andrew maynard: where do we go from here?
DESCRIPTION
The second installment in the Contemporary Arts Center's 'Where Do We Go From Here?' speaker series featured renegade scientist-slash-communicator extraordinaire Dr. Andrew Maynard. The go-to guy for governments and international research institutions alike, Maynard is a scientist with a self-described unhealthy interest in the dark side: "I used to be a bona fide research scientist, but a few years back I entered the alternative reality of science policy and communication. Under the delusion that 'science,' 'policy' and 'communication' are not mutually exclusive, I’ve spent the past few years trying to make sense of what happens when all three come together." ABOUT ANDREW MAYNARD: When not writing and talking about science and technology as the author of '2020 Science' (http://2020science.org/about), he directs the University of Michigan's School of Public Health, Risk Science Center (http://www.sph.umich.edu/riskcenter). ABOUT THE SERIES: Borrowing from one of this year's exhibition titles ('Where Do We Go From Here?' http://contemporaryartscenter.org/Jumex), we have invited global game-changers of all kinds to the Contemporary Arts Center to answer one question: Where do we go from here? No other rules. Each one is different and each one gets you thinking. Only one thing guaranteed: great conversation. This is what contemporary art can do. This is where the curious come out to play. Dhani Jones - Friday, November 19, 2010 Andrew Maynard - Saturday, December 11, 2010 Femme Den - Monday, January 24, 2011 Michael Edson- Monday, March 7, 2011TRANSCRIPT
...and the Art of Technology Innovation
Small Gods...
Andrew D. MaynardDirector, Risk Science Center
University of Michigan School of Public Health
Cincinnati Contemporary Arts Center, December 11 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
“The future's not set. There's no fate but what we make for ourselves”
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
“The future's not set. There's no fate but what we make for ourselves”
John Connor, Terminator 2: Judgement Day, 1991
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
!@#$
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk: The likelihood of adverse consequences arising from actions or events
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Cause
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Cause Effect
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Cause EffectGood
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Action
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Action Consequences
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision Ramifications
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision RamificationsConstructive
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision RamificationsConstructive
Destructive
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision RamificationsConstructive
Destructive
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision RamificationsConstructive
Destructive
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful(Inaction)
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Decision RamificationsConstructive
Destructive(Indecision)
Action ConsequencesBeneficial
Harmful(Inaction)
Cause EffectGood
Bad
Risk: Deconstructed
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The Eruption of Mt. Vesuvius. Pierre-Jacques Volaire, 1777
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sheffield, circa 1874. Source: LIFE
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
December 3, 1984: Victims on a Bhopal street
PRAKASH HATVALNE/AP
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Felice C. Frankel and George M. WhitesidesNo Small Matter: Science on the Nanoscale
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Phantoms…Faced with something unfamiliar, we are simultaneously curious and afraid. To remind us to be careful, we construct things that go bump in the night—phantoms, trolls, chain-saw movies.
This field of shimmering light, with unrecognizeable shapes inside, could be anything; best to assume it’s dangerous! (It is, in fact, a fountain playing over rocks; but no matter.) We treat new technologies in the same way. At the beginnig, they are all dangerous: fire, the book, steam engines, genetically engineered bacteria, nanotechnology. But with enough familiarity, we ignore even truly dangerous ones—nuclear weapons, ubiquitous surveillance, smoking, drinking, the sports channel on TV.
Felice C. Frankel and George M. WhitesidesNo Small Matter: Science on the Nanoscale
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Last Century’s Risk challenge:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Last Century’s Risk challenge:
How do we prevent human instincts causing more harm than good in a technology-driven world?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Science:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Science:
Observation, prediction,
testing and re-evaluation
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Science:
Evidence-based decisions and actions
Observation, prediction,
testing and re-evaluation
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Science:
Evidence-based decisions and actions
Observation, prediction,
testing and re-evaluation
Independent and self-correcting
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Science:
Evidence-based decisions and actions
Observation, prediction,
testing and re-evaluation
Independent and self-correcting
Science takes
the instinct
out of what we do
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Science that supports evidence-informed approaches to risk
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Science that supports evidence-informed approaches to risk
A systematic approach to evaluating and addressing risk
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Science that supports evidence-informed approaches to risk
A systematic approach to evaluating and addressing risk
A means of separating risk-related decisions and actions from potentially harmful instinctive responses
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Science that supports evidence-informed approaches to risk
A systematic approach to evaluating and addressing risk
A means of separating risk-related decisions and actions from potentially harmful instinctive responses
But is this eno
ugh?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science: In the 21st Century
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Coupling
In the 21st Century
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Coupling
Communication
In the 21st Century
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Risk Science:
Coupling
Communication
Control
In the 21st Century
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Coupling
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Estimated change in sea surface acidity caused between the 1700s and the 1990s
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:WOA05_GLODAP_del_pH_AYool.png
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The Colorado river running through Marble Canyon
http://www.flickr.com/photos/77145662@N00/5014081890/
Photo: Andy Gupta
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
http://www.flickr.com/photos/rotia/619256949/sizes/o/in/photostream/
Aitor
Esc
auriaz
a
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Communication
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
http://www.neuroproductions.be/
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
One week’s Twitter conversations initiated by @boraz (Bora Zivkovic)
http://socialcollider.net/
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Last of 33 Chilean miners to be rescued. Washington Post
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Control
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Keith DW. 2010. Photophoretic levitation of engineered aerosols for geoengineering. PNAS 107(38): 16429-31.
Al2O3
AlBaTiO3
Photophoretic levitation
Gravitational alignment
Reflected sunlight
50 nm
10 µm
Hyp
oth
etic
al m
ater
ial
Geoengineering
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Martin Philbert and Raoul Kopelman
Nanomedicine
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
J. Craig Venter Institute
Mycoplasma mycoides JCVI-syn1
Gibson DG, Glass JI, Lartigue C, Noskov VN, Chuang R-Y, Algire MA, et al. 2010. Creation of a Bacterial Cell Controlled by a Chemically Synthesized Genome.
Science 329(5987): 52-56.
Synthetic biology
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Concept: Drew EndyTuesday, December 21, 2010
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew EndyTuesday, December 21, 2010
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Sequencing
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Re-arrange
Sequencing
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Re-arrange Write
Sequencing
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Re-arrange Write Debug
Sequencing
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Natural Selection Breeding Biotechnology
DNA PHYSICAL DOMAIN
DIGITAL CODE DIGITAL DOMAIN
Re-arrange Write Debug
Sequencing Synthesis
Concept: Drew Endy
Information Flow
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Bayley H. 2010. Nanotechnology: Holes with an edge. Nature 467(7312): 164-165.
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
1988 - 2001
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years1988 - 2001
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
1988 - 2001
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
1988 - 2001 2007
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
2 months1988 - 2001 2007
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
2 months1988 - 2001 2007
The near future?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
2 months1988 - 2001 2007 2013
The near future?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Sequencing the Human Genome
Human Genome Project
13 years
James Watson
2 months1988 - 2001 2007
3 minutes2013
The near future?
Science 291:5507, pp. 1304-1351, 2001. doi: 10.1126/science.1058040
Nature, 1 June 2007. doi:10.1038/news070528-10
Nature, 6 February 2009. doi:10.1038/news.2009.86
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Coupling
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Coupling
Communication
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Coupling
Communication
Control
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Coupling
Communication
Control
?Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies:
Bio-constructionViruses programmed to build new materials
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies: Synthetic biology
Digitally designing “life” and downloading it into reality
Bio-constructionViruses programmed to build new materials
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies: Synthetic biology
Digitally designing “life” and downloading it into reality
GeoengineeringPlanet-wide climate intervention
Bio-constructionViruses programmed to build new materials
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies: Synthetic biology
Digitally designing “life” and downloading it into reality
GeoengineeringPlanet-wide climate intervention
Bio-constructionViruses programmed to build new materials
Machine-human interfaces
Better-than-human?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Five Pressure-Point Technologies: Synthetic biology
Digitally designing “life” and downloading it into reality
GeoengineeringPlanet-wide climate intervention
Bio-constructionViruses programmed to build new materials
Machine-human interfaces
Better-than-human?Cognitive enhancersDesigner drugs for aspiring high achievers
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The 20th century Risk challenge:
How do we prevent human instincts causing more harm than good in a technologically complex world?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The 21st century Risk challenge:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The 21st century Risk challenge:
How do we ensure evidence-informed, socially-responsive and proactive risk-decisions in a highly complex, interconnected and interdependent world?
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Drivers of change:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Complexity: Agents of harm are increasingly complex, and innovation cycle so fast that established linear, reactive approaches to addressing risk are failing
Drivers of change:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Complexity: Agents of harm are increasingly complex, and innovation cycle so fast that established linear, reactive approaches to addressing risk are failing
Interconnectedness: Increasingly complex local and global relationships between decisions and their ramifications
Drivers of change:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Complexity: Agents of harm are increasingly complex, and innovation cycle so fast that established linear, reactive approaches to addressing risk are failing
Interconnectedness: Increasingly complex local and global relationships between decisions and their ramifications
Distributed decision-making: Non-traditional decision-influencers and decision-makers are becoming increasingly influential, including citizens
Drivers of change:
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy. Douglas Adams. BBC, 1981
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy. Douglas Adams. BBC, 1981
Tuesday, December 21, 2010
Andrew D. MaynardDirector, Risk Science Center
University of Michigan School of Public Health1415 Washington Heights
SPH I Room 1792Ann Arbor, MI 48109
Email: [email protected]
Contact: Hilda McDonald, Tel: 734-615-3050, Email: [email protected]
Risk Science Center: http://umriskcenter.orgBlog: http://2020science.org
Twitter: http://twitter.com/2020science
Tuesday, December 21, 2010