automotive hybrid landscape

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Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company 1 Automotive Hybrid Landscape Prepared by: Julie Enzweiler Automotive-Research Director April 22, 2009

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Page 1: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

1

Automotive

Hybrid Landscape

Prepared by:

Julie Enzweiler

Automotive-Research Director

April 22, 2009

Page 2: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

2

Key Takeaways

• 2010 Honda Insight is having a tough time breaking out of the Prius’shadow

• Prius is generating interest from an older audience, while the Insight is appealing to a younger demographic

• 2010 Honda Insight tweets outpace the 2010 Prius & 2010 Fusion Hybrid on Twitter

• Prius typically represents two-percent of all vehicles shopped online, but rose to eight-percent when gas prices peaked in May 2008

• Hybrid shoppers are moving more mainstream

• Japanese dominate American automakers in hybrid vehicle shopping

• Hybrid online shopping is a leading indicator for gas prices

• The Paris & Detroit Auto Shows generate the largest buzz spikes for the 2010 Insight & 2010 Prius, while the 41 mpg announcement drove the largest spike for the 2010 Fusion Hybrid

Page 3: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

3Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

Research Objectives & Project Parameters

3

Timeframe October 1, 2008 – March 31, 2009

Total sites Over 80 million blogs, 10,000 discussion boards, 50,000 Usenet groups

Total messages 358,039,862

Through this project, Nielsen Online seeks to address the following objectives:

• What are online hybrid shopping trends?

• Who currently owns a hybrid and what is the profile of those shopping for a hybrid?

• What are the buzz levels for the 2010 Honda Insight & 2010 Toyota Prius?

• What are the key online communities driving discussion for 2010 Honda Insight and 2010 Toyota Prius?

• What are the key topics of discussion within conversations about 2010 Honda Insight and 2010 Toyota Prius?

• What is consumer sentiment toward 2010 Honda Insight and 2010 Toyota Prius?

Page 4: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

4Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

4

Methodology

Discussion TopicsProcess: Use keywords and proprietary software to create a random sample of messages about each brand within the project timeframe. Categorize messages based on topics naturally occurring within discussion.

Results: Presented as a percentage of sample size. Topics analysis is not statistically significant; it is intended to give quantitative directional insight. Because messages may be scored for more than one topic, numbers may add up to more than 100%.

3%

8%

19%

28%

29%

40%

9%

11%

19%

25%

42%

56%

7%

9%

19%

26%

26%

33%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Topic 6

Topic 5

Topic 4

Topic 3

Topic 2

Topic 1

Brand A Brand B Brand C

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

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12/30/2007 1/30/2008 3/1/2008 4/1/2008 5/1/2008 6/1/2008

Brand A Brand B Brand C Brand D Brand E

Buzz VolumeProcess: Use proprietary software and keyword strings to isolate messages relevant to each brand within the project timeframe.

Results: Presented as a percentage of total conversation within the dataset.

11% 12%8%

36%25%

13%

7%

17%

18%

18%13%

34%

28%33%

27%

0%

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100%

Brand A Brand B Brand C

Positive Negative Mixed Unsure No Opinion

Consumer SentimentProcess: Use keywords and proprietary software to create a random sample of messages about each brand within the project timeframe. Categorize messages into one of four sentiment areas: Positive, Negative, Mixed or Neutral.

Results: Presented as a percentage of sample size. Sentiment analysis is statistically significant with a margin of error of ±10% and a confidence level of 95%.

Qualitative InsightsNotable quotes from messages, organized by key themes, are included to provide qualitative assessment of how consumers discuss each brand.

Page 5: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

5Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

5

“Hybrid Wars”: Vehicle Comparisons Dominate the Hybrid Landscape

Page 6: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

6Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

Enjoy the outdoors

• Shop at REI = 7.26 times more likely

• Cross-country ski = 3.71 times more likely

Read

• The Oregonian = 4.39 times more likely

• Atlantic Monthly = 3.53 times more likely

• The New Yorker = 3.47 times more likely

Drive

• Toyota = 3.16 times more likely

• Honda = 2.07 times more likely

• Subaru = 1.78 times more likely

Live in

• San Francisco/Oakland/San Jose = 3.19 times more likely

• San Diego = 2.50 times more likely

6

Hybrid Owners: Who Are They?

Source: Nielsen Online @Plan, Spring 2009 Survey

Page 7: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

7Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

7

Japanese automakers continue to increase their share of new hybrid shopping, while American hybrids fall to their lowest levels

0%

10%

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100%

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$4.50

Av

era

ge

U.S

. G

as

Pri

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s

Japanese Hybrids American Hybrids Gas Prices

Source: Nielsen MegaPanel

Page 8: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

8Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

8

Prius represented 8% of all vehicles shopped in May ‘08 at the height of gas prices & continues to dominate hybrid shopping

• Prius typically represents 2% of total vehicles being shopped, but accounted for 8% during the May 2008 peak in gas prices

• Hybrid shopper profiles are transitioning from an older, more educated, & higher income consumer to a more mainstream consumer

• Hybrid shoppers regardless of model over-index on males, while the Insight over-indexes on females

• Prius shoppers over-index on consumers over 45 years of age, while the Insight over-indexes on consumers between 21-34 years of age.

• Hybrid shopping is a leading indicator for gas prices

0

200,000

400,000

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800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

Jan-

08

Feb-

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le S

ho

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ers

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$4.50

U. S

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Insight Prius Civic Hybrid Escape Hybrid Gas Prices

8%

3.5%

Source: Nielsen MegaPanel

Page 9: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

9Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

9

Insight official sales date fails to generate as much buzz as the Paris & Detroit auto show debuts

Buzz Volume for 2010 Honda Insight, 2010 Toyota Prius and 2010 Ford Fusion

Buzz volume is depicted as a percentage of 358,039,862 messages occurring between October 1, 2008 and March 31, 2009.

0.000%

0.002%

0.004%

0.006%

0.008%

0.010%

0.012%

10

/01

/20

08

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/05

/20

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/12

/20

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/26

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2010 Ford Fusion Hybrid 2010 Honda Insight 2010 Toyota Prius

2010 Prius revealed

in Detroit

2010 Insight

revealed in

Detroit

2010 Insight

goes on sale

Ford announces

Fusion Hybrid

Fusion rated

at 41 MPG

2010 Insight

debuts in

Paris

Page 10: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

10Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

2010 Honda

Insight

61%

2010 Ford Fusion

Hybrid

23%

2010 Toyota Prius

16%

10

Insight dominates Twitter mindshare post-launch & is used to share vehicle experiences

Twitter Share of Voice for 2010 Honda Insight, 2010 Toyota Prius and 2010 Ford Fusion

“I just drove a new Honda Insight and it was terrific. Driving around Cville, I was averaging 50 mpg. My Honda Insight arrives on Monday!”Sunbiosis, 03-28-2009

Twitter Share of Voice is depicted as a % of total messages about the three brands of interest occurring between March 22, 2009 and April 10, 2009.

Page 11: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

11Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

31% 28%

15%

7%

16%

9%

38%

56%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 Honda Insight 2010 Toyota Prius

Positive Negative Mixed Neutral

Honda Insight buzz more polarized than Prius

Sentiment Toward 2010 Honda Insight & Toyota Prius During March 2009

Sentiment and topics of discussion are qualitatively assessed. Volume is determined as a percent of a sample of 100 messages about each brand during March 1 – 31 2009.

Page 12: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

12Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Competitor Mention

Price

Fuel Efficiency

Interior/Exterior Design & Size

Demand/# for Sale

Advertising/Promo/Video

Features

Performance

Considering Buying

Battery

Hype/Smugness

Govt. Regulation/Tax Credits

Owners Manual

Personal Review/Test Drive Results

2010 Honda Insight 2010 Toyota Prius

Insight is having a tough time breaking out of the Prius’ shadow

Sentiment and topics of discussion are qualitatively assessed. Volume is determined as a percent of a sample of 100 messages about each brand during March 1 – 31 2009.

Discussion Topics for 2010 Honda Insight and Toyota Prius During March ‘09• Comparisons to the

2010 Prius drive Honda Insight discussion. Price is frequently referenced as the Insight’s selling point; however, some do not feel that the difference in price makes up for the Insight’s lower MPG rate (compared to the 2010 Prius) or perceived lack of features.

• Reported solar panel and plug-in options drive features discussion about the 2010 Prius.

• Some consumers are showing early concerns that the Honda Insight might have “road noise”issues.

Page 13: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

13Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

13

“Let It Shine” generates widespread interestThe “Let It Shine” commercial posted by CreativeReviewTV generates more views than all but one of the videos on the Honda YouTube Channel--even CreativeReviewTV’s “Making Of” video yields over 16,000 views.

Honda should capitalize on the widespread interest in this clever commercial by posting it on the Honda Insight website as well as the Honda YouTube Channel. Honda may want to consider including the video in its search engine marketing strategy.

Page 14: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

14Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 Insight 2010 Prius

Automotive Entertainment Personal Blog Design & Advertising

Sustainability Gadget Other

14

Insight discussion is more dispersed, while Prius enthusiast sites generate the majority of buzz

Online Site Breakdown for 2010 Honda Insight & 2010 Toyota Prius

Online site focus is determined as a percent of a sample of 100 messages about each brand during March 1 – 31 2009.

The novelty of the re-release of the Honda Insight as well as the accompanying “Let It Shine”commercial drive interest within non-automotive communities.

Page 15: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

15Confidential © 2009 The Nielsen Company

The WHAT SlideWhat (we found) So What (does this mean?) Now What (do we do?)

Consider posting “Let It Shine” on the Honda Insight website & Honda YouTube Channel as well as including the video in its search engine marketing campaign. Clever & engaging ads need to reside wherever the target consumer goes online.

Honda’s “Let It Shine” commercial makes the rounds online; consumers enjoy the clever use of the Insight’s headlights.

The interest in “Let It Shine” expands the reach of Insight discussion—consumers share the commercial on sites outside of the automotive realm. Despite interest, Honda does not have the commercial on its YouTube channel.

The Honda Insight is closely linked to the Prius—almost two thirds of Insight mentions also discuss the 2010 Prius or another vehicle. Some believe that the exterior design of the new Insight looks very similar to the Prius.

If consumers regularly evaluate the Insight as a potential “Prius Killer,” the Insight will fail to emerge with a unique reputation, divorced from the Prius. The perception that the design of the Insight is too similar to that of the Prius highlights the belief that the Prius is the gold standard and all other hybrids must conform to the niche the Prius carved out. The end result of comparisons to the 2010 Prius is increased buzz for Prius.

Be wary of the impact of the “Hybrid Wars” on how consumers are assessing the Insight. Consider openly participating in online conversation to potentially shape perceptions of shoppers.

Hybrid shopping was closely linked to gas prices in 2008, but is showing signs of becoming independent of gas prices & appealing to a more mainstream audience.

Consumers used to perceive hybrids as a lifestyle symbol and was often purchased by wealthy, highly educated consumers. The introduction of new hybrids and growing awareness of energy conservation is changing the profile of hybrid shoppers.

Revisit the advertising target audience to ensure a more mainstream audience is being reached as opposed to the traditional hybrid owner of the past.

Some consumers believe that the Yaris will be more efficient and cheaper than the Insight and may hold out until 2011 (or whenever the new Yaris comes out).

Consumers predict that Toyota’s Hybrid version of its Yaris model will become a direct competitor to the Honda Insight.

Clarify the strengths of the Insight and Fit and stress the importance of purchasing a vehicle now (e.g. tax rebate) as opposed to waiting until 2011. 15

Page 16: Automotive Hybrid Landscape

Questions may be directed to:

Julie EnzweilerResearch Director, [email protected]