4.80
5.43
3.08
6.59
4.42
9M15 Capital Gains push ROI to 5.30%
1,644 1,713 2,190 2,280 2,343
5,7436,813
278 69346 199 391
842
936
102 93
1,01680 54
560
1,149
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
KEY OPERATING HIGHLIGHT
5
Reserve Extra Reserve
67.43
42.80
66.10
40.30
56.72
76.7361.32
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
3Q15 Reserve/NP increased to 86% due to lower Bond yield curveExclude LAT Reserve > Reserve/NP would be 56.72%
98.2
86.46 86.1
71.0577.1
6
2.85
12.18
4.274.53
8.63
2.98
5.48
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
Maturity
+247% YoY
3Q15 Benefit Paid increased mainly from higher in Maturity and Surrender
Surrender
+46.82% YoY
12.28 12.16
8.55
18.93
15.72
5.28
12.86
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
- 5.00% QoQ+118% QoQ
%Net Premium %Net Premium
+31.74% YoY+74.46% YoY
7
6.77.0
3.2
7.8
6.9
3.4
5.2
0
2
4
6
8
10
200
600
1,000
1,400
1,800
2,200
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
Operating expenses % on Net Premium
OPEX/Net Premium still controllable
MB MB
Sp
re
ad
OP
EX
%
6.5 7.2 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.1 6.6 5.7 4.7 4.3 4.5 4.5 3.7
200
600
1,000
1,400
1,800
2,200
2,600
Operating expenses % on Net Premium
0
2
4
6
Q Q Q Q Q M M
Adjusted OPEX/Inv. Assets Net ROI % Spread
8
-879
2,279
767
1,846
-785
386
1,827
920
1,640
2,153
920
1,195
3,664
4,268
3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 9M14 9M15
Net Income Adjusted Net Income
Net profit decreased due to LAT reserve settled in 3Q15Exclude LAT reserve>>Net Profit would be 1,195 MB
3Q15 YoY QoQ
Net Income 10.69% (142.52%)
Adj Net Income 29.89% 29.89%
+373% YoY
+16.48% YoY
Return on Equity-14.55% -11.52%
1,101 MB
+300
+38
-188
-71
Interest
Income
Tax
Net Profit3Q2015
+10.69%
Dividend
&
Cap gains
Underwriting
ProfitOther
+17
ROE Comprehensive -4.54%
Extra reserve 2,284 MB
Adjusted net profit
1,194.8 MB
Separate financial statement Consolidated FS
-785 MB
-23.55%
Net Profit Movement - 3Q2015
-1 Net Profit3Q2014
-786 MB
Net Profit3Q2014
-879 MB
2
ROE
Adj ROE ROE
19,46522,264
25,579 25,279
9M15
1110
23 21 2119
Equity 9M15 slowed down due to unrealized loss on AFS securities and decrease in Net ProfitAdjusted ROE remained in line with normal rate
9.4 9.4 8.9 8.5 8.7 8.7
14.4
12.3
10.4 9.9 9.7 9.8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
Duration of Assests Duration of Liabilities
2
CAR declined to 309% as invested more in risky assets and dividend paid
Duration
268 244
409 407347
309
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
1Q15 2Q15 3Q15
%
years
Note: * Preliminary calculations
Market RankingJanuary - September 2015
2
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
MTL 23,952 27.86 0.10
AIA 11,242 13.08 9.11
TLI 10,845 12.62 21.15
SCB Life 10,546 12.27 (1.72)
KTAL 9,626 11.20 (5.99)
BLA 5,024 5.84 (68.61)
AZAY 3,253 3.78 2.11
PLT 3,215 3.74 (22.54)
FWD 3,006 3.50 56.71
OLIC 1,138 1.32 (28.76)
Industry 85,964 100.00 (8.32)
First Year Premium
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
AIA 73,736 21.93 5.10
MTL 60,337 17.95 14.35
TLI 45,281 13.47 7.46
SCBLife 37,646 11.20 17.23
KTAL 35,470 10.55 18.62
BLA 29,396 8.74 (29.56)
AZAY 17,646 5.25 6.65
FWD 10,321 3.07 16.82
PLT 9,537 2.84 10.45
OLIC 4,915 1.46 (4.43)
Industry 336,219 100.00 5.04
Total Premium
Source: The Thai Life Assurance Association (Incl. Single Premium)
Ordinary Premium 9M15: Rank 6th in FYP & TP with 5.84% and 8.74% market share accordingly
24
Source: The Thai Life Assurance Association (Incl. Single Premium)
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
MTL 27,774 22.63 1.37
AIA 19,050 15.52 1.21
SCBLife 14,770 12.04 2.60
KTAL 13,949 11.37 (2.43)
TLI 12,651 10.31 16.83
BLA 6,736 5.49 (62.09)
PLT 5,945 4.84 (11.62)
AZAY 4,397 3.58 (1.41)
FWD 3,941 3.21 37.79
OLIC 2,083 1.70 (23.01)
Industry 122,718 100.00 (5.88)
First Year Premium
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
AIA 84,119 21.52 3.98
MTL 65,664 16.80 14.25
TLI 45,973 11.76 7.11
SCBLife 42,747 10.94 15.90
KTAL 40,297 10.31 15.37
BLA 31,853 8.15 (28.05)
AZAY 20,506 5.25 6.85
PLT 12,463 3.19 10.29
FWD 11,337 2.90 15.32
OLIC 10,143 2.59 (3.63)
Industry 390,903 100.00 4.61
Total Premium
All Type Premium 9M15: Rank 6th in both FYP and TP with 5.49% and 8.15% market share accordingly
25
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
MTL 21,481 30.65 (0.06)
SCB Life 14,135 20.17 6.27
KTAL 8,797 12.55 (10.03)
BLA 5,525 7.88 (65.33)
PLT 5,447 7.77 (11.72)
TLI 3,556 5.07 24.93
FWD 3,079 4.39 47.77
DLA 2,205 3.15 31.36
AIA 1,859 2.65 (17.58)
AZAY 1,850 2.64 19.33
Industry 70,085 100.00 (11.63)
First Year Premium
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
MTL 47,580 27.69 15.68
SCBLife 38,106 22.18 19.45
KTAL 24,188 14.08 14.85
BLA 21,606 12.58 (35.54)
PLT 10,538 6.13 0.95
TLI 8,188 4.77 22.60
FWD 7,243 4.22 31.98
AZAY 5,971 3.48 14.99
AIA 2,899 1.69 (9.17)
ACE 2,205 1.28 102.71
Industry 171,804 100.00 4.39
Total Premium
Source: The Thai Life Assurance Association (Incl. Single Premium)
Bancassurance 9M15: Rank 4th in both FYP and TP with 7.88% and 12.58% market share accordingly
26
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
AIA 14,919 35.04 6.01
TLI 8,970 21.07 15.00
MTL 5,389 12.66 4.48
KTAL 4,044 9.50 13.89
SELIC 1,774 4.17 8.00
OLIC 1,503 3.53 (20.61)
AZAY 1,296 3.04 (8.41)
BLA 984 2.31 (39.50)
TSLI 564 1.33 55.99
SCB Life 551 1.29 (26.19)
Industry 42,579 100.00 6.24
First Year Premium
Company MB Share (%) % YoY
AIA 76,785 39.82 4.43
TLI 40,577 21.04 4.69
MTL 15,384 7.98 8.49
KTAL 14,884 7.72 17.13
AZAY 9,917 5.14 1.16
BLA 9,229 4.79 (5.02)
OLIC 8,840 4.58 (6.26)
FWD 3,446 1.79 (3.45)
SELIC 2,978 1.54 5.22
SCB Life 2,939 1.52 0.24
Industry 192,824 100.00 4.98
Total Premium
Source: The Thai Life Assurance Association (Incl. Single Premium)
Agent 9M15: Rank 8th in FYP with 2.31% market share and rank 6th in TP with 4.79% market share
27
Company MB Share (%) %YoY %FYP
SCBLife 4,172 16.60 18.51 28.25
KTAL 3,259 12.97 5.52 23.37
MTL 3,255 12.95 12.26 11.72
AIA 2,755 10.96 (19.70) 14.46
PLT 2,383 9.48 (2.32) 40.09
DLA 2,206 8.78 22.45 90.30
BLA 1,418 5.64 (6.65) 21.06
SELIC 1,282 5.10 4.72 55.90
TLI 1,244 4.95 (2.62) 9.84
TCLife 952 3.79 4.65 46.79
Industry 25,130 100.00 6.54 20.48
9M15
Source: The Thai Life Assurance Association
Company MB Share (%) %YoY %FYP
SCBLife 4,907 15.30 (33.83) 26.77
KTAL 4,527 14.12 32.61 23.24
AIA 4,241 13.22 (28.71) 16.19
MTL 4,171 13.01 12.58 11.82
PLT 3,120 9.73 19.29 35.26
DLA 2,568 8.01 1.96 81.92
BLA 1,996 6.22 8.84 10.47
TLI 1,769 5.51 15.58 11.87
SELIC 1,744 5.44 16.31 65.93
TCLife 1,165 3.63 25.53 32.40
Industry 32,068 100.00 7.01 18.79
2014
Rank 7th in Credit Life (SP) with 5.64% market share
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