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Asset Management
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds An Evolving Asset Class
May 2014
Gonzalo Borja, Head of EM Debt Andreas Fischer, Senior Portfolio Manager
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
Content
Executive Summary
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
2
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
Executive Summary
3
Market Environment Recent market sell-off in Emerging Markets offers attractive yields and spreads Valuations have clearly moved to the positive side and risk-adjusted returns look fair After several weeks of outflows out of the asset class recent figures point to a stabilization in fund flows US economic releases are crucial with respect to market expectations about an upcoming tapering date
Why Credit Suisse
Your Solution
Why to Invest Offers a diversification in the context of a fixed income portfolio Strong growth momentum to continue in EM relative to Developed Markets On average EM offers a higher yield than conventional bonds in DM space Fundamentals remain strong
Exposure to Global Emerging Markets Corporate Fixed Income Universe Yield enhancement above Developed Markets Corporates with moderate risks Active participation in the primary market as well as opportunities in the secondary market Active portfolio management and broad diversification within given parameters
Global fixed income expert with an extensive range of investment capabilities managing more than $50bn USD in Fixed Income investments globally
Rigorous and prudent investment and credit management process Capabilities in managing and analyzing corporate and sovereign debt both in DM and EM
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
Content
Executive Summary
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
4
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
Positive Macro Economic Environment Emerging Economies to Grow Faster than Developed Markets
5
Emerging market countries are expected to show a healthy GDP growth in 2014 accelerating from previous year to 4.9% from 4.7% in 2013.
Global growth seems poised to continue at multi-speed, with Europe and Japan as clear laggards. Emerging economies are set to grow at a faster pace than develop economies although growth differentiation should also remain the norm in emerging markets.
Emerging Markets and Developing Economies – Real GDP Growth (%), 2014 Forecasts
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013
GD
P Y
OY
% C
hang
e
DM GDP YoY EM GDP YoY EM ex-China GDP YoY
Emerging Markets and Developing Economies – GDP YoY Growth (%) Change
Sources: IMF, World Economic Outlook, Merrill Lynch, Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Fiscal Prudence Provides A Platform for Further Economic Growth
6
EM have experienced vast change and have become increasingly prudent when managing their domestic economies. Burdensome government debt, unwieldy fiscal deficits, and overexposed current accounts plagued many markets in the past, but
today the developed rather than the emerging world face these issues.
Sources: Credit Suisse PLUS Research & Analytics, Thomson Reuters Datastream Professional, Consensus Economics, European Commission, IMF, national statistical offices
As of 31.03.2014
Fiscal Balance and Gross Government Debt to GDP (%), 2013
US
- Japan
UK
Germany
- France
Italy
Canada
Australia
Brazil
Chile
Peru
Colombia
Poland
Hungary
SA
Turkey Russia
Malaysia
Shina Thailand
Indonesia
India
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4 0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Fisc
al b
alan
ce 2
013
(% G
DP
)
Gross government debt 2013 (% GDP)
Developed economies Emerging economies
Fiscal Balance and Gross Government Debt to GDP (%), 2013
Asset Management – SFI Group
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Positive Credit Trend over the Last Decade Evolution of Credit Rating in Developed and Emerging Markets
7
Emerging Markets
2001 2013
China BBB AA-
South Africa A- BBB
India BB BBB-
Brazil BB- BBB-
Korea BBB+ A+
Malaysia BBB A-
Philippines BB+ BBB-
Mexico BB+ BBB+
Russia B BBB
Turkey B- BBB
Argentina SD CCC+
Developed Markets
2001 2013
Canada AA- AAA
France AAA AA
Italy AA BBB
Germany AAA AAA
Japan AA AA-
UK AAA AAA
USA AAA AA+
Portugal AA BB
Ireland AAA BBB+
Greece A B-
Spain AA- BBB-
Sources: Credit Suisse, Bloomberg, S&P As of 31.03.2014
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From High Yield to High Grade The EMBIG’s 20-Year Path to Investment Grade
8
0
500
1000
1500
2000 Mexico Crisis (‘94 to ‘95)
Russia default (May ‘99)
Asia crisis (mid-97)
Brazil devaluation (Jan ‘99)
Ecuador default (Oct ‘99)
Argentina default (Dec ‘01)
Argentina Restructuring (Jun ‘05)
Financial crisis (Mid- ‘07 to ‘08)
Brazil to IG (S&P: Apr ‘08)
Eurozone crisis (Nov ‘09 to present)
Sources: Credit Suisse, JP Morgan As of 14.04.2014
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Historical Total Returns Historic Performance and Risk Comparison
9
Over the previous 11 years, risky fixed income asset classes have outperformed global equities. However, return per unit of risk is highest with traditional fixed income classes, such as global governments and global securitized. In the fixed income space, emerging market and high yield bonds have shown the highest returns, however, with a considerable
elevated volatility.
Historic total return development Historic risk and return relationship
Future performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance.
Sources: JPMorgan, Merrill Lynch, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse and own calculations From 31.12.2002 to 31.12.2013
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From Sovereign to Corporates Corporate Debt Represents Now More than 70% of Total EM Debt
10
The emerging market corporate universe has grown at a 26% annual growth rate over the last 12 years and has far outpaced the 10% annual growth rate of the composite bond universe and has nearly quadruple the 7% growth rate of the emerging market sovereign bond universe over the same period.
This growth is also visible and remarkable when we compare it to develop markets. The overall universe within the emerging market corporate hard currency has grown at a significant higher pace than similar peer markets such us U.S. Corporates or US High Yield.
Corporate Emerging Market As % of Sovereign EM Corporate EM Growth vs. DM – Market Growth Multiple
Sources: Credit Suisse, Merrill Lynch As of 31.12.2013
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
EM Corporate EM Sovereign
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Mar
ket G
row
th M
ultip
le s
ince
200
5, x
EM IG Corporates EM HY US IG US HY EM Sovereigns
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EM Corporates Followed the Sovereign Rating Upgrade Trend Strong Rating Development over the Last Decade
11
The emerging market corporate universe has benefited from positive development trends in their respective countries. Following a trend of positive rating upgrades in emerging economies, corporates from does region followed its sovereign trend.
The rating distribution relative to the overall universe within the emerging market corporate hard currency space has developed significantly. Originally dominated by an 82% allocation to high yield corporates, the universe now more than 70% allocation to the investment grade sector.
Average Rating Evolution of EM Debt vs. US Corporates Market Value in % by Rating Bucket within EM Corporates
Sources: Credit Suisse, Merrill Lynch As of 31.12.2013
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
A-
BBB+
BBB
BBB-
BB+
BB
BB-
B+
EM Sovereigns EM Corporates US Corporates
AAA-AA
A BBB Investm. Grade
BB B CCC & Lower
High Yield
1998 – 5.81 12.03 17.84 53.33 22.23 6.60 82.16
1999 – 8.75 29.41 338.16 35.92 20.38 5.55 61.85
2000 1.20 11.77 32.96 45.93 27.69 23.46 2.92 54.07
2001 1.03 18.79 44.13 63.95 18.22 11.92 5.92 36.06
2002 0.93 25.78 42.60 69.31 13.35 13.70 3.64 30.69
2003 1.98 29.53 34.69 66.20 18.44 12.95 2.40 33.79
2004 1.28 36.92 28.76 66.96 21.41 10.34 1.29 33.04
2005 3.93 33.35 30.73 68.01 20.68 10.52 0.79 31.99
2006 4.12 32.22 36.46 72.80 14.41 12.27 0.52 27.20
2007 5.78 30.61 31.54 67.93 19.27 12.10 0.70 32.07
2008 7.05 30.66 35.99 73.70 16.49 8.98 0.83 26.30
2009 6.87 28.45 37.88 73.20 13.40 11.52 1.87 26.79
2010 5.47 26.58 39.46 71.51 15.15 12.11 1.23 28.49
2011 5.94 26.17 39.64 71.75 15.53 12.02 0.48 228.03
2012 7.89 22.15 44.39 74.42 13.20 10.93 1.35 25.49
2013 7.50 20.50 44.80 72.80 15.00 9.8 2.4 27.20
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The Raise of an Asset Class – Country Diversification From 13 Countries in 2001 to over 42 Year-to-Date
12
Not just countries but well diversified in terms of bond selection. There are roughly over 500 different issuers with over 1,000 different bonds split among 42 countries.
Source: JP Morgan Indices As of 31.12.2013
CEEMEA Weight in %
Inception (Dec. 2001)
Today (Dec. 2013)
Bahrain – 0.53
Croatia – 0.12
Czech Republic – 0.36
Egypt – 0.20
Ghana – 0.24
Hungary – 0.19
Israel 2.44 3.46
Kazakhstan – 1.32
Kuwait – 0.60
Nigeria – 0.92
Oman – 0.29
Poland – 0.59
Qatar – 4.43
Russia – 5.65
Saudi Arabia – 1.36
South Africa – 3.12
Turkey – 4.35
UAE – 4.94
Ukraine – 1.26
ASIA Weight in %
Inception (Dec. 2001)
Today (Dec. 2013)
China – 5.40
Hong Kong 20.08 5.63
India – 5.35
Indonesia 0.51 2.42
Korea 2.79 5.58
Macau – 0.92
Malaysia 7.95 2.04
Mongolia – 0.18
Philippines 0.66 2.45
Singapore 20.35 4.40
Taiwan – 0.94
Thailand 1.52 3.63
LATAM Weight in %
Inception (Dec. 2001)
Today (Dec. 2013)
Argentina 6.84 0.90
Brazil 9.80 5.31
Chile 7.79 4.19
Colombia – 4.58
Dominican Rep – 0.20
El Salvador – 0.29
Guatemala – 0.41
Jamaica – 1.66
Mexico 17.19 5.60
Paraguay – 0.11
Peru – 3.87
Venezuela 2.07 –
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The Raise of and Asset Class – Sector Diversification A Well Diversified Universe with over 12 Different Countries
13
While country, sector and rating concentration was an issue in the first few years, today the emerging market corporate universe has more than 12 sectors and is comparable to a develop market corporate universe.
With a Market Capitalization of USD 728 bn as of end of 1Q 2014, EM Corporates have a similar capitalization than some Fixed Income corporate asset classes in develop economies like the high yield market.
JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Sector Breakdown at Inception Weight %
JP Morgan CEMBI Broad Sector Breakdown TODAY Weight %
Financial 27%
Industrial 23%
Metal and Mining
2%
Oil and Gas 6%
TMT 25%
Utilities 17% Financial
29.16%
Industrial 5%
Infrastructure 1%
Metals and Mining 10%
Oil and Gas 16%
Pulp and Paper 1%
Real Estate 8%
TMT 10%
Transport 1%
Utilities 7%
Consumer 8%
Sources: Credit Suisse, Merrill Lynch As of 31.12.2013
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Fundamentals Still Supportive Leverage Similar or Lower Relative to US Corporates
14
When compared to developed market peers such as US corporates, EM corporates have similar and even lower leverage as well as liquidity ratios, on average.
Since the start of the financial crisis EM Corporates have used the debt capital markets to refinance existing debt (mostly bank debt) by issuing corporate debt with longer maturities allowing the company to diversify its maturity and financing profile.
Overall debt has been reduced on a total level although when looking at areas such as EM HY, debt has increased y-o-y but this was primarily driven by first time issuers coming to the market rather than overall re-leveraging of the sector.
EM IG Vs. EM HY Total Debt YoY Change 2Q 2013 EM Corporate 2Q 2013 Leverage by Rating vs. US Corp
Sources: Credit Suisse, Merrill Lynch As of 31.12.2013
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0
A
BBB
BB
B
Leverage, x
US EM
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Mar 07 Dec 07 Sep 08 Jun 09 Mar 10 Dec 10 Sep 11 Jun 12 Mar 13 EM IG Total Debt, YoY Change EM HY Total Debt, YoY Change
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Credit Rating Trends Default Rates at 3.1% in 2013 Are Expected to Drop to 2.2% in 2014
15
Default rates picked up to 3.1% from 2.7% last year and were above US HY default rates for the first time since 2004. 14 EM corporate issuers defaulted in 2013 of which 7 came from Latin America, 4 from Asia and 3 from EEMEA. Market expects a decline in default rates in 2014 to 2.2%. Year-to-Date, 2 issuers defaulted so far this year Aralco and Alliance Bank.
Credit rating trends for EM corporates were negative in 2013, specially in the high yield rating segment and to a lesser extend in the investment grade rating universe. For 2014 we expect that credit metrics should stabilize and/or be on a slightly improving trend. The downgrade of Ukraine sovereign rating by S&P in February was the main driver of the recent decline as this was followed by a wave of corporate rating downgrade in the country.
EM Corporate 3 Months Rating Migration Trend BofA-ML High Yield Default Rate by Credit Market
Sources: BofAML, Credit Suisse, Bloomberg As of 30.04.2014
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance.
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
LTM
Issu
er D
efau
lt R
ate,
Pct
BofA-ML US HY EU HY EM HY
-16
-12
-8
-4
0
4
8
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014Cre
dit R
tain
g M
igra
tion
Rat
e, P
ct o
f Iss
uers
Trailing 3mo Rating Migration Rate - EM IG EM HY
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EM Corporates Spread History Development Where We Are
16
Sources: Credit Suisse, Bloomberg, JP Morgan As of 30.04.2014
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
JPM EMBI Global Div - Spread JPM CEMBI Global Div - SpreadJPM CEMBI High Yield Global Div - Spread JPM EMBI Global Div - Historical Spread AvrgJPM CEMBI Global Div - Historical Spread Avrg JPM CEMBI High Yield Global Div - Historical Spread Avrg
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Is High Yield the New Carry Trade? Differences between EM and HY Relative to US Treasury
17
Sources: JP Morgan Indices, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
2.50
2.75
3.00
4
4.5
5
5.5
6
6.5
Dez 11Mrz 12Jun 12Sep 12Dez 12Mrz 13Jun 13Sep 13Dez 13Mrz 14
JPM EMBI Global Div - Yield JPM CEMBI Global Div - Yield
JP US Trasury yield Index (rhs)
Will EM spreads (Sovereign and Corporates) manage to offset a rise in US Treasury yields?
US High Yield became the new carry trade… Since the announcement of the FED (22.05.2013) US HY spreads have significantly outperformed EM spreads
1.50
1.75
2.00
2.25
4.00
4.50
5.00
5.50
6.00
6.50
7.00
7.50
8.00
8.50
Dez 11 Apr 12 Aug 12 Dez 12 Apr 13 Aug 13 Dez 13 Apr 14
JP Morgan US High Yield Index - YieldJP US Trasury yield Index (rhs)
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Sell off in EM Corporates Leads to Attractive Entry Levels EM vs. US Corporate Spread at a 5 Year High
18
Emerging Markets looks very attractive vs. US peers EM IG Corp Cheap vs. US IG Corporate Single-A/BBB spread differential (bps)
Emerging Markets looks attractive versus US peers EM HY Corp Cheap vs. US HY Corporate BB/B spread differential (bps)
Sources: BofAML Indices, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Okt 09 Apr 10 Okt 10 Apr 11 Okt 11 Apr 12 Okt 12 Apr 13 Okt 13 Apr 14
EM vs US IG Spread Differential, bps Average
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Okt 09 Apr 10 Okt 10 Apr 11 Okt 11 Apr 12 Okt 12 Apr 13 Okt 13 Apr 14
EM vs US HY Spread Differential, bps Average
Emerging market corporates spreads remain near their 5 year wides relative to US credit. EM Investment Grade currently trades 115bps wide to US IG, compared to an average of 80bps since 2009. EM high yield spreads currently trade 275bps wide to US high yield spreads, compared to 160bps on average since 2009.
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EM Credits Look Attractive Compared to Developed Markets Offering a Excessive Yield Pick-up on Some Sectors
19
Sources: BofAML Indices, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Future performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance.
Fixed Income Corporate Indices – Main Characteristics
EM Financials vs. DM Financials – Spread bps
EM Energy Sector vs. DM Energy Sector – Spread bps
Where exactly are emerging markets cheap to US? The charts below show two good examples in the Investment Grade universe; Financial and Oil & Gas being among the largest sectors in the EM universe. Generally, EM HY sectors look most attractive relative to US peers.
Name US Corp EUR Corp US HY EUR HY EM EM IG EM HYCurrency USD EUR USD EUR USD USD USDRating A- A- B+ BB- BBB BBB+ BB-Ticker C0A0 ER00 H0A0 HE00 EMCB EMIB EMHBNumber of Issues 6'143 1'850 2'237 538 1'679 1'055 624Face Value, US$mn 4'476'270 2'027'083 1'267'789 366'311 1'149'581 827'494 322'086Market Value, US$mn 4'901'362 2'238'256 1'347'532 400'303 1'185'509 866'571 318'937
Maturity-Final 10.11 5.30 6.63 4.65 7.02 7.52 5.67Yield to Maturity 3.09 1.77 6.03 4.28 4.95 3.82 8.05Yield to Worst 3.06 1.70 5.23 3.62 4.86 3.78 7.79Effective Yield 3.06 1.69 5.53 3.63 4.88 3.78 7.86Option-Adjusted Spread 114 104 375 309 332 216 648
Macaulay Duration 6.88 4.70 5.11 3.95 5.26 5.57 4.43Modified Duration 6.75 4.61 4.96 3.83 5.13 5.44 4.26Duration to Worst 6.70 4.57 3.64 3.08 4.97 5.39 3.83Effective Duration 6.84 4.66 4.19 3.23 5.03 5.43 3.94Effective Convexity 0.91 0.32 -0.07 -0.06 0.42 0.53 0.11
Avg Coupon (Par Weighted) 4.61 3.89 7.23 6.34 5.54 4.75 7.58Avg Price (Par Weighted) 108.41 108.60 104.67 107.10 101.74 103.50 97.22
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Okt 09Apr 10Okt 10Apr 11Okt 11Apr 12Okt 12Apr 13Okt 13Apr 14
Spr
ead,
bps
EM IG Financials US EU
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
Okt 09Apr 10Okt 10Apr 11Okt 11Apr 12Okt 12Apr 13Okt 13Apr 14
Spr
ead,
bps
EM IG Utilities US EU
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Weaker Technicals Supply Demand Balanced
20
Sources: Merrill Lynch, JP Morgan, Bloomberg, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance.
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sovereigns Corporates Mixed
Annual Cumulative EM Bond Flows (USD bn)
EM Corporate Bond Annual Issuance (USD bn) Five consecutive weeks of inflows reducing the YTD dedicated EM outflows to USD -10.6 bn as of April 30, 2014. Whilst the trend of flows into EM FI by institutional accounts has been positive for seven weeks now, retail clients are still flowing out of EM.
We expect this to turn positive as soon as geopolitical tensions will ease, providing a meaningful positive kick for EM assets
EM Corporate external bond supply came in at USD 58.1 bn in April, setting a new monthly record . Majority came from IG issuers (especially out of China), with 81% of the supply
Annual Cumulative EM Bond Flows (USD bn)
80.1
43.2
97.5
6.2
-10.6
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan Feb Mrz Apr Mai Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dez
US$ billions
2010 2011 20122013 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan 12 Apr 12 Jul 12 Okt 12Jan 13 Apr 13 Jul 13 Okt 13Jan 14 Apr 14
EM C
orpo
rate
Issu
ance
, US
$bn
EM IG Corporates EM HY Corporates NR
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Content
Executive Summary
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
21
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
Credit Suisse Asset Management Global Presence
22
Credit Suisse’s Emerging Markets Solutions offer...
Competitive and consistent returns over the entire economic cycle. 1
Extensive credit research beyond the rating agencies.
Broad diversification to minimize single country, sector and issuer risk.
Identification of relative value opportunities.
Offer a broad exposure to emerging markets corporate bonds.
Daily liquidity.
Credit Suisse’s Emerging Markets team...
Is fully dedicated to emerging markets fixed income as a main asset class.
Manages over USD 2.7 bn in emerging markets assets.
Has a long and successful track record.
Follows a rigorous and prudent investment and credit management process.
Believes that active management is a unique investment discipline.
Has successfully grown over multiple business and risk cycles.
1 Returns vary by currency class and depend on overall portfolio risk. Source: Credit Suisse
As of 31.03.2014
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Emerging Markets Solutions Managed Assets
23
We have a strong track record in managing hard currency emerging market bonds. Corporate bonds represent the largest part of our hard currency assets while we mainly invest in sovereign bonds through local currencies.
We offer emerging market fixed income fund solutions. Additionally, we offer emerging market fixed income mandate solutions for different client segments. The offering ranges from highly standardized solutions to fully customized mandates.
CS Emerging Markets Total Assets under Management USD 2.7 bn
Multiple Solutions
73%
27%
Hard Currency Local Currency
Global Focus
Asia Focus
Global
Hard Currency Corporate Bonds: High Grade & High Yield
Local Currency Sovereign Bonds:
Hard Currency Corporate Bonds: High Grade & High Yield
Local Currency Sovereign Bonds:
Customized Segregated Accounts Global & Regional
USD EUR
CHF
USD EUR
CHF
EUR
CHF
USD
EUR
CHF
USD
SGD
EUR
CHF
USD
SGD
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Emerging Markets Investment Solutions Overview
24
Hard Currency Local Currency
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond
Fund
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market
Corporate Investment Grade
Bond Fund
Credit Suisse (Lux) Asia Corporate Bond
Fund
Segregated Mandates/
Managed Accounts
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging
Market Local Bond Fund
Credit Suisse Institutional Master
Fund Emerging Markets Bonds
Credit Suisse (Lux) Asia Local Currency
Bond Fund
Product Emerging Markets Hard Currency
Emerging Markets Hard Currency
Emerging Markets Hard Currency
Emerging Markets Hard Currency
Emerging Markets Local Currency
Emerging Markets Local Currency
Emerging Markets Local Currency
Benchmark JPM CEMBI Index JPM CEMBI IG JPM JACI (Ex. Sov.)
Different Indices JPM GBI EM JPM GBI EM (unhedged CHF)
JPM GBI APAC Div.
Investment Objective
The fund invests primarily in emerging markets corporate bonds, and to a
limited extent in USD bonds issued by
sovereign borrowers. The fund invest in
high grade and high yield corporate
borrowers.
The fund invests primarily in emerging markets corporate bonds, and to a
limited extent in USD bonds issued by
sovereign borrowers. At a minimum, each
investment must have an investment
grade rating of BBB-/Baa3.
The fund invests primarily in emerging markets corporate bonds issued by
borrowers domicile in Asia or which conduct their main activities in
Asia. The fund invest in high grade and high
yield corporate borrowers.
Segregated mandates invests in different emerging markets corporate strategies. USD Bonds issued by corporate issuers maintaining an
adequate balance among rating,
sectors and country.
The fund invests primarily in
emerging markets local bonds issued
by sovereign, quasi-sovereignand/or corporate entities
borrowers. The fund invest in high grade
and high yield borrowers.
The fund invests primarily in emerging markets local bonds issued by sovereign,
quasi-sovereignand/or corporate entities
borrowers. The fund invest in high grade
and high yield borrowers.
The fund Invests principally in fixed and
floating rate debt securities and debt
obligations of government and
government-related issuers and/or
corporate entities located throughout
Asia in local currencies.
Current AuM
USD 465 mn USD 165 mn USD 124 mn USD 1,233 mn USD 485 mn CHF 108 mn USD 131 mn
Investment Manager
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Zurich
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Zurich
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Singapore
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Zurich
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Zurich
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Zurich
Credit Suisse AG
PM: CS Singapore
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Investment Objective and Philosophy
25
Investment Objective
The fund invests primarily in corporate bonds, and to a limited extent in USD denominated bonds issued by sovereign borrowers from developing nations. The major categories are investment-grade corporate bonds and high yield or sub-investment-grade corporate bonds.
Actively managed, maintaining an adequate spread of risk through security, rating, sector, and country selection.
Alpha generation from active management of duration and bottom-up issuer selection.
Interest Rates and Credit Quality
Main part invested in corporate bonds with maturities below 10 years.
Interest rate exposure is actively managed which is key in an environment of rising rates.
Average credit rating BBB. Exposure to High Yield Bonds ~40%. Modified duration ~4.5.
Diversification
Managed against the J. P. Morgan CEMBI Composite Index. This index invests in corporate bonds with at least 5 years maturity and a minimum amount outstanding of USD 500 mn. The benchmark consists of government-owned companies as well as corporates.
Broad country and sector allocation in order to increase diversification and reduce cluster risk.
Sovereign bonds could account for up to 30% if needed.
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
Future performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. Performance indication does not consider commissions levied at subscriptions and/or redemption. This is an indicative asset allocation, which may change over time.
Asset Management – SFI Group
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds
May 2014 The disclaimer at the end is also applicable to this page.
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Portfolio Look-through Positioning
26
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance.
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Key Figures Maturity Distribution in years Sector AllocationGross YTM in % 5.7% 00-01 5.6% Financial 23.3%
Modified Duration 4.58 01-03 17.1% Oil & Gas 16.1%
Swap Spread 363 bp 03-05 25.0% Sovereign 11.3%
Number of Positions 212 05-07 25.8% Real Estate 9.9%
Average Rating (exponentially weighted) BB 07-10 21.5% TMT 7.2%
Average Maturity 5.71 10+ 5.1% Consumer 7.1%
Top 10 Holding Cum 15.4% Metals & Mining 6.3%
Largest Position 2.1% Industrial 6.3%
Floaters in % 0.1% Diversified 5.8%
Current AuM in mn USD 557 Others 6.7%
Top Holdings Coupon Maturity Weight Country allocation Rating Allocation in %
PETROTRIN 9.750% 14.08.19 2.1% China 11.83% AAA 0.0%
SINEK CAPITAL 7.700% 03.08.15 2.0% Russia 11.78% AA 4.7%
CAYMAN ISLANDS 5.950% 24.11.19 1.9% Brazil 10.17% A 7.7%
VOTORANTIM OVER 6.625% 25.09.19 1.6% Mexico 9.71% BBB 47.9%
UNITED MEXICAN 6.750% 06.02.24 1.5% Hong Kong 5.92% BB 24.3%
DUBAI GOVT INT'L 7.750% 05.10.20 1.4% United Arab Emirates 5.52% B 10.7%
RUSSIA-EUROBOND 7.500% 31.03.30 1.3% Turkey 3.79% CCC 1.8%
COUNTRY GARDEN 11.125% 23.02.18 1.2% Peru 3.77% NR 2.0%
TELEMAR N L 5.500% 23.10.20 1.2% Chile 3.57%
DAR AL-ARKAN SUK 5.750% 25.11.16 1.1% Other 33.9%
0% 20% 40%
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Rating and Maturity Overview
27
Rating Summary Maturity Summary
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Performance indication does not consider commissions levied at subscriptions and/or redemption. This is an indicative asset allocation, which may change over time.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
< 1 year 1-3 years 3-5 years 5-10 years > 10 years
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond FundJPM CEMBI
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC NR
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
JPM CEMBI
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund (1/2) Portfolio Look-through Positioning
28
Sector Summary Relative Sector Summary
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Performance indication does not consider commissions levied at subscriptions and/or redemption. This is an indicative asset allocation, which may change over time.
FinancialOil & GasSovereignReal EstateTMTConsumerMetals & MiningIndustrialDiversifiedUtilitiesTransportInfrastructurePulp & PaperCash
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Fina
ncia
l
Oil
& G
as
Sov
erei
gn
Rea
l Est
ate
TMT
Con
sum
er
Met
als
& M
inin
g
Indu
stria
l
Div
ersi
fied
Util
ities
Tran
spor
t
Infr
astru
ctur
e
Pul
p &
Pap
er
Cas
h
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
JPM CEMBI
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund (2/2) Portfolio Look-through Positioning
29
Region Summary Top 20 Country Summary
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Performance indication does not consider commissions levied at subscriptions and/or redemption. This is an indicative asset allocation, which may change over time.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Africa Asia Europe Latin America Middle East
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
JPM CEMBI
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
ChinaRussiaBrazil
MexicoHong Kong
United Arab EmiratesTurkey
PeruChile
ColombiaSouth Africa
Trinidad and TobagoCayman Islands
IndiaSupranational
KazakhstanQatarIsrael
IndonesiaAzerbaijan
Others
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
JPM CEMBI
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Net Performance vs. Benchmark (B-Tranche)
30
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate
(Net after fees) JPM CEMBI
(Benchmark) Δ Fund vs. BM
1 Month 0.42% 0.64% -0.22% 3 Months 2.23% 3.03% -0.80% 6 Months 1.78% 2.60% -0.82% YTD 2.00% 3.36% -1.36% 1 Year -0.65% -0.99% 0.34% 3 Year 19.80% 18.31% 1.50%
Sources: Credit Suisse, Bloomberg As of 30.04.2014
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. Performance indications do not consider commissions levied at subscription and/or redemption.
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
10/10 04/11 10/11 04/12 10/12 04/13 10/13 04/14
JPM CEMBI CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Track Record (Gross Figures)
31
Annualized Performance1 Yearly Performance since Inception
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
1 Actual returns for period less than 1 year. All performance figures are gross figures, inception date 01.07.2005. Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. The performance data does not include fees and costs charged at issuance or redemption. BM 01.02.2010 – Today: JP Morgan CEMBI/BM 01.06.2009–31.01.2010: JP Morgan EMBI+/BM 01.07.2005–31.05.2009: JPM EMBI Global.
Composite: Bond Emerging Markets. BM: JPM CEMBI
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Yearto
Date2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
H205
Account 2.38 1.29 19.98 3.06 15.33 40.51 -20.2 6.57 9.42 4.85
BM 3.36 -2.37 16.73 3.49 11.58 27.90 -10.9 6.27 9.87 5.35
Ret
urn
in %
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 YearsSince
Inception
Account 2.52 2.41 0.68 7.44 13.38 8.32
BM 3.03 2.60 -0.99 5.76 9.81 7.58
Ann
ualiz
ed R
etur
n in
%
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Peer Comparison
32
Peer Comparison
Sources: Morningstar, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. The performance data does not include fees and costs charged at issuance or redemption.
1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year 3 Year (Ann.) 5 Year (Ann.)CS (Lux) EMMA Corporate Bond B USD 0.42 2.23 2.00 (0.65) 6.21 12.07
Aberdeen Global Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A2 0.74 2.98 2.81 (0.11) 4.66 -
BlueBay Emerg Mkt Corp Bd R USD 0.75 3.36 2.97 (3.08) 3.63 11.43
DWS Invest Emerg Mkts Corp A2 0.37 3.11 3.12 (0.86) 6.10 5.48
GS Gr & Em Mkts Corp Bd Base USD Acc 0.63 3.38 2.74 0.39 - -
Investec GSF EM Corp Dbt F Acc 1.14 3.78 3.55 0.09 4.60 -
JPM Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A (acc) - USD 0.57 3.29 3.04 (1.39) 5.97 -
MS INVF Emerging Markets Corp Debt B 0.59 2.85 2.64 (2.96) 4.67 -
UBAM Emerging Mkt Corp Bd A Acc 0.77 3.23 3.47 (0.83) 4.45 -
(4.00)
(2.00)
-
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
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-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
- 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00
Ret
urn
Std Dev
CS (Lux) EMMA Corporate Bond B USD
Aberdeen Global Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A2
BlueBay Emerg Mkt Corp Bd R USD
DWS Invest Emerg Mkts Corp A2
JPM Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A (acc) - USD
MS INVF Emerging Markets Corp Debt B
UBAM Emerging Mkt Corp Bd A Acc
CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Strong Risk-adjusted Performance
33
Risk/Reward Metrics over 3 Years
Investment Return
(3 Year Ann.) Std Dev (3 Year)
Information Ratio (3 Year)
Sharpe Ratio (3 Year)
TER Morningstar
Rating
CS (Lux) EMMA Corporate Bond B USD 6.21 6.91 0.87 0.90 1.46 **** Aberdeen Global Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A2 4.66 8.16 0.45 0.59 - *** BlueBay Emerg Mkt Corp Bd R USD 3.63 6.88 0.03 0.54 1.70 ** DWS Invest Emerg Mkts Corp A2 6.10 6.93 0.84 0.88 1.31 **** JPM Emerg Mkts Corp Bd A (acc) – USD 5.97 7.74 1.05 0.78 1.51 **** MS INVF Emerging Markets Corp Debt B 4.67 8.61 0.45 0.57 2.79 *** UBAM Emerging Mkt Corp Bd A Acc 4.45 7.14 0.36 0.64 2.09 ***
Sources: Morningstar, Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. The performance data does not include fees and costs charged at issuance or redemption.
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CS (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund Portfolio Look-through Positioning
34
Source: Credit Suisse As of 30.04.2014
2 SG = Singapore MAS notified for Accredited Investors only. Target return is no projection, prediction or guarantee for future performance, and there is no certainty that the target return will be reached.
Fund Name Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund
Domicile Luxembourg
Legal Structure Undertakings for Collective Investment in Transferable Securities (UCITS) – Fonds Commun. de Placement (FCP)
Investment Manager Credit Suisse Ltd., Zurich
Portfolio Manager Gonzalo Borja, Andreas Fischer
Currency US Dollar (USD)
Currency Share Classes USD, EUR, CHF
Investment Objective The fund invests primarily in corporate bonds, and to a limited extent in U.S. dollar-denominated bonds issued by sovereign borrowers. The fund aims to deliver a higher return than what could be obtained from bonds issued by borrowers in industrialized nations. The fund is actively managed in terms of its investment approach.
Benchmark JP Morgan CEMBI Index
Currency US Dollar (USD)
Share Classes USD, EUR, CHF
Client type HNW and Institutional (QI)
Management Fee p.a. Retail classes (B, R): 1.20%/Institutional Class (I, S, Y): 0.80% (> 500 k)/Institutional Class (on request): 0.30% (>25 mn)
Liquidity Daily, with cut-off 15:00 CET
Registration LU, DE, ES, AT, FR, CH, CL, IT, FI, NO, SE, SG2
ISIN
A (USD): LU0660296467 (Distributing) B (USD): LU0660296541 (Accumulating) IB (USD): LU0660296624 (Accumulating) MB (USD): LU0804456878 (Accumulating)
BH (EUR):LU0660296111 (EUR hedged, Acc.) IBH (EUR):LU0660296384 (EUR hedged, Acc.) MB (EUR):LU1000867603 (EUR hedged, Acc.)
BH (CHF):LU0660295907 (CHF hedged, Acc.) IBH (CHF):LU0660296202 (CHF hedged, Acc.)
Valor no. A (USD): 13506687 MB (USD): 19019025 B (USD): 13506689 IB (USD): 13506700
BH (EUR):13506698 IBH (EUR):13506709 MB (EUR): 23006904
BH (CHF):13506692 IBH (CHF):13506702
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Content
Executive Summary
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
35
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Asset Management Business of Credit Suisse Broad Range of Expertise
36
CHF 373.5 bn1 assets under management. Extensive expertise in traditional and alternative
investments. Comprehensive range of investment solutions
including segregated mandates, mutual funds and other tailor-made solutions.
Alternative Investments: − Hedge Funds − Credit Group − Commodities − Emerging Markets.
Core Investments: − Fixed Income − Equities − Index Solutions − Real Estate − ICBCCS (joint venture).
Multi Asset Class Solutions: − Discretionary mandates and wealth management
funds.
Traditional Investments (in CHF bn)
0.3 6.9 13.8
40.0
40.8
69.7
104.0
Core Other
ICBCCS JV
Equities
Real Estate
Fixed Income
Index Soluition
Multi Asset Class Solution
Alternative Investments (in CHF bn)
18.0
29.6
9.3
19.3
0.2
Hedge Funds
Credit Group
Commodities
Emerging Markets
Private Equity
1 Including Legacy Asset Management Company. The products mentioned on this page are meant for illustration purposes only and are not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell these products.
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.12.2013
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Fixed Income Investment Boutiques within Asset Management Broad Range of Expertise
37
Highly specialized and dedicated investment managers offering full-service and sophisticated credit investment solutions.
Superior expertise and institutional know-how through experienced teams globally.
Substantial scale and extensive network. Broad range of investment solutions within the investment
boutiques. Investment Boutiques are designated center of
competencies within the asset management business of Credit Suisse.
Access to global platform of Credit Suisse AG.
Selected Fixed Income Investment Boutiques
SFI Group Specialized Fixed
Income Group Hedging-Griffo
Credit & Fixed Income Brazil EMCO
EM Credit Opportunities
Credit Investment
Group Senior Loans &
High Yield
York Capital Credit
Opportunities
Core Fixed Income
FI Core Solutions
ILS Insurance Linked
Strategies
Aventicum Dedicated EM
Credit Manager in Qatar
Securitized Products
Structured Credit
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Specialized Fixed Income Group Overview
38
USD 10.7 bn assets under management. 24 investment professionals with an average of 13 years
of experience. Global developed and emerging market credit solutions
across sectors and rating categories. Relative and absolute return solutions with customized
benchmarks and investment guidelines. Investment process with a fundamental and relative value
bottom up security selection and top down macro strategy.
Risk management, investment controlling and best execution are an integrated part of the investment process.
Tailor-made investment solutions for UHNW clients, family offices, independent asset managers, pension funds and corporations.
Sophisticated client reporting and risk management framework.
Direct access to dedicated portfolio managers.
Comprehensive Offering
Asia
Global Convertibles
Unconstrained Credit
Emerging Markets
Absolute Return
Special Situations
SFI Group Specialized Fixed
Income Group
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Specialized Fixed Income Group Overview
39
Credit & Special Situations Oliver Gasser, CFA
Global Convertible Bonds Peter Schilling
Emerging Markets Gonzalo Borja
Fixed Income Specialist Ralph Geiger
Asia Alexandre Bouchardy, CFA
UHNW & Absolute Return Luc Mathys, CFA, FRM
SFI Group Michel Degen Deputy: Luc Mathys, CFA, FRM
Michel Berger Christian Dimita Dominik Scheck, CFA Christoph Durst, CIIA Marcel Rüede, CFA
Laura Slater, CIIA Robert Wakiyama Dominique Gilgen, CFA
Dr. Daniel Niedermayer Vedran Stankovic, CFA
Andreas Fischer, CFA Andranik Safaryan Jessie Andrianjaka
Adrian Chee Lei Zhu, CFA Pascal Schneider Alexandre Bruhin
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Content
Executive Summary
Introduction to Asset Management
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
40
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Emerging Markets/APAC Fixed Income Team
41
Research
Forex
Trading
Product Specialist
Macro Themes
Investment Committee
Global Rates
Committee
Global FX
Committee
Global Credit
Committee
Investment Guidelines Monitoring
Risk Management
Legal & Compliance
Product Management
Location Investment Team Investment Experience
Function
Zurich
Gonzalo Borja Director
14 years Head FI Emerging Markets Senior Portfolio Manager
Andreas Fischer Director
13 years Senior Portfolio Manager
Andranik Safaryan Assistant Vice President
4 years Portfolio Manager Credit Analyst
Jessie Andrianjaka 3 years Junior Portfolio Manager Credit Analyst
Singapore
Alexandre Bouchardy Director
11 years Head Fixed Income Asia Senior Portfolio Manager
Adrian Chee Director
21 years Senior Portfolio Manager
Lei Zhu Vice President
9 years Senior Portfolio Manager
Alex Bruhin Assistant Vice President
6 years Portfolio Manager Credit analyst
Source: Credit Suisse As of 28.02.2014
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Investment Management Team Fixed Income Emerging Markets
42
Gonzalo Borja Head of Fixed Income Emerging Markets
Gonzalo joined Credit Suisse in 2012 and currently manages Emerging Market credit portfolios and funds. Previously, he managed the Clariden Leu Bond Fund EUR, the Clariden Leu Corporate Bond Fund and the Clariden Leu European High Yield Bond Fund at Clariden Leu in Zurich. Furthermore, he was responsible for overseeing the firm’s credit investment process within fixed income asset management. Prior to that, he also held roles at Banco Santander in Equity Capital Markets in Madrid and Baring Private Equity Partners in London. Gonzalo has more than 14 years of fixed income investment experience. He holds a degree in Business Administration from the European Business School, Madrid.
Andreas Fischer Senior Portfolio Manager
Andreas joined Credit Suisse in 2012 and currently manages Emerging Market credit portfolios and funds in hard and local currencies. Previously, Andreas was responsible for Hedging and Overlay Strategies and monitored the asset allocation process at Clariden Leu in Zurich. In addition, he also co-managed the Clariden Leu Core Plus Funds. Prior to that, he managed absolute return fixed income strategies including Emerging Market hard and local currency exposure at London & Capital Asset Management in London. Andreas has more than 11 years of investment experience in fixed income strategies. He holds a MSc in Finance from Birkbeck University, London and is a CFA charterholder.
Andranik Safaryan Credit Analyst and Portfolio Manager
Andranik joined Credit Suisse in 2012 and is currently an Emerging Market credit analyst and portfolio manager. Previously, Andranik worked on the Emerging Market team at Clariden Leu in Zurich, where he covered Russia and CIS as a credit analyst and was deputy Portfolio Manager. Andranik started his career at Swisscanto Asset Management in Zurich in the Fixed Income Sales & Distribution unit. Andranik has more than 4 years of investment experience in Fixed Income. He holds a Master in Economics with a focus on Financial Econometrics and Statistics and a Bachelor’s degree in Law and Economics from the University of St. Gallen, Switzerland.
Jessie Andrianjaka Credit Analyst and Portfolio Manager
Jessie Andrianjaka joined Credit Suisse in 2011 and is currently an Emerging Market credit analyst and portfolio manager. Previously, she worked for a French state owned funds of funds of Private Equity (CDC Entreprises), as investment analyst and she also worked as an analyst in Transaction Advisory and Audit Services for Ernst and Young Financial Services. Jessie holds a Master in Management of ESCP EUROPE, a Master of Science in Economics from the City University of London and the German Diplom-Kauffrau.
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Investment Management Team Fixed Income Asia
43
Alexandre Bouchardy
Alexandre Bouchardy, Director, heads the Asian Fixed Income team. He manages Global Fixed Income IG portfolios for European and Swiss pension funds as well as Asian Central Banks for which he is responsible. From 2005 to 2012, he was responsible for Inflation-Linked Solutions and won several Lipper Fund Awards in various European countries. Before joining Credit Suisse in 2002, Alexandre worked for Pictet & Cie. Banquiers and JP Morgan in Geneva, Switzerland, and Paris, France. Alexandre has more than 12 years of investment experience in Fixed Income. He is a CFA charter-holder and holds a Master Degree in Economics from the University of Lausanne (HEC), Switzerland.
Adrian Chee
Adrian Chee, Director, manages Emerging Market and Asian corporate portfolios and funds. Before joining Credit Suisse, Adrian worked for Western Asset Management in Singapore, managing Asian hard and local currency IG and non-IG corporates. Prior he worked for Standard & Poor’s Infrastructure and Financial Services Ratings unit as a credit analyst for corporates and financial institutions in South East Asia and South Asia. Before, Adrian was risk manager at Standard Chartered Bank, Singapore. Adrian has more than 20 years of investment experience in Asian Fixed Income and Credit Markets. He holds a Bachelor of Economics from the La Trobe University, Australia, where he focused on Banking and Finance.
Lei Zhu
Lei Zhu, Vice President, manages Emerging Market and Asian Fixed Income portfolios and funds with a focus on China CNH and CNY. Before joining Credit Suisse, Lei worked for DBS Bank in Singapore, managing fixed income portfolios of Asian sovereigns and corporates, specializing in Asian IG and High Yield issuers. In particular, she used to manage CNH bond investment portfolios and USD Global Credit Funds. Lei has more than 8 years of investment experience in Asian Fixed Income and Credit Markets. She is a CFA charter-holder and holds a Master of Science in Business Administration from the University of British Columbia in Vancouver, Canada.
Alexandre Bruhin
Alexandre Bruhin joined Credit Suisse in 2007 and is currently a Emerging Market and High Yield credit analyst and portfolio manager. Previously he was responsible for USD rates and credits where he managed various USD funds and mandates. Furthermore, he worked as a quantitative fixed income analyst specializing in fixed income performance attribution and risk management tools. He holds a Master in Business Administration from the University of Edinburgh as well as Bachelor’s degree in Investment Management from the University of Johannesburg.
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Content
Executive Summary
Introduction to Asset Management
Emerging Market Corporate Bonds: An Evolving Asset Class
Credit Suisse (Lux) Emerging Market Corporate Bond Fund
Introduction to Asset Management
Biographies
Emerging Markets Investment Process
44
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Emerging Markets Investment Process Credit Investment Process – Overview
45
Systematic analysis of several drivers forms input for credit investment strategy. Decisions are taken with regards to sector, issuer market weights and credit curve positioning. Underlying portfolio exposure is predominantly invested in cash bonds with use of derivative exposure for efficiency, hedging and
liquidity reasons.
Assessment Strategy
Fundamental Outlook (top down) Leverage versus earnings cycle General rating trends Global growth trends.
Issuer Analysis (bottom up) Financial analysis Market position Management.
Relative Valuations Current versus historical spread levels Emerging Markets premium over US/European credit markets Domestic funding rates.
Technical Indicators Demand/Supply Investment fund flows Market risk appetite.
Implementation and Monitoring
Decision Levels
Level 2 – Sector Allocation Relative sector exposure
absolute and relative to benchmark.
Level 1 – Country Allocation Overall market exposure absolute
and relative to benchmark.
Monitoring Ongoing monitoring of performance and
country/sector/issuer positioning versus benchmark.
Relative value opportunities within each sector/credit curves.
Instruments Core exposure directly through hard
currency cash bonds. In some cases derivatives such as credit
default swaps (CDS) or Interest Rate Swaps/Futures are used as an efficient way for hedging and/or accessing markets.
Level 3 – Issue Selection Diversified issuer exposure absolute
and relative to benchmark.
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Emerging Markets Investment Process Credit Investment Process – Issuer Selection
46
Emerging Markets Universe
First Layer Target EM Universe Approved/Critical Portfolio Monitoring
The EM corporate bond universe of approximately 1,200 issues based on a combination of the two largest Index providers: JPM CEMBI Index and ML EMCB Index
A smaller universe, as a result of an analytical process of different layers + A selection of off-benchmark issuers + A selection of smaller issuers with <0.2% in the benchmark
Target EM Universe: Approximately 200 issuers Seven sectors: Banks, Retail, Industrials, Telecom, Metals & Mining, Oil & Gas and Utilities Full coverage of this universe
Approved Universe Critical List
Ongoing Market Assessment.
Monthly Strategy Review.
Performance Contribution.
Compliance with guidelines and regulations.
EM Corporate bond universe of ca. 1,200 issues. Including most issuers in most countries and regions in the Hard currency land.
Company Analysis: Individual company
analysis. Detailed financial profile.
Scorecards. Sector Assessment.
Filter process of different layers: Issuer % cap. Country cap. Rating. Denomination.
Approved List: Issuers to invest.
Critical List: Issuers to avoid based on our analysis.
Portfolio Management.
Compliance and Risk Management.
Performance Measurement and Reporting.
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
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Emerging Markets Investment Process Credit Investment Process – Detailed Issuer Analysis
47
Source: Credit Suisse As of 31.03.2014
Assessment of business profile of company including SWOT analysis.
Understanding of main performance drivers of company (e.g., commodity prices).
Financial flexibility in terms of maturing debt and credit facilities.
Focus on key financial ratios and their development. Relative value considerations versus its own curve,
competitors, sector and rating. Moody’s and S&P rating and outlook are assessed for
possible catalysts for rating upgrade/downgrade.
Rated Bonds
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Disclaimer
48
This document was produced by Credit Suisse AG and/or its affiliates (hereafter “CS”) with the greatest of care and to the best of its knowledge and belief. However, CS provides no guarantee with regard to its content and completeness and does not accept any liability for losses which might arise from making use of this information. The opinions expressed in this document are those of CS at the time of writing and are subject to change at any time without notice. If nothing is indicated to the contrary, all figures are not audited. This document is provided for information purposes only and is for the exclusive use of the recipient. It does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell financial instruments or banking services and does not release the recipient from exercising his/her own judgment. The recipient is in particular recommended to check that the information provided is in line with his/her own circumstances with regard to any legal, regulatory, tax or other consequences, if necessary with the help of a professional advisor. This document may not be reproduced either in part or in full without the written permission of CS. It is expressly not intended for persons who, due to their nationality or place of residence, are not permitted access to such information under local law. Neither this document nor any copy thereof may be sent, taken into or distributed in the United States or to any U. S. person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended). Every investment involves risk, especially with regard to fluctuations in value and return. Investments in foreign currencies involve the additional risk that the foreign currency might lose value against the investor’s reference currency. Historical performance indications and financial market scenarios are not reliable indicators of current or future performance. Performance indications do not consider commissions levied at subscription and/or redemption. Furthermore, no guarantee can be given that the performance of the benchmark will be reached or outperformed. Discretionary mandates and/or investment products used within the framework of the mandates (e.g. alternative instruments, structured instruments and derivatives) may involve a high degree of complexity and risk, or may be subject to stock market fluctuations. Emerging Markets are located in countries that possess one or more of the following characteristics: A certain degree of political instability, relatively unpredictable financial markets and economic growth patterns, a financial market that is still at the development stage or a weak economy.
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