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B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

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Page 1: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and

Detector

David B. MacFarlaneDESY Seminar

November 9, 2004

Page 2: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 2

Initial goals for B Factories

Apex at

,

0 0B - B mixing

)B and ( b c

( )b u

0,1 0,0

*arg ; arg ; ubtdV V

2 2 iubud

cbcd

V Ve

V V

2 2(1 ) itbtd

cbcd

V Ve

V V

1

2

3

Exploring CKM picture or alternative origins for CP

violation

Page 3: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 3

sin2 results from charmonium modes

BABAR PUB-04/038Update for ICHEP04

sin 2 0 722 0.040 0.023/ 0.950 0.031 0.013

.A A

0( ) (CP odd) modesScc K

1205 on peak or 227 pairs7730 CP events (tagged signal)

fb M BB 1140 on peak or 152 pairs4347 CP events (tagged signal)

fb M BBLimit on direct CPV

sin 2 0 728 0.056 0.023/ 1.007 0.041 0.033

.A A

BBelleelle20032003BBelleelle20032003

BBAABBARARBBAABBARAR

0

0

( ) +( )

S

L

cc Kcc K

Belle CONF-0436

Page 4: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 4

Summary of constraints on

Mirror solutions

disfavored

o

From combined

, , results:

9100 10

o

indirect constraint fi t: 98 16

CKM

BABAR & BABAR & Belle Belle

combinedcombined

BABAR & BABAR & Belle Belle

combinedcombined

Page 5: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 5

Combined GLW and ADS constraint on

o

indirect constraint

8fi t: 58 7

CKM

o

From combined

GLW and ADS fi t:

2051 34

BABAR & BABAR & Belle Belle

combinedcombined

BABAR & BABAR & Belle Belle

combinedcombined

Page 6: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 6

B Factories have been very successful! First precise test for CKM picture of CPV sin2 = 0.726±0.037, precision measurement

(5%) Progress on other angles

from S and Dalitz

o 2 from from (w/ D Daltiz)

And on sideso Paradigm change!

Now: looking for New Physics as

correction to CKM

(*)B D B DK

, ,cb cb dV V m

Page 7: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 7

Possible New Physics addition: SUSY MSSM parameters > 100! squark/slepton mass matrix

o Sensitive to SUSY breaking mechanism. o New sources of flavor mixing

2q ij

m

211m 2

12m 213m

221m 2

22m 223m

231m 2

32m 233m

[masses + mixing angles + phases]

iq jqiq jq

2q 23(13)(m )

Off-diagonal termsFlavor Physics atluminosity frontierDiagonal terms:LHC/ILC atenergy frontier

b and are both 3rd generation:probe both 32, 31 transitions

Page 8: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 8

Potential New Physics contributions

0B

b ss

sd

d

W

g

, ,u c t

“Internal Penguin”

0SK

0B

0SK

0 0 B K

0 0 B K

0SK

0B

b

s

s

sd d

0SK

0B

b

s

s

sd d

SUSY contribution with new phases

New physics in loops?

Page 9: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 9

Averages for sin2 and s-penguin modes

3.6s from s-penguin to sin2b

(cc)

No sign of Direct CP in averages

Page 10: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 10

PEP-II integrated luminosity

(as of July 4, 2004)~245 million BB pairs

PEP-II Records

Peak luminosity

0.923x1034 cm-2 s-1

Best shift 246.3 pb-1

Best day 710.5 pb-1

Best 7 days 4.464 fb-1

Best week 4.464 fb-1

Best month 16.72 fb-1

Best 30 days 17.04 fb-1

BABAR logged 246.4 fb-1

(as of July 31, 2004)

3x design

Page 11: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 11

Projected performance of PEP-II

Luminosity (x1034)

0.9 2.4 Units

e+ 3.1 3.1 GeV

e- 9.0 9.0 GeV

I+ 2.45 4.5 A

I- 1.55 2.2 A

(y*) 11 8 mm

(x*) 30 30 cm

Bunch length 10 7.5 mm

# bunches 1588 1700

Crossing angle 0 0 mrad

Tune shifts (x/y)

4.5/7 8/8 x100

rf frequency 476 476 MHz

Site power 40 40 MWJul 04 Jul 07

For 05 & 06 shutdowns:

Additional LER and HER rf stations, vacuum chamber upgrades,

stronger B1 separation field,…

LER photon

stop limit

Page 12: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 12

PEP II luminosity projections

2006

0.5 ab-1

1.5 ab-1

2009

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

Year

Inte

gra

ted

Lu

min

os

ity

( f

b-1

)

0

5

10

15

20

25

Pe

ak

Lu

min

os

ity

[1

0**

33

]

Yearly Integrated Luminosity [fb-1]

Cumulative Integrated Luminosity [fb-1]

Peak Luminosity [10**33]

Yearly Integrated Luminosity [fb-1] 3 23 41 39 62.6 107.3 109.6 187.8 298.6 331.3 339.5

Cumulative Integrated Luminosity [fb-1] 3 26 67 106 168.6 275.9 385.5 573.3 871.9 1203.2 1542.7

Peak Luminosity [10**33] 1 2 4.4 5 7.5 10 13 18 21 23 23

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 13: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 13

KEKB luminosity projections

44 fb-1/month

24 fb-1/month

18 fb-1/month

Crab cavity

beam test

Integrated 1 ab-1

Page 14: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 14

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40Ja

n-03

Jul-

03

Jan-

04

Jul-

04

Jan-

05

Jul-

05

Jan-

06

Jul-

06

Jan-

07

Jul-

07

Jan-

08

Jul-

08

Jan-

09

Jul-

09

Err

or

on

sin

e am

pli

tud

eProjections for penguin modes

K*

5 discovery region if non-SM physics is 30% effect

2004=240 fb-1

2009=1.5 ab-1

Similar projections for Belle as

well

Projections are statistical errors only; but systematic errors at few percent

level

Luminosity expectation

s:

20092004

( ) 0.30S f0KS

KS0

KS

’KS

KKKS

Page 15: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 15

Opportunities for Super B Factory Current program of PEP-II/BABAR and KEKB/Belle

could attain ~1-2 ab-1 by end of the decadeo Data samples will be about 6x larger than now and 100-200x

times larger than CLEO

o With such a large increase in sensitivity to rare decays, expect that there is a significant discovery potential

o Rich program of flavor physics/CP violation to be pursued

Even larger samples may offer opportunity to search for new physics in CP violation and rare decayso High-luminosity asymmetric e+e- colliders with luminosities

1035-1036 cm-2s-1 and up to 10 ab-1/year – “Super B Factory”o Emphasis on discovery potential and complementarity in an era when LHC is operating, along with LHCb and BTeV (?)

o Complementary flavor physics if LHC discovers SUSY, etc; discovery window if no new physics seen?

Page 16: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 16

Interaction regionCrab crossing = 30 mrady* = 3 mmNew QCS

Super-KEKB upgrades

New beam pipe

Damping ring

More rf power

LOI (Jan 04) for SuperKEKB [http://belle.kek.jp/superb/]

Ante-chamber & solenoid coils for reduction of electron cloud

Linac upgrade

Page 17: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 17

Super KEKB luminosity projection

Integrated 10 ab-1

450 fb-1/month

52 fb-1/month44 fb-1/month

24 fb-1/month

Crab cavity

beam test

14 month shutdown

Lpeak (cm-2s-1)1.4x1034 3x1034 2.5x1035

Now

Page 18: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 18

BABAR Roadmap Study: Jan – July 04 Defining physics case for Super B Factory

o Emphasis on sensitivity to new physics in CP violation & rare decays

o Emphasis on need & capability for precision SM measurements

Requirements of viable project planso Estimates for duration of approval and funding processo Collider options and upgrade capabilitieso Detector capabilities & requirements in light of projected

backgroundso Integrated scenarios for collider and detector construction,

with implications for time to first data Projections of physics reach in light of

competition & other opportunitieso Projections of samples and sensitivities; analysis of

physics reach

Page 19: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 19

SLAC options for High-Luminosity B Factory

Luminosity (x1034)

0.9 2.4 15 25 70 Units

e+ 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.5 8.0 GeV

e- 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.0 3.5 GeV

I+ 2.45 4.5 8.7 11.0 6.8 A

I- 1.55 2.2 3.0 4.8 15.5 A

(y*) 11 8 3.6 3.0 1.5 mm

(x*) 30 30 30 25 15 cm

Bunch length 10 7.5 4 3.4 1.7 mm

# bunches 1588 1700 1700 3450 6900

Crossing angle 0 0 0 11 15 mrad

Tune shifts (x/y)

4.5/7 8/8 11/11 11/11 11/11 x100

rf frequency 476 476 476 476 952 MHz

Site power 40 40 75 85 100 MWJ.Seeman Jul 04 Jul 07 LERvacuum

+IR +HER vacuum, 952MHz rf

Page 20: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 20

SLAC options for High-Luminosity B Factory

Luminosity (x1034)

0.9 2.4 15 25 70 Units

e+ 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.5 8.0 GeV

e- 9.0 9.0 9.0 8.0 3.5 GeV

I+ 2.45 4.5 8.7 11.0 6.8 A

I- 1.55 2.2 3.0 4.8 15.5 A

(y*) 11 8 3.6 3.0 1.5 mm

(x*) 30 30 30 25 15 cm

Bunch length 10 7.5 4 3.4 1.7 mm

# bunches 1588 1700 1700 3450 6900

Crossing angle 0 0 0 11 15 mrad

Tune shifts (x/y)

4.5/7 8/8 11/11 11/11 11/11 x100

rf frequency 476 476 476 476 952 MHz

Site power 40 40 75 85 100 MWJ.Seeman Jul 04 Jul 07 LERvacuum

+IR +HER vacuum, 952MHz rf

Ch

osen

Op

tion

Page 21: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 21

Possible Timeline for Super PEP Program

LOI

Construct upgrades for

L = 5-7x1035

-1~10 ab / yrLdt

Super-B Progra

m

CDR

Installation

R&D, Design, Proposals and

Approvals

P5

Construction

2001 2003 2010200820062005

Planned PEP-II Program

-1140 f bLdt -1500 f bLdt -1~1 2 abLdt

(June 30, 2003) (End 2006) (PEP-II ultimate)

Commission

2012

Super B Operation

2011

Page 22: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 22

Considerations for detector systems Extrapolation of backgrounds with and

without luminosity component; spatial and/or angular distributions if significant;

Performance degradation with occupancy and projected limits; likewise radiation damage and projected limits;

Detector options for 5-10x1035 machines.

What are limits of current technologies?

Long extrapolation from current background studies, which include significant luminosity-

dependent componentDepends critically on design of

interaction region, beam separation scheme

Page 23: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 23

BABAR Detector

DIRC PID)144 quartz

bars11000 PMs

1.5T solenoid

EMC6580 CsI(Tl) crystals

Drift Chamber40 layers

Instrumented Flux Return

iron / RPCs or LSTs (muon / neutral hadrons)

Silicon Vertex Tracker

5 layers, double sided strips

e

(3.1GeV)

e (9GeV)

Page 24: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 24

Interaction region design

PEP-II Head-On IR Layout

o SR in bend & quadrupole magnets

o Current dependent terms due to residual vacuum

Page 25: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 25

87.57

6.56

5.5

4

3.532.5

21.51

0.5

4.55

HER Radiative Bhabhas

-7.5 -5 -2.5 0 2.5 5 7.5

0

10

20

30

-10

-20

-30

m

cm

M. SullivanFeb. 8, 2004API88k3_R5_RADBHA_TOT_7_5M

3.1 G

eV

3.1 G

eV

9 GeV

9 GeV

Luminosity-dependent backgrounds

o SR in bend & quadrupole magnets

o Current dependent terms due to residual vacuum

o Bhabha scattering at IP

PEP-II Head-On IR Layout

Page 26: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 26

PEP-II 1036 B-Factory +/- 12 mrad xing angle Q2 septum at 2.5 m

30

20

10

0

-10

-20

-30

cm

-7.5 -5 -2.5 0 2.5 5 7.5m 31-JAN-2002

M. Sullivan

Q1

Q1Q1

Q1

Q2

Q4

Q5Q2

Q4Q5 e+

e-

IR concept for a Super B-Factory

M.Sullivan

±12 mr crossing angle

o No background calculations yet

Can luminosity component be reduced?

Page 27: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 27

SVT backgrounds: top module

SVT Occupancy (Top)

0

40

80

120

160

200

240

8 200 700 1000Luminosity (10E33)

Oc

cu

pa

nc

y (

%)

100%

50%

20%

10%

0%

Lumi term

DANGER with 4x granularity increase

Assumes striplets increase granularity 4-fold

Page 28: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 28

Monolithic Active Pixels Option for very high luminosity is MAPS =

Monolithic Active Pixels = sensor and electronics on the same substrate.o R&D on monolithic pixels has started in several places.

Possible approaches:o Integrate electronics on the high resistivity substrate

usually employed for sensors• Active components are not of the best quality• The fabrication process is highly non-standard with

large feature size (>1-2mm)o Use the low resistivity substrate of standard CMOS process

as sensor• Can use standard sub-micron process with state-of-the-

art electronics

Far from a proven technology: fundamental R&D required

Page 29: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 29

DCH occupancy based on 2004 studies

Based on 2004 Fits

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

7 33 200 700 1000

Lumi

HER

LER

Based on 2004 Fits

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

7 33 200 700 1000

20% Lumi

HER

LER

N_LER [%]

N_HER [%]

N_BEAM [%]

N_LUMI [%]

20% L [%]

N_DCH [%]

N_DCH [%] 20%L

0.7 1 6 7 3 1 10 73.3 2 9 11 15 3 26 1420 1 5 6 23 5 28 1070 2 7 8 79 16 87 24

100 2 10 12 90 18 102 30

4 x cells 4 x cells

100% Lumi term

20% Lumi term

Page 30: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 30

Options for beyond 2x1035

Replace wire chamber by all silicon trackingo Leave SVT geometry unchanged; replace DCH with 4-layer

silicon tracker with lampshade modules. Remove support tube

o Radii of barrel part of SVT modules: 3.3, 4.0, 5.9, 12.2, 14.0 cm

o Radii of barrel part of CST modules: 25,35,45,60 cm

Current detector

60 cm

All silicon tracker

Page 31: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 31

Momentum resolution

Central Silicon Tracker Performance

0.001

0.01

0.1

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

Ptot(GeV)

Sig

mak

(Gev

-1)

CST-100.300

CST050-nosupp

CST100-nosupp

CST100

CST200

CST300

CST300-small

S-DCH Present detecto

r

Future?

Page 32: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 32

Calorimeter background projections

Integrated Luminosity

(2008) 1 ab-1

(2x1035) 10 ab-1

(1036) 100 ab-1

BackwardBarrel

0.88 0.78 X

ForwardBarrel

0.82 0.61 X

Endcap Small rings

0.82 0.69 X

Endcap Large rings

0.71 0.53 X

Degradation of light output with luminosity

Is this a functional

EMC?

Radiation Damage Projections

2x10

35

7x10

35

10

36

Versus ~8 physics clusters

Occupancy Projections

EMC lifetime limit: about 20 ab-1

Page 33: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 33

Radiation-hard calorimeter options

Lutetium (+Yttrium) OxyOrthosilicate [LSO or LYSO]o Fast light output in 40ns; solves occupancy problem.o Smaller radiation length 1.15cm (CsI 1.86cm) and Moliere

radius 2.3 cm (CsI 3.8cm)o Believed to be radiation hard to 100MRad!o Currently cost is ~$40/cc; pushes radius towards 700mm

Liquid Xenono Fast light output again, within ~20ns. o Radiation length is 2.9cm: need all of radial space

between 700 and 1350mm for cryostat, liquid Xenon and readout.

o Moliere radius 5.7cm: long. sampling to separate overlaps. o Cost of Liquid Xenon is $2.5/ccBoth Rad Hard crystal and Liquid Xenon options require EMC inner radius reduction to about 70cm: need to replace DRC

bars as well

Page 34: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 34

Muon/KL upgrades

Forward endcap RPCs will not survive 2x1035

o Outer layers see large LER background (part of which will be shielded after summer 2004)

o Inner layers see large Lumi background at small radii Plan already in the works to replace forward

endcap with LSTs (in avalanche mode) Barrel LSTs installed in summer 2004 and

again summer 2005 should be ok for all scenarios

Not clear if there is interest in replacing backward endcap RPCs due to limited acceptance loss

Page 35: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 35

Super PEP upgrade plan

LER replacement

5.0 7.0 x 1035

+ HER replacement

SVT striplets

+ 952 MHz rf

Silicon outer tracker

Rad Hard EMC

DRC replacement

2.5

Performance limit

Operational goal

Page 36: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 36

Super PEP upgrade plan

LER replacement

5.0 7.0 x 1035

+ HER replacement

SVT striplets

+ 952 MHz rf

Thin pixels

Silicon outer tracker

Rad Hard EMC

DRC replacement

2.5Operational goal

Page 37: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 37

Important factors in upgrade direction Project is “tunable”

o Can react to physics developmentso Can react to changing geopolitical situation

• Project anti-commutes with linear collider• Will emerge from BABAR and Belle, but could be attractive

to wider community in context of other opportunitieso As we learn more about machine and detector requirements

and design, can fine tune goals and plans within this framework

Project has headroomo Major upgrades to detector and machine, but none

contingent upon completing fundamental R&Do Headroom for detector up to 5 x 1035; with thin pixels beyondo Headroom for machine up to 8.5 x 1035; requires additional rf,

which can be staged into machine over time

Page 38: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 38

Super KEKB upgrade plan

Vacuum pipe, linac, damping rings, additional rf

SVT striplets

Wire chamber

CsI EMC endcap

TOP + RICH

2.5 x 1035

Operational goal

Less ambitious, but simpler with fewer

machine and detector upgrades

Page 39: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 39

Physics capabilities: angle projectionsUnitarity Triangle Angles [degrees]

e+e-

[ab-1]Hadronic b

[1yr]

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

() (SBBR’s isospin)

6.7 3.9 2.1 - -

() (penguin, isospin, stat+syst)

2.9 1.5 0.72

(J/KS) (all modes) 0.3 0.17 0.09 0.57 0.49

(BD(*)K) (ADS) 2-3 ~10 <13

(all methods) 1.2-2

1.6, 1.3 1, 0.6 2.5 -5

BTeV

() (Isospin, Dalitz) (syst 3)

3, 2.3 4

Theory: ~ 5%, ~ 1%, ~ 0.1%

Page 40: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 40

T.Iijima @FPCP

Unitarity Triangle from Super-B

sin2 0.019

( ) 0.011 0.026| | 5.8%

4

B d

ub

f BV

sin2 0.014

( ) 0.005 0.015| | 4.4%

1.2

B d

ub

f BV

5 ab-1 50 ab-1

Vub &

sin2 & md

Vub &

sin2 & md

Page 41: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 41

CP Violation in bs penguinsRare Decays, New Physics, CPV [%]

e+e-

[ab-1]Hadronic b

[1yr]

Goal

SM: <5

S(B0KS+KL) SM: <5

S(BKs0) SM: <5 8.2 5 4

S(BKs0) SM: <2 11.4 6 4

ACP (bs) SM: <0.5 2.4 1 0.5

ACP(BK*) SM: <0.5 0.59 0.32 0.14 - -

CPV in mixing (|q/p|)

<0.6 - -

S(B'Ks ) SM: <5 5.7 3 1

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

8.7 3.9 16 (?)

BTeV

S(B0KS) 16 7 (?)

Page 42: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 42

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0.14

0.16

0.18

0.20Ja

n-03

Jan-

04

Jan-

05

Jan-

06

Jan-

07

Jan-

08

Jan-

09

Jan-

10

Jan-

11

Jan-

12

Jan-

13

Jan-

14

Jan-

15

Jan-

16

Err

or

on

sin

e am

pli

tud

eProjections for Super B Factory

f0KS

KS0

KS

’KS

KKKS

K*

5 discovery region if non-SM physics is 15% effect

Super B Factory 5-7x1035 cm-2s-1

Projections are statistical errors only; but systematic errors at few percent

level

Luminosity expectation

s:

20122004

( ) 0.15S

Scale chang

e!

Page 43: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 43

ACP(BKS) vs SUSY models

5 ab-1

50 ab-1

Current

AC

Pm

ix

mSUGRAtan = 30

U(2)tan = 30

SU(5)+R

tan = 30nondegenerate

SU(5)+R

tan = 30degenerate

( )gm GeV

Page 44: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 44

ACP(BXS) vs SUSY models

( )gm GeV ( )gm GeV

AC

Pm

ix

AC

Pm

ix

5 ab-1 50 ab-1

Direct CPV Mixing CPV

mSUGRAtan = 30

U(2)tan = 30

SU(5)+R

tan = 30nondegenerate

SU(5)+R

tan = 30degenerate

mSUGRAtan = 30

U(2)tan = 30

SU(5)+R

tan = 30nondegenerate

SU(5)+R

tan = 30degenerate

Page 45: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 45

Pattern of deviation from SM prediction

Bd unitari

ty

ms BKS BMS indirec

t CP

bs direct

CP

mSUGRA - - - - - +

SU(5) SUSY GUT + R (degenerate)

- + + - + -

SU(5) SUSY GUT + R (nondegenerate)

- - + ++ ++ -

U(2) flavor symmtry + + + ++ ++ ++

Unitarity Triangle Rare Decays

++ Large; + Sizable, - SmallY.Okada

Page 46: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 46

CP Violation in bs penguinsRare Decays, New Physics, CPV [%]

e+e-

[ab-1]Hadronic b

[1yr]

Goal

SM: <0.25

S(B0KS+KL) SM: <0.25

S(BKs0) SM: <0.2 8.2 5 4

S(BKs0) SM: <0.1 11.4 6 4

ACP (bs) SM: <0.5 2.4 1 0.5

ACP(BK*) SM: <0.5 0.59 0.32 0.14 - -

CPV in mixing (|q/p|)

<0.6 - -

S(B'Ks ) SM: <0.3 5.7 3 1

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

8.7 3.9 16 (?)

BTeV

S(B0KS) 16 7 (?)

Discovery potential at Super B for non-SM physics

Page 47: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 47

More Rare decays precisionRare Decays – New Physics

e+e- [ab-1]

Hadronic b [1 yr]

Goal

(bd) / (bs)

- -

(Bd ) - - 1-2 evts

1-2 evts

(Bd ) - - - -

() <10-8 - -

SM:8x10-3

SM: ~5%1 excl: 4x10-6

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

5.6% 2.5%

(Bs)(K-,0,K*-,0)

~3 - -

(Binvisible) <2x10-6 <1x10-6 <4x10-7 - -

-

BTeV

BD(*)) 10.2% -

Page 48: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 48

Lepton Flavor Violation

( )e

0

( )e

( )s

( )s

h

223(13)( )m

2 3( - )2 2

2323 LR

id

m m e

LFV in neutrino sector already seen (at maximal

mixing)

LFV in charged leptons?

SM “zero”: good place to look for NP

Tau lepton is heaviest & 3rd generation

o Rate enhancement

o Probes 32() & 31(e) transition

SUSY GUT: correlation to bs transition

4. ., ( ) 10 ( )e g BF BF e

Page 49: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 49

Tau LFV search

, ,

3

03 SK ,B B

Searches reach BF sensitivity ~10-8 with 10 ab-1

CLEOCurrent10 ab-1

Improved

analysis?

T.Iijima @FPCP

Page 50: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 50

More Rare decays precisionRare Decays – New Physics

e+e- [ab-1]

Hadronic b [1 yr]

Goal

(bd) / (bs)

- -

(Bd ) - - 1-2 evts

1-2 evts

(Bd ) - - - -

() <10-8 - -

SM:8x10-3

SM: ~5%1 excl: 4x10-6

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

5.6% 2.5%

(Bs)(K-,0,K*-,0)

~3 - -

(Binvisible) <2x10-6 <1x10-6 <4x10-7 - -

-

BTeV

BD(*)) 10.2% -

Discovery potential at Super B for non-SM physics

Discovery potential at Super B for non-SM physics

Page 51: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 51

bsl+l- precision

New Physics – Kl+l-, sl+l-

[%]e+e- [ab-1]

Hadronic b [1 yr]

Goal

(BK) /(BKe+e-) SM: 1 ~8 ~4 ~2 - -

ACP(BK*+-): high mass

SM:<5

~12 ~6 ~3 ~3 ~4

AFB(Bs+-): ŝ0 27 15 6.7

ACP(BK*+-): all SM:<5

~6 ~3 ~1.5 ~1.5 ~2

AFB(BK*+-): s0

AFB(BK*+-): ACP

SM: ±5

~20 ~9 9 ~12

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

AFB(Bs+-): C9 , C10 36-55 20-30 9-13

BTeV

Page 52: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 52

bsl+l- precision

New Physics – Kl+l-, sl+l-

[%]e+e- [ab-1]

Hadronic b [1 yr]

Goal

(BK) /(BKe+e-) SM: 1 ~8 ~4 ~2 - -

ACP(BK*+-): high mass

SM:<5

~12 ~6 ~3 ~3 ~4

AFB(Bs+-): ŝ0 27 15 6.7

ACP(BK*+-): all SM:<5

~6 ~3 ~1.5 ~1.5 ~2

AFB(BK*+-): s0

AFB(BK*+-): ACP

SM: ±5

~20 ~9 9 ~12

Measurement 3 10 50 LHCb

AFB(Bs+-): C9 , C10 36-55 20-30 9-13

BTeV

Discovery potential at Super B for non-SM physics

Page 53: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 53

Conclusions

Strong physics case for Super B Factoryo Program rests on ability to explore of new physics through

flavor couplings and phases• Complementary to LHC collider experiments• Complementary to hadron b experiments; could even

be viewed as natural successoro Precision Standard Model physics a second fundamental

pillar of programo Builds on proven track record of high-luminosity storage

rings and general purpose e+e- detectorso Builds on our present knowledge of CP violation and rare B

decays; expect that case will only strengthen as we explore ever increasing data samples over the next few years

Feasible & complementary to LHC/ILC for exploring New Physics

Page 54: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 54

Conclusions

Arguments will evolve with time and datao Perhaps our data is already hinting at new physics, which

will motivate further precision studies of flavor physicso Perhaps LHC will directly see new physics, with new

couplings and phases that need to be explored at a Super B Factory

Next Stepso Working towards merging Super B efforts with Belle and

engaging wider community in exploring physics capabilities

o Super KEKB seeking approval and funding in Japano Super PEP moving to develop a conceptual and technical

design for a very high luminosity facility

Joint Super B Workshop in Hawaii in spring 2005

Aim is to get a Super B Factory operational early in the next decade

Page 55: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 55

References

o EOI and LOI (KEK-Report 2004-04, Jan 04) for SuperKEKB [http://belle.kek.jp/superb/]

o “Physics at Super B Factory”, hep-ex/0406071

o Super B Workshop in Hawaii (Jan 04) [http://www.phys.hawaii.edu/~superb04/]

o BABAR Roadmap Report (Jul 04)o SLAC 1036 Workshop (available shortly)o T.Iijima’s talk on Super B Factories at

FPCP05

Page 56: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

Backup Slides

Page 57: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 57

Projecting Physics Reach

Working assumptions for projectionso LHCb:

• Start in Jan 2008 with 50% of design for 2 yearso BTEV:

• Start in Jan 2010 with 50% of design for 2 yearso Rolling start for Super B Factory:

• Oct 2011 = 2.5x1035

• Oct 2012 = 5x1035

• Oct 2013 = 7x1035 with replacement of inner SVT by thin pixel device

Page 58: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 58

0.00E+00

1.00E+03

2.00E+03

3.00E+03

4.00E+03

5.00E+03

6.00E+03

7.00E+03

8.00E+03

9.00E+03

1.00E+04

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

0.15

0.16

0.17

0.18

0.19

0.20

Projections for +-Eff

ecti

ve n

um

ber

of

tag

ged

even

ts

Err

or

on

sin

e a

mp

litu

de

PEP-II, KEKB Super B-Factory 10/2011

SuperB

Page 59: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 59

0.00E+00

1.00E+03

2.00E+03

3.00E+03

4.00E+03

5.00E+03

6.00E+03

7.00E+03

8.00E+03

9.00E+03

1.00E+04

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

0.15

0.16

0.17

0.18

0.19

0.20

Projections for K*Eff

ecti

ve n

um

ber

of

tag

ged

even

ts

Err

or

on

sin

e a

mp

litu

de

PEP-II, KEKB Super B-Factory 10/2011

SuperB

Page 60: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 60

0.00E+00

1.00E+03

2.00E+03

3.00E+03

4.00E+03

5.00E+03

6.00E+03

7.00E+03

8.00E+03

9.00E+03

1.00E+04

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

Tagged Sample Projections for K0Eff

ecti

ve n

um

ber

of

tag

ged

even

ts

SuperBLHCbBTEV

Page 61: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 61

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

0.15

0.16

0.17

0.18

0.19

0.20Ja

n-03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

Error Projections for K0Err

or

on

sin

e a

mp

litu

de

PEP-II, KEKB

Super B-Factory 10/2011SuperBLHCbBTEV

Page 62: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 62

0.00E+00

1.00E+03

2.00E+03

3.00E+03

4.00E+03

5.00E+03

6.00E+03

7.00E+03

8.00E+03

9.00E+03

1.00E+04

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

0.11

0.12

0.13

0.14

0.15

0.16

0.17

0.18

0.19

0.20

Projections for +-

(S) Lint

Eff

ecti

ve n

um

ber

of

tag

ged

even

ts

Err

or

on

sin

e a

mp

litu

de

SuperBLHCbBTEV

PEP-II, KEKB Super B-Factory 10/2011

Page 63: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 63

0.00E+00

5.00E+02

1.00E+03

1.50E+03

2.00E+03

2.50E+03

3.00E+03

3.50E+03

Jan-

03

Jul-0

3

Jan-

04

Jul-0

4

Jan-

05

Jul-0

5

Jan-

06

Jul-0

6

Jan-

07

Jul-0

7

Jan-

08

Jul-0

8

Jan-

09

Jul-0

9

Jan-

10

Jul-1

0

Jan-

11

Jul-1

1

Jan-

12

Jul-1

2

Jan-

13

Jul-1

3

Jan-

14

Jul-1

4

Jan-

15

Jul-1

5

Jan-

16

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

Projections for 2-Body Isospin Analysis

() Lint

Eff

ecti

ve n

um

ber

of

tag

ged

even

ts

Err

or

on

delt

a [

deg

rees]

SuperB

Page 64: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 64

Trickle injection at the B Factories

Best shift, no trickle

PEP-II: ~5 Hz continuousKEKB: at ~5-10 min intervals

Best shift, LER only trickleNov 2003

Best shift, double trickleMar 2004

PEP-II LumiHER currentLER current

Page 65: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 65

Summary of upgrade scenarios

L (nb-1s-1) ILER (A)y*

(mm)y

P (MW)

Present Performance

PEP-II 7 1.8 12 0.05 ~40 Head-on

KEKB 11 1.6 6 0.05 ~50 ±11 mrad

Upgrade before 2007 (without major funding issues)

PEP-II 24 4.5 6 0.05 ~60 Head-on

KEKB 30 1.6 6 0.14 ~50 Crab-crossing

Major Upgrade

Super PEP-II

700 23 1.5 0.10 ~100

High freq rf, new beam

pipes & magnets, crossing

angle

Super KEKB

250 9.4 3 0.14 ~90

New beam pipe, more rf,

linac, damping ring

Page 66: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 66

Impact on E resolution

0B

0 * *B D D 0 0

SB K

Channel Now All Silicon

22 37

6 9

13 25

First look at impact on CP violation in

Error on S and C are degraded by about 5%

E Resolution

Page 67: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 67

New Physics mass-scale sensitivity

KS now

KS 30 ab-1

Ciuchini, Franco, Martinelli, Masiero, & Silvestrini

0 0 0 / S SCPA J K K 0 0 / S SCPA J K K

Page 68: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 68

Search for charged Higgs

Band widths from form-factor

uncertainty

( )B D semileptonic decay ( )tan cotb c um m

tanm

b c

/H W

o Fully reconstruct tagging Bo Signal is large missing mass

5 ab-1

Mode Nsig Bbkd B/B

280 550 7.9%620 3600

0 ( ) D

0 ( ) D h

T.Iijima @FPCP

Page 69: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 69

Sensitivity for Charged Higgs

(f orm-f actor)can be reducedwith present

dataB D

LHC 100fb-1

Constraint f rom SB X B D

now B

form-factor) ~ 15%

form-factor) ~ 5%

T.Iijima @FPCP

Page 70: B Physics at a Super B Factory: The Physics Case and Detector David B. MacFarlane DESY Seminar November 9, 2004

November 9, 2004 B Physics at a Super B Factory 70

tan = 30, A0 = 0, > 0Gaugino mass = 200 GeV

Now Super B

,3 ,

2

32

4

262

1t10 n) a( L

S YL US

BFm

Tem Vm

o SUSY + Seasawo Large LFV

7 9( ) 10 to 10BF

4627 32

2

tan 10060

( 3 )

4 10A

L

L

B

Ge

F

m

mV

m

3 ,

o Neutral Higgs mediated decayo Important when mSUSY >> EW scale

( ) : ( 3 ) : ( ) 5 :1: 0.5BF BF BF

T.Iijima @FPCP