asset allocation update - south dakota · asset category valuation allocation movement within...
TRANSCRIPT
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Asset Allocation
South Dakota Investment CouncilSouth Dakota Retirement System Board of Trustees
June 5-6, 2019
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Discussion topics
Recommended benchmark equity-like and bond-like risk and ranges
Equity-like and bond-like risk embedded in other categories
Recommended benchmark asset category allocation and ranges
Expected return and standard deviation
Asset category valuation
Allocation movement within ranges
1
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Benchmark equity and bond risk
Historical outcomes are helpful in relating to impact of risk
Long term return history is available only for equity, bonds, and cash
Equity returns are best over the very long term, but are volatile
Bonds returns are lower over the long term, but provide diversification
Return/risk tradeoff depends on willingness to endure volatility
2
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Equity long term returns much higher
3
0
1
10
100
1,000
10,000
1935 1945 1955 1965 1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
EQUITY BOND
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Equity downturns can be brutaltwo year periods with equity returns below negative 20%
4
Chart1
1932 Q2
1938 Q1
1942 Q1
1970 Q2
1974 Q3
2002 Q3
2009 Q1
100:0
-0.705
-0.367
-0.204
-0.22
-0.386
-0.417
-0.412
Daily(2)
Daily AA Model
rawAll yellow inputs found on A257 on newaa sheet
Quarter constantsEquilEquilFairINFLWgtdS&P500Adj N
Inputs DatedBondT-BillValueGDPexpectedModQtrEPS pertotalpreviouslast 4 qtrN DivN EPSpreviousprevious
YearQtrYieldYieldEquityDeflatorInflDurationEpsquartergrowthequity scoreavg inflw/ buybacksadjbond scorecomdty score
201634.98%3.48%1854.60872015140.70%2.28%1222.7623.324.50%01.25%12.83-3.11%-32
1.003annualized91.0493.2779078233
0.63922812841.014Commodity
stimulus
ClosingBondBillClosePricePrice toBondBondBill vs expLesserEquityBondEquity100%
Eq ExpClosingClosingPriceto ValueAdj FVAdj FVPrice toBondPrice toTbill vsusing 4 qEquityBondCashCmmdtyEquityEq orMove toMove toless BondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityStimulus
YEARMDAYReturnYieldYieldS&P500EquityEquityEquityValueAdj EquilAdj FVEquilInflationWgtWgtWgtWgtPositionEq less BdFair ValFair ValMove to FVPositionWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionAdj
20166307.15%3.02%0.17%2043.941.101889.711.081.314.30%1.183.31%2.08%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-7.5%-7.5%-15.5%7.9%-315.0%20.8%100.0%25.00%
2016710.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016720.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016730.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016740.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016750.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016760.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016770.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016780.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016790.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20167310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016810.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016820.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016830.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016840.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016850.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016860.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016870.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016880.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016890.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20168310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016910.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016920.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016930.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016940.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016950.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016960.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016970.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016980.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
2016990.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169100.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169110.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169120.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169130.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169140.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169150.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169160.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169170.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169180.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169190.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169200.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169210.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169220.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169230.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169240.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169250.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169260.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169270.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169280.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169290.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169300.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
20169310.00%0.001889.710.002.494.30%2.073.48%2.25%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.7%0.0%-30.0%22.5%100.0%25.00%
Action Table:
Take Adj FV Equity of 1895.14 *.0375 for the 3/4 Fed stimulus adjustment
=71.07adjustment
Adj. FV1,824
ELR
-5.00%1,73770.00%
-10.00%1,65875.00%
-15.00%1,58680.00%
10.00%2,02763.33%
15.00%2,14656.67%
20.00%2,28050.00%
Action TableOLD
over FVAdj. FVELRLevel
10.00%1.1163.33%2155.00
15.00%1.176556.67%2281.00
20.00%1.250050.00%2424.00
under FVAdj. FV
-5.00%0.952470.00%1739.00
-10.00%0.909175.00%1763.00
-15.00%0.869680.00%1686.00
-20.00%0.833385.00%1616.00
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP
data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP
(Avg inflation of last 4 qtrs [with 2 qtr lag] *20% of inflation to cover taxes +1% real return) - column L
This is what triggers allocation into commodities.
30 yr Equil yield(column DM)
Tbill Equil yield(Coumn DK)
Fair value of Equity(column P)
GDP Deflator(column J)
Long term wghted expected inflation(column BR)
mod Durationcolumn AF3
current qtr EPS
Adjusted Normal Quartly earnings(column CJ)
Total Growth(column CX)[used to figure on Daily AA sheet in column C]
previous equity scorecolumn AL (one up from the line you are currently on)
last 4 qtr averageinflation(column J)
Normal Div including Buybacks (column CQ)
N EPS Adjust(Column Y)
previous bond scorecolumn AN (one up from the line you are currently on)
previous commodity scorecolumn BD (one up from the line you are currently on)
Daily
Daily AA Model
rawAll yellow inputs found on A257 on newaa sheet
Quarter constantsEquilEquilFairINFLWgtdS&P500Adj N
Inputs DatedBondT-BillValueGDPexpectedModQtrEPS pertotalpreviouslast 4 qtrN DivN EPSpreviousprevious
YearQtrYieldYieldEquityDeflatorInflDurationEpsquartergrowthequity scoreavg inflw/ buybacksadjbond scorecomdty score
201625.03%3.53%1848.580.90%2.31%1218.6423.284.55%01.10%12.80-4.21%-320.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22201520.05129535640.03629535641785.71325903630.0010.02399613031222.8422.60117582710.046311172700.0122512.43064670490.0007054921-22
annualized74.5693.1015627422
0.6413133362Commodity
stimulus
ClosingBondBillClosePricePrice toBondBondBill vs expLesserEquityBondEquity100%
Eq ExpClosingClosingPriceto ValueAdj FVAdj FVPrice toBondPrice toTbill vsusing 4 qEquityBondCashCmmdtyEquityEq orMove toMove toless BondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityStimulus
YEARMDAYReturnYieldYieldS&P500EquityEquityEquityValueAdj EquilAdj FVEquilInflationWgtWgtWgtWgtPositionEq less BdFair ValFair ValMove to FVPositionWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionAdj
20163317.17%2.61%0.20%2059.741.111863.161.111.414.26%1.253.32%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.5%-9.5%-19.8%10.2%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%
2016417.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016427.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016437.15%2.60%0.23%2072.781.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.1%-10.1%-19.9%9.8%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016447.16%2.60%0.20%2066.131.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.33%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.9%10.1%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%
2016457.19%2.55%0.22%2045.171.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.31%1.85%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.9%-8.9%-20.6%11.7%-315.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
2016467.16%2.59%0.23%2066.661.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.29%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-20.1%10.2%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016477.19%2.52%0.23%2041.911.101863.161.101.434.26%1.263.29%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.8%-8.8%-20.9%12.2%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016487.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
2016497.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164107.19%2.55%0.23%2047.601.111863.161.101.424.26%1.263.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.0%-9.0%-20.5%11.5%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164117.19%2.56%0.22%2041.991.101863.161.101.424.26%1.263.31%1.85%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-8.8%-8.8%-20.4%11.6%-315.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
20164127.17%2.60%0.23%2061.721.121863.161.111.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.6%-9.6%-19.9%10.3%-315.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164137.14%2.58%0.23%2082.421.131863.161.121.414.26%1.253.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.1%9.6%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164147.14%2.60%0.22%2082.781.131863.161.121.414.26%1.253.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-19.9%9.4%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
20164157.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
20164167.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
20164177.14%2.56%0.22%2080.731.131863.161.121.424.26%1.263.30%1.85%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-20.4%9.9%-320.0%18.5%100.0%25.00%
20164187.13%2.58%0.21%2094.341.131863.161.121.424.26%1.253.32%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.0%-11.0%-20.1%9.1%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
20164197.12%2.59%0.21%2100.801.141863.161.131.414.26%1.253.31%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.3%-11.3%-20.0%8.7%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
20164207.12%2.66%0.23%2102.401.141863.161.131.404.26%1.243.30%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.4%-11.4%-19.3%7.9%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164217.13%2.69%0.23%2091.481.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.9%8.0%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164227.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164237.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164247.13%2.71%0.23%2091.581.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.84%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.6%7.7%-320.0%18.4%100.0%25.00%
20164257.13%2.73%0.25%2087.791.131863.161.121.384.26%1.223.27%1.82%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.8%-10.8%-18.3%7.5%-320.0%18.2%100.0%25.00%
20164267.13%2.76%0.25%2091.701.131863.161.121.374.26%1.223.28%1.82%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.9%-10.9%-18.1%7.1%-320.0%18.2%100.0%25.00%
20164277.12%2.70%0.24%2095.151.131863.161.121.394.26%1.233.29%1.83%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-11.1%-11.1%-18.7%7.6%-320.0%18.3%100.0%25.00%
20164287.15%2.68%0.21%2075.811.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.2%-10.2%-18.9%8.7%-320.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
20164297.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
20164307.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
2016517.16%2.68%0.21%2065.301.121863.161.111.394.26%1.233.31%1.86%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.8%-9.8%-19.0%9.2%-315.0%18.6%100.0%25.00%
2016527.14%2.73%0.19%2081.431.131863.161.121.384.26%1.233.33%1.88%63.3%16.7%10.0%10.0%-1-10.5%-10.5%-18.4%7.9%-320.0%18.8%100.0%25.00%
2016537.16%2.66%0.20%2063.371.121863.161.111.404.26%1.243.32%1.87%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.7%-9.7%-19.2%9.5%-315.0%18.7%100.0%25.00%
2016547.18%2.63%0.19%2051.121.111863.161.101.404.26%1.243.33%1.88%70.0%15.0%5.0%10.0%0-9.2%-9.2%-19.5%10.4%-315.0%18.8%100.0%25.00%
2016550.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016560.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016570.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016580.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016590.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165100.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165110.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165120.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165130.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165140.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165150.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165160.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165170.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165180.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165190.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165200.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165210.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165220.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165230.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165240.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165250.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165260.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165270.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165280.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165290.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165300.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20165310.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016610.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016620.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016630.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016640.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016650.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016660.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016670.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016680.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016690.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166100.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166110.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166120.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166130.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166140.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166150.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166160.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166170.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166180.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166190.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166200.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166210.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166220.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166230.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166240.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166250.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166260.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166270.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166280.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166290.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
20166300.00%0.001863.160.00002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
2016710.00%0.001863.160.002.524.26%2.053.53%2.07%0.0%0.0%0.0%10.0%00.0%0.0%-51.1%0.0%-30.0%20.7%100.0%25.00%
Action Table:
Take Adj FV Equity of 1863.16*.0375 for the 3/4 Fed stimulus adjustment
=69.87adjustment
Adj. FV1,793
ELR
-5.00%1,70870.00%
-10.00%1,63075.00%
-15.00%1,55980.00%
10.00%1,99363.33%
15.00%2,11056.67%
20.00%2,24250.00%
Action Table - unadjusted for Fed
over FVAdj. FVELRLevel
10.00%111.1163.33%2070.00
15.00%1.176556.67%2192.00
20.00%1.250050.00%2329.00
under FVAdj. FV
-5.00%0.952470.00%1777.00
-10.00%0.909175.00%1695.00
-15.00%0.869680.00%1620.00
-20.00%0.833385.00%1553.00
(Avg inflation of last 4 qtrs [with 2 qtr lag] *20% of inflation to cover taxes +1% real return) - column L
This is what triggers allocation into commodities.
data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP
30 yr Equil yield(column DM)
Tbill Equil yield(Coumn DK)
Fair value of Equity(column P)
GDP Deflator(column J)
Long term wghted expected inflation(column BR)
mod Durationcolumn AF3
current qtr EPS
Adjusted Normal Quartly earnings(column CJ)
Total Growth(column CX)[used to figure on Daily AA sheet in column C]
previous equity scorecolumn AL (one up from the line you are currently on)
last 4 qtr averageinflation(column J)
Normal Div including Buybacks (column CQ)
N EPS Adjust(Column Y)
previous bond scorecolumn AN (one up from the line you are currently on)
previous commodity scorecolumn BD (one up from the line you are currently on)
Input
last update10/5/15http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500Data lagged so that most recent data used to derive answer for the beginning of each quarter shows up on the same line for that quarter - model does not lag as all lags incorporated in this sectionNotes: Dividends input is off a line
Input Data according to Date1.)hover over "Additional Info" tab.
2.)click Index Earnings(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(est. for latest)(2 rows behind)(1 row behind)(Enter previous month end yield)
S&P500LatestINFLS&P500BondBillBook fromReal10y TsyHY indexS&P500LatestINFLS&P500BondBillBook fromRealHYAcutal Total
QtrOperating12 moGDPClosingClosingClosingBrought in P/BEstateused fortotalP/B usedQtrOperating12 moGDPClosingExpectedExpectedBrought in P/BEstateMasterYield
EpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivDeflatorPriceYieldYieldadj impl bef 77Cap RateHY spreadyield1977-1993YrQEpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivDeflatorPriceReturnReturnadj impl bef 77Cap RateSpread
2.3%1.1%
195010.641.04-0.9%17.292.3%1.1%
195020.721.143.4%17.692.4%1.2%
195030.751.1712.4%19.452.4%1.3%
195040.731.206.5%20.412.4%1.3%
195110.631.3313.0%21.402.5%1.3%
195120.611.471.6%20.962.6%1.4%
195130.541.52-0.1%23.262.6%1.7%
195140.661.564.2%23.772.7%1.7%
195210.591.520.0%24.372.7%1.6%
195220.551.41-0.1%24.962.6%1.6%
195230.561.422.4%24.542.7%1.8%
195240.701.454.7%26.572.7%2.1%
195310.621.451.2%25.292.9%2.1%
195320.631.410.3%24.143.2%2.3%
195330.601.411.4%23.353.0%1.9%
195340.661.42-1.8%24.812.8%1.7%
195410.661.424.5%26.942.6%1.0%
195420.701.451.4%29.212.6%0.6%
195430.611.47-0.9%32.312.5%1.0%
195440.801.452.1%35.982.6%1.2%
195510.851.473.4%36.582.7%1.3%
195520.961.542.6%41.032.8%1.5%
195530.831.562.6%43.673.0%2.0%
195540.981.572.4%45.482.9%2.6%
195610.921.623.4%48.482.9%2.4%
195620.871.643.4%46.972.9%2.5%
195630.691.734.6%45.353.2%2.8%
195640.931.803.5%46.673.4%3.3%
195710.911.844.6%44.113.3%3.1%
195720.891.741.5%47.373.6%3.3%
195730.741.734.0%42.423.7%3.6%
195740.831.730.5%39.993.2%3.1%
195810.681.761.6%42.103.3%1.3%
195820.681.791.0%45.243.2%0.9%
195830.691.772.3%50.063.8%2.5%
195840.841.731.9%55.213.8%2.7%
195910.901.733.5%55.444.0%2.9%
195920.971.753.1%58.474.2%3.2%
195930.721.771.5%56.884.3%4.0%
195940.801.791.2%59.914.6%4.4%
196010.901.812.6%55.344.1%2.8%
196020.841.830.7%56.924.0%2.2%
196030.731.941.8%53.523.9%2.3%
196040.801.950.5%58.113.9%2.3%
196110.721.95-0.4%65.063.8%2.4%
196120.781.952.0%64.643.9%2.4%
196130.751.941.8%66.734.0%2.3%
196140.941.940.7%71.554.1%2.8%
196210.901.963.4%69.554.0%2.7%
196220.882.021.5%54.754.0%2.9%
196230.812.040.8%56.274.0%2.7%
196241.082.062.6%63.103.9%2.9%
196310.942.081.8%66.574.0%2.9%
196321.012.130.3%69.374.1%3.0%
196330.932.151.1%71.704.1%3.4%
196341.142.202.9%75.024.2%3.6%
196411.102.211.1%78.984.2%3.6%
196421.162.281.2%81.694.1%3.5%
196431.072.332.2%84.184.2%3.6%
196441.222.381.0%84.754.2%3.9%
196511.232.443.4%86.164.2%4.0%
196521.322.502.0%84.124.2%3.9%
196531.212.552.4%89.964.3%4.1%
196541.432.612.2%92.434.5%4.6%
196611.382.664.1%89.234.6%4.6%
196621.442.724.7%84.744.8%4.7%
196631.262.782.1%76.564.8%5.4%
196641.472.834.0%80.334.6%4.9%
196711.282.892.6%90.204.5%4.2%
196721.322.871.5%90.645.1%3.9%
196731.232.903.9%96.715.2%4.5%
196741.502.904.4%96.475.6%5.1%
196811.392.925.1%90.205.6%5.3%
196821.452.925.0%99.585.3%5.5%
196831.322.953.4%102.675.3%5.3%
196841.602.995.7%103.865.9%6.4%
196911.453.034.7%101.516.2%6.1%
196921.473.075.4%97.716.2%6.2%
196931.373.106.6%93.126.7%7.3%
196941.493.135.3%92.066.8%8.2%
197011.303.155.8%89.636.5%6.5%
197021.363.165.4%72.727.2%6.4%
197031.213.173.2%84.216.7%5.9%
197041.263.185.5%92.156.3%4.9%
197111.393.196.0%100.315.7%3.6%
197121.463.145.6%99.706.3%5.2%
197131.323.113.5%98.345.8%4.6%
197141.533.103.7%102.095.8%3.7%
197211.503.095.6%107.206.0%3.8%
197221.623.072.9%107.145.9%4.0%
197231.493.073.4%110.555.9%4.6%
197241.813.075.2%118.055.8%5.2%
197311.883.085.7%111.526.9%6.5%
197322.053.157.2%104.267.1%7.7%
197331.953.177.0%108.437.0%7.1%
197342.283.228.6%97.557.3%7.6%
197412.083.277.5%93.987.8%8.5%
197422.433.3810.3%86.008.1%7.6%
197432.323.4410.8%63.548.4%6.3%
197442.063.5012.1%68.567.7%7.2%
197511.643.5910.7%83.368.0%5.6%
197521.943.605.2%95.198.0%5.9%
197532.123.677.4%83.878.5%6.7%
197542.263.717.5%90.197.8%5.3%
197612.343.713.6%102.777.9%5.1%
197622.533.683.7%104.288.0%5.5%
197632.423.694.9%105.247.8%5.1%
197642.623.766.5%107.467.2%4.4%1.33
197712.513.855.5%98.427.7%4.6%1.34
197722.874.056.6%100.487.5%5.1%1.26
197732.714.195.9%96.537.6%6.1%1.23
197742.804.366.4%95.108.0%6.3%1.11
197812.544.505.3%89.218.3%6.7%1.18
197823.184.6710.8%95.538.6%7.2%1.24
197833.054.808.7%102.548.6%8.1%1.14
197843.564.919.1%96.119.0%9.6%1.17
197913.515.028.5%101.599.0%9.8%1.16
197923.865.078.5%102.918.8%9.3%1.21
197933.705.208.3%109.329.3%10.4%1.16
197943.795.347.3%107.9410.1%12.5%1.07
198013.945.519.6%102.0912.4%15.0%1.17
198023.515.6510.9%114.2410.0%8.2%1.26
198033.405.808.9%125.4611.8%11.9%1.35
198043.975.9411.3%135.7612.0%15.0%1.30
198113.706.0710.6%136.0012.9%13.0%1.29
198123.946.165.9%131.2113.6%15.1%1.09
198133.666.289.4%116.1815.6%15.2%1.12
198144.066.399.0%122.5514.1%11.5%1.01
198213.156.524.6%112.0013.9%13.9%0.99
198223.306.635.6%109.6014.1%13.3%1.07
198233.056.723.4%120.4011.6%7.8%1.24
198243.146.814.4%140.6010.7%8.1%1.33
198312.936.853.4%153.0010.8%9.0%1.45
198323.476.872.7%168.1011.2%9.0%1.41
198333.766.914.2%166.0011.6%9.0%1.43
198343.876.942.9%164.9012.0%9.3%1.27
198414.167.004.2%157.4412.5%10.0%1.27
198424.417.093.6%153.1213.8%10.3%1.36
198434.127.173.3%166.1012.4%10.6%1.35
198443.957.302.5%167.2311.7%8.0%1.42
198513.917.374.8%180.6611.9%8.4%1.49
198523.597.532.3%192.4310.6%6.6%1.41
198533.757.662.6%182.0810.7%7.2%1.61
198543.687.742.2%211.289.5%7.3%1.79
198613.827.842.0%238.907.5%6.5%1.85
198623.827.901.5%250.847.2%6.1%1.68
198633.888.021.9%231.327.6%5.3%1.73
198642.968.102.4%231.327.5%5.9%2.08
198714.518.232.4%291.707.8%5.8%2.13
198723.158.282.6%304.008.5%5.9%2.25
198735.318.343.0%321.839.8%6.9%1.70
198744.608.523.2%247.089.0%5.9%1.75
198815.535.488.663.1%258.898.8%5.9%1.80
198826.226.058.814.0%273.508.8%6.7%1.75
198836.386.228.954.9%271.919.0%7.5%1.75
198845.626.379.233.5%277.729.0%8.4%1.82
198916.746.419.464.1%294.879.1%9.2%2.27
198926.486.539.734.3%317.988.0%8.3%2.09
198934.855.549.983.0%349.158.2%8.2%2.11
198944.805.8410.32.7%353.408.0%7.8%1.97
199015.545.6110.674.5%339.948.6%8.1%2.06
199026.076.0611.054.2%358.028.4%8.0%1.73
199035.335.9711.323.7%306.059.0%7.4%1.84
199044.405.0111.673.1%330.228.3%6.6%2.07
199115.144.7711.844.0%375.228.2%5.9%2.02
199124.544.7912.12.7%371.168.4%5.7%2.12
199133.745.1112.122.9%387.867.9%5.3%2.27
199142.554.6312.152.1%417.097.4%4.0%2.19
199215.364.9312.281.8%403.698.0%4.2%2.26
199225.405.2112.22.6%408.147.8%3.7%2.24
199234.735.1212.321.9%417.807.4%2.8%2.31
199243.65.6112.322.8%435.717.4%3.2%2.50
199316.116.2512.392.4%451.676.9%3.0%2.57
199324.896.5712.382.4%450.536.7%3.1%2.60
199335.816.9212.482.1%458.936.0%3.0%2.65
199345.087.1612.452.3%466.456.4%3.1%2.55
199416.937.1712.452.1%445.777.1%3.6%179.70
199427.387.7512.512.0%444.277.6%4.2%182.03
199437.948.0312.642.0%462.717.8%4.8%188.08
199448.358.812.722.3%459.277.9%5.7%193.04
199518.888.6412.932.4%500.717.4%5.9%200.12
199529.269.513.181.8%544.756.6%5.6%205.29
199538.699.7813.061.7%584.416.5%5.4%210.31
199547.139.7813.371.9%615.936.0%5.1%216.51
199618.969.3913.582.1%645.506.7%5.1%216.25
1996210.1310.3113.791.5%670.636.9%5.2%221.31
199639.789.9214.11.8%687.336.9%5.0%225.96
199649.8611.0114.271.7%740.746.6%5.2%237.09
1997110.4710.5614.662.0%757.127.1%5.3%235.84
1997210.4411.1314.91.9%885.146.8%5.2%241.09
199739.8711.0315.061.2%947.286.4%5.1%246.51
199748.9411.2915.161.4%970.435.9%5.4%249.52
1998110.2910.9215.330.6%1101.755.9%5.1%252.53
199829.8711.4315.490.9%1133.845.6%5.1%257.29
199838.9910.4515.641.5%1017.055.0%4.4%262.83
199848.5611.4715.951.1%1229.235.1%4.5%266.40
1999110.9611.7316.151.5%1286.375.6%4.5%271.69
1999212.5113.2116.21.7%1372.716.0%4.8%276.42
1999311.9312.9716.451.4%1282.716.1%4.9%280.79
1999412.7713.7716.452.0%1469.256.5%5.3%290.68
2000113.7413.9716.643.0%1498.585.8%5.9%295.94
2000213.4814.8816.692.2%1454.605.9%5.9%312.94
2000313.7114.1716.762.6%1436.515.9%6.2%319.60
200049.0713.1116.72.1%1320.285.5%5.9%325.80
200119.1810.73-0.2716.342.6%1160.335.5%4.3%347.25
200124.839.02-1.5216.272.8%1224.425.8%3.7%345.87
200135.239.16-0.515.971.3%1040.945.4%2.4%339.40
200145.459.94-0.1815.691.3%1148.085.5%1.7%338.37
200219.1910.85-0.3115.741.2%1147.395.8%1.8%332.74
200226.8711.64-0.4715.741.7%989.825.5%1.7%329.52
200238.5311.61-0.3715.731.8%815.284.7%1.6%334.92
20024311.94-5.7616.042.1%879.824.8%1.2%321.72
2003111.9212.48-0.1315.82.5%848.184.8%1.1%328.72
2003211.112.92-0.2916.081.3%974.504.6%0.9%346.32
2003312.5614.41-0.4316.232.2%995.974.9%0.9%351.89
2003413.1614.88-0.9216.172.0%1111.925.1%0.9%367.17
2004115.1815.87-0.0716.593.5%1126.214.8%0.9%376.48
2004215.2516.98-0.0217.393.4%1140.845.3%1.3%386.23
2004314.1816.88-0.1218.032.6%1114.584.9%1.7%402.52
2004413.9417.95-2.1218.62.8%1211.924.8%2.2%414.75
2005116.9518-0.0619.163.7%1180.594.76%2.78%426.79
2005218.2919.42-0.0819.432.9%1191.334.19%3.13%436.90
2005317.3918.84-0.8621.483.80%1228.814.57%3.55%441.7720053
2005417.320.19-2.0222.223.10%1248.294.54%4.08%453.0620054
2006119.6920.75-0.0222.793.10%1294.834.89%4.61%468.636.35%2006117.3918.84-0.8621.483.80%1,248.294.54%4.08%436.896#NA#NA#NA
2006220.1121.95-0.0123.443.30%1270.205.19%4.99%474.916.12%2006217.320.19-2.0222.223.10%1,294.834.89%4.61%441.7666.35%#NA#NA
2006321.4723.03-0.1824.12.80%1335.854.76%4.88%491.966.12%2006319.6920.75-0.0222.793.10%1,270.205.19%4.99%453.0616.12%#NA#NA
2006420.2421.99-1.3024.881.40%1418.34.81%5.02%504.406.03%2006420.1121.95-0.0123.443.30%1,335.854.76%4.88%468.6296.12%#NA#NA
2007121.3322.39-2.087525.494.50%1420.864.85%5.04%508.995.94%2007121.4723.03-0.1824.12.80%1,418.304.81%5.02%474.9116.03%#NA#NA
2007221.8824.06-2.087526.172.30%1503.355.13%4.81%516.915.60%2007220.2421.99-1.324.881.40%1,420.864.85%5.04%491.9585.94%#NA#NA
2007315.1520.87-2.087526.971.30%1526.754.84%3.81%524.005.58%2007321.3322.39-2.087525.494.50%1,503.355.13%4.81%504.3955.60%#NA#NA
200747.8215.22-2.087527.731.70%1468.364.45%3.25%529.595.75%2007421.8824.06-2.087526.172.30%1,526.754.84%3.81%508.9945.58%#NA#NA
2008115.5416.620.000128.32.30%1322.704.29%1.33%530.945.79%10.93%2008115.1520.87-2.087526.971.30%1,468.364.45%3.25%516.9135.75%#NA#NA
2008212.8617.02-2.528.711.80%1280.004.53%1.74%530.706.12%3.97%10.88%200827.8215.22-2.087527.731.70%1,322.704.29%1.33%5245.79%#NA10.93%
200839.7315.96-2.528.852.80%1166.364.31%0.92%514.606.80%3.83%13.93%2008315.5416.620.000128.32.30%1,280.004.53%1.74%529.59494130266.12%690.710.88%
20084-23.25-0.09-2.528.390.70%903.252.68%0.08%451.378.10%2.21%19.55%2008412.8617.02-2.528.711.80%1,166.364.31%0.92%530.94319319226.80%1010.713.93%
200917.5210.11-2.527.251.00%797.873.54%0.21%449.438.80%2.67%18.70%200919.7315.96-2.528.852.80%903.252.68%0.08%530.69654458248.10%1733.319.55%
2009213.5113.810.000125.59-0.60%919.324.33%0.20%487.698.80%3.54%13.08%20092-23.25-0.09-2.528.3870.70%797.873.54%0.21%514.60126886888.80%1603.518.70%
2009314.7615.780.000123.90.00%1057.084.05%0.12%498.438.40%3.31%10.29%200937.5210.11-2.527.251.00%919.324.33%0.20%451.37291648258.80%954.113.08%
2009415.1817.160.000122.411.20%1115.14.64%0.06%513.587.90%3.84%9.20%2009413.5113.810.000125.59-0.60%1,057.084.05%0.12%449.42648592528.40%698.110.29%
2010117.4819.380.000121.911.30%1169.434.72%0.16%530.957.60%3.83%8.60%2010114.7615.780.000123.90.00%1,115.104.64%0.06%487.68598366847.90%535.59.20%
2010219.6820.90.000122.041.90%1030.713.89%0.18%541.607.20%2.93%9.18%2010215.1817.160.000122.411.20%1,169.434.72%0.16%498.42921196657.60%477.48.60%
2010319.5221.560.000122.361.80%1141.23.69%0.16%567.957.00%2.51%8.09%2010317.4819.380.000121.911.30%1,030.713.89%0.18%513.57730084667.20%624.39.18%
2010420.6721.930.000122.732.10%1257.644.34%0.13%579.146.80%3.30%7.85%2010419.6820.90.000122.041.90%1,141.203.69%0.16%530.94691410657.00%557.58.09%
2011121.4422.560.000123.431.80%1325.834.51%0.10%594.056.70%3.47%7.45%2011119.5221.560.000122.361.80%1,257.644.34%0.13%541.60259896196.80%455.57.85%
2011222.2424.860.000124.343.00%1320.644.37%0.02%613.086.40%3.16%7.65%2011220.6721.930.000122.732.10%1,325.834.51%0.10%567.94647979026.70%397.57.45%
2011322.6325.290.000125.182.30%1131.422.92%0.01%613.186.40%1.92%9.62%2011321.4422.560.000123.431.80%1,320.644.37%0.02%579.14031982876.40%449.27.65%
2011420.6323.730.000126.430.60%1257.62.90%0.02%613.146.40%1.88%8.54%2011422.2424.860.000124.3413.00%1,131.422.92%0.01%594.04829271976.40%769.79.62%
2012123.0324.240.000127.352.10%1408.473.34%0.07%633.046.40%2.21%7.69%2012122.6325.290.000125.1812.30%1,257.602.90%0.02%613.08012017596.40%666.38.54%
2012221.6225.430.000128.321.80%1362.162.76%0.09%639.456.40%1.65%7.84%2012220.6323.730.000126.430.60%1,408.473.34%0.07%613.18329171526.40%547.57.69%
2012321.2124.000.000129.592.40%1440.672.83%0.10%661.936.30%1.63%7.15%2012323.0324.240.000127.3532.10%1,362.162.76%0.09%613.1416.40%619.37.84%
2012420.6523.150.000131.251.50%1426.192.95%0.05%666.976.15%1.76%6.75%2012421.6225.430.000128.321.80%1,440.672.83%0.10%633.0446.30%551.57.15%
2013124.2225.770.000132.111.50%1569.193.10%0.08%679.096.00%1.85%6.35%2013121.21240.000129.592.40%1,426.192.95%0.05%639.4456.15%499.16.75%
2013224.8726.360.000133.271.10%1606.283.50%0.04%679.156.00%2.49%6.92%2013220.6523.150.000131.24694206811.50%1,569.193.10%0.08%661.9266.00%4506.35%
2013324.6326.920.000134.402.00%1681.553.69%0.01%693.226.10%2.61%6.79%2013324.2225.770.000132.111.50%1,606.283.50%0.04%666.96554487366.00%443.36.92%
2013426.4828.250.000134.991.80%1848.363.97%0.07%715.846.00%3.03%6.39%2013424.8726.360.000133.26634132251.10%1,681.553.69%0.01%679.0886.10%4186.79%
2014124.8727.320.000136.231.50%1872.343.56%0.04%717.816.40%2.72%6.14%2014124.6326.920.000134.40391138122.00%1,848.363.97%0.07%679.1516.00%3366.39%
2014227.1429.340.000137.382.20%1960.233.36%0.03%733.845.90%2.53%5.77%2014226.4828.250.000134.99204410971.80%1,872.343.56%0.04%693.21976.40%3426.14%
2014327.4729.600.000138.491.60%1972.293.20%0.02%736.785.80%2.49%6.47%2014324.8727.320.000136.22767907281.50%1,960.233.36%0.03%715.83617158325.90%3245.77%
2014422.8326.750.000139.440.10%2058.92.75%0.05%726.965.70%2.17%6.95%2014427.1429.340.000137.38067679692.20%1,972.293.20%0.02%717.8095.80%3986.47%
2015121.8125.810.000140.810.10%2067.892.54%0.03%729.295.60%1.93%6.63%2015127.4729.60.000138.49461129651.60%2,058.902.75%0.05%733.83584222415.70%4786.95%
2015222.8026.140.000141.742.10%2063.113.12%0.01%735.905.50%2.35%6.94%2015222.8326.750.000139.440.10%2,067.892.54%0.03%736.785.60%470.56.63%
2015323.2225.440.000142.511.30%1920.032.86%-0.01%744.685.50%2.04%8.22%2015321.8125.810.000140.80660984690.10%2,063.113.12%0.01%726.9565.50%4596.94%
2015418.7023.060.000143.390.90%2043.943.02%0.25%740.295.40%2.27%8.90%2015422.826.140.000141.74200180992.10%1,920.032.86%-0.01%729.2915.50%6188.22%
2016122.7624.970.000143.880.70%2059.742.61%0.20%5.40%1.77%8.58%2016123.2225.440.000142.51039650951.30%2,043.943.02%0.25%735.95.40%6638.90%
201622016218.723.060.000143.38788736090.90%2,059.742.61%0.20%744.685.40%6818.58%
201632016322.7624.970.000143.87593959330.70%#NA#NA#NA740.287#NA#NA#NA
2016420164#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA#NA
10/01/09 looks like S&P does not even attempt to provide this info anymore (the tab is not in the download anymore)
answer line up right with dates
answer line up right with dates
answer line up right with dates
seems to be 1 qtr off going forward
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
30Y bondInputted
Inputted
data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from: BloombergGDP DCHG 'Index' HP
data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GB3 'Govt' HP
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
Inputted
1st day of the new qtr
30Y bondInputted
Inputted
data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesS&P 500 Monthly Performance DataS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.spglobal.comIndicesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from: BloombergGDP DCHG 'Index' HP
data from: BloombergSPX 'Index' HP
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP
No Data yet in S&P sheet so just filling in a est number myself
Using GreenStreet Advisors "Real Estate Securities Monthly" (Scott has login to website)
Green Street Average (mkt-cap weighted) Cap Rate (not implied cap rate) about on page 13-15
CompustatReport AssistantItem: ceqqTicker: I0003
Data from Greenstreet via Jeff and Scott
Using GreenStreet Advisors "Real Estate Securities Monthly" (Scott has login to website)
Green Street Average (mkt-cap weighted) Cap Rate (4) about on page 13-15
This data is actually just the 10yr Treas yield. The spread is then figured in Green Section
GT10 Govt HP change to qtr for dates
Data from ML Master HY II Index
H0A0 Index 4 (Index Characteristics)put "date" in
Yield to Maturity
data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesLatest S&P 500 Market AttributesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesLatest S&P 500 Market AttributesS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:www.standardandpoors.comStandard & Poors HomepageIndicesS&P 500Market AttributesS&P 500 Monthly Performance DataS&P Earnings and Estimate Report
data from:Bloomberg (Tammy's login only…(OTTEN, BPWUSA)GT30 'Govt' HP
beginning of Compustat Data
http://us.spindices.com/indices/equity/sp-500
current model
1.08%0.979%CommodityPrice to Value and adjusted price to values and calculation of target allocations551YearsPositionAllocationEntryExitAllocation TargetsFor comparison purposesuse hedonic=1usage0.33Sweet spot floor2.00%For GrowthFor EPSCumulative InflationNormal EPS using Adj ROE * Adj BookGrowthDiscount Rate premiumsadditional term0.33%Equilibrium Discount ratesReal ReturnsAdjusted Book, ROE used to get N epsstripped ofReal EstateHigh Yieldaa
1.05%Data Input (Fill in Red Items)stimulusAdj cap5.0%Adj cap5.0%use 1/12 to adj for dur12Mod DurMod Dur50%50%100%% revision210%15%5%use0Sweet spot cap4.00%SH power adjw/o infl passwith infl passAbove cuts orgOrganic targetIf div belowNormalBase0.75%adj % sh power33%unexpected inf.stripped ofdm
1.10%(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(2 rows behind)(est. for latest)(not used(2 rows behind)(1 row behind)(Enter previous month end yield)100%0%0%cap threshh3.0%cap threshh30.0%use 1/12 to adj for dur1212.0012.00This section not complete15%10%0%0%2%0%Sweet spot adj0.25%1.00%33%60%40%55%0%33%-0.50%Tax extra20%base mult of A2.25%EquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumEquilibriumCurrentCurrentCurrentAverageAverageAverageInfl pass through33%SH Power adjunexpected inf.
0.68%EPSS&P500LatestCurrently)INFLS&P500BondBillBill vs expEquityFairPriceStimulus100%N EPS100%Equil100%BondAdj BdBondBondEquityBondEquityLesserFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearFive YearEquityOld ModelOld ModelOld ModelHedonicWgtd3Y Infl out3Y Infl outLag 2q lt avgAdj forAdj RealExpectedExpectedCumulativeAnnualizedRolling 3YAmort AdjNorm EPSNormalAdj NormDiv PayoutOrganicNormal DivReturn onReturn onGrowth fromGrowth fromNorml EPSClosingGrowthRollingWgtedRealYield CurveYield curveSpreadEquityA ratedEquity30YearTbillEquity30YearTbillEquityBook fromBook impliedLeakageEPS adjBook AdjROErolling 1yrrolling 1yrSH Power adjRealLevexcessexcessLev RERERETrailingHYHYHYRF DurationDuration MatchedAcutal Total
timenegQtrOperating12 moHedonicGDPClosingClosingClosingusing 4 qLT expValueto ValueGraphTbill vsTbill vsTbill vs ExpTailwind orStimulusDegreeN EPSAdj FVPrice toBondAdjustedYieldYieldPrice toAdj PriceMove toMove toless bondEq orEquityEquityBondBondReturnReturnReturnExcess premExcess premExcess premversusEquityEquityBondBondRemainingCommodityCommodityCommodityCommodityEquityBondCashEquityBondCashEquityBondCommodityAdjustedexpectedof sweetof sweetBVL adjUnexpectSH PowerBVL AdjNom ROENom ROELaggedCumulativeAnnualizedWgtedBookw/o opt inflEPSEPS perof NormlReinvestBuybacksIncludingOrganicAcquisitionOrganicAcquisitionInflationNorml EPSTotalYield inclEq Expless expected10 yearInflationBillbill to10 year toA rated topremium toBill10 year30 year30 yearDiscountlesslesslesslesslesslessP/BBrought in P/Bby retainedLeakageLeakageUnamortAdjustedreportedWriteoffUnamortBV leakage &BV leakageAdj EPSadj roeadj roeCumulCumulEstateReal Estatecap ratecap ratePVPVPVAvgMasterP/VPVMatched YldFair total YLDYield
periodYrQtrimEpsEPSGoodwillS&P DivAdjustmentDeflatorPriceYieldYieldInflationReturnEquityEquityComparisonEquilibriumprev 4 qtrsw/ Infl 2qHeadwindAdjustmentExceededAdjustmentEquityAdj FVYieldEquilLess Equilless EquilValueto ValueFair ValFair ValMove to FVEq less BdPositionWeightPositionWeightEquityBondCashEquityBondCashbetter ofPositionWeightPositionWeightWeightScoreSimple WgtPositionWeightWgtWgtWgtWgtWgtWgtReturnReturnWgtDeflatorInflspotspot cappedROE - InflInflationROE AdjROEw/o infl passwith infl passDeflatorDeflatorDeflatorExpectedLagged 2qw/o sh powerwith adjquarterdivEPS% norm eps&BuyoutsAcquisitionsBuybacksReinvestInvestmentReinvestInvestmentPass-throughAttritionGrowthBuybacksReturnInflationEPS GwthexpectationYield10 year30 yearTreasury30y TSYYieldYieldYieldYieldRateInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectInfl expectBrought inadj impl bef 77earningsof bookAmortLeakageBookEPSWriteoffsAmortWriteoffsGW& WOWOAdj Bookless INFLless INFLaverageaverageCap RateCap ratew/ lev88Move to FairSpreadSpread4.50Move to Fair50%
7.00%-0.04%0.22%7.18%10.77%
195010.640.641.04-0.9%17.292.3%1.1%-0.9%18.368.140.000.0018.360.640.000.000.6418.363.5%
195020.720.721.143.4%17.692.3%1.1%3.4%18.758.57(0.05)-0.00-0.0518.790.720.000.000.7218.793.8%
195030.750.751.1712.4%19.452.4%1.2%12.4%18.3619.169.03(0.05)-0.00-0.0919.250.750.000.000.7519.253.9%
195040.730.731.206.5%20.412.4%1.3%6.5%18.7919.549.46(0.05)-0.00-0.1419.670.730.000.000.7319.673.7%7.8%7.8%7.8%7.8%
195110.630.631.3313.0%21.402.4%1.3%13.0%19.2519.799.76(0.05)-0.00-0.1819.970.630.000.000.6319.973.1%2.8%2.8%5.3%5.3%
195120.610.611.471.6%20.962.5%1.3%1.6%19.6719.9810.00(0.05)-0.00-0.2320.210.610.000.000.6120.213.0%2.6%2.6%4.4%4.4%
195130.540.541.52-0.1%23.262.6%1.4%-0.1%19.9720.0910.16(0.05)-0.00-0.2720.360.540.000.000.5420.362.6%5.5%5.5%4.7%4.7%
195140.660.661.564.2%23.772.6%1.7%4.2%1.0020.2120.3110.43(0.05)-0.01-0.3220.630.660.000.000.6520.633.2%5.7%5.7%4.9%4.9%
1195210.590.591.520.0%24.372.7%1.7%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%4.7%1.00000.00%20.3620.4710.64(0.05)-0.01-0.3620.830.590.000.000.5820.832.8%9.7%9.7%5.7%5.7%
2195220.550.551.41-0.1%24.962.7%1.6%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%-0.1%4.9%0.9997-0.05%20.6320.6210.84(0.05)-0.01-0.4021.020.550.000.000.5421.022.6%9.9%9.9%6.3%6.3%
3195230.560.561.422.4%24.542.6%1.6%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%2.4%5.7%1.00570.76%20.8320.7711.04(0.05)-0.01-0.4521.220.560.000.000.5521.222.6%9.0%9.0%6.6%6.6%
4195240.70.701.454.7%26.572.7%1.8%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%4.7%6.3%1.01751.75%21.0221.0611.38(0.05)-0.01-0.4921.550.700.000.000.6921.553.2%8.9%8.9%6.9%6.9%
5195310.620.621.451.2%25.292.7%2.1%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%71.7%1.2%6.6%1.021.64%21.2221.2611.64(0.05)-0.01-0.5321.790.620.000.000.6121.792.8%8.5%8.5%7.0%7.0%
6195320.630.631.410.3%24.142.9%2.1%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%43.3%0.3%6.9%1.021.41%21.5521.4911.91(0.05)-0.01-0.5722.060.630.000.000.6222.062.8%8.6%8.6%7.2%7.2%
7195330.60.601.411.4%23.353.2%2.3%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%1.4%7.0%1.021.41%21.7921.6812.16(0.05)-0.01-0.6222.300.600.000.000.5922.302.6%8.9%8.9%7.3%7.3%
8195340.660.661.42-1.8%24.813.0%1.9%-1.8%7.2%1.021.01%22.0621.9312.47(0.05)-0.01-0.6622.590.660.000.000.6522.592.9%10.7%10.7%7.6%7.6%
9195410.660.661.424.5%26.942.8%1.7%1.3%4.5%7.3%1.031.39%1.39%22.3022.1812.77(0.05)-0.01-0.7022.880.660.000.000.6522.882.8%9.7%9.7%7.7%7.7%
10195420.70.701.451.4%29.212.6%1.0%0.1%1.4%1.8%7.6%1.041.40%1.40%22.5922.4613.11(0.06)-0.01-0.7423.200.700.000.000.6923.203.0%9.5%9.5%7.8%7.8%
11195430.610.611.47-0.9%32.312.6%0.6%1.4%-0.9%0.009%7.7%1.031.19%1.19%1.39%CB- origianal BQ22.8822.6513.35(0.06)-0.02-0.7823.430.610.000.000.5923.432.5%10.1%10.1%8.0%8.0%
12195440.80.801.452.1%35.982.5%1.0%1.4%2.1%7.8%1.041.26%1.26%1.40%23.2023.0313.79(0.06)-0.02-0.8223.850.800.000.000.7823.853.3%9.2%9.2%8.1%8.1%
13195510.850.851.473.4%36.582.6%1.2%0.5%3.4%1.2%-0.0%-0.0%8.0%-0.02%-0.50%7.47%8.65%9.04%1.051.43%1.55%1.19%-0.26%23.431.19%0.99%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.17%3.17%3.67%4.17%6.42%5.23%23.4614.27(0.06)-0.02-0.8624.320.850.000.000.8324.323.4%10.2%10.7%8.2%8.2%
14195520.960.961.542.6%41.032.7%1.3%1.6%2.6%1.3%0.0%0.0%8.1%0.01%-0.50%7.56%8.83%9.24%1.051.51%1.77%1.26%-0.12%23.851.26%1.00%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.26%3.26%3.76%4.26%6.51%5.25%23.9714.85(0.06)-0.02-0.9024.870.960.000.000.9424.873.8%10.6%11.1%8.3%8.4%
15195530.830.831.562.6%43.672.8%1.5%1.1%%eq entry&exit2.6%1.5%0.1%0.1%8.2%0.10%-0.50%7.81%9.29%9.78%1.061.58%1.79%1.49%-0.10%24.321.49%1.05%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.53%3.53%4.03%4.53%6.78%5.29%24.3515.29(0.06)-0.02-0.9425.290.830.000.000.8125.293.2%10.1%10.5%8.4%8.5%
16195540.980.981.572.4%45.483.0%2.0%0.9%60.0%EQ Pos2.4%1.6%0.2%0.2%8.4%0.18%-0.50%8.04%9.68%10.22%1.071.64%1.60%1.64%-0.09%24.871.64%1.08%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.72%3.72%4.22%4.72%6.97%5.32%24.8815.87(0.06)-0.02-0.9825.860.980.000.000.9625.863.7%10.5%10.8%8.5%8.6%
17195610.920.921.623.4%48.482.9%2.6%1.4%3210-1-2-33.4%1.7%0.2%0.2%8.5%0.18%-0.50%8.15%9.84%10.40%1.081.74%1.78%1.69%-0.08%25.291.69%1.09%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.78%3.78%4.28%4.78%7.02%5.33%25.3316.39(0.06)-0.02-1.0226.350.920.000.000.9026.353.4%10.5%10.8%8.6%8.7%
18195620.870.871.643.4%46.972.9%2.4%1.7%AEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOBABBBC3.4%1.6%0.1%0.1%8.6%0.12%-0.50%8.20%9.82%10.35%1.091.83%2.04%1.62%-0.08%25.861.62%1.07%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.69%3.69%4.19%4.69%6.94%5.32%25.7316.85(0.06)-0.02-1.0626.790.870.000.000.8526.793.2%9.6%9.9%8.6%8.7%
19195630.690.691.734.6%45.352.9%2.5%1.6%Eq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgtEq wgt4.6%1.8%0.2%0.2%8.7%0.18%-0.50%8.36%10.12%10.70%1.101.98%2.31%1.76%-0.07%26.351.76%1.10%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.86%3.86%4.36%4.86%7.11%5.35%25.9217.11(0.06)-0.02-1.1027.030.690.000.000.6727.032.5%8.2%8.5%8.6%8.7%
20195640.930.931.803.5%46.673.2%2.8%1.5%85.0%80.0%75.0%70.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%85.0%63.3%56.7%50.0%3.5%1.9%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.49%10.42%11.06%1.112.06%2.76%1.94%-0.06%26.791.94%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.08%4.08%4.58%5.08%7.32%5.38%26.3417.59(0.06)-0.02-1.1427.480.930.000.000.9127.483.3%7.4%7.6%8.6%8.7%
21195710.910.911.844.6%44.113.4%3.3%1.6%EquityEquityEquityEquityBondBondBondBondBondBondBondEquityEquityBondBondBondBondBond4.6%2.1%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.47%10.62%11.33%1.122.18%2.77%2.15%-0.05%27.032.15%1.18%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.33%4.33%4.83%5.33%7.57%5.42%26.7218.04(0.07)-0.03-1.1827.910.910.000.000.8827.913.2%6.7%7.0%8.5%8.6%
22195720.890.891.741.5%47.373.3%3.1%2.1%PositionEntryExitWeightPositionEntryExitWeightWeightWeightWeightPositionEntryExitEntryExitWeightWeightWeight1.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.7%0.25%-0.50%8.43%10.84%11.64%1.122.15%2.78%2.41%-0.04%27.482.41%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.64%4.64%5.14%5.64%7.89%5.48%27.1118.49(0.07)-0.03-1.2228.330.890.000.000.8628.333.0%7.3%7.5%8.4%8.6%
23195730.740.741.734.0%42.423.6%3.3%2.2%320%5%85.0%312%3%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%36.7%43.3%50.0%4.0%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.6%0.25%-0.50%8.37%10.84%11.66%1.142.23%3.20%2.48%-0.04%27.912.48%1.25%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.72%4.72%5.22%5.72%7.97%5.49%27.3518.80(0.07)-0.03-1.2628.610.740.000.000.7128.612.5%7.5%7.7%8.4%8.5%
24195740.830.831.730.5%39.993.7%3.6%1.4%215%0%80.0%29%0%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%34.4%38.9%43.3%Test versions0.5%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.6%0.25%-0.50%8.32%10.79%11.60%1.142.16%3.06%2.46%-0.04%28.332.46%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.71%4.71%5.21%5.71%7.95%5.49%27.6819.20(0.07)-0.03-1.3028.980.830.000.000.8028.982.8%7.9%8.2%8.4%8.5%
25195810.680.681.761.6%42.103.2%3.1%1.7%110%-5%75.0%16%-3%15.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%32.2%34.4%36.7%20.0%30.0%50.0%6.4%1.2%0.0%1.6%2.7%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.29%11.01%11.90%1.142.14%2.91%2.71%-0.03%28.612.71%1.29%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%4.01%5.01%5.51%6.01%8.25%5.54%27.8519.44(0.07)-0.03-1.3429.190.680.000.000.6529.192.2%8.0%8.2%8.4%8.5%
26195820.680.681.791.0%45.243.3%1.3%2.6%070.0%015.0%20.0%25.0%30.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%30.0%30.0%30.0%20.0%30.0%50.0%8.5%0.2%0.0%1.0%2.6%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.28%10.89%11.75%1.142.09%2.77%2.61%-0.03%28.982.61%1.27%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.88%4.88%5.38%5.88%8.13%5.52%28.0119.67(0.07)-0.03-1.3829.390.680.000.000.6529.392.2%7.3%7.6%8.3%8.5%
27195830.690.691.772.3%50.063.2%0.9%2.2%-1-10%5%63.3%-1-6%3%15.0%18.3%21.7%25.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%25.6%26.1%26.7%2.3%2.5%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.27%10.80%11.63%1.152.10%2.75%2.52%-0.03%29.192.52%1.25%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.78%4.78%5.28%5.78%8.02%5.50%28.1919.92(0.07)-0.03-1.4229.610.690.000.000.6629.612.2%7.6%7.9%8.3%8.5%
28195840.840.841.731.9%55.213.8%2.5%0.4%-2-15%0%56.7%-2-9%0%15.0%16.7%18.3%20.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%21.1%22.2%23.3%1.9%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.24%10.68%11.48%1.162.09%2.71%2.43%-0.03%29.392.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.67%4.67%5.17%5.67%7.91%5.48%28.5320.32(0.07)-0.03-1.4629.980.840.000.000.8129.982.7%7.1%7.3%8.3%8.4%
29195910.90.901.733.5%55.443.8%2.7%-0.3%-3-20%-5%50.0%-3-12%-3%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%15.0%16.7%18.3%20.0%3.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.5%0.25%-0.50%8.22%10.65%11.45%1.172.14%2.71%2.42%-0.03%29.612.42%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.66%4.66%5.16%5.66%7.90%5.48%28.9220.79(0.07)-0.03-1.4930.420.900.000.000.8730.422.8%7.1%7.3%8.3%8.4%
30195920.970.971.753.1%58.474.0%2.9%-0.1%averageAvg & STDAvg & STDAvg & STDeq vs >of bd,ca50.0%3.0%2.5%95%5%12%8%7%0%3.1%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.19%10.59%11.38%1.182.18%2.69%2.40%-0.03%29.982.40%1.23%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.63%4.63%5.13%5.63%7.87%5.47%29.3821.32(0.07)-0.04-1.5330.910.970.000.000.9330.913.0%7.2%7.4%8.2%8.4%
31195930.720.721.771.5%56.884.2%3.2%0.1%96.9%0.971.011.00eq vs cash50.0%1.3%1.1%71%4%74%22%4%0%9.9%9.5%4.0%1.5%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.16%10.58%11.39%1.182.15%2.43%2.43%-0.03%30.4247.4%39.9%8.3%4.4%10.8%9.1%4.3%0.4%1.2%-0.5%5.5%3.03%2.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.66%4.66%5.16%5.66%7.91%5.48%29.5921.60(0.07)-0.04-1.5631.150.720.000.000.6831.152.2%7.4%7.7%8.2%8.4%
32195940.80.801.791.2%59.914.3%4.0%0.0%22.5%17.7%15.8%eq vs bd0.0%000.0%0.0%0%0%1.2%2.4%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.13%10.56%11.36%1.182.12%2.23%2.43%-0.02%30.914.3%0.4%1.2%5.5%3.8%9.5%3.07%2.43%1.24%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.67%4.67%5.17%5.67%7.91%5.48%29.8721.95(0.07)-0.04-1.6031.470.800.000.000.7631.472.4%7.4%7.6%8.2%8.3%
33196010.90.901.812.6%55.344.6%4.4%-0.7%8.3%70.250.851.00-0.9%-1.2%-0.7%-0.9%-1.6%0.0%0.0%69.160.875.00%5.13%-0.4%-0.6%1.061.0715.4%-6.9%22.4%15.4%280.0%-118.3%9.82%4.05%3.68%2.1%-1.1%0.2%2.1%-256.7%-20.0%1.7%-6.8%see below starting in 197080.0%18.3%1.7%-6.8%6.1%0.0%10.0%11.7%1.7%2.6%2.3%0.3%0.3%8.4%0.25%-0.50%8.11%10.40%11.15%1.192.14%2.07%2.29%-0.02%31.153.553.470.870.4552.1%40.0%2.91%5.0%0.4810.40%7.7%4.2%0.4%0.8%-0.5%4.9%3.23%8.28%2.60%3.47%2.29%1.21%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.50%4.50%5.00%5.50%7.74%5.45%2.26%2.14%5.99%2.26%2.14%5.99%30.2422.40(0.07)-0.04-1.6331.870.900.000.000.8631.872.7%7.5%7.8%8.2%8.3%
34196020.840.841.830.7%56.924.1%2.8%0.8%8.4%70.670.781.000.6%0.8%0.8%0.6%1.0%0.0%0.0%71.350.784.86%4.78%-0.8%-0.7%1.101.0928.9%-8.3%37.3%28.9%385.0%-115.0%10.93%3.49%3.25%3.3%-1.3%-0.1%3.3%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%7.5%85.0%15.0%0.0%4%2%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%0.7%2.2%0.3%0.3%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.09%10.27%10.99%1.192.10%2.00%2.18%-0.02%31.473.543.460.860.4652.9%40.0%2.07%5.0%0.4810.27%7.6%4.1%0.4%0.7%-0.5%4.8%3.48%8.44%2.61%1.55%2.18%1.19%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.36%4.36%4.86%5.36%7.61%5.43%1.91%0.61%6.26%2.09%1.38%6.12%30.5522.78(0.08)-0.04-1.6732.220.840.000.000.8032.222.5%7.8%8.0%8.2%8.3%
35196030.730.731.941.8%53.524.0%2.2%1.1%8.3%70.660.811.001.1%1.4%1.1%1.1%1.8%-1.0%-0.2%71.820.794.77%4.61%-0.7%-0.6%1.101.0726.2%-6.9%33.1%26.2%385.0%-115.0%10.42%3.53%3.06%2.9%-1.1%-0.2%2.9%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%10.8%85.0%15.0%0.0%-5%4%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%1.8%2.1%0.3%0.3%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.07%10.18%10.87%1.202.09%1.81%2.10%-0.02%31.873.543.460.870.4956.0%40.0%0.00%4.0%0.4910.18%7.5%4.1%0.3%0.7%-0.5%4.6%3.45%8.26%2.54%-0.27%2.10%1.17%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.27%4.27%4.77%5.27%7.52%5.42%1.93%0.09%6.15%2.03%0.95%6.13%30.7223.03(0.08)-0.04-1.7032.420.730.000.000.6932.422.1%7.6%7.9%8.1%8.3%
36196040.80.801.950.5%58.113.9%2.3%0.2%8.5%71.240.751.000.9%1.0%0.2%0.9%1.5%-7.5%-1.3%71.400.754.71%4.48%-0.8%-0.6%1.111.0833.4%-7.4%40.8%33.4%385.0%-115.0%11.43%3.32%3.03%4.0%-1.2%-0.2%4.0%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%2.3%85.0%15.0%0.0%10%2%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%0.5%2.0%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.25%-0.50%8.07%10.11%10.79%1.202.04%1.81%2.05%-0.02%32.223.563.480.870.4956.1%40.0%0.00%3.9%0.4910.11%7.5%4.0%0.3%0.7%-0.5%4.6%3.69%8.45%2.54%0.92%2.05%1.16%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.21%4.21%4.71%5.21%7.45%5.40%1.81%0.27%6.40%1.98%0.78%6.20%30.9523.34(0.08)-0.04-1.7432.690.800.000.000.7632.692.3%7.8%8.0%8.1%8.3%
37196110.720.721.95-0.4%65.063.9%2.3%0.3%8.0%70.040.831.000.8%0.6%0.3%0.8%1.3%-20.6%-3.4%68.560.854.59%4.20%-0.7%-0.3%1.101.0418.0%-4.0%22.0%18.0%385.0%-115.0%9.82%3.57%2.93%2.5%-0.6%-0.2%2.5%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%3.4%85.0%15.0%0.0%13%1%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%-0.4%2.0%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.19%-0.50%8.00%9.95%10.59%1.201.98%1.65%1.95%-0.02%32.423.533.430.860.4956.8%40.0%0.00%3.2%0.499.95%7.3%4.0%0.2%0.6%-0.5%4.4%3.40%7.98%2.48%1.34%1.95%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.09%4.09%4.59%5.09%7.34%5.39%1.91%0.35%6.03%1.96%0.69%6.17%31.1123.57(0.08)-0.04-1.7732.880.720.000.000.6832.882.1%8.1%8.4%8.1%8.3%
38196120.780.781.952.0%64.643.8%2.4%0.0%7.6%70.680.921.000.7%0.0%0.0%0.7%1.1%-12.9%-2.2%69.940.934.56%4.29%-0.7%-0.5%1.101.067.5%-5.4%12.9%7.5%385.0%-115.0%8.36%3.45%2.93%1.1%-0.8%-0.1%1.1%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%0.3%85.0%15.0%0.0%0%-0%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%2.0%1.9%0.2%0.2%8.3%0.19%-0.50%7.99%9.92%10.55%1.201.98%1.73%1.93%-0.02%32.693.553.450.860.4956.5%40.0%0.00%3.5%0.499.92%7.3%4.0%0.3%0.6%-0.5%4.4%3.03%7.59%2.50%2.49%1.93%1.14%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%3.06%4.06%4.56%5.06%7.31%5.38%1.91%0.47%5.67%1.96%0.66%6.08%31.3223.87(0.08)-0.05-1.8033.120.780.000.000.7333.122.2%7.4%7.7%8.1%8.3%
39196130.750.751.941.8%66.733.9%2.4%-0.8%7.4%69.900.921.000.6%-0.0%-0.8%0.6%1.0%-21.3%-3.6%68.080.954.42%4.05%-0.5%-0.2%1.071.025.3%-1.9%7.2%5.3%385.0%-115.0%8.16%3.75%2.81%1.0%-0.3%-0.1%1.0%-256.7%-20.0%0.0%-8.2%85.0%15.0%0.0%4%1%0.0%15.0%15.0%0.0%1.8%1.8%0.1%0.1%8.3%0.13%-0.50%7.93%9.75%10.34%1.211.97%1.69%1.81%-0.03%32.883.523.400.850.4957.1%40.0%0.00%2.9%0.499.75%7.2%3.9%0.2%0.6%-0.5%4.3%3.04%7.44%2.46%3.34%1.81%1.11%1.00%0.50%0.50%2.75%2.92%3.92%4.42%4.92%7.17%5.36%2.08%0.54%5.63%1.97%0.64%6.02%31.5124.13(0.08)-0.05-1.8333.340.750.000.000.7033.342.1%7.4%7.8%8.1%8.3%
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