anglo american a world of difference
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ANGLO AMERICAN A WORLD OF DIFFERENCE. 5 August 2004. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
2004 Interim Results
This presentation is being made only to and is directed only at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001 (the “Order”) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.
ANGLO AMERICANA WORLD OF DIFFERENCE
5 August 2004
2004 Interim Results2
Highlights
Record H1: - Earnings up 52% at $1,304m
- EPS up 49% at 91c per share
EBITDA up by $1bn to $3,433m
Record performances from Base and Ferrous Metals
Cost cutting and efficiencies of $248m (2003:$127m)
Interim dividend up 27% at 19c per share
2004 Interim Results3
Headline earnings by business unit
5%
17%
11%
35%
11%16%
17%
9%
Platinum Gold Diamonds Coal Base Metals
Industrial Minerals Paper & Packaging Ferrous & Industries
10%
7% 13%
29%
13%
5%
24%*
13%
H1 2003 H1 2004
*NB:Headline earnings for Paper and Packaging have been adjusted for the 6 months ended 30 June 2003 as net interest for wholly owned operations in Paper and Packaging is now accounted for centrally within Corporate Activities
2004 Interim Results4
15%
29%41%
15%
Geographic headline earnings mix
H1 2004
Europe South Africa
Americas Rest of World
H1 2003
30%
30%12%
28%
2004 Interim Results5
$2,377$2,237
$2,444
$3,433
H1 2001 H1 2002 H1 2003 H1 2004
Strong cash generation into 2004
EBITDA – up 40%
2004 Interim Results6
-6.0
-4.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
%
The economic cycle - where are we?
OECD industrial production
Source: MSU
2004 Interim Results7
55
555
1055
1555
2055
2555
3055
3555
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Falling inventories, rising prices
Total LME inventories & MG base metals index
Source: UBS
LME inventories (kt)
MG base metals
Nickel, Aluminium, Copper LME inventoriesMG Base Metal Index Cash – Price Index
MG base metals
LME inventories (kt)
2004 Interim Results8
H1:Robust commodity prices
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul
* API4 FOB Richards Bay Source: MSU
H1 2004
H1 2003
Coal *
Copper
Platinum
Zinc
Gold
2004 Interim Results9
Strategy for growth
Growth through projects
Growth through acquisitions
Value from cost cutting and efficiencies
2004 Interim Results10
2004 2005 2006 2007
Siguri$52m
Finsch$130m
Buxton$173m
RPM Ph 1$210m
W.L. Tailings$186m
Mponeng$191m
Grasstree$106m
TauTona$52m
PMR Expan.$99m
Kleinkopje$56m
Isibonelo $65m
Dartbrook$55m
Black Mtn$110m
Ruzomberok$233m
Richards Bay$235m
Merebank$150m
Ticor 2$54m
RPM Ph 2$444m
Skorpion$454m
ACP Project$250m BRPM
$317m
HBMS 777$276mCollahuasi
$288m
Cerrejón$17mCopebras
$22m
Approved $6bn project portfolio
Chagres$21m
Anglo Platinum AngloGold AshantiDiamonds Coal Base Metals Industrial Minerals Paper & Packaging Ferrous Metals
Ticor 1$137m
El Soldado$80m
Twickenham$343m
Kroondal$138m
Unki$84m
Selected major authorised projects. 100% of subsidiaries and AA plc’s share of JV’s and associates. Full production dates.
2004 Interim Results11
Quellaveco Copper (Peru)
Barro Alto Nickel (Brazil)
Hope Downs* Iron ore (Australia)
Morro Sem BoneNickel (Brazil)
Western Complex
Gamsberg Zinc
Sishen South Iron ore
Obuasi Deeps (Ghana)
Pandora
Los Bronces expansionCopper (Chile)
Collahuasi expansionCopper (Chile)
Dawson Valley (Australia)
Sishen ExpansionIron ore
Lake Lindsay (Australia)
$2.0bnSouth Africa
$2.5bnSouth America
$2.6bnRest of the World
Longer term unapproved project portfolio
Anglo Platinum AngloGold AshantiDiamonds Coal Base Metals Industrial Minerals Paper & Packaging Ferrous Metals
Snap Lake (Canada)
*It is anticipated that final Kumba Board approval to proceed will be sought before the end of the year
2004 Interim Results12
Actively managing the asset base
• Mining acquisitions for cash at current
stage in the cycle unlikely
• But opportunities in IMD/Paper &
Packaging:
– Acquisition of Frantschach minority
• Sale of Gold Fields stake ($1.18bn)
1.3
0.9
Acquisitions Disposals
H1 cash acquisitions and disposals ($bn)
2004 Interim Results13
$4m $10m$3m $22m$1m
$40m
$116m
$52m
Procurement Operating efficiencies
Maintenance Admin & overhead Labour Materials & supplies
Cost savings and efficiency improvements: $248m
$188m
$60m
2004 Interim Results
REVIEW OF FINANCIALS
Tony Lea
2004 Interim Results15
Headline earnings
$m H1 ’04 H1 ’03
Profit for the financial period 1,709 760
Exceptional items (535) 7
Amortisation of goodwill 112 98
Related tax & minority interests 18 (9)
Headline earnings for the financial period 1,304 856
EPS (cents per share) 91 61
DPS (cents per share) 19 15
125%
%ch
52%
49%
27%
2004 Interim Results16
Headline earnings variances
(40)(31)
(105) (20)(53)
(216)
866
(28)
856
1,30475
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
H1 2003 Price Exchange Inflation Volume Cashcost
Non-cashcost
Interest DBI Structural& Other
H1 2004
$m
2004 Interim Results17
Headline variance: Exchange
(3)
5(35)
7
(36)
(37)
(100)
(216)(17)(250)
(200)
(150)
(100)
(50)
-Platinum
BaseMetals Gold Coal
Corporate &Exploration
Ferrous &Industries
IndustrialMinerals
Paper &Packaging Total
Group total = -$216m
$m
2004 Interim Results18
Headline variance: Price
509
86682
120
15
(71)172
39
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Base Metals Platinum Coal Ferrous &Industries
Gold IndustrialMinerals
Paper &Packaging
Total
Group total = +$866m$m
2004 Interim Results19
$m 30/06/2004 31/12/2003
Shareholders’ Funds 22,531 19,772
Net Debt:
South Africa 2,702 3,145
Rest of World 6,028 8,730 5,488 8,633
Minority Interests 4,160 3,396
Total Capital 35,421 31,801
Net Debt/Total Capital 24.6% 27.1%
ROCE 13.7% 10.7%
EBITDA/Total Capital 20.4% 17.3%
Balance sheet
2004 Interim Results20
H1 ‘04 H1 ‘03
EBITDA 3,433 2,444
Share of EBITDA of JVs & associates (938) (800)
Increase in working capital (467) (375)
Provisions & other non cash 47 17
Operating cash flow 2,075 1,286
Dividends from JVs & associates 147 203 Operating cash flow including
dividends from JVs & associates 2,222 1,489
Net interest & other dividend income (140) (75)
Taxation (246) (413)
Disposal of fixed assets 56 40
Available cash flow 1,892 1,041
Dividends paid - company & minorities (686) (739)
Net acquisitions & disposals 618 (315)
Capital expenditure - maintenance (673) (547)
- expansionary (724) (625)
427 (1,185)
Other (524) (226)
Increase in net debt (97) (1,411)
Cash flow analysis
2004 Interim Results
REVIEW OF OPERATIONS
Tony Trahar
2004 Interim Results22
Highlights – Base Metals
• Higher prices, acquisitions and new projects boost performance
• Minera Sur Andes contributes $194m
• Commissioning of Collahuasi Rosario project ($654m) ahead of schedule and under budget
• Skorpion at 85% of design capacity - full production set for end 2004
• ROCE (annualised) of 23.5% 60
455
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings up 658% ($m)
2004 Interim Results23
Highlights – Paper and Packaging
• European markets impacted by strong Euro and slower growth
• Bauernfeind (€344m) and Frantschach minority (€320m) acquired
• Structure: creation of single global UCWF and packaging businesses
• Ruzomberok and Mondi SA expansions on track and within budget
• Previous reporting basis 2004: headline earnings of $174m (H1 2003: $178m*)
205*
226
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings up 10% ($m)
*NB:Headline earnings for Paper and Packaging have been adjusted for the 6 months ended 30 June 2003 as net interest for wholly owned operations in Paper and Packaging is now accounted for centrally within Corporate Archives
2004 Interim Results24
Highlights – Diamonds
• Solid performance from De Beers
• DTC sales of $2.98bn up 2%
• Operating cashflow of $870m
• Net Debt (including preference shares) reduced by 34% to $1,169bn
• Preference share redemption of $175m
• US Department of Justice settlement in July
248
217
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings down 13% ($m)
2004 Interim Results25
Highlights – Ferrous Metals and Industries
• Improved prices for iron ore, steel, manganese, ferrochrome and vanadium
• Strong performances from Highveld, Scaw and Samancor; improved results from Boart and Terra
• First fully consolidated contribution from Kumba
• Kumba: attractive iron ore growth opportunities
41
207
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings up 405% ($m)
2004 Interim Results26
Highlights – Coal
• South African & South American earnings up significantly (+116%)
• Australian earnings impacted by– A$ strength– Moranbah – production resumption in H2
• H2 realised prices higher than H1
• Proposed Western Complex joint venture announced in May 2004
• Drilling commenced on Xiwan Lease Area (China) on 1 July 2004
107
147
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings up 37% ($m)
2004 Interim Results27
Highlights – Platinum
• Revenues increased due to higher
prices and greater sales volumes
• Platinum production up 26.6% at
1.16m oz (excluding pipeline
movements, up 7.8%)
• Cost initiatives gain momentum
• Target of 2.45m oz in 2004 remains
on track
107
139
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings up 30% ($m)
2004 Interim Results28
Highlights – Industrial Minerals
• Solid performance despite difficult UK markets
• Strengthening market conditions in Czech Republic and Poland
• Copebrás operating profit doubled due to market strength and contribution from new Goiás plant
• New Buxton cement plant (UK) operating at capacity
113 114
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings stable ($m)
2004 Interim Results29
Highlights – Gold
• Lower earnings on the back of strong
rand and lower production at Morila
• Cash costs of $260/oz
• AngloGold Ashanti transaction
completed in April - integration of
assets progressing well
• Acquisition of 29.9% stake in Trans-
Siberian Gold
82
66
H1 '03 H1 '04
Headline earnings down 20% ($m)
2004 Interim Results30
Outlook
Positive global environment for commodities
US/Japan GDP growth encouraging
China set for soft landing?
European growth remains sluggish
Anglo’s product and geographic diversity
to underpin performance
2004 Interim Results
This presentation is being made only to and is directed only at (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001 (the “Order”) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this presentation or any of its contents.
ANGLO AMERICANADDING VALUE TO
NATURAL RESOURCES5 August 2004
2004 Interim Results
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
Handout only
2004 Interim Results33
Key Dates
• Currency Conversion
• Ex-dividend (JSE)
• Ex-dividend (LSE)
• Record date
• Payment of Interim Dividend
• Annual Results
2 August 2004
16 August 2004
18 August 2004
20 August 2004
21 September 2004
23 February 2005
2004 Interim Results34
Market Prices
$m H1 ‘04 H1 ‘03
Gold 401 349
Platinum 850 654
Palladium 248 207
Rhodium 696 557
Copper 125 75
Nickel 619 379
Zinc 48 35
Coal: thermal (RSA - API 4 index average) 49.15 25.75
2004 Interim Results35
US$m
10% change in gold price ± 3610% change in platinum price ± 5110% change in palladium price ± 710% change in coal price ± 8110% change in copper price ± 7710% change in nickel price ± 910% change in zinc price ± 2010% change in pulp price ± 410% movement in SA rand/US$ ± 24910% movement in AUD/US$ ± 2910% movement in Euro/US$ ± 1410% movement in £/US$ ± 17
Headline Earnings Sensitivities
Estimated sensitivities represent 6 month outlook. Excludes the effect of any hedging activities. Stated after tax at marginal rate. Pulp sensitivity depends on recoveries.
2004 Interim Results36
Projects
1 Gold incremental production is total additional capacity over life of project. Capex converted to US$ on date of project approval.2 Nominal.3 Incremental production is a per year amount once full production is reached. Capex converted at date of project approval.
Gold Life of mine Production Full ApprovedApproved production1 commences prod. capex $m2
Mponeng 4.8m oz 2004 2007 191
TauTona - Expansion project 0.5m oz 2004 2006 52
TauTona - VCR A & Pillar & CLR <120L 2.4m oz 2005 2010 117
Moab Khotsong 4.9m oz 2003 2011 690
Siguri - CIP project 2.1m oz 2005 52
Total 14.7m oz 1,102
Industrial Minerals Total additional Production Full ApprovedApproved production3 commences prod. capex $m
Buxton Cement Plant 500,000 t 2004 2004 173
Copebras 121,000 t 2005 2005 22
Total 195
2004 Interim Results37
Projects
1 Incremental production is a per year amount once full production is reached.2 Capex converted at date of project approval.3 Replacement ounces.
Platinum Total additional Full ApprovedApproved production1 prod. capex $m2
ACP Convertor Phase 1 2004 250
PMR Plant Expansion 2005 121
Rustenburg UG2 Phase 1 360,000 oz 2007 210
Bafokeng Rasimone Mine (BRPM) 250,000 oz 2005 317
W. Limb Tailings Retreatment 120,000 oz 2008 186
Rustenburg UG2 Phase 23 306,000 oz 2009 444
Twickenham 160,000 oz 2009 343
Kroondal 280,000 oz 2006 138
Unki 58,000 oz 2008 84
Total 2,093
Meet expansion
2004 Interim Results38
Projects
1 Incremental production is a per year amount once full production is reached. Capex converted at date of project approval. 2 To maintain & expand production levels at German Creek & Dartbrook. Incremental tonnes - German Creek (1.6m tpa) & Dartbrook (0.9m tpa).3 Extends HBMS life to 2018.4 Extends El Soldado life to 2027
Coal Total additional Production Full ApprovedApproved production1 commences prod. capex $m2
Kleinkopje Expansion 1.3m tpa 2004 2004 56Greenside Expansion 1.0m tpa 2003 2004 17Cerrejón 2.0m tpa 2005 2007 17Isibonelo 5.0m tpa 2005 2006 65German Creek - Capcoal (Grasstree)2 3.9m tpa 2006 2006 106Dartbrook (Kayuga) 3.7m tpa 2004 2004 55Total 16.9m tpa 316
Base Metals Total additional Production Full ApprovedApproved production commences prod. capex $m
HBMS 777 Project3 2003 2004 276Black Mountain Deeps 2004 2006 110Collahuasi Rosario Project 2004 2004 288Skorpion 150,000 t Zn 2003 2004 454El Soldado pit extension4 2008 2008 80Codemin II 4,000 t Ni 2005 2005 67Total 1,275
2004 Interim Results39
Projects
1 Incremental production is a per year amount once full production is reached. Capex converted at date of project approval. 2 Made up of 20,000t pulp and 10,000t paper.3 60,000 t increase in cut size capacity plus 16,000t additional production of UCWF paper.
Paper and Packaging Total additionalProduction FullApprovedApproved production1 commences prod.capex $m1
Ruzomberok: Pulp Mill 105,000 t 2004 2005 129
Ruzomberok: PM18 Expansion 100,000 t 2003 2004 104
Richards Bay: BEKP Line 145,000 t 2004 2005 235
Merebank: PM31 Rebuild 160,000 t 2005 2006 150
Total 618
Total convertingProduction FullApprovedApproved capacity3 commences prod.capex $m
Ybbstal: Flex 05 60,000 t³ 2004 2005 51
Total 51
2004 Interim Results40
Projects
1 Total additional production shown for the life of the project. Shown on a 100% basis.2 Approved capex is AA plc’s effective attributable share (48.65%).
Diamonds Total additional Production Full ApprovedCurrent projects production1 commences prod. capex $m2
Finsch Block 4 17m carats 2004 2006 130
BB1E Cullinan 5m carats 2004 2007 12
Elizabeth Bay Upgrade 2m carats 2004 2004 27
Total 24m carats 169
Estimated
Under review / awaiting approval capex $m2
C-Cut Cullinan 97m carats 2009 2014 473
C-Cut BA West Lower Cullinan 18m carats 2009 2012 45
Finsch Block 5 16m carats 2009 2010 180
Finsch Plant Upgrade 2m carats 2006 2007 32
Snap Lake 19m carats 2007 2008 282
Victor 6m carats 2008 2008 321
Total 158m carats 1,333
2004 Interim Results41
Projects
1 Incremental production is a per year amount once full production is reached. Capex converted at date of project approval.
Ferrous Metals and IndustriesTotal additional Production Full Approved
Approved production1 commences prod. capex $m1
Sishen – up current classifier 1 000 ktpa 2004 2004 13
Ticor: Mineral Sands Furnace 1 125 kt slag 2003 2006 137
Ticor: Mineral Sands Furnace 2 125 kt slag 2003 2007 54
Total 204
EstimatedAwaiting approval capex $m
Hope Downs 25 mtpa Sishen Expansion 10 mtpa - Sishen South 9 mtpa 300
2004 Interim Results42
Analysis of Headline Earnings
$m H1 ‘04 H1 ‘03
Platinum 139 107
Gold 66 82
Diamonds 217 248
Coal 147 107
Base Metals 455 60
Industrial Minerals 114 113
Paper and Packaging¹ 226 205
Ferrous Metals 207 41
Exploration (42) (39)
Corporate Activities¹² (225) (68)
Headline Earnings 1,304 856
¹Headline earnings for Paper and Packaging have been adjusted for the 6 months ended 30 June 2003 as net interest for wholly owned operations in Paper and Packaging is now accounted for centrally within Corporate Activities² Includes Gold Fields
2004 Interim Results43
Analysis of Operating Profit
$m H1 ‘04 H1 ‘03
Platinum 320 204
Gold 133 180
Diamonds 350 378
Coal 196 172
Base Metals 565 98
Industrial Minerals 145 136
Paper and Packaging 320 357
Ferrous Metals and Industries 387 104
Exploration (56) (50)
Corporate Activities1 (112) (45)
Operating Profit2 2,248 1,534
1 includes Gold Fields.2 after operating exceptional items.
2004 Interim Results44
Capital Expenditure
$m H1 ‘04 H1 ‘03
Platinum 292 394
Gold 227 117
Coal 64 74
Base Metals 127 155
Industrial Minerals 127 136
Paper and Packaging 409 233
Ferrous Metals and Industries 144 59
Other 7 4
Total 1,397 1,172
2004 Interim Results45
Headline variance: Volume
Group total = +$75m
5
37
75
14
27
(17)
(20)29
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Platinum Paper &Packaging
Base Metals FerrousMetals &
Industries
IndustrialMinerals
Gold Coal Total
$m
2004 Interim Results46
107
1,195
106
(188) (33) (62)(411)
2,248
1,534
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
H1 2003 Price Exchange Inflation Volume CashCost
Non-cashCost
Structural& Other
H1 2004
Operating Profit Variance
$m
Operating profit after operating exceptional items
2004 Interim Results47
Regional Analysis
$m H1 ‘04H1 ‘03
South Africa 777 548
Rest of Africa 241 299
Europe 416 409
Americas 723 187
Australasia 91 91
2,2481,534
Operating profit
2004 Interim Results48
$m
H1 2003 operating costs
Subsidiaries (7,979)
JVs (share of turnover less operating profit) (386) (8,365)
Inflation (247)
Exchange (945)
Volume (279)
Depreciation & amortisation (81)
Structural changes (775)
Operating impairments 12
Costs higher than inflation & other (176)
H1 2004 operating costs before cost savings (10,856)
Cost saving initiatives 248
H1 2004 Operating costs
Subsidiaries (10,279)
JVs (share of turnover less operating profit) (329) (10,608)
Operating Cost Reconciliation
Subsidiary & JV Operating Costs
2004 Interim Results49
Anglo Platinum Reconciliation
$m
IAS net profit (published) 217STC adjustment (9) Movement on unrealised profit on FECs (9)Exploration 11Profit on assets exchanged not recognised for UK GAAP (10)Net exceptional items 22Weighted average exchange impact 3Other 4
229Minority interest (58)Depreciation on assets revalued on acquisition (32)
UK GAAP contribution to headline earnings 139
2004 Interim Results50
AngloGold Ashanti Reconciliation
$m
IAS Headline earnings (published)1 111
Exploration (excluding joint ventures) 19
Amortisation on bond discount 5
Depreciation on assets revalued on acquisition (5)
Minority interest (64)
UK GAAP contribution to headline earnings 66
1 Before unrealised non-hedge derivatives and fair value losses on interest rate swaps
2004 Interim Results51
Ordinary Preference$m Total shares shares
DBI headline earnings – IFRS (100%) 424 - -
GAAP adjustments (14) - -
DBI headline earnings - UK GAAP (100%) 410 357 53
AA plc’s 45% ordinary share interest 161 161 -
Additional 3.65% ordinary share interest 13 13 -
AA plc’s portion of preference shares 43 - 43
AA plc headline earnings 217 174 43
De Beers Reconciliation
2004 Interim Results52
Operating Profit Exclude Add Back Add Back Add Back JVs$m (incl JVsExceptional Subsidiaries Subsidiaries & Associates
& Associates) Items Depreciation Amortisation Depr. & Amort. EBITDA
Platinum 320 - 149 8 2 479
Gold 133 - 143 18 23 317
Diamonds 350 - - - 45 395
Coal 196 - 68 2 20 286
Base Metals 565 - 118 - 35 718
Industrial Minerals 145 - 105 30 1 281
Paper & Packaging 320 - 184 14 14 532
Ferrous Metals & Industries 387 - 127 3 46 563
Other (168) - 7 12 11 (138)
Total 2,248 - 901 87 197 3,433
EBITDA by Business: H1 ‘04
2004 Interim Results53
Operating Profit Exclude Add Back Add Back Add Back JVs$m (incl JVsExceptional Subsidiaries Subsidiaries & Associates
& Associates) Items Depreciation Amortisation Depr. & Amort. EBITDA
Platinum 204 90 8 1 303
Gold 180 12 87 16 28 323
Diamonds 378 - - 33 411
Coal 172 64 2 18 256
Base Metals 98 109 - 28 235
Industrial Minerals 136 86 26 2 250
Paper & Packaging 357 148 9 9 523
Ferrous Metals & Industries 104 43 3 54 204
Other (95) 6 11 17 (61)
Total 1,534 12 633 75 190 2,444
EBITDA by Business: H1 ‘03
2004 Interim Results
ANGLO AMERICANADDING VALUE TO
NATURAL RESOURCES5 August 2004