available wireless jan k lezny director of business development qualcomm internet services
TRANSCRIPT
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Available WirelessJan K LeznyDirector of Business DevelopmentQUALCOMM Internet Services
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CDMA Worldwide Handsets Forecast
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
EMC Micrologic Cahners
Millions of Handsets
Source: EMC 02/01, Micrologic Wireless 2001, Cahners 07/00
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23%
5%
35%36%
Asia
Latin America
US / Canada
Rest of World
China
Worldwide CDMA Handsets - Calendar 2001
92 Million - Micrologic Research90 Million - QUALCOMM86 Million - EMC, by Region
Source: EMC Cellular Terminal Forecasts
1%
US and CanadaOver 30 Million New Handsets
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Key Drivers for Wireless Market
cdma2000 1xcdma2000 1xMore Capacity, High Speed Data
Capacity/Quality
Roaming
Mobility
AMPS
TDMAGSMPDC
cdmaOneIS-95A
cdmaOne IS-95B
cdmaOne IS-95B
Medium Speed Data
Time
Multi-ModeMulti-Mode
Global Roaming
1G 2G 3G2.5G
Multi-BandMulti-Band
Multi-NetworkMulti-NetworkGPRSGPRS
cdma2000 1xEVcdma2000 1xEV
WCDMAWCDMA
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Nearly Doubles Voice, 307k, RF backward compatible
Data only 2.4 Mbps RF backward compatible
Voice, 14.4k Voice, 64k
Voice, 9.6k Data only 10-60k
Global Evolution to 3G CDMA
Voice, 128k/384k
Voice, 9.6k
100k
Voice, 64k/384k
GSM
CDMA
CDMA2000 1xIS-95A
GPRS
EDGE
PDC
WCDMA(Europe)
CDMA2000 1xEV
20031995 1999 2000 2001 2002 2004
IS-95B
WCDMA(Japan)
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SamsungSCH-X100
All 1x handsets are backwards compatible with cdmaOne networks!
First Commercial cdma2000 1x Handsets Available Now
SK TeletechIM-2300
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Approximate transfer times for a 3-minute MP3 song
GSM 9.6 kbps 41 minutesIS-95A CDMA 14.4 kbps 31 minutes
GPRS 45 kbps 9 minutesIS-95B CDMA 64 kbps 6 minutes
cdma2000 1x 307 kbps* 1.5 minutes - 1.25 MHz
WCDMA 384 kbps 61 seconds - 5 MHz
cdma2000 1xEV 2.4 Mbps 11 seconds - 1.25 MHz
How Fast is Wireless?
* Peak data rate for first commercial release of 1x terminals will be 153.8 kbps
Air Interface Data Rate Download Time
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Regional Update: North America
• CDMA carriers are market leaders:
- Verizon, Sprint PCS, Bell Mobility, etc.
• Current CDMA carriers optimally positioned
to migrate to cdma2000 1x with minimal
capex costs
• U.S. wireless MOU outpace others at avg. 220
min. per month
7.6
1.9
19.8
33.6
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1997 1998 1999 2000
Population - 311 Million
CDMA Subscribers - No. America
Wireless Penetration
- 39% in the U.S.,
- 28% in Canada
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Regional Update: North America
• The majority of North American CDMA operators have publicly announced their short-term plans to deliver 3G capabilities to the market place:
• 2H’00–Clearnet Communications announces its contract with Lucent to deploy 1x in late 2001
–Telus Mobility announces its contract with Nortel to deploy 1x technology–Alltell announces its contract with Motorola to deploy 1x in late 2001
• 1Q’01–Sprint PCS announces its contract with Motorola to deploy 1x in the second half of 2001
–Bell Mobility announces its $100 million investment to deploy 1x in late 2001–Verizon Wireless announces its plan to commercially launch 1x late 2001 and 1x EV shortly thereafter
Population - 311 Million
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EntertainmentDownloadable & streaming musicInternet radioStreaming videoInfo. servicese-Books
Avatars Personalized agents
Games Off- and on-line Multiple-player 3D motion, video, music
Online James Sutton
Wilbert Smith
Sally Rogers
Franchesca
Buddy List
Mobile Text CommunicationsEnhanced emailEnhanced instant messaging
Done
Mary, I was thinking we could purchase content at a lower price if we sent Sam to the store with...
10PM 8/1/00 Sara W
Position Location ServicesNavigation assistanceFriend finderEmergency services
Mobile ChatGroup conferencing/voice chatVideo conferencing
A Wide Variety of Applications. . .
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...that Consumers Want
Source: Answers Research Inc.
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70US So. Korea Japan
Navigation Assistance
Instant Messenger
Friend Finder
Music Player
Electronic Wallet
Advanced E-Mail
BREW Market Potential
Interest Level -% of Respondents
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05
10152025
Bill
ion
2001E 2002E 2003E 2004E 2005E
Worldwide CDMA Wireless Data Subscriber Revenue Market
Latin America Asia Pacific USA/Canada
$145M$3B
$8B
$14B
$21B
A Large Emerging Market to Attract Developers
Est. ARPU: Asian Pacific - $16.60, North America - $13.00, Latin America - $5.43
Source; Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, International Data Corp and Dataquest
US wireless data market = $15B by 2005
Source: Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, Oct. 2000
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for for WWirelessirelessSmall Memory Footprint Small Memory Footprint
Derived from Handset Code Derived from Handset Code Not a Stripped Down PC OS or VMNot a Stripped Down PC OS or VM
BBinaryinaryNative Code C or C++ Native Code C or C++
for the Highest Performance for the Highest Performance with Small Code Sizewith Small Code Size
RRun-time un-time EEnvironmentnvironment Downloadable Downloadable
Dynamically Linked Applets Dynamically Linked Applets with Cross Applet Communication with Cross Applet Communication
and Service Discoveryand Service Discovery
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ASIC SoftwareWireless Internet Launchpad
TM Suite
UI Interface
BREW
Java
Ap
ple
t
Java VM
Bro
wse
r
Inst
ant
Mes
sen
ger
AV
AT
AR
S
Po
siti
on
Lo
cati
on
Vid
eo G
ames
E-m
ail
Gro
up
Ch
at
Mu
sic
Info
. Ser
vice
s
Java
Ap
ple
t
Java
Ap
ple
t
Java
Ap
ple
t
Platform Architecture
Third party developers
QUALCOMM
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Enabling the 3rd Party Developer Community
• Standard development platform• End-to-end system• True BREW Certification• Secure and authenticated apps• Developer support program• QUALCOMM Venture Fund• Compensates carriers, developers and OEMs
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Initial Global BREW Partners
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Q U A L C O M M I N T E R N E T S E R V I C E S