areva, business & strategy overview - november 2009
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AREVA, Business & strategy overview - November 2009TRANSCRIPT
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AREVA Business & Strategy overview
November, 2009
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.3
Notice
► Forward-looking statements� This document contains forward-looking statements a nd information.
These statements include financial forecasts and es timates as well as the assumptions on which they are based, statements rel ated to projects, objectives and expectations concerning future operations, prod ucts and services or future performance. Although AREVA’s management believes t hat these forward-looking statements are reasonable, AREVA’s investors and in vestment certificate holders are hereby advised that these forward-looking state ments are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that are difficult to fores ee and generally beyond AREVA’s control, which my mean that the expected results an d developments differ significantly from those expressed, induced or fore cast in the forward-looking statements and information. These risks include tho se developed or identified in the public documents filed by AREVA with the AMF, inclu ding those listed in the “Risk Factors” section of the Reference Document registere d with the AMF on April 15, 2009 (which may be read online on AREVA’s website, www.areva.com). AREVA makes no commitment to update the forward-looking s tatements and information, except as required by applicable laws and regulatio ns.
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.4
Contents
►Introduction to AREVA
►Performances and objectives by division
►Delivering profitable growth
►AREVA latest financial results
►Appendices
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.55
AREVA is a global leader in solutions for CO2-free power generation
CHEMISTRY
ENRICHMENT
FUEL FABRICATION
SERVICES
REACTORS
MINING
USED FUEL RECYCLING
TR
AN
SM
ISS
ION
& D
IST
RIB
UT
ION
NU
CLE
AR
AN
D R
EN
EW
AB
LE E
NE
RG
IES
OTHER SOURCES OF ELECTRIC POWER
Divestment of T&D activities in progress
TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
RENEWABLE ENERGIES
75,400 people
€13,160M Sales (2008)
€1,181M EBITDA (2008)
100 countries
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.6
Back End Renewable Energy
� Unchallenged leadership
� UltracentrifugationAREVA has the most efficient ultracentrifugation technology
Front End
� EPRthe first Generation III+ reactor under construction (4 units)
� A range of reactors to meet customer needs
PWR1,600+ MWe
PWR1,100+MWe
BWR1,250+MWe
� Only true "designedfor offshore" wind turbine
AREVA is at the forefrontof technology in CO 2-free generation
� Ownership of range of critical Biomass technologies
Plants
© AREVA © AREVA
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.7
AREVA is the only fully integrated playeron the nuclear power value chain
Mining / Natural uranium
Conversion / chemistry
Enrichment
Natural uranium fuel
Reactors and Services
Treatment
Recycling
Fro
nt E
ndB
ack
End
JNFL
Source: AREVA estimates
Recent strategic move /development
Presence Potential move
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.8
AREVA is now developing a portfolio of Renewable energy solutions
� Off-shore wind leading technology with strong position in Europe
� Vertically integrated in blades
Wind power
Off-shore wind turbine designer and manufacturer
2007: Multibrid acquisition2009: PN Rotor acquisition
� Ownership of range of critical technologies
� Innovative partnerships with utilities
Bioenergies
Specialized EPC for biomass fired power plants
2004: T&D biomass integration 2008: Koblitz acquisition2008: ADAGE JV creation
� Fuel cell design and prod.� Development of next
generation storage solutions and H2 prod.
Energy Carrier & Storage
Developer of marketable solutions to foster
renewable penetration
2001: Helion creation
Renewable BU is looking for opportunities to leverage its EPC know-how into solar thermal
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.9
EXAMPLES
URANIUM
NPCIL
FUEL REACTORS
AND SERVICES BACK-ENDNEW BUIDSCONVERSION ENRICHMENT
RENEWABLE ENERGIES
Discussions or negotiations in progress JV or existing contract
AREVA integrated model offers a key competitive advantage
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.1010
The group benefits from a strong and successful culture of partnerships*
Consolidation in the fuel cycle
Since 2004, long-lasting partnerships to develop mines in Canada
Equity stakes in Georges Besse II (GBII) new enrichment plant
Heavy component manufacturing site in the USStrengtheningof industrial
and engineering capacities JV in engineering in China
Reactor development
1100+ MWe pressurized water reactor
Renewables
1250+ MWe boiling water reactor
Partnership in biomass in India
Development of the biomass market in the United States
*Non exhaustive list
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.11
AREVA captures growth through its low carbon strategy aligned with world energy challenges
2,43,1
4,34,0
3,02,4
3,4
1,5
2,5
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Nuclear
Renewables
Energy efficiencyand storage
2030
17,0
1,4
2006
11,7
0,7
Billions of metric tons of oil equivalent / year
Global energy mixGlobal energy mix
+5%/y
Source: World Energy Outlook 2008 stabilization 450 ppm” scenario, AREVA
World energy sector challengesWorld energy sector challenges
► Energy demand will increase 50 % by 2030
� Population will increase by 2 billion people
� Human Development will increase energy intensity
► Peak oil and gas is a reality and substitution is necessity
� Total Oil and Gas production will start to decrease in 15 years
� Electricity demand will grow by a factor of 2 by 2030
► Carbon emissions must be cut by half to stabilize climate change
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.12
The nuclear revival is here Forecasts published by international organizations
AREVA targets 1/3 of the accessible new build marke t and the leadershipin life extension and power uprates
AREVA's market scenario for installed capacity (in GWe)
373 262190
358 659
2030New builds
Lifeextension
Plant closures
2008
► AREVA Back End
► AREVA Mining, Front End Services, Back End
► AREVA Reactors and Services678: WEO1- 2008- 450 ppm Policy Scenario
731: WNA2 - 2007- High Estimate
748: IAEA - 2008 – High Estimate
529: WNA - 2007 - Reference
473: IAEA - 2008 – Low Estimate
433: WEO - 2008 – Reference Scenario
498: DOE3 EIA4 - 2008 Reference Case
533: WEO- 2008- 550 ppm Policy Scenario
1. World Energy Outlook 2. World Nuclear Association 3. US Department of Energy 4. Energy Information Administration
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.13
Source : WEO 2008, ETP, EIA (2008)
7%
9%
11%
13%
3%
XX% world electricity generation capacity
� Increasing share of “new”renewables (except hydro) from 3% to 13% of total electricity mix
� A market of ~160 bn$/year of new capacity
� Strong growth expected in Off-shore wind (~10% p.a.), Biomass (~6% p.a.)
+8.5% annual growth expected for Renewable energy market through 2030
Annual newcapacity market (in USD07 billion)
115 130 190
Capacity installed for renewable energies (GW)
500
250
1.000
750
020302025202020152006
Geothermal
Solar
Biomass
Wind onshore
Tide and Wave
Wind offshore
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.14
An investment program well under way to capture market opportunities
► Selling our reactors� EPR reactor licensing in the UK, US
� Assembly capacity for heavy components
� Developing ATMEA (JV with MHI)
� …
► Securing access to uranium� Developing mining portfolio
(Canada, Africa, Kazakhstan)…
► Adjusting our enrichment capacity� Migration to centrifuge enrichment
� Meeting US demand: GBIII project
► Safety and renovation of our facilities� Chemistry (Pierrelatte, Malvési…), La Hague…
► Accelerating Renewable development� Development of existing assets
(like Multibrid)
� “Opportunistic” approach for external growth on selected markets
Nuclear & Renewable EnergiesT&D
1 Acquisition of property, plants and equipment and intangible assets
1,00,2
1,3
0,3
2,0
0,42,50,1
2007 2008 2009e 2010-2012
Average budget per year
2.6002.358
1.623
1.112
AREVA annual CAPEX 1 (€Bn)
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.15
AREVA has a 50-year history of successful nuclear project execution
AREVA was created in 2001 by the merger of companies with a long nuclear history
Westinghouse
1958: Framatome created to operate a Westinghouse reactor license; the technology will gradually be improved and become fully owned by Framatome
Sept. 2001
AREVA has never stopped building reactors since the 1960’s
� AREVA has never stopped building reactors
� AREVA has built 91 of the 439 currently active reactors
� AREVA has demonstrated its ability to manage massive construction programs in the 1980’s
� AREVA has active units in France, Germany, several other European countries, South Africa, China, Latin America
Reactors built by AREVA or its predecessor companies by commissioning date
1. Including 7 shutdown and 4 under construction
Jan 2001
21
57
102
5 0
40
80
120
Totalon-going
4
00’s
3
90’s
12
80’s70’s60’s
1
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.16
NPCIL
At least 11 utilities have already selected the EPR reactor by AREVA
…and are making commitments for the entire fuel cyc le� CGNPC – China: supply of front end of the fuel cycle through 2026
� NPCIL – India: wants to secure reactor supplies for the lifeof the reactors (60 years)
� EDF: multi-year contract in the front end and back end (beyond 2030)
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.17
AREVA secures financial resources while preserving its credit profile
► Financing plan announced in June 2009 to secure res ources for AREVA’s long-term development plan, and strength en the group’s balance sheet
►Key aspects of the plan include:� Opening of AREVA’s capital up to 15% mainly through a capital increase� Testing the market for a sale of AREVA T&D � Sale of stakes in ERAMET and STMicroelectronics con sidered
(Shares to remain in the public sector)� Disposal of Total and GDF Suez shares� Continuation of sale of minority stakes in strategi c assets for some industrial/
strategic partners
►Standard & Poor’s credit rating in July 2009: � Long-term rating: A � Short-term rating: A1� Outlook: Stable
The announced financing plan will allow AREVA to fu lfill its ambitions while maintaining its 'A' corporate credit rating
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.18
Note: Shareholding structure as as at 29/10/2009 * CEA owns all of the voting rights certificates** Employees’ shareholding in AREVA
4%
8%
79%
Framépargne**Calyon
1%
Total
1%
EDF
2%
4%French State
CEA*
CDC
AREVA current ownership structure
► French Atomic Energy Research Organization, public body established in 1945
► Active in three main fields : Energy, information a nd health technologies, defense and national security
► By law, CEA must retain the majority of AREVA’scapital
► €3.4bn annual spending (2007)
► French financial organization created in 1816, part of the Government institutions under the control of the Parliament
► Invests in long-term projects to serve France’s public interests and economic development; supports public policies, companies and local authorities
► AAA/Aaa with a consolidated balance sheet of €221bn
Total French State: 92%
CDC4%
CEA79%
Investment Certificate Holders* (free float) 4%
0.4%
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.19
Contents
►Introduction to AREVA
►Performances and objectives by division
►Delivering profitable growth
►AREVA latest financial results
►Appendices
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.20
• Plants
• Equipment
• Nuclear Services
• Nuclear Measurement
• Consulting & Information Systems
• AREVA TA
Reactors & ServicesNr 1 worldwide in the overall R&S
Front EndNr 1 worldwide in the overall Front-End
Mines Reactors & Services
Conversion,Enrichment & Fuel
Back EndNr 1 in used nuclear fuel
management
• Recycling
• Logistics
• Nuclear Site Value Development
• Engineering
• Clean-up
• Mines
• Chemistry
• Enrichment
• Fuel
Transmission & Distribution
Nr 3 worldwide in overall T&D
• Products
• Services
• Systems
• Automation
Mines
• Mineral Exploration
• Mining Operations
• Ore Processing
• Site Reclamation
Renewable Energies
• Wind Power
• Bioenergies
• Fuel Cells
AREVA group structure
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.21
Sales – 2008 splitSales – 2008 split
Front-End division AREVA invests to maintain leadership in
Mines and Enrichment
-8.7%453496OPERATING INCOME
-2.3 pts13.5%15.8%% Sales
+€1,063M(609)(1,672)OP. FCF BEFORE TAX
+7.1%3,3633,140SALES REVENUES
+27.6%26,89721,085ORDER BOOK
Change20082007In millions of euros
Key financialsKey financials
Mining23%
Chemistry8%
Enrichment32%
Fuel37%
► Mining: explores, extracts and processes uranium ore, from which nuclear fuel is made. The BU then reclaims mining sites once production is finished
► Chemistry: converts natural uranium (U3O8) into uranium hexafluoride (UF6) required for enrichment
► Enrichment: Increasing the proportion of U235 found in natural uranium from 0.7% to 3%-5% in order to manufacture fuel for nuclear reactors
► Fuel: designs, manufactures and sells nuclear fuel assemblies for pressurized water reactors (PWR), boiling water reactors (BWR) and research reactors
Nr 1 worldwide in the overall Front-EndNr 1 worldwide in the overall Front-End
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.22
A uniquely diversified mining portfolio
�
Canada
►Development (Shea Creek, Kiggavik etc.)
►Exploration since 1964
►Cigar Lake production to start after 2012 (+2,600 tU)
Morocco
►Agreement signed with Office Chérifiendes Phosphates
AREVA Resources Southern Africa
►Namibia - Trekkopje: mining permit obtained / 1st
productionexpected in 2010
►+3,000 tU production expected
►Central African Republic -Bakouma: government agreement obtained
►+2,000 tU production expected
►South Africa – Ryst Kuil
►Exploration
Kazakhstan
►Mining & global fuel agreement signed
►Katco production ramp-up / license for 4,000 tU obtained
►Exploration
Mongolia
►Sainshand
►Exploration
Somaïr & Cominak mines
Imouraren mining license obtained
- Start up 2013-14 (+ 5,000 tU)
Niger
Democratic Republic of Congo
►Mining partnership
Australia
►Exploration since 1969
Production(metric tons of U)
~ 6,300
~12,000
2008 2012
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.23
80.000
75.000
70.000
65.000
60.000
55.000
50.000
5.000
45.000
40.000
35.000
30.000
25.000
20.000
15.000
10.000
0
20152014201320122011201020092008
Production ramp up and new mines are already necessary to meet
Uranium demand…Uranium supply and demand - Kt U, WNA 2009 report -Uranium supply and demand - Kt U, WNA 2009 report -
� In 2008, 33% of current supply was met with secondary sources and inventory reduction
� By 2015, Uranium production to be covered by new projects should represent 21% of the supply and result in a mining output increase of 51%
Recycling (MOX, RepU, …)
Other secondary supplies (tailsreenrichment, DOE sales)
Inventory reduction
Production to be coveredby new projects
Demand
Russian HEU
Production from existing mines
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.24
2008 vs 2006 in % 2008 vs 2007 en %
► All producers experienced cost increases due to:� Inflation on direct costs (equipments, reagents, salaries
and royalties)
� Tax increases
� Existing mines getting more difficult to operate (ore depth, grade,…)
� New mines requiring more investments (bigger size, lack of infrastructure / utilities, material cost inflation)
►Emerging producers have been strongly impacted by spot price volatility due to a limited backlog highly exposed to market conditions
►AREVA's backlog ensures positive exposure to market evolution thanks to a mix of fix / longterm pricing
►AREVA’s selling price has progressed as low price legacy contracts are being replaced with new ones
All producers have undergone significant increase in their operating costs, and junior companies have
more suffered from the volatility of the spot price
Change in selling price Change in selling price Change in cost of salesChange in cost of sales
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
AREVA CamecoERA
55%
67%
52%
- 30
- 20
- 10
0
10
20
30
-23%
Denison Paladin
-16%
Uranium One
-19%
Cameco
5%
ERA
29%
AREVA
27%
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.25
AREVA is leading the way in enrichment capacity renewal
► Installation start-up by end 2009
►Essential investment for global balance of the enrichment market with modular capacity to meet market requirements
� At least 7.5 MSWU (by 2016)
►Based on the best existing available technology (ETC – TC12)
►Installation start-up by 2014
►A capacity of 3.2 MSWU (by 2018) approved by NRC and on-going discussion about production extension up to about 6 million SWUs
►Proven ETC centrifuge technology, already licensed by the NRC
Georges Besse IIGeorges Besse II Eagle Rock Enrichment FacilityEagle Rock Enrichment Facility
Georges Besse II:90% of capacity already sold until 2020
Eagle Rock Enrichment Facility: 50% of capacity already sold beyond 2020
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.26
►Robust enrichment demand due to new reactor constructions worldwide and improved performance (load factors, higher burn up, potential power uprates)
►Fifty percent of current capacity to be replaced, increasing risk and market volatility
►SWU prices will remain high due to the uncertainty of the new investments based on unproven technology
AREVA will benefit from huge sources of demand with its new facilities becoming available in conjunction with m arket growth
The Nuclear Renaissance is tightening the market, resulting in upward price pressure
Long term market trends Enrichment prices ($/UTS)
201820162014201220102008
140
200620042000
180
0
200
160
2020
120
2002
80
100
Source: UxC 2009 Q1
Base case
High case
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.27
Key financialsKey financials
Reactors & Services division Still mostly recurring, but new build is there
Sales – 2008 splitSales – 2008 split
► Plants: design, construction and commissioning of nuclear islands, and monitoring, replacement, upgrades and renovation of installed base
► Equipment: manufacture of key components for nuclear power plants
► Nuclear services: reactor optimization services
► Nuclear measurement: design and construction of systems and devices designed to measure radioactivity
► Consulting and Information Systems: IT services
► AREVA TA: design, production and maintenance of nuclear reactors for research and for the propulsion of submarines and aircraft carriers
► Renewable Energies: design and construction of systems using either wind power, biomass or hydrogen energy
-€508M(687)(179)OPERATING INCOME*
-16.0 pts(22.6%)(6.6%)% Sales
-€63M(591)(528)OP. FCF BEFORE TAX
+11.8%3,0372,717SALES REVENUES
+2.7%7,8507,640ORDER BOOK
Change20082007In millions of euros
Nr 1 worldwide in the overall Reactors & ServicesNr 1 worldwide in the overall Reactors & Services
*Including the €749M OL3 Provision in 2008 and €292M in 2007
Renewable energies
5%
CIS 5%
AREVA TA12%
Equipment9%
Nuclear measures
5%
Reactors38%
Nuclear services
26%
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.28
EPR is a proven reactor with an outstanding safety level
Project certainty: integrated supply chain, licensed in 2 countries and already under construction in 3
Evolutionary design based on the best of French (N4) and German (Konvoi) technologies
High output: 1600 MWe+
High availability during 60-years service life: 92%+
Enhanced fuel utilization
Designed to achieve outstanding safety: the EPR design benefited from the scrutiny of both the German, French and Finnish safety authorities
Best-in-class airplane crash protection
Severe accident prevention : quadruple redundancy, optimal combination of active and passive safety systems
Severe accident mitigation: advanced core catcher & radionucleidesfiltration
Safety first and foremostSafety first and foremost Performance with certaintyPerformance with certainty
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.29
�
NPCIL
EPR projects all over the world
Under construction
Ongoing projects or discussions
Emirates
Amarillo Power
Some EPR projects under discussion do not appear on this slide
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.30
Benefits from the most advanced Gen 3+ project… despite OL3 specific situation
► More than 90% of orders and procurement placed
► Engineering more than 80% complete
► Civil works on main buildings 73% complete
► Dome placed on September 6, 2009
► Components manufactured
Olkiluoto 3 project status:Stage of completion unmatched in the
world for Generation III+ plant
… but a slower than planned progress due to client’s conduct
► TVO’s inappropriate behavior with regards to contract management generates uncertainties on the final cost of the project and the commissioning
► AREVA has sent proposals to TVO in order to get back to the methods of execution that are in line with usualpractices for major projects
► AREVA will only commence the final phases of the construction when TVO has agreed upon the proposals that have been made or issued contract amendments that provide for the requested modifications
► AREVA has recorded an additional provisionof 550 million euro, bringing the estimated result at completion to (2.3) billion euro*
► Claims amounting to 1 billion euro have already bee n sent to TVO by the AREVA-SIEMENS consortium
► Additional claims are being prepared, and in accordance with the applicable accounting principle s, AREVA has not accounted for these positive elements .
* this amount does not include TVO’s claim because the AREVA-SIEMENS consortium deems that the allegations presentedin this claim are without foundation and without value with respect to the contract and to Finnish law
© AREVA
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.31
► On the AREVA perimeter
� 70% of orders placed
� Engineering 65% complete
► Civil work progress (not AREVA scope)
AREVA EPR fleet is being deployed
Flamanville (France): supply of Nuclear Steam
Supply System
Taishan (China): supply of 2 nuclear islands
► 70% of orders placed by AREVA and 30% by our partner within the consortium
► Engineering close to 30% complete
► As planned start of engineering in China with our partner CGNPC
► Significant civil work progress by the customer
► Preparation of the “first concrete” milestone
© EDF © CGNPC / SHEN ZUOBIN
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.32
Sales – 2008 splitSales – 2008 split
► Recycling: a full service of fuel recycling, including Mixed Oxide fuel and Reprocessed Uranium fuel production
► Logistics: design and supply of casks for the transportation and storage of radioactive materials; also safe and secure transportation and logistics services
► Nuclear site value development: performance-based project management for Dismantling and Decommissioning programs; development of integrated and innovative solutions for both AREVA and external customers
► Cleanup: operation of dismantling and waste processing facilities, specialized nuclear maintenance
► Engineering: engineering services contributing to the design and construction of installations for global nuclear operators
Back-End division An unchallenged leadership
+28.6%261203OPERATING INCOME
+3.7 pts15.4%11.7%% Sales
+€250M422172OP. FCF BEFORE TAX
+11.8%1,6921,738SALES REVENUES
+2.7%7,7846,202ORDER BOOK
Change20082007In millions of euros
Key financialsKey financials
Nr 1 in used nuclear fuel managementNr 1 in used nuclear fuel management
Logistics14%
Recycling63%
Engeeniring6%
Cleanup3%
Nuclear Site Value Development
(Decommissioning)14%
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.33
A strong and unique industrial base
►La HagueFuel treatment
►MELOXMOX fuel fabrication
►La HagueFirst generationplant dismantling
►MarcouleUP1 Treatment plant dismantling
►CadaracheMOX plant dismantling
(performed by Front End with recycled uranium supplied by Back End)
►RomansRepU fuel fabrication
►TricastinRepU Enrichment and Conversion
La Hague plant
� Production capacity: 1 700 tons of used fuel
� Production capacity: 195 tons of MOX fuel
Melox plant
Recycling Plant dismantling Reprocessed Uranium Fuel Fabrication
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.34
Worldwide recognition of AREVA’s leadership in Back End
USA
►MOX Fuel Fabrication Facility under construction for DOE ($5Bn)
►60% of dry storage market for US utilities
►Significant presence on major DOE sites
Europe
►EDF: framework agreement for comprehensive recycling services until 2040
►Other utilities: over 6,000t of fuel recycled (EON, RWE, Suez, SOGIN, etc.) and 300 casks sold
►Sellafield site Management & Operations
►Management of World’s largest civilian D&D program
Japan
►A total of 3 000t of Japanese nuclear fuel has been recycled at La Hague to date
►MOX fuel fabrication and transportation to Japan started in 2008
►Successful technology provider for the Rokkashomura recycling plant (based on La Hague model)
58% France21%Europe –
Excl. France
7%Americas 14%
Asia Pacific
% of total 2008 sales
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.35
Sales – 2008 splitSales – 2008 split
T&D division Long term outlooks positive in
spite of crisis
+41.1%560397OPERATING INCOME
+1.9 pts11.1%9.2%% Sales
-€253M(20)233OP. FCF BEFORE TAX
+17.0%5,0654,327SALES REVENUES
+16.5%5,7154,906ORDER BOOK
Change20082007In millions of euros
Key financialsKey financials
► Designs and manufactures a complete range of high and medium voltage equipment, systems and services on a global basis:
� To transmit and distribute electricity from the power plant to the end-user
� To optimize power grids
► Installs complete systems and supplies services for every market segment: transmission, distribution and power-intensive industries
Nr 3 in the overall Transmission & DistributionNr 3 in the overall Transmission & Distribution
Automation10%
Systems31%
Services6%
Products53%
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.36
T&D attractive perspectives
► AREVA T&D commands leading positions on key products (like disconnectors, Gas Insulated Switchgears, or Instrument Transformers) and key markets (like in India)
► Despite challenging short-term market conditions, long-term perspectives remain highly attractive
� Products replacement & networks upgrade in Europe and in the USA
� Massive investment needs in Asia and India in both transmission & distribution products and systems
� Rising energy efficiency/ savings requirements worldwide
► The deadline for binding offers was November 9th
► AREVA received today 3 offers from:
- Alstom/Schneider
- General Electric
- Toshiba/INCJ
AREVA is now assessing these offers
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.37
Contents
►Introduction to AREVA
►Performances and objectives by division
►Delivering profitable growth
►AREVA latest financial results
►Appendices
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.38
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
14 000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
New build
Installed based business
AREVA benefits from 50-year history of successful nuclear project execution and a
resilient business model
► AREVA has never stopped building reactors
► 80% of the nuclear business is recurrent
► Strong visibility (backlog) and recurring cashflow
► Capex supported by the sale of the new facilities’ future production (example: 90%of GBII production through 2020 is already in backlog)
Installed base business model ensuring strong cash-flow generation
Source: AREVA strategic plan
Installed base revenue vs. new builds (millions of €)
80% of the nuclear business
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.39
Sustained growth
* excluding FCI - Connector technology division
Backlog (€Bn)* Revenue (€MM)*
19.6 20.6
25.6
39.8
48.2
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
X 2.5 +34% 13.2
9.8 10.110.9
11.9
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.40
AREVA’s operating income before OL3 provisions has doubled in 4 years
640 551
56
407
604
751
292
417
749
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1,043
1,166
Margin before OL3 provisions (% of sales)
640 607
1,011OL3 provisions
Operating income
+82%
5.8% 6.0% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9%
Operating income before OL3 provisions (€M)
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.41
Cost optimization program Working capital optimization
► Purchasing performance~ €500M
� Development of supplier selection panels� Globalization of negotiations� Scope: recurring purchases,
capital spending, project procurement
► Control of overheads~ €100M
� Freeze on hiring for support functions� Reduction of travel expenses
and subcontractor costs� Greater selectivity in marketing expenses
► A challenging transitory situation
� Enrichment: buildup in SWU inventory to prepare the transition GBI - GBII
� AREVA T&D: temporary impact of gradual shift of business to the East
► Favorable structural WCR in nuclear business
� EPR projects structured to have positive cash curves
� Negative normative WCR in Front-End & Back-End
€600M in 2009
€300M in 2009
AREVA is taking steps to improve its cash flow generation
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.42
Strong cashflow generation to finance the group’s investment effort…
Operating cash flow vs. net investment evolution 20 04-2008 (€M)
Operating cash flow before investments
Net Investments
UraMin acquisition ($2,5Bn)
2004 20082005 2006 2007 Total 2004-2008 excl. UraMin
1,252 1,178
890 904
533426 395
1,248
2,889
1,454
1,295
4,757 4,818
1,594
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.43
1 344
213 400
1 950
664
79
2009 2010 2011 2012 and later
Borrowings CP program Interest bearing advances
UraMinacquisition
debt
Syndicateloan Canada BEI
loan
Short-term debtrolling over
Borrowings by maturity 30.06.2009
Net Debt structure at June 30, 2009Net Debt structure at June 30, 2009
AREVA’s credit metrics are set to improve in the near future
-6,414-5,496Net Debt
-2,065-2,068Put option of minority shareholders
8341,163Cash and cash equivalent, other financial assets
-533-413Short term facilities, overdraft, miscellaneous
-743-727Interest bearing advances
-3,907-3,451Main Borrowings
30.06.0931.12.08Net debt (M€)
1. commercial paper program
1
Minimal net debt level in 2010
Net Debt €6,414M Net Debt/Capital ~ 49%
At 30/06/2009
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.44
Cash: €600 million at June 30, 2009
Back up line long term: €2.0 billion syndicated fac ility maturing in 2014 with no financial covenant
Back up line short term: €1.4 billion bilateral com mitted short term lines (364 days)
► AREVA has a solid liquidity supported by cash, avai lable backstop commitments from banks, and bonds
► Together with the capital increase and the assets d isposal programs, this strong liquidity offers comfort to execute ARE VA’s investment plan
► The positive free cash flow generation should be re ached by 2012
Optimized liquidity offers flexibility in the timing of the investment plan
€3.0 billion bond issue maturing in 2016, 2019 and 2024
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.45
451 451
649743
589
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
AREVA creates value for its shareholders
Margin (% of sales) 4.6% 4.5% 6.0% 6.2% 4.5%
1. excluding FCI - Pôle Connectique disposal
AREVA has paid its shareholders more than €2.6Bn si nce 2001From 2001 to 2008, the invested rate of return for the investment certificate comes to 16.7%
Pay-out 80.0% 33.3% 46.0% 32.3% 42.0%
AREVA net income 2004-2008 (€M)
1
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.46
Contents
►Introduction to AREVA
►Performances and objectives by division
►Delivering profitable growth
►AREVA latest financial results
►Appendices
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.47
H1 09 vs. H1 08: different basis of comparison for Nuclear operations
* Income from nuclear operations excluding OL3
H1 2008: more than 80% of operating income from nuclear operations* for 2008
H1 08 H1 09
Exceptional exportsales (Asia)
Very favorableseasonal effect
Strong concentrationof annual production in H1
Front End
Reactorsand Services
Back End
Later start of unitoutage campaigns
Unfavorable productiondistribution (H2 catch-up)
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.48
Key data as of June 30, 2009
* EBITDA +/- change in Operating WCR – Capex net of disposals** Siemens’ put option at its 2007 value, i.e. €2.049B
(550)(321)Additional provision for OL3
+ 16.6%6,4145,499 Net debt (**)
6/30/0912/31/08
(594)(1,115)(521)Free operating cash flow*
(599)€(16.9)
161€4.55
760€21.45
Net income attributable to equity holders of the parentEarnings per share
(523)- 8.5 pts
160.2%
5398.7%
Operating income% of revenue
- 34.2%- 5.2 pts
566 8.7%
86013.9%
Operating income before OL3 % of revenue
+ 5.7%6,5226,168Revenue
+ 28.2%48,87638,123Backlog
∆∆∆∆ 09/08 H1 2009H1 2008In millions of euros
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.49
30/09/2008 30/09/2009
Backlog growth
Nuclear: + 27.4% to €41.8B
► Contracts signed in first 9M 2009: � Several significant contracts with US, Japanese
and European utilities in the Front End � Replacement of 12 steam generators for TVA (USA), K HNP
(South Korea) and EDF (France)
� Multiyear umbrella agreement with EDF for services
� 18 reactor coolant pumps for EPCD in China
� MOX fuel assemblies for Japan
� Fuel contract in Spain with Central Nuclear de Tril lo
T&D: - 5.6% to €5.7B
► €3.9B in orders booked over first 9M 2009: � Supply of high voltage direct current transmission systems
in China (HVDC) � Supply of HVDC conversion substations in South Kore a
� Supply of 66 kV substations and transformers to Bah rain (EWA)
� Modernization of the Indonesian grid – “10 GW Progra m”
� Supply of 4 extra-high voltage stations to PGCIL in India
Backlog(*) (€B)
47.5
38.8
6.0
32.8
41.8
5.7
+ 22%
T&D Nuclear
* The backlog value is based on firm orders and excludes unconfirmed options
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.50
H1 2008 H1 2009
5.7% revenue growth(2.8% like-for-like)
T&D
6,168
6,522
+ 68+ 0.6% LFL 1
Front End
+ 330+ 12.5% LFL 1
(87)- 10.1% LFL 1
Back End
R&S
+ 41- 1.9% LFL 1
∆∆∆∆ H1 09 / H1 08: + €354M+ €176M LFL1
� Exceptional sales of H1 2008 not repeated, but positive price effects (Front End)
� Unfavorable production lag (Back End) and seasonal effect (Services)
� Good project performance in T&D division
1. Like-for-like: at constant consolidation scope, accounting method and exchange rate
In millions of euros
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.51
H1 2008 H1 2009
Operating income
539
(350)
(67)
(53)
(25)
T&D
Front End
Back EndR&S
Corp.(29)
16
� With more than 80% of FY 2008 operating income from nuclear*, H1 2008 was atypical
� Additional provision for OL3
� Unfavorable seasonal effect in H1 2009 (R&S and Back End)
� Agreement with USEC, ending the trade case (Front End)
� Preparing for the future: R&D, recruitment, organizational strengthening for major projects (EREF, mining projects, etc.)
� Impact of global crisis on T&D division and renewables
In millions of euros
* Income from nuclear operations excluding OL3
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.52
Free operating cash flow before tax
Gross CapexFree
operating cash flow
DivestituresEBITDAChange in WCR
Operatingcash flow
(173)
459
(783) (497)
(950)(1,115)
+ 333
► EBITDA: like operating income, EBITDA is penalized by an unfavorable seasonal effect
►WCR: constitution of SWU inventories tied to the tra nsition from GBI to GBII and use of customer advances in nuclear operations;extension of payment terms and unfavorable payment s chedules in T&D division
► Capex: program deployment in Mining, Enrichment and Equipment
Capital gains / losses
In millions of euros
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.53
Net debt
31.12.2008 30.06.2009
Other itemsCash fromend-of-cycleoperations
Dividends (6,414)*
* Siemens’ put included at its 2007 value, i.e. €2.049B
Free operating cash flow before tax
Disposals of financial assets
Rappel :Fonds propres
au 30.06.096 693M
In millions of euros
(1,115)
(33)(313) + 465
81
Equity at 6/30/09: €6.693B
12/31/2008 6/30/2009
(5,499)*
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.54
Front End division
► Several significant contracts with Japanese, South Korean, US and European utilities in H1 2009
► Revenue: exceptional sales of H1 2008 not repeated
► Operating income:� Impact of agreement with USEC ending the trade case
� Costs related to constitution of transition invento ry
� Overhead expenses generated by major construction p rojects (EREF, mining projects)
► Impact of equity share taken by Kansai/Sojitz and K HNP in GBII same as in H1 08 (GDF-Suez)
► Free operating cash flow: increase in inventory (SW Us) and deployment of Capex programs in Mining and Enrichment
* EBITDA +/- gain on disposals of assets and dilution +/- change in operating WCR – Capex net of disposals
(133)(179)(46)Free operating cash flow before tax*
- 13.1% - 4.4 pts
34822.4%
40026.8%
Contribution to operating income% of revenue
+ 4.6%1,5561,488Contribution to revenue
41.6%27,05519,108Backlog
∆∆∆∆ 09/08 6/30/096/30/08In millions of euros
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.55
Reactors and Services division
* EBITDA +/- gain on asset disposals and dilution +/- change in operating WCR – Capex net of disposals
(550)(321)Additional provision for OL3
(350)- 22.7 pts
(608)- 40.3%
(258)- 17.6%
Contribution to operating income% of revenue
(188)(595)(407)Free operating cash flow before tax
(121)- 8.2 pts
(58)- 3.9%
63+ 4.3%
Contribution to operating income before OL3 provision % of revenue
+ 2.8%1,5061,466Contribution to revenue
+ 11.7%8,5277,633Backlog
∆∆∆∆ 09/08 6/30/096/30/08In millions of euros
► Orders booked in H1 2009: replacement of 12 steam generators (USA, South Korea, France), multiyear services contract (EDF), supply of 18 reactor coolant pumps (China)
► Revenue: solid installed base business and unfavorable seasonal impact in Services
► Operating income before OL3 provision: unfavorable seasonal impact in Services, marketing and R&D development, restructuring of wind turbine projects
► Additional provision of €550M for OL3, for an estimated result at completion of €(2.3)B
► Free operating cash flow: expenses linked to OL3 project in Finland, no major payment milestones in H1 2009
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.56
Back End division
► Orders booked in H1 2009: MOX assemblies for Electr ic Power Development (Japan) and ENBW (Germany)
► Revenue and operating income: later start of produc tion schedule in 2009 than in 2008, when the first half was particularly strong
► Free operating cash flow: EBITDA slightly down (les s production in H1 2009) and increase in Capex (development of cold crucible technology)
* EBITDA +/- gain on asset disposals and dilution +/- change in operating WCR – Capex net of disposals
(13)6073Free operating cash flow before tax*
- 14.2%- 1.0 pt
15017.8%
17518.8%
Contribution to operating income% of revenue
- 9.3%843930Contribution to revenue
31.0% 7,3275,591 Backlog
∆ 09/08 6/30/096/30/08In millions of euros
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.57
(265)(310)(45)Free operating cash flow before tax*
- 26.4%- 4.0 pts
1867.1%
25311.1%
Contribution to operating income% of revenue
14.5%2,6142,284Contribution to revenue
3.0%5,9675,791 Backlog
∆ 09/08 6/30/096/30/08In millions of euros
T&D division
* EBITDA +/- gains on asset disposals and dilution +/- change in operating WCR – Capex net of disposals
► €2.9B in orders booked in H1 2009, a drop of 9.7% from H1 2008 at constant scope and exchange rates
Steady business in Asia and South America: HVDC contracts in China and South Korea and transformers for Bahrain
► Revenue up by 14.5%: good backlog execution by the Products and Systems BUs
► Operating income marked by strong tensions observed on the T&D market in S1 09 and start-up costs for new capacity
► Free operating cash flow:
� greater payment delays and unfavorable payment schedules in H1 2009
� Capex for capacity increases and acquisitions in Services in the United States and the United Kingdom
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.58
Third quarter 2009 revenue climbs 7.8% to €3.164 Bn
+ 0.5%
+ 30.8%
+ 7.8%
+ 8.4%+ 0.3 pts
+ 7.4%- 0.2 pts
+ 7.1%
+ 1.3%
+ 13.7%
∆∆∆∆ 09/08
+ 0.4%738729Reactors & Services
-2,2412,229International
-923706France
+ 6.7%3,1642,935Total
+ 7.5%+ 0.3 pts
1,26840.1%
1,16939.8%
Transmission & Distribution% of total revenue
+ 6.2%- 0.3 pts
1,89559.9%
1,76560.1%
Nuclear Activities % of total revenue
+ 6.5%345322Back-End
+ 12.0%812714Front-End
∆∆∆∆ 09/08 LFL*Q3 2009Q3 2008In millions of euros
Sales by division
► Strong increase in Front-End sales (+12% LFL*)
� Mines: sales up with the average uranium sales pric e improving over the period on a positive contract mix
� Enrichment: revenue growth fueled by rising volumes and positive export prices
► Reactors & Services sales flat (+0.4% LFL*), with a globally stable contribution of major plant projec ts
► Back-End sales up 6.5% LFL* with Recycling sales ri sing over the quarter after a drop in the first hal f of the year
► T&D sales growth (+7.5% LFL*) driven by sales in Ne ar East, the Middle East and North America* LFL: at constant exchange rates and consolidation scope
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AREVA Overview – November 2009 p.59
First 9 month revenue
* LFL: at constant exchange rates and consolidation scope
+ 8.4%
+ 1.6%
+ 6.4%
+ 12.4%+ 2.2 pts
+ 2.7%- 2.1 pts
- 5.1%
+ 2.3%
+ 7.6%
∆∆∆∆ 09/08
- 1.1%2,2452,194Reactors & Services
-6,9996,459International
-2,6872,644France
+ 4.0%9,6869,103Total
+ 10.8%+ 2.5 pts
3,88340.1%
3,45437.9%
Transmission & Distribution% of total revenue
-0.1%- 2.4 pts
5,80159.9%
5,64862.0%
Nuclear Activities % of total revenue
- 5.9%1,1881,252Back-End
+ 4.2%2,3682,202Front-End
∆∆∆∆ 09/08 LFL*9M 20099M 2008In millions of euros
Sales by division