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Asset Allocation South Dakota Investment Council South Dakota Retirement System Board of Trustees June 5-6, 2019

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  • Asset Allocation

    South Dakota Investment CouncilSouth Dakota Retirement System Board of Trustees

    June 5-6, 2019

  • Discussion topics

    Recommended benchmark equity-like and bond-like risk and ranges

    Equity-like and bond-like risk embedded in other categories

    Recommended benchmark asset category allocation and ranges

    Expected return and standard deviation

    Asset category valuation

    Allocation movement within ranges

    1

  • Benchmark equity and bond risk

    Historical outcomes are helpful in relating to impact of risk

    Long term return history is available only for equity, bonds, and cash

    Equity returns are best over the very long term, but are volatile

    Bonds returns are lower over the long term, but provide diversification

    Return/risk tradeoff depends on willingness to endure volatility

    2

  • Equity long term returns much higher

    3

    0

    1

    10

    100

    1,000

    10,000

    1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015

    EQUITY BOND

  • Equity downturns can be brutaltwo year periods with equity returns below negative 20%

    4

    Chart1

    1932 Q2

    1938 Q1

    1942 Q1

    1970 Q2

    1974 Q3

    2002 Q3

    2009 Q1

    100:0

    -0.705

    -0.367

    -0.204

    -0.22

    -0.386

    -0.417

    -0.412

    Daily(2)

    Daily AA Model

    rawAll yellow inputs found on A257 on newaa sheet

    Quarter constantsEquilEquilFairINFLWgtdS&P500Adj N

    Inputs DatedBondT-BillValueGDPexpectedModQtrEPS pertotalpreviouslast 4 qtrN DivN EPSpreviousprevious

    YearQtrYieldYieldEquityDeflatorInflDurationEpsquartergrowthequity scoreavg inflw/ buybacksadjbond scorecomdty score

    201634.98%3.48%1854.60872015140.70%2.28%1222.7623.324.50%01.25%12.83-3.11%-32

    1.003annualized91.0493.2779078233

    0.63922812841.014Commodity

    stimulus

    ClosingBondBillClosePricePrice toBondBondBill vs expLesserEquityBondEquity100%

    Eq ExpClosingClosingPriceto ValueAdj FVAdj FVPrice toBondPrice toTbill vsusing 4 qEquityBondCashCmmdtyEquityEq orMove toMove toless BondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityStimulus

    YEARMDAYReturnYieldYieldS&P500EquityEquityEquityValueAdj EquilAdj FVEquilInflationWgtWgtWgtWgtPositionEq less BdFair ValFair ValMove to FVPositionWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionAdj

    20166307.15%3.02%0.17%2043.941.101889.711.081.314.30%1.183.31%2.08%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-7.5%-7.5%-15.5%7.9%-315.0%20.8%100.0%25.00%

    2016710.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016720.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016730.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016740.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016750.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016760.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016770.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016780.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016790.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20167310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016810.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016820.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016830.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016840.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016850.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016860.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016870.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016880.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016890.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20168310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016910.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016920.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016930.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016940.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016950.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016960.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016970.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016980.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016990.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    20169310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%

    Action Table:

    Take Adj FV Equity of 1895.14 *.0375 for the 3/4 Fed stimulus adjustment

    =71.07adjustment

    Adj. FV1,824

    ELR

    -5.00%1,73770.00%

    -10.00%1,65875.00%

    -15.00%1,58680.00%

    10.00%2,02763.33%

    15.00%2,14656.67%

    20.00%2,28050.00%

    Action TableOLD

    over FVAdj. FVELRLevel

    10.00%1.1163.33%2155.00

    15.00%1.176556.67%2281.00

    20.00%1.250050.00%2424.00

    under FVAdj. FV

    -5.00%0.952470.00%1739.00

    -10.00%0.909175.00%1763.00

    -15.00%0.869680.00%1686.00

    -20.00%0.833385.00%1616.00

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP

    data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP

    (Avg inflation of last 4 qtrs [with 2 qtr lag] *20% of inflation to cover taxes +1% real return) - column L

    This is what triggers allocation into commodities.

    30 yr Equil yield(column DM)

    Tbill Equil yield(Coumn DK)

    Fair value of Equity(column P)

    GDP Deflator(column J)

    Long term wghted expected inflation(column BR)

    mod Durationcolumn AF3

    current qtr EPS

    Adjusted Normal Quartly earnings(column CJ)

    Total Growth(column CX)[used to figure on Daily AA sheet in column C]

    previous equity scorecolumn AL (one up from the line you are currently on)

    last 4 qtr averageinflation(column J)

    Normal Div including Buybacks (column CQ)

    N EPS Adjust(Column Y)

    previous bond scorecolumn AN (one up from the line you are currently on)

    previous commodity scorecolumn BD (one up from the line you are currently on)

    Daily

    Daily AA Model

    rawAll yellow inputs found on A257 on newaa sheet

    Quarter constantsEquilEquilFairINFLWgtdS&P500Adj N

    Inputs DatedBondT-BillValueGDPexpectedModQtrEPS pertotalpreviouslast 4 qtrN DivN EPSpreviousprevious

    YearQtrYieldYieldEquityDeflatorInflDurationEpsquartergrowthequity scoreavg inflw/ buybacksadjbond scorecomdty score

    201625.03%3.53%1848.580.90%2.31%1218.6423.284.55%01.10%12.80-4.21%-320.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22

    annualized74.5693.1015627422

    0.6413133362Commodity

    stimulus

    ClosingBondBillClosePricePrice toBondBondBill vs expLesserEquityBondEquity100%

    Eq ExpClosingClosingPriceto ValueAdj FVAdj FVPrice toBondPrice toTbill vsusing 4 qEquityBondCashCmmdtyEquityEq orMove toMove toless BondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityStimulus

    YEARMDAYReturnYieldYieldS&P500EquityEquityEquityValueAdj EquilAdj FVEquilInflationWgtWgtWgtWgtPositionEq less BdFair ValFair ValMove to FVPositionWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionAdj

    20163317.17%2.61%0.20%2059.741.111863.161.111.414.26%1.253.32%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.5%-9.5%-19.8%10.2%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016417.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016427.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016437.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016447.16%2.60%0.20%2066.131.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.33%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.9%10.1%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016457.19%2.55%0.22%2045.171.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.31%1.85%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.9%-8.9%-20.6%11.7%-315.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    2016467.16%2.59%0.23%2066.661.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.29%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-20.1%10.2%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016477.19%2.52%0.23%2041.911.101863.161.101.434.26%1.263.29%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.8%-8.8%-20.9%12.2%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016487.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    2016497.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164107.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164117.19%2.56%0.22%2041.991.101863.161.101.424.26%1.263.31%1.85%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.8%-8.8%-20.4%11.6%-315.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    20164127.17%2.60%0.23%2061.721.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.6%-9.6%-19.9%10.3%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164137.14%2.58%0.23%2082.421.131863.161.121.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.1%9.6%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164147.14%2.60%0.22%2082.781.131863.161.121.414.26%1.253.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-19.9%9.4%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    20164157.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    20164167.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    20164177.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%

    20164187.13%2.58%0.21%2094.341.131863.161.121.424.26%1.253.32%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.0%-11.0%-20.1%9.1%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    20164197.12%2.59%0.21%2100.801.141863.161.131.414.26%1.253.31%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.3%-11.3%-20.0%8.7%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    20164207.12%2.66%0.23%2102.401.141863.161.131.404.26%1.243.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.4%-11.4%-19.3%7.9%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164217.13%2.69%0.23%2091.481.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.9%8.0%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164227.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164237.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164247.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%

    20164257.13%2.73%0.25%2087.791.131863.161.121.384.26%1.223.27%1.82%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.8%-10.8%-18.3%7.5%-320.0%18.2%100.0%25.00%

    20164267.13%2.76%0.25%2091.701.131863.161.121.374.26%1.223.28%1.82%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.1%7.1%-320.0%18.2%100.0%25.00%

    20164277.12%2.70%0.24%2095.151.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.83%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.1%-11.1%-18.7%7.6%-320.0%18.3%100.0%25.00%

    20164287.15%2.68%0.21%2075.811.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.2%-10.2%-18.9%8.7%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    20164297.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    20164307.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    2016517.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%

    2016527.14%2.73%0.19%2081.431.131863.161.121.384.26%1.233.33%1.88%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-18.4%7.9%-320.0%18.8%100.0%25.00%

    2016537.16%2.66%0.20%2063.371.121863.161.111.404.26%1.243.32%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.7%-9.7%-19.2%9.5%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016547.18%2.63%0.19%2051.121.111863.161.101.404.26%1.243.33%1.88%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.2%-9.2%-19.5%10.4%-315.0%18.8%100.0%25.00%

    2016550.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016560.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016570.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016580.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016590.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165100.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165110.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165120.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165130.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165140.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165150.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165160.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165170.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165180.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165190.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165200.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165210.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165220.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165230.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165240.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165250.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165260.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165270.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165280.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165290.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165300.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20165310.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016610.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016620.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016630.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016640.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016650.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016660.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016670.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016680.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016690.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166100.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166110.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166120.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166130.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166140.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166150.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166160.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166170.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166180.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166190.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166200.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166210.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166220.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166230.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166240.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166250.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166260.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166270.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166280.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166290.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    20166300.00%0.001863.160.00002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    2016710.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%

    Action Table:

    Take Adj FV Equity of 1863.16*.0375 for the 3/4 Fed stimulus adjustment

    =69.87adjustment

    Adj. FV1,793

    ELR

    -5.00%1,70870.00%

    -10.00%1,63075.00%

    -15.00%1,55980.00%

    10.00%1,99363.33%

    15.00%2,11056.67%

    20.00%2,24250.00%

    Action Table - unadjusted for Fed

    over FVAdj. FVELRLevel

    10.00%111.1163.33%2070.00

    15.00%1.176556.67%2192.00

    20.00%1.250050.00%2329.00

    under FVAdj. FV

    -5.00%0.952470.00%1777.00

    -10.00%0.909175.00%1695.00

    -15.00%0.869680.00%1620.00

    -20.00%0.833385.00%1553.00

    (Avg inflation of last 4 qtrs [with 2 qtr lag] *20% of inflation to cover taxes +1% real return) - column L

    This is what triggers allocation into commodities.

    data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP

    30 yr Equil yield(column DM)

    Tbill Equil yield(Coumn DK)

    Fair value of Equity(column P)

    GDP Deflator(column J)

    Long term wghted expected inflation(column BR)

    mod Durationcolumn AF3

    current qtr EPS

    Adjusted Normal Quartly earnings(column CJ)

    Total Growth(column CX)[used to figure on Daily AA sheet in column C]

    previous equity scorecolumn AL (one up from the line you are currently on)

    last 4 qtr averageinflation(column J)

    Normal Div including Buybacks (column CQ)

    N EPS Adjust(Column Y)

    previous bond scorecolumn AN (one up from the line you are currently on)

    previous commodity scorecolumn BD (one up from the line you are currently on)

    Input

    last update10/5/15http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500Data lagged so that most recent data used to derive answer for the beginning of each quarter shows up on the same line for that quarter - model does not lag as all lags incorporated in this sectionNotes: Dividends input is off a line

    Input Data according to Date1.)hover over "Additional Info" tab.

    2.)click Index Earnings(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(est. for latest)(2 rows behind)(1 row behind)(Enter previous month end yield)

    S&P500LatestINFLS&P500BondBillBook fromReal10y TsyHY indexS&P500LatestINFLS&P500BondBillBook fromRealHYAcutal Total

    QtrOperating12 moGDPClosingClosingClosingBrought in P/BEstateused fortotalP/B usedQtrOperating12 moGDPClosingExpectedExpectedBrought in P/BEstateMasterYield

    EpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivDeflatorPriceYieldYieldadj impl bef 77Cap RateHY spreadyield1977-1993YrQEpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivDeflatorPriceReturnReturnadj impl bef 77Cap RateSpread

    2.3%1.1%

    195010.641.04-0.9%17.292.3%1.1%

    195020.721.143.4%17.692.4%1.2%

    195030.751.1712.4%19.452.4%1.3%

    195040.731.206.5%20.412.4%1.3%

    195110.631.3313.0%21.402.5%1.3%

    195120.611.471.6%20.962.6%1.4%

    195130.541.52-0.1%23.262.6%1.7%

    195140.661.564.2%23.772.7%1.7%

    195210.591.520.0%24.372.7%1.6%

    195220.551.41-0.1%24.962.6%1.6%

    195230.561.422.4%24.542.7%1.8%

    195240.701.454.7%26.572.7%2.1%

    195310.621.451.2%25.292.9%2.1%

    195320.631.410.3%24.143.2%2.3%

    195330.601.411.4%23.353.0%1.9%

    195340.661.42-1.8%24.812.8%1.7%

    195410.661.424.5%26.942.6%1.0%

    195420.701.451.4%29.212.6%0.6%

    195430.611.47-0.9%32.312.5%1.0%

    195440.801.452.1%35.982.6%1.2%

    195510.851.473.4%36.582.7%1.3%

    195520.961.542.6%41.032.8%1.5%

    195530.831.562.6%43.673.0%2.0%

    195540.981.572.4%45.482.9%2.6%

    195610.921.623.4%48.482.9%2.4%

    195620.871.643.4%46.972.9%2.5%

    195630.691.734.6%45.353.2%2.8%

    195640.931.803.5%46.673.4%3.3%

    195710.911.844.6%44.113.3%3.1%

    195720.891.741.5%47.373.6%3.3%

    195730.741.734.0%42.423.7%3.6%

    195740.831.730.5%39.993.2%3.1%

    195810.681.761.6%42.103.3%1.3%

    195820.681.791.0%45.243.2%0.9%

    195830.691.772.3%50.063.8%2.5%

    195840.841.731.9%55.213.8%2.7%

    195910.901.733.5%55.444.0%2.9%

    195920.971.753.1%58.474.2%3.2%

    195930.721.771.5%56.884.3%4.0%

    195940.801.791.2%59.914.6%4.4%

    196010.901.812.6%55.344.1%2.8%

    196020.841.830.7%56.924.0%2.2%

    196030.731.941.8%53.523.9%2.3%

    196040.801.950.5%58.113.9%2.3%

    196110.721.95-0.4%65.063.8%2.4%

    196120.781.952.0%64.643.9%2.4%

    196130.751.941.8%66.734.0%2.3%

    196140.941.940.7%71.554.1%2.8%

    196210.901.963.4%69.554.0%2.7%

    196220.882.021.5%54.754.0%2.9%

    196230.812.040.8%56.274.0%2.7%

    196241.082.062.6%63.103.9%2.9%

    196310.942.081.8%66.574.0%2.9%

    196321.012.130.3%69.374.1%3.0%

    196330.932.151.1%71.704.1%3.4%

    196341.142.202.9%75.024.2%3.6%

    196411.102.211.1%78.984.2%3.6%

    196421.162.281.2%81.694.1%3.5%

    196431.072.332.2%84.184.2%3.6%

    196441.222.381.0%84.754.2%3.9%

    196511.232.443.4%86.164.2%4.0%

    196521.322.502.0%84.124.2%3.9%

    196531.212.552.4%89.964.3%4.1%

    196541.432.612.2%92.434.5%4.6%

    196611.382.664.1%89.234.6%4.6%

    196621.442.724.7%84.744.8%4.7%

    196631.262.782.1%76.564.8%5.4%

    196641.472.834.0%80.334.6%4.9%

    196711.282.892.6%90.204.5%4.2%

    196721.322.871.5%90.645.1%3.9%

    196731.232.903.9%96.715.2%4.5%

    196741.502.904.4%96.475.6%5.1%

    196811.392.925.1%90.205.6%5.3%

    196821.452.925.0%99.585.3%5.5%

    196831.322.953.4%102.675.3%5.3%

    196841.602.995.7%103.865.9%6.4%

    196911.453.034.7%101.516.2%6.1%

    196921.473.075.4%97.716.2%6.2%

    196931.373.106.6%93.126.7%7.3%

    196941.493.135.3%92.066.8%8.2%

    197011.303.155.8%89.636.5%6.5%

    197021.363.165.4%72.727.2%6.4%

    197031.213.173.2%84.216.7%5.9%

    197041.263.185.5%92.156.3%4.9%

    197111.393.196.0%100.315.7%3.6%

    197121.463.145.6%99.706.3%5.2%

    197131.323.113.5%98.345.8%4.6%

    197141.533.103.7%102.095.8%3.7%

    197211.503.095.6%107.206.0%3.8%

    197221.623.072.9%107.145.9%4.0%

    197231.493.073.4%110.555.9%4.6%

    197241.813.075.2%118.055.8%5.2%

    197311.883.085.7%111.526.9%6.5%

    197322.053.157.2%104.267.1%7.7%

    197331.953.177.0%108.437.0%7.1%

    197342.283.228.6%97.557.3%7.6%

    197412.083.277.5%93.987.8%8.5%

    197422.433.3810.3%86.008.1%7.6%

    197432.323.4410.8%63.548.4%6.3%

    197442.063.5012.1%68.567.7%7.2%

    197511.643.5910.7%83.368.0%5.6%

    197521.943.605.2%95.198.0%5.9%

    197532.123.677.4%83.878.5%6.7%

    197542.263.717.5%90.197.8%5.3%

    197612.343.713.6%102.777.9%5.1%

    197622.533.683.7%104.288.0%5.5%

    197632.423.694.9%105.247.8%5.1%

    197642.623.766.5%107.467.2%4.4%1.33

    197712.513.855.5%98.427.7%4.6%1.34

    197722.874.056.6%100.487.5%5.1%1.26

    197732.714.195.9%96.537.6%6.1%1.23

    197742.804.366.4%95.108.0%6.3%1.11

    197812.544.505.3%89.218.3%6.7%1.18

    197823.184.6710.8%95.538.6%7.2%1.24

    197833.054.808.7%102.548.6%8.1%1.14

    197843.564.919.1%96.119.0%9.6%1.17

    197913.515.028.5%101.599.0%9.8%1.16

    197923.865.078.5%102.918.8%9.3%1.21

    197933.705.208.3%109.329.3%10.4%1.16

    197943.795.347.3%107.9410.1%12.5%1.07

    198013.945.519.6%102.0912.4%15.0%1.17

    198023.515.6510.9%114.2410.0%8.2%1.26

    198033.405.808.9%125.4611.8%11.9%1.35

    198043.975.9411.3%135.7612.0%15.0%1.30

    198113.706.0710.6%136.0012.9%13.0%1.29

    198123.946.165.9%131.2113.6%15.1%1.09

    198133.666.289.4%116.1815.6%15.2%1.12

    198144.066.399.0%122.5514.1%11.5%1.01

    198213.156.524.6%112.0013.9%13.9%0.99

    198223.306.635.6%109.6014.1%13.3%1.07

    198233.056.723.4%120.4011.6%7.8%1.24

    198243.146.814.4%140.6010.7%8.1%1.33

    198312.936.853.4%153.0010.8%9.0%1.45

    198323.476.872.7%168.1011.2%9.0%1.41

    198333.766.914.2%166.0011.6%9.0%1.43

    198343.876.942.9%164.9012.0%9.3%1.27

    198414.167.004.2%157.4412.5%10.0%1.27

    198424.417.093.6%153.1213.8%10.3%1.36

    198434.127.173.3%166.1012.4%10.6%1.35

    198443.957.302.5%167.2311.7%8.0%1.42

    198513.917.374.8%180.6611.9%8.4%1.49

    198523.597.532.3%192.4310.6%6.6%1.41

    198533.757.662.6%182.0810.7%7.2%1.61

    198543.687.742.2%211.289.5%7.3%1.79

    198613.827.842.0%238.907.5%6.5%1.85

    198623.827.901.5%250.847.2%6.1%1.68

    198633.888.021.9%231.327.6%5.3%1.73

    198642.968.102.4%231.327.5%5.9%2.08

    198714.518.232.4%291.707.8%5.8%2.13

    198723.158.282.6%304.008.5%5.9%2.25

    198735.318.343.0%321.839.8%6.9%1.70

    198744.608.523.2%247.089.0%5.9%1.75

    198815.535.488.663.1%258.898.8%5.9%1.80

    198826.226.058.814.0%273.508.8%6.7%1.75

    198836.386.228.954.9%271.919.0%7.5%1.75

    198845.626.379.233.5%277.729.0%8.4%1.82

    198916.746.419.464.1%294.879.1%9.2%2.27

    198926.486.539.734.3%317.988.0%8.3%2.09

    198934.855.549.983.0%349.158.2%8.2%2.11

    198944.805.8410.32.7%353.408.0%7.8%1.97

    199015.545.6110.674.5%339.948.6%8.1%2.06

    199026.076.0611.054.2%358.028.4%8.0%1.73

    199035.335.9711.323.7%306.059.0%7.4%1.84

    199044.405.0111.673.1%330.228.3%6.6%2.07

    199115.144.7711.844.0%375.228.2%5.9%2.02

    199124.544.7912.12.7%371.168.4%5.7%2.12

    199133.745.1112.122.9%387.867.9%5.3%2.27

    199142.554.6312.152.1%417.097.4%4.0%2.19

    199215.364.9312.281.8%403.698.0%4.2%2.26

    199225.405.2112.22.6%408.147.8%3.7%2.24

    199234.735.1212.321.9%417.807.4%2.8%2.31

    199243.65.6112.322.8%435.717.4%3.2%2.50

    199316.116.2512.392.4%451.676.9%3.0%2.57

    199324.896.5712.382.4%450.536.7%3.1%2.60

    199335.816.9212.482.1%458.936.0%3.0%2.65

    199345.087.1612.452.3%466.456.4%3.1%2.55

    199416.937.1712.452.1%445.777.1%3.6%179.70

    199427.387.7512.512.0%444.277.6%4.2%182.03

    199437.948.0312.642.0%462.717.8%4.8%188.08

    199448.358.812.722.3%459.277.9%5.7%193.04

    199518.888.6412.932.4%500.717.4%5.9%200.12

    199529.269.513.181.8%544.756.6%5.6%205.29

    199538.699.7813.061.7%584.416.5%5.4%210.31

    199547.139.7813.371.9%615.936.0%5.1%216.51

    199618.969.3913.582.1%645.506.7%5.1%216.25

    1996210.1310.3113.791.5%670.636.9%5.2%221.31

    199639.789.9214.11.8%687.336.9%5.0%225.96

    199649.8611.0114.271.7%740.746.6%5.2%237.09

    1997110.4710.5614.662.0%757.127.1%5.3%235.84

    1997210.4411.1314.91.9%885.146.8%5.2%241.09

    199739.8711.0315.061.2%947.286.4%5.1%246.51

    199748.9411.2915.161.4%970.435.9%5.4%249.52

    1998110.2910.9215.330.6%1101.755.9%5.1%252.53

    199829.8711.4315.490.9%1133.845.6%5.1%257.29

    199838.9910.4515.641.5%1017.055.0%4.4%262.83

    199848.5611.4715.951.1%1229.235.1%4.5%266.40

    1999110.9611.7316.151.5%1286.375.6%4.5%271.69

    1999212.5113.2116.21.7%1372.716.0%4.8%276.42

    1999311.9312.9716.451.4%1282.716.1%4.9%280.79

    1999412.7713.7716.452.0%1469.256.5%5.3%290.68

    2000113.7413.9716.643.0%1498.585.8%5.9%295.94

    2000213.4814.8816.692.2%1454.605.9%5.9%312.94

    2000313.7114.1716.762.6%1436.515.9%6.2%319.60

    200049.0713.1116.72.1%1320.285.5%5.9%325.80

    200119.1810.73-0.2716.342.6%1160.335.5%4.3%347.25

    200124.839.02-1.5216.272.8%1224.425.8%3.7%345.87

    200135.239.16-0.515.971.3%1040.945.4%2.4%339.40

    200145.459.94-0.1815.691.3%1148.085.5%1.7%338.37

    200219.1910.85-0.3115.741.2%1147.395.8%1.8%332.74

    200226.8711.64-0.4715.741.7%989.825.5%1.7%329.52

    200238.5311.61-0.3715.731.8%815.284.7%1.6%334.92

    20024311.94-5.7616.042.1%879.824.8%1.2%321.72

    2003111.9212.48-0.1315.82.5%848.184.8%1.1%328.72

    2003211.112.92-0.2916.081.3%974.504.6%0.9%346.32

    2003312.5614.41-0.4316.232.2%995.974.9%0.9%351.89

    2003413.1614.88-0.9216.172.0%1111.925.1%0.9%367.17

    2004115.1815.87-0.0716.593.5%1126.214.8%0.9%376.48

    2004215.2516.98-0.0217.393.4%1140.845.3%1.3%386.23

    2004314.1816.88-0.1218.032.6%1114.584.9%1.7%402.52

    2004413.9417.95-2.1218.62.8%1211.924.8%2.2%414.75

    2005116.9518-0.0619.163.7%1180.594.76%2.78%426.79

    2005218.2919.42-0.0819.432.9%1191.334.19%3.13%436.90

    2005317.3918.84-0.8621.483.80%1228.814.57%3.55%441.7720053

    2005417.320.19-2.0222.223.10%1248.294.54%4.08%453.0620054

    2006119.6920.75-0.0222.793.10%1294.834.89%4.61%468.636.35%2006117.3918.84-0.8621.483.80%1,248.294.54%4.08%436.896#NA#NA#NA

    2006220.1121.95-0.0123.443.30%1270.205.19%4.99%474.916.12%2006217.320.19-2.0222.223.10%1,294.834.89%4.61%441.7666.35%#NA#NA

    2006321.4723.03-0.1824.12.80%1335.854.76%4.88%491.966.12%2006319.6920.75-0.0222.793.10%1,270.205.19%4.99%453.0616.12%#NA#NA

    2006420.2421.99-1.3024.881.40%1418.34.81%5.02%504.406.03%2006420.1121.95-0.0123.443.30%1,335.854.76%4.88%468.6296.12%#NA#NA

    2007121.3322.39-2.087525.494.50%1420.864.85%5.04%508.995.94%2007121.4723.03-0.1824.12.80%1,418.304.81%5.02%474.9116.03%#NA#NA

    2007221.8824.06-2.087526.172.30%1503.355.13%4.81%516.915.60%2007220.2421.99-1.324.881.40%1,420.864.85%5.04%491.9585.94%#NA#NA

    2007315.1520.87-2.087526.971.30%1526.754.84%3.81%524.005.58%2007321.3322.39-2.087525.494.50%1,503.355.13%4.81%504.3955.60%#NA#NA

    200747.8215.22-2.087527.731.70%1468.364.45%3.25%529.595.75%2007421.8824.06-2.087526.172.30%1,526.754.84%3.81%508.9945.58%#NA#NA

    2008115.5416.620.000128.32.30%1322.704.29%1.33%530.945.79%10.93%2008115.1520.87-2.087526.971.30%1,468.364.45%3.25%516.9135.75%#NA#NA

    2008212.8617.02-2.528.711.80%1280.004.53%1.74%530.706.12%3.97%10.88%200827.8215.22-2.087527.731.70%1,322.704.29%1.33%5245.79%#NA10.93%

    200839.7315.96-2.528.852.80%1166.364.31%0.92%514.606.80%3.83%13.93%2008315.5416.620.000128.32.30%1,280.004.53%1.74%529.59494130266.12%690.710.88%

    20084-23.25-0.09-2.528.390.70%903.252.68%0.08%451.378.10%2.21%19.55%2008412.8617.02-2.528.711.80%1,166.364.31%0.92%530.94319319226.80%1010.713.93%

    200917.5210.11-2.527.251.00%797.873.54%0.21%449.438.80%2.67%18.70%200919.7315.96-2.528.852.80%903.252.68%0.08%530.69654458248.10%1733.319.55%

    2009213.5113.810.000125.59-0.60%919.324.33%0.20%487.698.80%3.54%13.08%20092-23.25-0.09-2.528.3870.70%797.873.54%0.21%514.60126886888.80%1603.518.70%

    2009314.7615.780.000123.90.00%1057.084.05%0.12%498.438.40%3.31%10.29%200937.5210.11-2.527.251.00%919.324.33%0.20%451.37291648258.80%954.113.08%

    2009415.1817.160.000122.411.20%1115.14.64%0.06%513.587.90%3.84%9.20%2009413.5113.810.000125.59-0.60%1,057.084.05%0.12%449.42648592528.40%698.110.29%

    2010117.4819.380.000121.911.30%1169.434.72%0.16%530.957.60%3.83%8.60%2010114.7615.780.000123.90.00%1,115.104.64%0.06%487.68598366847.90%535.59.20%

    2010219.6820.90.000122.041.90%1030.713.89%0.18%541.607.20%2.93%9.18%2010215.1817.160.000122.411.20%1,169.434.72%0.16%498.42921196657.60%477.48.60%

    2010319.5221.560.000122.361.80%1141.23.69%0.16%567.957.00%2.51%8.09%2010317.4819.380.000121.911.30%1,030.713.89%0.18%513.57730084667.20%624.39.18%

    2010420.6721.930.000122.732.10%1257.644.34%0.13%579.146.80%3.30%7.85%2010419.6820.90.000122.041.90%1,141.203.69%0.16%530.94691410657.00%557.58.09%

    2011121.4422.560.000123.431.80%1325.834.51%0.10%594.056.70%3.47%7.45%2011119.5221.560.000122.361.80%1,257.644.34%0.13%541.60259896196.80%455.57.85%

    2011222.2424.860.000124.343.00%1320.644.37%0.02%613.086.40%3.16%7.65%2011220.6721.930.000122.732.10%1,325.834.51%0.10%567.94647979026.70%397.57.45%

    2011322.6325.290.000125.182.30%1131.422.92%0.01%613.186.40%1.92%9.62%2011321.4422.560.000123.431.80%1,320.644.37%0.02%579.14031982876.40%449.27.65%

    2011420.6323.730.000126.430.60%1257.62.90%0.02%613.146.40%1.88%8.54%2011422.2424.860.000124.3413.00%1,131.422.92%0.01%594.04829271976.40%769.79.62%

    2012123.0324.240.000127.352.10%1408.473.34%0.07%633.046.40%2.21%7.69%2012122.6325.290.000125.1812.30%1,257.602.90%0.02%613.08012017596.40%666.38.54%

    2012221.6225.430.000128.321.80%1362.162.76%0.09%639.456.40%1.65%7.84%2012220.6323.730.000126.430.60%1,408.473.34%0.07%613.18329171526.40%547.57.69%

    2012321.2124.000.000129.592.40%1440.672.83%0.10%661.936.30%1.63%7.15%2012323.0324.240.000127.3532.10%1,362.162.76%0.09%613.1416.40%619.37.84%

    2012420.6523.150.000131.251.50%1426.192.95%0.05%666.976.15%1.76%6.75%2012421.6225.430.000128.321.80%1,440.672.83%0.10%633.0446.30%551.57.15%

    2013124.2225.770.000132.111.50%1569.193.10%0.08%679.096.00%1.85%6.35%2013121.21240.000129.592.40%1,426.192.95%0.05%639.4456.15%499.16.75%

    2013224.8726.360.000133.271.10%1606.283.50%0.04%679.156.00%2.49%6.92%2013220.6523.150.000131.24694206811.50%1,569.193.10%0.08%661.9266.00%4506.35%

    2013324.6326.920.000134.402.00%1681.553.69%0.01%693.226.10%2.61%6.79%2013324.2225.770.000132.111.50%1,606.283.50%0.04%666.96554487366.00%443.36.92%

    2013426.4828.250.000134.991.80%1848.363.97%0.07%715.846.00%3.03%6.39%2013424.8726.360.000133.26634132251.10%1,681.553.69%0.01%679.0886.10%4186.79%

    2014124.8727.320.000136.231.50%1872.343.56%0.04%717.816.40%2.72%6.14%2014124.6326.920.000134.40391138122.00%1,848.363.97%0.07%679.1516.00%3366.39%

    2014227.1429.340.000137.382.20%1960.233.36%0.03%733.845.90%2.53%5.77%2014226.4828.250.000134.99204410971.80%1,872.343.56%0.04%693.21976.40%3426.14%

    2014327.4729.600.000138.491.60%1972.293.20%0.02%736.785.80%2.49%6.47%2014324.8727.320.000136.22767907281.50%1,960.233.36%0.03%715.83617158325.90%3245.77%

    2014422.8326.750.000139.440.10%2058.92.75%0.05%726.965.70%2.17%6.95%2014427.1429.340.000137.38067679692.20%1,972.293.20%0.02%717.8095.80%3986.47%

    2015121.8125.810.000140.810.10%2067.892.54%0.03%729.295.60%1.93%6.63%2015127.4729.60.000138.49461129651.60%2,058.902.75%0.05%733.83584222415.70%4786.95%

    2015222.8026.140.000141.742.10%2063.113.12%0.01%735.905.50%2.35%6.94%2015222.8326.750.000139.440.10%2,067.892.54%0.03%736.785.60%470.56.63%

    2015323.2225.440.000142.511.30%1920.032.86%-0.01%744.685.50%2.04%8.22%2015321.8125.810.000140.80660984690.10%2,063.113.12%0.01%726.9565.50%4596.94%

    2015418.7023.060.000143.390.90%2043.943.02%0.25%740.295.40%2.27%8.90%2015422.826.140.000141.74200180992.10%1,920.032.86%-0.01%729.2915.50%6188.22%

    2016122.7624.970.000143.880.70%2059.742.61%0.20%5.40%1.77%8.58%2016123.2225.440.000142.51039650951.30%2,043.943.02%0.25%735.95.40%6638.90%

    201622016218.723.060.000143.38788736090.90%2,059.742.61%0.20%744.685.40%6818.58%

    201632016322.7624.970.000143.87593959330.70%#NA#NA#NA740.287#NA#NA#NA

    2016420164#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA

    10/01/09 looks like S&P does not even attempt to provide this info anymore (the tab is not in the download anymore)

    answer line up right with dates

    answer line up right with dates

    answer line up right with dates

    seems to be 1 qtr off going forward

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    30Y bondInputted

    Inputted

    data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from: BloombergGDP DCHG 'Index' HP

    data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    Inputted

    1st day of the new qtr

    30Y bondInputted

    Inputted

    data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesS&P 500 Monthly Performance DataS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from: BloombergGDP DCHG 'Index' HP

    data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP

    No Data yet in S&P sheet so just filling in a est number myself

    Using GreenStreet Advisors "Real Estate Securities Monthly" (Scott has login to website)

    Green Street Average (mkt-cap weighted) Cap Rate (not implied cap rate) about on page 13-15

    CompustatReport AssistantItem: ceqqTicker: I0003

    Data from Greenstreet via Jeff and Scott

    Using GreenStreet Advisors "Real Estate Securities Monthly" (Scott has login to website)

    Green Street Average (mkt-cap weighted) Cap Rate (4) about on page 13-15

    This data is actually just the 10yr Treas yield. The spread is then figured in Green Section

    GT10 Govt HP change to qtr for dates

    Data from ML Master HY II Index

    H0A0 Index 4 (Index Characteristics)put "date" in

    Yield to Maturity

    data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesLatest S&P 500 Market AttributesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesLatest S&P 500 Market AttributesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesS&P 500 Monthly Performance DataS&P Earnings and Estimate Report

    data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP

    beginning of Compustat Data

    http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500

    current model

    1.08%0.979%CommodityPrice to Value and adjusted price to values and calculation of target allocations551YearsPositionAllocationEntryExitAllocation TargetsFor comparison purposesuse hedonic=1usage0.33Sweet spot floor2.00%For GrowthFor EPSCumulative InflationNormal EPS using Adj ROE * Adj BookGrowthDiscount Rate premiumsadditional term0.33%Equilibrium Discount ratesReal ReturnsAdjusted Book, ROE used to get N epsstripped ofReal EstateHigh Yieldaa

    1.05%Data Input (Fill in Red Items)stimulusAdj cap5.0%Adj cap5.0%use 1/12 to adj for dur12Mod DurMod Dur50%50%100%% revision210%15%5%use0Sweet spot cap4.00%SH power adjw/o infl passwith infl passAbove cuts orgOrganic targetIf div belowNormalBase0.75%adj % sh power33%unexpected inf.stripped ofdm

    1.10%(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(est. for latest)(not used(2 rows behind)(1 row behind)(Enter previous month end yield)100%0%0%cap threshh3.0%cap threshh30.0%use 1/12 to adj for dur1212.0012.00This section not complete15%10%0%0%2%0%Sweet spot adj0.25%1.00%33%60%40%55%0%33%-0.50%Tax extra20%base mult of A2.25%EquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumCurrentCurrentCurrentAverageAverageAverageInfl pass through33%SH Power adjunexpected inf.

    0.68%EPSS&P500LatestCurrently)INFLS&P500BondBillBill vs expEquityFairPriceStimulus100%N EPS100%Equil100%BondAdj BdBondBondEquityBondEquityLesserFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearEquityOld ModelOld ModelOld ModelHedonicWgtd3Y Infl out3Y Infl outLag 2q lt avgAdj forAdj RealExpectedExpectedCumulativeAnnualizedRolling 3YAmort AdjNorm EPSNormalAdj NormDiv PayoutOrganicNormal DivReturn onReturn onGrowth fromGrowth fromNorml EPSClosingGrowthRollingWgtedRealYield CurveYield curveSpreadEquityA ratedEquity30YearTbillEquity30YearTbillEquityBook fromBook impliedLeakageEPS adjBook AdjROErolling 1yrrolling 1yrSH Power adjRealLevexcessexcessLev RERERETrailingHYHYHYRF DurationDuration MatchedAcutal Total

    timenegQtrOperating12 moHedonicGDPClosingClosingClosingusing 4 qLT expValueto ValueGraphTbill vsTbill vsTbill vs ExpTailwind orStimulusDegreeN EPSAdj FVPrice toBondAdjustedYieldYieldPrice toAdj PriceMove toMove toless bondEq orEquityEquityBondBondReturnReturnReturnExcess premExcess premExcess premversusEquityEquityBondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityCommodityEquityBondCashEquityBondCashEquityBondCommodityAdjustedexpectedof sweetof sweetBVL adjUnexpectSH PowerBVL AdjNom ROENom ROELaggedCumulativeAnnualizedWgtedBookw/o opt inflEPSEPS perof NormlReinvestBuybacksIncludingOrganicAcquisitionOrganicAcquisitionInflationNorml EPSTotalYield inclEq Expless expected10 yearInflationBillbill to10 year toA rated topremium toBill10 year30 year30 yearDiscountlesslesslesslesslesslessP/BBrought in P/Bby retainedLeakageLeakageUnamortAdjustedreportedWriteoffUnamortBV leakage &BV leakageAdj EPSadj roeadj roeCumulCumulEstateReal Estatecap ratecap ratePVPVPVAvgMasterP/VPVMatched YldFair total YLDYield

    periodYrQtrimEpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivAdjustmentDeflatorPriceYieldYieldInflationReturnEquityEquityComparisonEquilibriumprev 4 qtrsw/ Infl 2qHeadwindAdjustmentExceededAdjustmentEquityAdj FVYieldEquilLess Equilless EquilValueto ValueFair ValFair ValMove to FVEq less BdPositionWeightPositionWeightEquityBondCashEquityBondCashbetter ofPositionWeightPositionWeightWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionWeightWgtWgtWgtWgtWgtWgtReturnReturnWgtDeflatorInflspotspot cappedROE - InflInflationROE AdjROEw/o infl passwith infl passDeflatorDeflatorDeflatorExpectedLagged 2qw/o sh powerwith adjquarterdivEPS% norm eps&BuyoutsAcquisitionsBuybacksReinvestInvestmentReinvestInvestmentPass-throughAttritionGrowthBuybacksReturnInflationEPS GwthexpectationYield10 year30 yearTreasury30y TSYYieldYieldYieldYieldRateInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectBrought inadj impl bef 77earningsof bookAmortLeakageBookEPSWriteoffsAmortWriteoffsGW& WOWOAdj Bookless INFLless INFLaverageaverageCap RateCap ratew/ lev88Move to FairSpreadSpread4.50Move to Fair50%

    7.00%-0.04%0.22%7.18%10.77%

    195010.640.641.04-0.9%17.292.3%1.1%-0.9%18.368.140.000.0018.360.640.000.000.6418.363.5%

    195020.720.721.143.4%17.692.3%1.1%3.4%18.758.57(0.05)-0.00-0.0518.790.720.000.000.7218.793.8%

    195030.750.751.1712.4%19.452.4%1.2%12.4%18.3619.169.03(0.05)-0.00-0.0919.250.750.000.000.7519.253.9%

    195040.730.731.206.5%20.412.4%1.3%6.5%18.7919.549.46(0.05)-0.00-0.1419.670.730.000.000.7319.673.7%7.8%7.8%7.8%7.8%

    195110.630.631.3313.0%21.402.4%1.3%13.0%19.2519.799.76(0.05)-0.00-0.1819.970.630.000.000.6319.973.1%2.8%2.8%5.3%5.3%

    195120.610.611.471.6%20.962.5%1.3%1.6%19.6719.9810.00(0.05)-0.00-0.2320.210.610.000.000.6120.213.0%2.6%2.6%4.4%4.4%

    195130.540.541.52-0.1%23.262.6%1.4%-0.1%19.9720.0910.16(0.05)-0.00-0.2720.360.540.000.000.5420.362.6%5.5%5.5%4.7%4.7%

    195140.660.661.564.2%23.772.6%1.7%4.2%1.0020.2120.3110.43(0.05)-0.01-0.3220.630.660.000.000.6520.633.2%5.7%5.7%4.9%4.9%

    1195210.590.591.520.0%24.372.7%1.7%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%4.7%1.00000.00%20.3620.4710.64(0.05)-0.01-0.3620.830.590.000.000.5820.832.8%9.7%9.7%5.7%5.7%

    2195220.550.551.41-0.1%24.962.7%1.6%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%-0.1%4.9%0.9997-0.05%20.6320.6210.84(0.05)-0.01-0.4021.020.550.000.000.5421.022.6%9.9%9.9%6.3%6.3%

    3195230.560.561.422.4%24.542.6%1.6%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%2.4%5.7%1.00570.76%20.8320.7711.04(0.05)-0.01-0.4521.220.560.000.000.5521.222.6%9.0%9.0%6.6%6.6%

    4195240.70.701.454.7%26.572.7%1.8%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%4.7%6.3%1.01751.75%21.0221.0611.38(0.05)-0.01-0.4921.550.700.000.000.6921.553.2%8.9%8.9%6.9%6.9%

    5195310.620.621.451.2%25.292.7%2.1%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%1.2%6.6%1.021.64%21.2221.2611.64(0.05)-0.01-0.5321.790.620.000.000.6121.792.8%8.5%8.5%7.0%7.0%

    6195320.630.631.410.3%24.142.9%2.1%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%0.3%6.9%1.021.41%21.5521.4911.91(0.05)-0.01-0.5722.060.630.000.000.6222.062.8%8.6%8.6%7.2%7.2%

    7195330.60.601.411.4%23.353.2%2.3%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%1.4%7.0%1.021.41%21.7921.6812.16(0.05)-0.01-0.6222.300.600.000.000.5922.302.6%8.9%8.9%7.3%7.3%

    8195340.660.661.42-1.8%24.813.0%1.9%-1.8%7.2%1.021.01%22.0621.9312.47(0.05)-0.01-0.6622.590.660.000.000.6522.592.9%10.7%10.7%7.6%7.6%

    9195410.660.661.424.5%26.942.8%1.7%1.3%4.5%7.3%1.031.39%1.39%22.3022.1812.77(0.05)-0.01-0.7022.880.660.000.000.6522.882.8%9.7%9.7%7.7%7.7%

    10195420.70.701.451.4%29.212.6%1.0%0.1%1.4%1.8%7.6%1.041.40%1.40%22.5922.4613.11(0.06)-0.01-0.7423.200.700.000.000.6923.203.0%9.5%9.5%7.8%7.8%

    11195430.610.611.47-0.9%32.312.6%0.6%1.4%-0.9%0.009%7.7%1.031.19%1.19%1.39%CB- origianal BQ22.8822.6513.35(0.06)-0.02-0.7823.430.610.000.000.5923.432.5%10.1%10.1%8.0%8.0%

    12195440.80.801.452.1%35.982.5%1.0%1.4%2.1%7.8%1.041.26%1.26%1.40%23.2023.0313.79(0.06)-0.02-0.8223.850.800.000.000.7823.853.3%9.2%9.2%8.1%8.1%

    13195510.850.851.473.4%36.582.6%1.2%0.5%3.4%1.2%-0.0%-0.0%8.0%-0.02%-0.50%7.47%8.65%9.04%1.051.43%1.55%1.19%-0.26%23.431.19%0.99%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.17%3.17%3.67%4.17%6.42%5.23%23.4614.27(0.06)-0.02-0.8624.320.850.000.000.8324.323.4%10.2%10.7%8.2%8.2%

    14195520.960.961.542.6%41.032.7%1.3%1.6%2.6%1.3%0.0%0.0%8.1%0.01%-0.50%7.56%8.83%9.24%1.051.51%1.77%1.26%-0.12%23.851.26%1.00%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.26%3.26%3.76%4.26%6.51%5.25%23.9714.85(0.06)-0.02-0.9024.870.960.000.000.9424.873.8%10.6%11.1%8.3%8.4%

    15195530.830.831.562.6%43.672.8%1.5%1.1%%eq entry&exit2.6%1.5%0.1%0.1%8.2%0.10%-0.50%7.81%9.29%9.78%1.061.58%1.79%1.49%-0.10%24.321.49%1.05%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.53%3.53%4.03%4.53%6.78%5.29%24.3515.29(0.06)-0.02-0.9425.290.830.000.000.8125.293.2%10.1%10.5%8.4%8.5%

    16195540.980.981.572.4%45.483.0%2.0%0.9%60.0%EQ Pos2.4%1.6%0.2%0.2%8.4%0.18%-0.50%8.04%9.68%10.22%1.071.64%1.60%1.64%-0.09%24.871.64%1.08%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.72%3.72%4.22%4.72%6.97%5.32%24.8815.87(0.06)-0.02-0.9825.860.980.000.000.9625.863.7%10.5%10.8%8.5%8.6%

    17195610.920.921.623.4%48.482.9%2.6%1.4%3210-1-2-33.4%1.7%0.2%0.2%8.5%0.18%-0.50%8.15%9.84%10.40%1.081.74%1.78%1.69%-0.08%25.291.69%1.09%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.78%3.78%4.28%4.78%7.02%5.33%25.3316.39(0.06)-0.02-1.0226.350.920.000.000.9026.353.4%10.5%10.8%8.6%8.7%

    18195620.870.871.643.4%46.972.9%2.4%1.7%AEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOBABBBC3.4%1.6%0.1%0.1%8.6%0.12%-0.50%8.20%9.82%10.35%1.091.83%2.04%1.62%-0.08%25.861.62%1.07%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.69%3.69%4.19%4.69%6.94%5.32%25.7316.85(0.06)-0.02-1.0626.790.870.000.000.8526.793.2%9.6%9.9%8.6%8.7%

    19195630.690.691.734.6%45.352.9%2.5%1.6%Eq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgt4.6%1.8%0.2%0.2%8.7%0.18%-0.50%8.36%10.12%10.70%1.101.98%2.31%1.76%-0.07%26.351.76%1.10%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.86%3.86%4.36%4.86%7.11%5.35%25.9217.11(0.06)-0.02-1.1027.030.690.000.000.6727.032.5%8.2%8.5%8.6%8.7%

    20195640.930.931.803.5%46.673.2%2.8%1.5%85.0%80.0%75.0%70.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%63.3%56.7%50.0%3.5%1.9%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.49%10.42%11.06%1.112.06%2.76%1.94%-0.06%26.791.94%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.08%4.08%4.58%5.08%7.32%5.38%26.3417.59(0.06)-0.02-1.1427.480.930.000.000.9127.483.3%7.4%7.6%8.6%8.7%

    21195710.910.911.844.6%44.113.4%3.3%1.6%EquityEquityEquityEquityBondBondBondBondBondBondBondEquityEquityBondBondBondBondBond4.6%2.1%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.47%10.62%11.33%1.122.18%2.77%2.15%-0.05%27.032.15%1.18%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.33%4.33%4.83%5.33%7.57%5.42%26.7218.04(0.07)-0.03-1.1827.910.910.000.000.8827.913.2%6.7%7.0%8.5%8.6%

    22195720.890.891.741.5%47.373.3%3.1%2.1%PositionEntryExitWeightPositionEntryExitWeightWeightWeightWeightPositionEntryExitEntryExitWeightWeightWeight1.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.43%10.84%11.64%1.122.15%2.78%2.41%-0.04%27.482.41%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.64%4.64%5.14%5.64%7.89%5.48%27.1118.49(0.07)-0.03-1.2228.330.890.000.000.8628.333.0%7.3%7.5%8.4%8.6%

    23195730.740.741.734.0%42.423.6%3.3%2.2%320%5%85.0%312%3%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%36.7%43.3%50.0%4.0%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.6%0.25%-0.50%8.37%10.84%11.66%1.142.23%3.20%2.48%-0.04%27.912.48%1.25%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.72%4.72%5.22%5.72%7.97%5.49%27.3518.80(0.07)-0.03-1.2628.610.740.000.000.7128.612.5%7.5%7.7%8.4%8.5%

    24195740.830.831.730.5%39.993.7%3.6%1.4%215%0%80.0%29%0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%34.4%38.9%43.3%Test versions0.5%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.6%0.25%-0.50%8.32%10.79%11.60%1.142.16%3.06%2.46%-0.04%28.332.46%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.71%4.71%5.21%5.71%7.95%5.49%27.6819.20(0.07)-0.03-1.3028.980.830.000.000.8028.982.8%7.9%8.2%8.4%8.5%

    25195810.680.681.761.6%42.103.2%3.1%1.7%110%-5%75.0%16%-3%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%32.2%34.4%36.7%20.0%30.0%50.0%6.4%1.2%0.0%1.6%2.7%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.29%11.01%11.90%1.142.14%2.91%2.71%-0.03%28.612.71%1.29%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%4.01%5.01%5.51%6.01%8.25%5.54%27.8519.44(0.07)-0.03-1.3429.190.680.000.000.6529.192.2%8.0%8.2%8.4%8.5%

    26195820.680.681.791.0%45.243.3%1.3%2.6%070.0%015.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%20.0%30.0%50.0%8.5%0.2%0.0%1.0%2.6%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.28%10.89%11.75%1.142.09%2.77%2.61%-0.03%28.982.61%1.27%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.88%4.88%5.38%5.88%8.13%5.52%28.0119.67(0.07)-0.03-1.3829.390.680.000.000.6529.392.2%7.3%7.6%8.3%8.5%

    27195830.690.691.772.3%50.063.2%0.9%2.2%-1-10%5%63.3%-1-6%3%15.0%18.3%21.7%25.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%25.6%26.1%26.7%2.3%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.27%10.80%11.63%1.152.10%2.75%2.52%-0.03%29.192.52%1.25%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.78%4.78%5.28%5.78%8.02%5.50%28.1919.92(0.07)-0.03-1.4229.610.690.000.000.6629.612.2%7.6%7.9%8.3%8.5%

    28195840.840.841.731.9%55.213.8%2.5%0.4%-2-15%0%56.7%-2-9%0%15.0%16.7%18.3%20.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%21.1%22.2%23.3%1.9%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.24%10.68%11.48%1.162.09%2.71%2.43%-0.03%29.392.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.67%4.67%5.17%5.67%7.91%5.48%28.5320.32(0.07)-0.03-1.4629.980.840.000.000.8129.982.7%7.1%7.3%8.3%8.4%

    29195910.90.901.733.5%55.443.8%2.7%-0.3%-3-20%-5%50.0%-3-12%-3%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%16.7%18.3%20.0%3.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.22%10.65%11.45%1.172.14%2.71%2.42%-0.03%29.612.42%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.66%4.66%5.16%5.66%7.90%5.48%28.9220.79(0.07)-0.03-1.4930.420.900.000.000.8730.422.8%7.1%7.3%8.3%8.4%

    30195920.970.971.753.1%58.474.0%2.9%-0.1%averageAvg & STDAvg & STDAvg & STDeq vs >of bd,ca50.0%3.0%2.5%95%5%12%8%7%0%3.1%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.19%10.59%11.38%1.182.18%2.69%2.40%-0.03%29.982.40%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.63%4.63%5.13%5.63%7.87%5.47%29.3821.32(0.07)-0.04-1.5330.910.970.000.000.9330.913.0%7.2%7.4%8.2%8.4%

    31195930.720.721.771.5%56.884.2%3.2%0.1%96.9%0.971.011.00eq vs cash50.0%1.3%1.1%71%4%74%22%4%0%9.9%9.5%4.0%1.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.16%10.58%11.39%1.182.15%2.43%2.43%-0.03%30.4247.4%39.9%8.3%4.4%10.8%9.1%4.3%0.4%1.2%-0.5%5.5%3.03%2.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.66%4.66%5.16%5.66%7.91%5.48%29.5921.60(0.07)-0.04-1.5631.150.720.000.000.6831.152.2%7.4%7.7%8.2%8.4%

    32195940.80.801.791.2%59.914.3%4.0%0.0%22.5%17.7%15.8%eq vs bd0.0%000.0%0.0%0%0%1.2%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.13%10.56%11.36%1.182.12%2.23%2.43%-0.02%30.914.3%0.4%1.2%5.5%3.8%9.5%3.07%2.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.67%4.67%5.17%5.67%7.91%5.48%29.8721.95(0.07)-0.04-1.6031.470.800.000.000.7631.472.4%7.4%7.6%8.2%8.3%

    33196010.90.901.812.6%55.344.6%4.4%-0.7%8.3%70.250.851.00-0.9%-1.2%-0.7%-0.9%-1.6%0.0%0.0%69.160.875.00%5.13%-0.4%-0.6%1.061.0715.4%-6.9%22.4%15.4%280.0%-118.3%9.82%4.05%3.68%2.1%-1.1%0.2%2.1%-256.7%-20.0%1.7%-6.8%see below starting in 197080.0%18.3%1.7%-6.8%6.1%0.0%10.0%11.7%1.7%2.6%2.3%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.11%10.40%11.15%1.192.14%2.07%2.29%-0.02%31.153.553.470.870.4552.1%40.0%2.91%5.0%0.4810.40%7.7%4.2%0.4%0.8%-0.5%4.9%3.23%8.28%2.60%3.47%2.29%1.21%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.50%4.50%5.00%5.50%7.74%5.45%2.26%2.14%5.99%2.26%2.14%5.99%30.2422.40(0.07)-0.04-1.6331.870.900.000.000.8631.872.7%7.5%7.8%8.2%8.3%

    34196020.840.841.830.7%56.924.1%2.8%0.8%8.4%70.670.781.000.6%0.8%0.8%0.6%1.0%0.0%0.0%71.350.784.86%4.78%-0.8%-0.7%1.101.0928.9%-8.3%37.3%28.9%385.0%-115.0%10.93%3.49%3.25%3.3%-1.3%-0.1%3.3%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%7.5%85.0%15.0%0.0%4%2%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%0.7%2.2%0.3%0.3%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.09%10.27%10.99%1.192.10%2.00%2.18%-0.02%31.473.543.460.860.4652.9%40.0%2.07%5.0%0.4810.27%7.6%4.1%0.4%0.7%-0.5%4.8%3.48%8.44%2.61%1.55%2.18%1.19%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.36%4.36%4.86%5.36%7.61%5.43%1.91%0.61%6.26%2.09%1.38%6.12%30.5522.78(0.08)-0.04-1.6732.220.840.000.000.8032.222.5%7.8%8.0%8.2%8.3%

    35196030.730.731.941.8%53.524.0%2.2%1.1%8.3%70.660.811.001.1%1.4%1.1%1.1%1.8%-1.0%-0.2%71.820.794.77%4.61%-0.7%-0.6%1.101.0726.2%-6.9%33.1%26.2%385.0%-115.0%10.42%3.53%3.06%2.9%-1.1%-0.2%2.9%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%10.8%85.0%15.0%0.0%-5%4%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%1.8%2.1%0.3%0.3%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.07%10.18%10.87%1.202.09%1.81%2.10%-0.02%31.873.543.460.870.4956.0%40.0%0.00%4.0%0.4910.18%7.5%4.1%0.3%0.7%-0.5%4.6%3.45%8.26%2.54%-0.27%2.10%1.17%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.27%4.27%4.77%5.27%7.52%5.42%1.93%0.09%6.15%2.03%0.95%6.13%30.7223.03(0.08)-0.04-1.7032.420.730.000.000.6932.422.1%7.6%7.9%8.1%8.3%

    36196040.80.801.950.5%58.113.9%2.3%0.2%8.5%71.240.751.000.9%1.0%0.2%0.9%1.5%-7.5%-1.3%71.400.754.71%4.48%-0.8%-0.6%1.111.0833.4%-7.4%40.8%33.4%385.0%-115.0%11.43%3.32%3.03%4.0%-1.2%-0.2%4.0%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%2.3%85.0%15.0%0.0%10%2%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%0.5%2.0%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.07%10.11%10.79%1.202.04%1.81%2.05%-0.02%32.223.563.480.870.4956.1%40.0%0.00%3.9%0.4910.11%7.5%4.0%0.3%0.7%-0.5%4.6%3.69%8.45%2.54%0.92%2.05%1.16%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.21%4.21%4.71%5.21%7.45%5.40%1.81%0.27%6.40%1.98%0.78%6.20%30.9523.34(0.08)-0.04-1.7432.690.800.000.000.7632.692.3%7.8%8.0%8.1%8.3%

    37196110.720.721.95-0.4%65.063.9%2.3%0.3%8.0%70.040.831.000.8%0.6%0.3%0.8%1.3%-20.6%-3.4%68.560.854.59%4.20%-0.7%-0.3%1.101.0418.0%-4.0%22.0%18.0%385.0%-115.0%9.82%3.57%2.93%2.5%-0.6%-0.2%2.5%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%3.4%85.0%15.0%0.0%13%1%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%-0.4%2.0%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.19%-0.50%8.00%9.95%10.59%1.201.98%1.65%1.95%-0.02%32.423.533.430.860.4956.8%40.0%0.00%3.2%0.499.95%7.3%4.0%0.2%0.6%-0.5%4.4%3.40%7.98%2.48%1.34%1.95%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.09%4.09%4.59%5.09%7.34%5.39%1.91%0.35%6.03%1.96%0.69%6.17%31.1123.57(0.08)-0.04-1.7732.880.720.000.000.6832.882.1%8.1%8.4%8.1%8.3%

    38196120.780.781.952.0%64.643.8%2.4%0.0%7.6%70.680.921.000.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.1%-12.9%-2.2%69.940.934.56%4.29%-0.7%-0.5%1.101.067.5%-5.4%12.9%7.5%385.0%-115.0%8.36%3.45%2.93%1.1%-0.8%-0.1%1.1%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%0.3%85.0%15.0%0.0%0%-0%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%2.0%1.9%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.19%-0.50%7.99%9.92%10.55%1.201.98%1.73%1.93%-0.02%32.693.553.450.860.4956.5%40.0%0.00%3.5%0.499.92%7.3%4.0%0.3%0.6%-0.5%4.4%3.03%7.59%2.50%2.49%1.93%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.06%4.06%4.56%5.06%7.31%5.38%1.91%0.47%5.67%1.96%0.66%6.08%31.3223.87(0.08)-0.05-1.8033.120.780.000.000.7333.122.2%7.4%7.7%8.1%8.3%

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