another year of growth, returns and momentum · focused on packaging for fmcg, europe-wide 5 68%...
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| © 2016 DS Smith | Private & Confidential | www.dssmith.com
Full year results to 30 April 2016 Another year of growth, returns and momentum
23 June 2016
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Introduction 01
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• Continued outperformance of the market • Volumes +3.1% • Growth in all regions • Excellent growth from pan-European customers
• Significant investment in strengthening the business
• Five acquisitions in the 2015/16 financial year • New or expanded presence in 13 countries and c. 4,000 new
employees • Investment to drive strategic priorities
• Further acquisitions announced today
• Gopaca – corrugated business in Portugal • Creo – specialist Point of Sale / display in the UK
• Continued delivery against all our financial medium-term targets
• Good momentum into 2016/17
3 Another year of growth, returns and momentum
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Financial requirements
4 Consistent strategy and delivery since 2010
Consistent GDP+ growth
Reducing cyclicality
Increasing margins
Returns above our cost of capital
Differentiation Business mix Efficiency Culture and values Managing risk
Strategic pillars
Delivering growth and returns
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5.3
2.4
3.6
0 2 4 6
Recycling
Paper
Packaging
Million tonnes
5 Focused on packaging for FMCG, Europe-wide
68%
10%
22%
Corrugated packaging volumes
FMCG
Other consumer-related products
Other industrial
DS Smith wholly-owned corrugated operations
Associate corrugated operations
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4.7 5.5
7.2 6.8
7.6
8.8 9.3
10.1
12.7
14.3
12.2 13
14.6 15.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
RoS ROACE
6 Six years of growing margin and ROACE
%
Adjusted return on sales and return on average capital employed, before amortisation and exceptional items
ROS +460bps, ROACE +530bps over 6 years
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Financial review 02
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Volume growth
8 2015/16: another year of out-performance
+3.1% +50 bps
+70 bps
+16%
Note – Volumes on a like-for-like basis. All figures on a constant currency basis, before exceptional items and amortisation
Return on sales
Return on average capital employed
Earnings per share
2.0x
Net debt / EBITDA
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Metric Medium-term target
2015/16 Progress
Volume growth(1) GDP(2) + 1% = 2.8%
3.1% Growing ahead of the market
Return on sales(3) 8% - 10% 9.3% +50bps
ROACE(3) 12% - 15% 15.4% +70bps
Cash conversion(4) >100% 112% In target range
Net debt / EBITDA(5) ≤2.0x 2.0x In target range
9 Sustainable delivery against medium term targets
(1) Corrugated box volumes, adjusted for working days, on a like-for-like basis (2) GDP growth (year-on-year) for the countries in which DS Smith operates, weighted by our sales by country for the
period April 2015– March 2016 = 1.8%. Source: Eurostat (13 May 2016) (3) Calculated on operating profit before amortisation and exceptional items (on a constant currency basis) (4) Free cash flow before tax, net interest, growth capital expenditure, pension payments and exceptional cash flows as
a percentage of earnings before interest, tax, amortisation and exceptional items (5) Calculation as defined by the Group’s banking covenants
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Continuing operations
2015/16 Change constant currency
Revenue (£m) 4,066 +9%
Operating profit(1) (£m) 379 +16%
Return on sales 9.3% +50bps
Adjusted EPS(1) 27.4p +16%
Dividend per share 12.8p +12%
Asset turnover(2) 1.7x 0bps
Return on average capital employed(1)
15.4% +70bps
10 Financial highlights
(1) Before amortisation, exceptional items and share of associates (2) Revenue divided by average capital employed for the year
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2
3,500
3,600
3,700
3,800
3,900
4,000
4,100
4,200
3,820
(10)
11 Strong acquisition and volume contributions
Note: Other volume includes paper, corrugated sheet and recycling
£m +1%
4,066
(101)
3,719
300
82
(27)
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12 Organic and acquisition driven profit growth
£m
260
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
335
10
326
20
379
+10%
(9) (10)
33
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Return on sales 2015/16 2014/15 Change Constant currency
UK 9.8% 9.0% +80bps
Western Europe 7.4% 6.9% +60bps
DCH & Northern Europe 10.9% 10.4% +60bps
Central Europe & Italy 9.0% 8.7% +40bps
Plastics 11.3% 9.3% +160bps
13 Continued margin improvements in all regions
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£m 2015/16 2014/15
EBITDA 506 452
Working capital 56 101
Pension payments/other (42) (35)
Capex (net of proceeds) (201) (149)
Tax and interest (81) (62)
Free cash flow 238 307
FCF per share 25.2p 32.6p
14 Sustained improvement in working capital
2015/16 2014/15
Average monthly working capital/sales
1.6% 2.7%
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(651)
(1,099)
(77)
(412)
(108)
(89)
(1,200.0)
(1,100.0)
(1,000.0)
(900.0)
(800.0)
(700.0)
(600.0)
(500.0)
(400.0)
(300.0)
30-Apr-15 free cash flow restructuring,integration
and otherexceptional
costs
acquisitionsand disposals
dividends FX / other 30-Apr-16
15 Cash invested for future growth
238
1.5x 2.0x
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• Capex • Strict financial discipline and criteria • Opportunity to invest ahead of depreciation in growth and efficiency
• Acquisitions
• Strict financial discipline and criteria • Track record of cost and cash synergies
• Strength of balance sheet • Consistent record of cash generation • Working capital discipline • Investment grade credit rating
16 Investing in the business
Erlensee display plant, Frankfurt, opening Nov 2016
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For the financial year 2016/17: • Capex c. £200m
• Depreciation c. £150m
• Tax rate c. 22%
• Amortisation charge c. £50m
• Interest, inclusive of pension interest c. £50m
• IAS 19 pension interest charge £6m
• Pension deficit reduction cash contribution c. £17m
• Expected exceptional costs 2016/17: c. £50m
• FX: €1c move impacts EBITA by c. £2m
17 Technical guidance
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3.2 4.5
5.9
8.0 10.0
11.4 12.8
5.7
9.7
12.5
17.1
21.4
24.5
27.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
FY DPS FY EPS
18 Sustainable shareholder returns
Pence per share
EPS CAGR: 30% DPS CAGR: 26%
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Chief Executive’s review 03
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20 Growth drivers
Innovation and service
Geographic expansion
Driving growth and
returns
Growth driven by customer demands
Growth driven by customer demands
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21 Changing packaging requirements drive innovation
Packaging is the new advertising
Packaging adaptable for different retail formats
Packaging for e-commerce
Proliferation of retail channels
Reduced brand loyalty
Reduced effectiveness of advertising
Rise in on-line retail
Consumer trends Impact on packaging
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• Retail ready packaging and point-of-sale / display
• E-commerce capability
• Impact Centres and PackRight Centres
22 Investing to reinforce our market leadership
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Erlensee, Germany, plant dedicated to display packaging Acquisition of Creo, creating market leader in display packaging in the UK
23 Investing in display packaging
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24
• All home deliveries need packaging
• Complexity is an opportunity
E-commerce is an opportunity for DS Smith
Source: Mintel
B2C e-commerce goods sales
€237bn in Europe,
2015
E-commerce retail growth
c.10%p.a.
CAGR 2016-2021
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• Void-space reduction
• Branding • Increasing product retention rates
• Solutions for “last mile” delivery
25 Adding value with e-commerce solutions
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• Innovation, design and consultancy services leveraged across our European network
• Comprehensive route to market
• 52 PRCs and ICs by
end of 2016/17
26 Investing in Impact Centres and PackRight Centres
7 4
4
5
4
2
4 2
8
4
2
3
3
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27 Scope to further expand in Europe
DS Smith – 15% of a fragmented market
DS Smith – expanded in 2015/16
DS Smith – existing
Associate business
Acquisitions in 2015/16
• Duropack – south eastern Europe
• Lantero – Spain
• Cartonpack - Greece
• Milas Ambelaj - Turkey
• TRM - UK
Announced today
• Gopaca – Portugal
• Creo – UK
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28 Continued success with global FMCG customers
• Excellent growth from pan-European accounts
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29 Consistently growing ahead of the market
0.9%
1.3%
1.8%
-0.4%
0.8%
2.3% 2.2%
3.1% 3.1%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
2013/14 2014/15 2015/16
Weighted GDP(1) Weighted corrugated market growth(2) DS Smith volumes(3)
(1) GDP from Eurostat (June 2016) average Y-o-Y growth (April 2015 – April 2016), weighted by DS Smith sales by country (2) FEFCO YTD growth from May 2015 to March 2016, adjusted for working days (3) DS Smith corrugated box volume organic growth, adjusted for working days
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• Greater visibility of market dynamics
• Better engagement with global customers
• Design and manage display requirements
30 Global customer driven service offering
Packaging Consultancy
Services
North America
Packaging Consultancy
Services
Europe
Packaging Consultancy
Services
Indian Subcontinent
Packaging Consultancy
Services
Asia Pacific
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• Continued outperformance of the market
• Significant investment in strengthening the business • Further acquisitions announced today
• Continued delivery against all our financial medium-term targets
• Good momentum into 2016/17
31 Growth, returns and momentum
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Appendix
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2015/16 Revenue (%) EBITA (%) Average rate FY 2015/16
Closing rate 30 April 2016
GBP 22% 18%
EUR 61% 65% 1.3401 1.2724
PLN 3% 3% 5.7321 5.5760
SEK 3% 3% 12.6004 11.6780
DKK 2% 1% 9.9082 9.4678
USD 2% 4% 1.4966 1.4673
Other 7% 6%
33 Foreign exchange exposure
• Note that the difference in the % of GBP at EBITA versus revenue is due to a significant proportion of central costs being in GBP
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34 Debt analysis
As at 30 April 2016, the weighted average
remaining life of the Group's committed
borrowing facilities was 4.7 years.
* Ratios as defined in the Group’s
banking agreements.
Net Debt £ 1,099m
Net Debt/ EBITDA
ratio* 2.0x
EBITDA/ Net Interest
ratio* 12.7x
66%
34% Fixed
Floating
75%
17%
4% 2% 2%
EUR
GBP
USD
SEK
DKK
393 393 393 393 393 393 393
255 255 243 243 197 191 171
93 93 93 46 46
54
800 800 800
800 800
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
Apr-16 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20 Apr-21 Apr-22 Apr-23
£m
Financial year ending
Available Committed Facilities
2014 SyndicatedRevolving Credit Facility
2004 PP
2010 Shelf facility
2012 PP debt
2015 Eurobond
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35 Cost analysis 2015/16
1,752 284
408
178 120
Variable costs: Total £2,742m
Material Distribution
Employee Energy
Other variable
487
127
331
Fixed costs: Total £945m
Employee Depreciation Other