asean regional finance companyinvestor.grouplease.international/misc/presn/...dec 11, 2012 · •...
TRANSCRIPT
3Q2012 Results Briefing Asean Regional Finance Company
Analyst & Investor Update 11 December 2012
AGENDA
A. I n t r o d u c t i o n
B. B u s i n e s s O v e r v i e w
C. F u t u r e E x p a n s i o n P l a n s
D. F i n a n c i a l R e v i e w
E. Q u e s t i o n s a n d A n sw e r s
DISCLAIMER
T h i s I n v e s t o r P r e s e n t a t i o n h a s b e e n p r e p a r e d b y G r o u p L e a s e P l c f o r i n v e s t o r s , s o l e l y f o r
i n f o r m a t i o n p u r p o s e s .
T h e v i e w s e x p r e s s e d h e r e c o n t a i n s o m e i n f o r m a t i o n d e r i v e d f r o m p u b l i c l y a v a i l a b l e
s o u r c e s t h a t h a v e n o t b e e n i n d e p e n d e n t l y v e r i f i e d .
N o r e p r e s e n t a t i o n o r w a r r a n t y i s m a d e a s t o t h e a c c u r a c y, c o m p l e t e n e s s o r r e l i a b i l i t y o f
t h e i n f o r m a t i o n . A n y f o r w a r d l o o k i n g i n f o r m a t i o n i n t h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n h a s b e e n p r e p a r e d o n
t h e b a s i s o f a n u m b e r o f a s s u m p t i o n s w h i c h m a y p r o v e t o b e i n c o r r e c t .
F i n a n c i a l n u m b e r s i f p r e s e n t e d i n o t h e r c u r r e n c i e s o t h e r t h a n T H B a r e s t r i c t l y f o r
i l l u s t r a t i v e p u r p o s e o n l y a n d b a s e d o n p r e v a i l i n g i n t e r b a n k l e n d i n g e x c h a n g e r a t e a t t h e
t i m e o f p r e s e n t a t i o n .
T h i s p r e s e n t a t i o n s h o u l d n o t b e r e l i e d u p o n a s a r e c o m m e n d a t i o n o r f o r e c a s t b y G r o u p
L e a s e P l c . N o t h i n g i n t h i s r e l e a s e s h o u l d b e c o n s t r u e d a s e i t h e r a n o f f e r t o s e l l o r a
s o l i c i t a t i o n o f a n o f f e r t o b u y o r s e l l s h a r e s i n a n y j u r i s d i c t i o n .
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
E x p a n d i n g d e a l e r s h i p
b a s e i n T h a i l a n d
H i g h u n i t g r o w t h
e x p e c t e d o v e r t h e n e x t 5 y e a r s
C o n v e r s a t i v e A c c o u n t i n g
a n d p r u d e n t r i s k m a n a g e m e n t
I m p r o v i n g F i n a n c i a l
P e r f o r m a n c e
R o b u s t b a l a n c e
s h e e t
• Acqu i red Group Lease Ho ld ings in S ingapore as a base fo r expans ion
• Opened a who l l y -owned subs id ia ry in Cambod ia in March2012
• Wi l l l ook a t po ten t ia l M&A oppor tun i t i es th roughou t ASEAN
• Inc reas ing number o f dea le rs i n Tha i land f rom 100 in 2011 to 250 by 2013
• Wi th in Tha i land , The 100 ,000 un i t s i s expec ted to doub le to 200 ,000 i n th ree years
• Cambod ia i s expec ted to i nc rease to 300 ,000 un i t s w i th in the same per iod
• The a im i s to ach ieve 1 m i l l i on un i t s in f i ve years
• GL emp loy ’s conserva t i ve accoun t ing po l i c ies , w i th 100% p rov is ion ing a f te r 3 months to p reven t i ssues f rom esca la t ing
• Ne t Pro f i t fo r 9M12 has a l ready exceeded 2011 l eve ls
• P ro f i tab i l i t y ra t ios such as ROE and ROA are a t 4 year h ighs
• F inanc ia l f l ex ib i l i t y a l lows GL to expand capac i t y and i nves tments where necessary
• Genera t ing s t rong cash f low f rom opera t ions
E x p a n d i n g t h r o u g h o u t
A S E A N
KEY MILESTONES
1986
1990
2004
2007
2012
Estab l i shed in Tha i land as a au tomob i le h i re pu rchase bus iness by the Luaengrungs i fami l y
New shareho lders acqu i red the bus iness to sh i f t to the moto rcyc le h i re purchase bus iness
GL l i s ted on the S tock Exchange o f Tha i land
APF Group became a new ma jo r shareho lder
Reg is te red cap i ta l i nc reased to THB 570 mi l l i on
Par tners w i th Honda to launch opera t ions in Cambod ia to make GL the f i r s t moto rcyc le leas ing company in Cambod ia
Acqu i res Group Lease Ho ld ings P te L td (S ingapore ) to expand th roughou t ASEAN
AGENDA
A. I n t r o d u c t i o n
B. B u s i n e s s O v e r v i ew
C. F u t u r e E x p a n s i o n P l a n s
D. F i n a n c i a l R e v i e w
E. Q u e s t i o n s a n d A n sw e r s
GL provides HP for motorcycles in greater Bangkok & Upcountry. Avg price per bike is Bt. 45,000
Category : Automatic Category : Family
Category : F-Sport Category : Sport
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
H e a d O f f i c e , B a n g k o k
• Bangkok (Headquarter) • Ayutthaya • Chonburi • Rayong • Nakorn Ratchasima • Bowin
Chonburi Branch
Ayutthaya Branch
BUSINESS OVERVIEW GL currently has six branches which they can also cover neighbor provinces:-
Thailand’s motorcycle sales have been growing strong since 2008 and the market is expected
to hit a new record high of 2.2mn units in 2012.
Higher consumer affordability & changes in consumer behaviour also have a role in this
Higher affordability • Higher minimum wage • Good economy
Changing in consumer behaviors • Higher turnover due to new design and technology • The age of rider is lower
Source : Thai land Motorcyc le Hi re Purchase Assoc iat ion
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Cash Sales in Bangkok Metropolitan Area was 51% in 2011 implying more room
Source : Thai land Motorcyc le Hi re Purchase Assoc iat ion
HP financing in BMA Cash Sale in BMA
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
-
10,000.00
20,000.00
30,000.00
40,000.00
50,000.00
60,000.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 9M12
# of new units financed each year
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
The number of new units financed has increased 400% since 4Q11 and over 200% from the same period last year
New units financed from Sept ‘11 to Sept ‘12
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
GL aims to finance 20,000 units per month by 2015
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Average Monthly Lending Unit
GL aims to expand its number of dealers aggressively by 2013
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
Average Number of Dealer
GL employs conservative accounting methods
Provision for doubtful account
Current Portion< 1 months 1%
Overdue 2-3 months 2%
Overdue 4-6 months 100%
Overdue 7-12 months 100%
Overdue more than 12 months 100%
This ensures that GL will deal with any potential NPLs and receivable issues before they become unmanageable
BUSINESS OVERVIEW
AGENDA
A. I n t r o d u c t i o n
B. B u s i n e s s O v e r v i e w
C. F u t u r e E x p a n s i o n P l a n s
D. F i n a n c i a l R e v i e w
E. Q u e s t i o n s a n d A n sw e r s
WHY EXPAND THROUGHOUT ASEAN?
Thailand’s age demographics is still very appealing for the motorcycle hire purchase
business as the majority of the population is within the age of 20-40 years old
Thailand 2010
Thailand 2025 Thailand 2050
Thailand 1975Thailand 1950
ASEAN HAS VERY ATTRACTIVE DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURES
Cambodia, Laos, Vietnam and Indonesia all still have very young populations thus implying strong growth potential for Group Lease
Japan 1990 Thailand 2010 Indonesia 2010
Cambodia 2010 Laos 2010 Vietnam 2010
ASEAN HAS VERY ATTRACTIVE DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURES
And each of the countries markets will continue to attractive for the next 40 years
Japan 1990 Indonesia 2050
Cambodia 2040 Laos 2050
Thailand 2020
Vietnam 2040
MARKET CHARACTERISTICS
Indonesia 3r d largest motorcycle market in the world Motorcycle sales have been growing rapidly 2009 5 mi l l ion 2010 7.5 mi l l ion 2011 8 mi l l ion
Vietnam Populat ion 87.8 mi l l ion (2010) GDP 103.5 bi l l ion US$ (2010) GDP per person 1,173 US$ (2010) Urban Populat ion 27.0 mi l l ion (2010)
Cambodia Populat ion 14.1 mi l l ion (2010) GDP 11.6 bi l l ion US$ (2010) GDP per person 813 US$ (2010) Urban Populat ion 3.0 mi l l ion (2010) New Motorcycle Sales in 2011 = 160,000 uni ts.
Vietnam
Cambodia
Indonesia
CAMBODIA IS GL’S FIRST ASEAN EXPANSION
Cambodia GDP
Cambodia GDP per Capita
Cambodia Population
Cambodia is considered by many to be high risk but GL sees the opportunity to capture a young growing market
CAMBODIA IS GL’S FIRST ASEAN EXPANSION
Cambodia 1950 Cambodia 1975 Cambodia 2010
Cambodia 2025 Cambodia 2050
Cambodia has a young demographic market with a strong viability for long term growth
GL will use its recent acquisition in Singapore, Group Lease Holdings, as the main vehicle for expansion throughout ASEAN
• GL acquired Singaporean Group Lease Holdings Pte Ltd (GLH) on 29th March 2012 to be i ts ARFC (ASEAN Regional Finance Company) vehic le
• Provides GL the f lexibi l i ty in tapping mult ip le capi ta l markets in ASEAN for funding
• Growing numbers of populat ion and higher GDP per capi ta
• ASEAN motorcycle market of 15 mi l l ion uni ts per year and is expected to increase to 20ml. Motorbikes
• Aim to increase overseas revenue by 8 t imes
ASEAN Regional Finance Company
(ARFC)
SingaporeEconomic and financial
infrastructure as regional hub
ThailandHighly profitable finance
business Know-How
Japan International deployment know-How and capital
strength
GL HAS ALREADY ESTABLISHED GL FINANCE PLC IN CAMBODIA
• Incorporated on 14 March 2012
• The First and Only Financial Lease Company in Cambodia
• Financial Leasing Business Licensed by NBC on 17 May 2012
• GL Cambodia has signed an exclusive contract with Honda for 7 years to be the first and only f inance company for Honda motorbikes in Cambodia
• GL’s numbers in Cambodia expected to reach about 300,000 units by 2016 given Cambodia’s tremendous growth opportunity
• GL has 11 locations established in Cambodia as of the End of October
• Each location is within a Honda Showroom
• GL expects 3,000 new units financed monthly starting in 2013
GL HAS ALREADY ESTABLISHED GL FINANCE PLC IN CAMBODIA
HONDA SHOWROOM AT MONIVONG
HONDA SHOWROOM AT AIRPORT
HONDA SOK HY
HONDA LY KONG
HONDA CHING SUNG HEY
HONDA VAN SEU HENG
HONDA POK PHALRA
HONDA HENG SAMBO
HONDA CHHAY LY
HONDA CHHOEM NEANG
HONDA CHEA SAMBO
GRAND OPENING AND PRESS CONFERENCE
GLF SUPPORTS FOOTBALL CLINIC
GLF SUPPORTS CAMBODIAN TENNIS
AGENDA
A. I n t r o d u c t i o n
B. B u s i n e s s O v e r v i e w
C. F u t u r e E x p a n s i o n P l a n s
D. F i n a n c i a l R e v i ew
E. Q u e s t i o n s a n d A n sw e r s
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
Units: THB million 3Q12 2Q12 3Q11 QoQ% YoY% Total sales revenue 262,217 230,249 219,557 13.9% 19.4% Hire purchase interest and installment sales income 220,108 200,625 202,189 9.7% 8.9% Other income 42,109 29,624 17,368 42.1% 142.5% Total Expenses (109,405) (104,504) (111,275) 4.7% -1.7% Service and administrative expenses (71,126) (54,556) (33,569) 30.4% 111.9% Bad debts and doubtful accounts (8,591) (14,799) (41,011) -41.9% -79.1% Loss on disposals of foreclosed assets (29,688) (35,149) (36,695) -15.5% -19.1% EBIT 152,812 125,745 108,282 21.5% 41.1% EBIT Margin 58% 55% 49% Finance cost (16,233) (11,396) (19,243) 42.4% -15.6% EBT 136,579 114,349 89,039 19.4% 53.4% Corporate income tax (30,602) (25,645) (26,700) 19.3% 14.6% Net Profit 105,977 88,704 62,339 19.5% 70.0% NPM 40% 39% 28% EPS 1.54 1.29 1.04 19.3% 47.7%
REVENUE AND NET PROFIT
Revenue
2009 2010 2011 9M12
Net Profit
PROFIT AND LOSSES 3Q2012
# of units per month increased from 2,000 to 5,000
Improved customer management
Increased in line with expansion of dealers Increase in minimum
wage salary +70.0% YoY
KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS
Net D/E
ROE ROA
Net D/E is increasing because of the company’s expansion plans
ROE and ROA are at 4 year highs
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS