besley & persson - 2011 - pillars of prosperity (slides)
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Extreme FragilityHigh FragilityModerate FragilityLow FragilityNo FragilityNo Data
Polity IV State Fragility Index (2008)
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0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
T a x
S h a r e o
f G D P
.4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index
High income in 2000 Mid income in 2000Low income in 2000 Fitted values
Fiscal and Legal Capacity
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0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
T a x
S h a r e o
f G D P
.4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index
No Civil War Some Civil WarFitted values
Fiscal and Legal Capacity
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0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
5 0
T a x
S h a r e o
f G D P
.2 .4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index
No Fragility Some fragilityFitted values
Fiscal and Legal Capacity
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0
. 2
. 4
. 6
. 8
1
P r o p o r t i o n o
f C o u n
t r i e s
1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
YearIncome Tax VAT
Fiscal capacity in a sample of 75 countries
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2 0
1 0
0
1 0
2 0
T a x
s h a r e o
f G D P
.05 0 .05 .1 .15Share of years in external war
External war and fiscal capacity
. 4
. 2
0
. 2
P r o p e r t y r i g
h t s p r o
t e c
t i o n
i n d e x
.05 0 .05 .1 .15Share of years in external war
External war and legal capacity
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2 0
1 0
0
1 0
2 0
3 0
T a x
s h a r e o
f G D P
.5 0 .5Average executive constraints
Executive constraints and fiscal capacity
. 4
. 2
0
. 2
P r o p e r t y r
i g h t s p r o
t e c
t i o n
i n d e x
.5 0 .5Average executive constraints
Executive constraints and legal capacity
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2 0
1 0
0
1 0
2 0
T a x s
h a r e o
f G D P
.2 0 .2 .4 .6 .8Share of years in civil war
Civil war and fiscal capacity
. 4
. 2
0
. 2
P r o
p e r t y r i g
h t s p r o
t e c
t i o n
i n d e x
.2 0 .2 .4 .6 .8Share of years in civil war
Civil war and legal capacity
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