bart – source attribution of visibility impairment westar august 31, 2005 epa office of air...

20
BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes [email protected]

Upload: ferdinand-wood

Post on 26-Dec-2015

214 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment

WESTARAugust 31, 2005

EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and StandardsTodd Hawes

[email protected]

Page 2: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

2

Page 3: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

3

Page 4: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

4

Moosehorn (W)

Great Gulf (W)

Presidental Range - Dry River (W)

Acadia (NP)

Lye Brook (W)

Roosevelt-Campobello (IP)

Brigantine (W)

Shenandoah (NP)

James River Face (W)

Otter Creek (W)

Swanquarter (W) Linville Gorge (W)

Shining Rock (W)

Cohotta (W)Joyce Kilmer - Slickrock (W)

Cape Romain (W)

Wolf Island (W)

Okefenokee (W)

St. Marks (W)

Everglades (NP)

Mammoth Cave (NP)

Sipsey (W)

Breton (W)

Caney Creek (W)

Upper Buffalo (W)

Hercules-Glades (W)

Mingo (W)

Seney (W)

Isle Royale (NP)

Boundary Waters Canoe Area (W)Voyageurs NP

Lostwood (W)

Theodore Roosevelt (NP)

Badlands (W) Wind Cave (NP)

Wichita Mountains (W)

Big Bend (NP)

Guadalupe Mtns. (NP)

Carlsbad Caverns (NP)

Gila (W) Salt Creek (W)

Wheeler Peak (W) San Pedro Parks (W)

Pecos (W) Bandelier (W)

White Mountain (W)

Bosque del Apache (W)

Rawah (W)

Mt. Zirkel(W)

Rocky Mountains (NP)

FlatTops(W)

Eagles Nest (W) Maroon Bells-Snowmass (W)

West Elk (W) Black Canyon (W)

La Garita (W) Great Sand Dunes (W) Mesa Verde

(NP)

Weminuche (W)

Arches (NP)

Canyonlands (NP)

Capital Reef (NP)

Bryce Canyon (NP) Zion (NP)

Grand Canyon (NP)

Petrified Forest (NP)

Sycamore Canyon (W)

Pine Mtn. (W) Mazatzal (W)

Sierra Ancha (W)

Mt. Baldy (W)

Bridger (W)

Fitzpatrick (W)

Grand Teton (NP)

Washakie (W)

North Absaroka (W)Yellowstone (NP)

Glacier (NP)Cabinet Mtns (W)

Bob Marshall (W)

Scapegoat (W) Gates of the Mountain (W)

Anaconda Pintlar (W)

Red Rock Lake (W)

Medicine Lake (W)

U.L. Bend (W)

Selway Bitterroot (W)

Craters of the Moon (W)

Sawtooth (W)

Pasayten (W) North Cascades (NP)

Glacier Peak (W) Alpine Lakes (W)

Mt. Rainer (NP)

Goat Rocks (W)

Mt. Adams (W)

Olympic (NP)

Mt. Hood (W) Eagle Cap (W)

Hells Canyon (W)

Mt Jefferson (W)

Mt. Washington (W) Three Sisters (W)

Diamond Peak (W)

Strawberry Mt. (W)

Crater Lake (NP) Gearhart Mt. (W)

Mountain Lakes (W)Kalmiopsis (W)

Redwood (NP) Marble Mt. (W)

Lava Beds (W) South Warner (W)

Jarbridge (W) Thousand Lakes (W) Yolla-Bolly-Middle-Eel (W)

Caribou (W)

Desolation (W)

Pt. Reyes (W) Mokelumme (W)

Hoover (W)Yosemite (NP)

Emigrant (W)

Pinnacles (W)

Ventana (W)

Kaiser (W)

Sequoia (NP)

Ansel Adams (W)

John Muir (W)

Superstition (W)

Chiricahua (W)

Saguaro (W)

Galiuro (W)

Dome Land (W)

San Rafael (W)

San Gabriel (W)

Kings Canyon (NP)

Joshua Tree (W)

San Jacinto (W)

San Gorgonio (W) Cucamonga (W)

Lassen Volcanic (NP)

Bearing Sea (W) Tuxedni (W)

Denali (NP)

Simeonof (W)

Hawaii Volcanoes (NP)

Haleakala (NP)

Chassahowitzka (W)

Map of 156 Mandatory Class I Federal Areas

LegendNP= National ParkW = WildernessIP = Int'l Park

Teton (W)

Agua Tibia (W)

Dolly Sods (W)

Great Smoky Mountains (NP)

See 40 CFR 81.401-437 for a listing of these areas by State

Page 5: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

5

Rate To Achieve Natural Conditions in 60 Years (under § 308)

2004 20642018

Baseline

Natural

x

x

Required Analysis for1st Implementation Period

Ultimate CAA goal

(Visibility impairmentin Deciviews)

Year

Example

30

12

Long Term Strategy for Reasonable Progress

BART is and independent part of Reasonable Progress

Page 6: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

6

Visibility Metrics Common metrics of haze: visual range, light extinction coefficient, deciview

All are mathematically related Deciview: uniform changes in haziness correspond to uniform incremental changes in perception across the entire range of possible conditions

Not a feature of visual range or light extinction A deciview in the east is the same as in the west

Page 7: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

7

31 dv

22 dv

13 dv

Regional Variation of Visibility Impairmentand Contributing Pollutants on 20% Haziest Days

24 dv

SULFATE NITRATE

ORGANICS ELEM. CARBON

CRUSTAL

22 dv

18 dv

22 dv

Page 8: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

8

Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART) :

• A source is BART eligible if:– Major stationary source, including EGUs– 26 PSD categories– Placed into operation: 1962-1977– Potential to emit 250 tons of any pollutant

reasonably anticipated to contribute to regional haze in any Class I area (modeling analysis helps determine cause or contribute)

Page 9: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

9

BART Source Units:

buffer_zones_300KM out from

buffer_zones_100KM out from

buffer_zones_50KM out from

Class I

EGU BART Unitswith SO2 or NOx >250 tons/yr.

NOx NonEGU BART Unitswith NOx >250 tons/yr.

SO2 NonEGU BART Unitswith SO2 > 250 tons/yr.

surrounding area

surrounding area

surrounding area

areas

EGU BART UNITS >250 tons/yr.

April 20, 2005OAQPS final version

CLASS I AREAS WITH BART ELIGIBLE UNITS 250 TONS/YR AND ABOVE

96 facilities (245 units)-4.5 million TPY SO2

-1.9 million TPY Nox

CAIR - 78 facilities (199units)-4.0 million TPY SO2

-1.5 million TPY Nox

Page 10: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

10

BART Source Units:

buffer_zones_300KM out from

buffer_zones_100KM out from

buffer_zones_50KM out from

Class I

EGU BART Unitswith SO2 or NOx >250 tons/yr.

NOx NonEGU BART Unitswith NOx >250 tons/yr.

SO2 NonEGU BART Unitswith SO2 > 250 tons/yr.

surrounding area

surrounding area

surrounding area

areas

nonEGU (SO2&NOx) BART UNITS >250 tons/yr.

April 20, 2005OAQPS final version

CLASS I AREAS WITH BART ELIGIBLE UNITS 250 TONS/YR AND ABOVE

SO2 – 1.2 millionTPYNOx – 682 K TPY

Page 11: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

11

BART Source Units:

buffer_zones_300KM out from

buffer_zones_100KM out from

buffer_zones_50KM out from

Class I

EGU BART Unitswith SO2 or NOx >250 tons/yr.

NOx NonEGU BART Unitswith NOx >250 tons/yr.

SO2 NonEGU BART Unitswith SO2 > 250 tons/yr.

surrounding area

surrounding area

surrounding area

areas

EGU & nonEGU (SO2&NOx) BART UNITS >250 tons/yr.

April 20, 2005OAQPS final version

CLASS I AREAS WITH BART ELIGIBLE UNITS 250 TONS/YR AND ABOVE

Page 12: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

12

Determining if a Source is Subject to BART

• 3 Options:– Individual source assessment

– Cumulative assessment of all BART-eligible sources

– Assessment based on model plants

Page 13: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

13

Subject to BART (cont) 1. Perform source-specific analysis for exemption test:

• Use CALPUFF or other EPA approved model• Compare to natural background• “Cause” = impact of 1.0 deciview or more• “Contribute” – 0.5 deciview, 24-hour average (State

may set lower threshold)

• Use the 7th highest value over 3 or 5 years depending on the meteorological period modeled

• Use the estimated 24-hour max. actual emission rate

2. Consider all eligible sources to be subject, based on an analysis of an area’s contribution to visibility impairment -- or demonstrate that no sources are subject, based on cumulative modeling.

3. Develop model plants to exempt sources with common characteristics

• BART Guidelines provide example model runs

Page 14: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

14

If the Source “causes or contributes” to visibility impairment…then

• Subject to a BART engineering review to determine a control technology to set an emission limit (BART)

• For each source, State must consider 5 factors:– Controls already in place at the source– Cost of compliance– Remaining useful life– Energy and nonair environmental impacts

Visibility Test – the fifth factor– Degree of visibility improvement from use of such technology

<CALPUFF>

Note – the control determination (BART) is established based on a review of these five factors

Page 15: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

15

Visibility Impacts

• Degree of visibility improvement expected from controls

• Run CALPUFF at pre-control and post-control emission rates for SO2, NOx, and PM2.5

• Visibility impacts = 7th highest value of difference of pre-control and post-control runs (use 24-hour maximum actual emission rates and compare to natural conditions)

• A threshold may be used but is not required and it may be lower than 0.5 ddv. Consider magnitude, frequency, and duration of impacts.

Page 16: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

16

Modeling Protocol

• Needed in all cases regardless of distance• Describes how States, RPOs, or Sources

will run the model• Should involve all stakeholders including

States, RPOs, EPA, FLMs• We recommend IWAQM as a starting point• Flexibility

Page 17: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

17

Alternatives to CALPUFF for exemption (Q/D)

• Criticisms– No accounting for terrain, meteorology,

chemistry, 24-hour emission rates

• May be used to help inform the BART applicability provisions

• We may consider if there is adequate demonstration that results are equivalent or better than CALPUFF

Page 18: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

18

Q & A’s

1. When are the SIPs due?– December 17, 2007 (three years after PM2.5 designation)

2. Explain the de minimis levels (40 TPY for SO2 and NOx and 15 TPY for PM2.5)

– Plant wide

3. Is BART pollutant specific?– Yes

4. Explain the threshold level of 0.5 ddv– 0.5 or lower for the “subject to BART” step; no threshold for

the visibility analysis for the control evaluation

Page 19: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

19

Q & A’s (cont.)

4. What about the model plant example in the rule – the 500 TPY/50 km exemption?– Illustrative only

5. Can a source take a permit limit to avoid a BART determination?– Yes

Page 20: BART – Source Attribution of Visibility Impairment WESTAR August 31, 2005 EPA Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards Todd Hawes Hawes.todd@epa.gov

20

Additional Information Website: www.epa.gov/air/visibility/

“Draft Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Program”

“Draft Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the Regional Haze Program”

www.epa.gov/ttn/oarpg/t1pgm.html

IMPROVE and website http://vista.cira.colostate.edu/improve

Contacts: Todd Hawes ([email protected]) , Kathy Kaufman ([email protected])

919-541-5591 or 919-541-0102