beyond budgeting: a paradigm shift in the management model
TRANSCRIPT
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Reinventing Management Conference, Johannesburg, 20th May 2010
Beyond Budgeting: A Paradigm Shift in theManagement Model
Franz Röösli, University of Applied Sciences Northwestern Switzerland
2Franz Röösli – FHNW / BBRT 2010
Agenda
Why we need to think about management change
An offered alternative to think about: Beyond Budgeting
Thoughts about implementation
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3Franz Röösli – FHNW / BBRT 2010
Why Management Innovation?
Process Innovation(throughput)
Product Innovation(output)
ManagementInnovation(paradigm)
Strategic Innovation(position)
betterdifferent
betterdifferent
Source: Gary Hamel in „The Future of Management“, 2008
Innovation in products, processes and strategies are often seen in today‘s management practice. But these kinds of innovations are easy to copy.Only management innovation (innovation in leadership and management processes) provides a sustainable competitive advantage in the future. It is not easy to imitate.
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 4Franz Röösli
Problems with Budgeting as starting point of research
New Management Model as an alternative to the traditional approach
Implementing Beyond Budgeting
1998 Today
The journey of the Beyond Budgeting Round Table (BBRT)
1. Beyond Budgeting 2. Beyond Command and Control
3. Beyond Incremental Change
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5Franz Röösli – FHNW / BBRT 2010
Industrial age has gone since a while…
Charly Chaplin, Modern Times 1936
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 6Franz Röösli
Successful companies beat their competition, not the budget
Source: BBRT
Internal View
performance
time
budget
actual
Outperformance
Market View
performance
time
budget
actual
peer-comparison (profitability, marktet-share)
Underperformance
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 7Franz Röösli
Two remarkable senior managers on budgeting
„The budget is the bane of corporate america.“Jack Welch, EX-CEO, General Electric
„Budgeting is an unnecessary evil.“Dr. Jan Wallander, Ex-CEO Svenska Handelsbanken
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 8Franz Röösli
The origins of budgeting• Budgeting was developed in the industrial age, about 100 years ago
• It was developed for the main problem of management of the industrial age: Improvement in efficiency!
• Fundamental was ‚Scientific Management‘ of Frederick W. Taylor (‚The Principles of Scientific Management‘, 1911)
• James O. McKinsey‘s authoritative book ‚Budgetary Control‘, was published 1922
Frederick W. Taylor1856 - 1915
James O. McKinsey1889 - 1937
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 9Franz Röösli
Traditional Management Model: Taylor‘s „Principles“ and McKinsey‘s „Budgetary Control“
“‘Fixed’management-processes”
“Centralized hierarchy”
Strategy
Control
Budget Fixed
PerformanceContract
Source: BBRT
Taylors principles for leadership and organisation(Scientific Management,1908):
• Separation of planning from doing• Work is based on detailed and precise
instructions• Division of labour / excessive use of
specialisation• Monetary incentives
Mc Kinseys budget process (Budgetary Control, 1922):„Budgetary Control, as an axiom of the presentday philosophy of business administration, is urgently needed for two purposes:
1. As a basis for centralized executive control2. As a means of coordinating the activities of the
various functional departments.“
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 10Franz Röösli
Dissatisfaction with the budget
resource intensive, too long, too expensive
dysfunctional, unethical behaviour
quickly outdated, not adaptive
divorced from strategy
overly centralisedand controll-focused
„use it or loose it“-mentality
Most comanys are dissatisfied with their budget process
These are just symptoms of a deeper lying problem.
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 11Franz Röösli
The world has changed…INDUSTRIAL AGE
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
INFORMATION AGESteady, continuous change,
suppliers-in-chargeHighly competitive, unpredictable,
customers-in-charge
Discontinuous change
Choosy employees
Short life cycles
Falling prices
Fickle customers
Transparency
Incremental change
Choosy employers
Long life cycles
Stable prices
Loyal customers
Managed earnings
Pace
of
chan
ge
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 12Franz Röösli
… and these are now our Critical Success Factors
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
INFORMATION AGEHighly competitive, unpredictable,
customers-in-charge
Discontinuous change
Choosy employees
Short life cycles
Falling prices
Fickle customers
Transparency
Pace
of
chan
ge
Competitive Success FactorsAll are important today
Fast response
Best people/teamwork
Innovation
Operational excellence
Customer intimacy
Compliance
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 13Franz Röösli
Traditional Management conflicts with the CSFs of today
Fast response
ContinuousInnovation
OperationalExcellence
CustomerIntimacy
Great place to work
Compliance
Information AgeInformation Age CriticalCritical SucessSucess FactorsFactors
Discontinuous change
Short life cycles
Volatile prices
Extensive choice
Access to talent
Intolerant shareholders
Annual planning process retards it
Centralized bureaucracy stifles it
‘Spend it or lose it’ mentality fights it
Short term targets prevent it
Extrinsic ‘motivators’undermine it
Dysfunctional, even unethical behaviour conflicts with it
MisalignmentMisalignment of traditionalof traditionalmanagementmanagement
Value creation Inferior financial results
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 14Franz Röösli
Work has changed
‘The ‘knowledge worker’ … must lead in the information age. This leadership has to be visionary and completely different from traditional ways of leadership and management applied in the command and control model.’
Peter F. Drucker (1909 – 2005)
Manual work Knowledge work50-fold increase in productivity of manual work in manufacturing in 20th C.
Our greatest challenge is to increase the productivity of knowledge work in 21st C.
Manual workers are often treated as ‘costs to be reduced’.
Knowledge workers should be treated as ‘capital assets that yield a return’.
Machines have replaced most manual work.
Technology is increasing the productivity of knowledge work.
Manual workers need their employers far more than they need them.
Employers need knowledge workers far more than they need them.
Manual workers have to be supervised closely or in detail.
Knowledge workers can only be helped. They must direct themselves.
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 15Franz Röösli
Human Nature Assumptions
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 16Franz Röösli
X or Y?
Theory X Theory YAttitude - People need to work and want to take an interest in it. Under the right conditions, they can enjoy it.
Direction - People will direct themselves towards a target that they accept.
Responsibility - People will seek, and accept responsibility, under the right conditions.
Motivation - Under the right conditions, people are motivated by the desire to realise their own potential.
Creativity - Creativity and ingenuity are widely distributed and grossly underused.
Attitude - People dislike work, find it boring, and will avoid it if they can.
Direction - People must be forced or bribed to make the right effort.
Responsibility - People would rather be directed than accept responsibility, which they avoid.
Motivation - People are motivated mainly by money and fears about their job security.
Creativity - Most people have little creativity - except when it comes to getting round management rules.
Based on Douglas McGregor, ‘The Human Side of Enterprise’, 1960
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 17Franz Röösli
Traditional management conflicts with modern management tools
Local control
ERP systems and datawarehouses
Rolling forecasts
Customer relationship management
Benchmarking
Balanced Scorecard
Creates multiple
contracts
Traditional Management
Focuses on year end and distorts
information
Deemphasizesexternal
comparisons
Supports ‘Make & Sell’
strategy
Provides information to the hierarchy
Supports short term stretch
targets
Economic value added
Supports central decision
making
Activity-based management
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 18Franz Röösli
The problem
Most organisations use a management model, that was designed to improve efficiency. But the problem today is how to cope with complexity*, not just the improvement in efficiency.
* to meet all critical success factors, inclusive operational excellence (efficiency)
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 19Franz Röösli
Agenda
Why we need to think about management change
An offered alternative to think about: Beyond Budgeting
Thoughts about implementation
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 20Franz Röösli
What have these companies in common?
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 21Franz Röösli
Svenska Handelsbanken (SHB)
Management model (since 1970)• Radical decentralization (devolved leadership)• Adaptive processes for self-management
Sucess• Universal Bank 10,000 employees• Ratings Aa1 / AA-• Return on Equity Consistently higher• Customer satisfaction Consistently better• Cost-income ratio Consistently lowest• Best employer Among the best
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 22Franz Röösli
SBH‘s devolved network
Principles
Leading to high customer satisfaction
Customers
600 Branch Managers
11 Regional Managers
CEOProduct Companies
Treasury, IT etc
Governance and transparency
Freedom and capability to act
Customer responsiveness
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 23Franz Röösli
Best sector customer satisfaction*
Index
* Private customers - Source: Svenskt Kvalitetsindex
50
55
60
65
70
75
-95 -96 -97 -98 -99 -00 -01 -02 -03 -04 -05 -06 -07
Handelsbanken Sector average (excl. SHB)
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 24Franz Röösli
SBH‘s adaptive processes
Bank to banks(RoE)
1. Bank A 31%2. Bank D 24%3. Bank H 20%4. Bank C 18%5. Bank E 15%6. Bank F 13%7. Bank B 12%8. Bank I 10%9. Bank G 8%10. Bank J 2%
Bank to banks(RoE)
1. Bank A 31%2. Bank D 24%3. Bank H 20%4. Bank C 18%5. Bank E 15%6. Bank F 13%7. Bank B 12%8. Bank I 10%9. Bank G 8%10. Bank J 2%
Region to regions(RoE)
1. Region D 38%2. Region J 27%3. Region I 20%4. Region B 17%5. Region E 15%6. Region F 12%7. Region C 10%8. Region H 7%9. Region G 6%10. Region A 5%
Region to regions(RoE)
1. Region D 38%2. Region J 27%3. Region I 20%4. Region B 17%5. Region E 15%6. Region F 12%7. Region C 10%8. Region H 7%9. Region G 6%10. Region A 5%
Branch to branches(Cost/Income etc.)
1. Branch C 28%2. Branch H 32%3. Branch A 37%4. Branch D 39%5. Branch F 41%6. Branch E 45%7. Branch J 54%8. Branch B 65%9. Branch I 72%10. Branch G 87%
Branch to branches(Cost/Income etc.)
1. Branch C 28%2. Branch H 32%3. Branch A 37%4. Branch D 39%5. Branch F 41%6. Branch E 45%7. Branch J 54%8. Branch B 65%9. Branch I 72%10. Branch G 87%
Relative goals and rewards
Continuous planning and controls
Resources as needed and
dynamic coordination
Principles
Leading to low operating costs
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 25Franz Röösli
Best cost/income-ratio
1
2
3
4
5
690 80 70 60 50 40
C/I-ratio, %
HypoVereinsbank
Danske Bank
UBS
SociétéGénérale
SEB
BNP Paribas
Swedbank
Deutsche Bank
DnB NorCommerzbank
Nordea
Intesa SanPaoloBBVA
ABN Amro
CS Group
Lloyds TSB
HBOSHSBC
Unicredito
Barclays
Standard Chartered
Royal Bank of ScotlandBanco Santander
Allied Irish BanksBank of Ireland
Capitalia
Bank Austria
KBC
MPS Erste
Credit Agricole SA
Handels-banken
Costs/Total loans* %
Source: Deutsche Bank: European Banks – Running the Numbers, January 2007-edition.
Comparison European Universal Banks with Loans > EUR 100bn and Nordic Banks (Costs include Credit Loss).
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 26Franz Röösli
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 27Franz Röösli
“Empowerment” and “Decoupling Plan and Goal”
‘Fixed process’
‘Efficiency’ model
‘Centralized hierarchy’
Strategy
Control
Fixed Performance
Contract
‘Complexity’ model
‘Devolved network’
Adaptiveprocesses
Relative goals‘Adaptive process’
Decentralisation ofDecisions (6 Principles)Paradigm Shift towards:Empowermentand Servant Leadership
Adaptive Management-Processes (6 Principles)Paradigm Shift towards: DecouplingPlan and Goal
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 28Franz Röösli
Beyond Budgeting Principles
Quelle: Beyond Budgeting Round Table BBRT
Lead
ersh
ip
1. Customers
2. Network
3. Autonomy
4. Responsibility
5. Values
6. Transparency
Focus everyone on their customers
Organize as a lean network of accountable teams
Give teams the freedom and capability to act
Enable everyone to think and act like a leader
Govern through a few clear values, goals and boundaries
Promote open information for self management
Hierarchical relationships
Centralized functions
Micro-manage them
Merely follow ‘the plan’
Detailed rules and budgets
Restrict it hierarchically
Do this! Not that!Principles
Proc
esse
s
7. Goals
8. Rewards
9. Planning
10. Controls
11. Resources
12. Coordination
Set relative goals for continuous improvement
Reward shared success based on relative performance
Make planning a continuous and inclusive process
Base controls on relative indicators and trends
Make resources available as needed
Coordinate cross company interactions dynamically
Negotiated contracts
Fixed targets
Top-down, annual event
Variances against plan
Budget allocations
Annual planning cycles
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 29Franz Röösli
Lokale Kontrolle
Customer Relationship Management
Benchmarking
Balanced Scorecard
aligned with strategy
Lokale Kontrolle
Focus on business,not on gaming
internal and external
competition
customerintimacy
realtime information
supportssustainable
development
Economic Value Added
supportsdecentralised
decision-making
Beyond Budgeting facilitates the power of modern performance management tools
BeyondBudgeting
Activity-based management
ERP systems and datawarehouses
Rolling forecasts
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 30Franz Röösli
Beyond Budgeting = pardigm shift in the managementmodel(therefore not comparable to Better Budgeting)
BetterBudgeting
TraditionelleBudgetierung
TraditionalBudgeting
Incremen-tal Change
More tools,„better“ process
TraditionalManagement
BeyondBudgeting
Strategy
Control
Fixedperformance
contract AdaptiveProcesses
Adaptive Goals
Paradigm
Shift
Working in the model Working on the model
ZieleundstrategischeRichtlinien
ZieleundstrategischeRichtlinien
•Zielverhandlung•DefinitionvonAnreizen• Maßnahmenfestlegung•Ressourcenallokation•Plankoordination•Genehmigung
•Zielverhandlung•DefinitionvonAnreizen• Maßnahmenfestlegung•Ressourcenallokation•Plankoordination•Genehmigung
Leistungskontrolle(Plan-Ist)Leistungskontrolle(Plan-Ist)
BudgetBudget
„Auf-derSpur-Bleiben”
„Auf-derSpur-Bleiben”
Bonus(gegenZielerreichung)Bonus(gegenZielerreichung)
VisionVision
ZieleundstrategischeRichtlinien
Goals andStrategic Frame
•Zielverhandlung•DefinitionvonAnreizen• Maßnahmenfestlegung•Ressourcenallokation•Plankoordination•Genehmigung
•Zielverhandlung•DefinitionvonAnreizen• Maßnahmenfestlegung•Ressourcenallokation•Plankoordination•Genehmigung
•Zielverhandlung•DefinitionvonAnreizen• Maßnahmenfestlegung•Ressourcenallokation•Plankoordination•Genehmigung
• Objectives•Incentivexvon•Actionsß•Resource allocation• Coordination• Approuval
Leistungskontrolle(Plan-Ist)Leistungskontrolle(Plan-Ist)Leistungskontrolle(Plan-Ist)Controls -plan-actuak
BudgetBudgetBudgetBudget
„Auf-derSpur-Bleiben”
„Auf-derSpur-Bleiben”
Bonus(gegenZielerreichung)Bonus(gegenZielerreichung)Bonus(gegenZielerreichung)Bonus (budget-goals)
VisionVision
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 31Franz Röösli
Trends towards a new model
Thought Leaders:• Stafford Beer• Ross Ashby• Kevin Kelly• Joseph Bragdon
• Douglas McGregor• Chris Argyris• Peter Senge• Jeffrey Pfeffer• John Kotter• Margrith Weathley
• Linda Gratton• Tom Peters• Jim Collins• Gary Hamel• Julian Birkinshaw
• Charles Horngren• Thomas Malone• Thomas Davenport
• and more
NewNewModelModel
Complexity theories
Social sciences/HR
LeadershipManagement
Strategy, performance management,
IT
Manufacturing
Distribution
Services
Government & Not-for-profit
Industry Leaders:
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 32Franz Röösli
Agenda
Why we need to think about management change
An offered alternative to think about: Beyond Budgeting
Thoughts about implementation
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 33Franz Röösli
Transformation Map
3. Develop change vision and
strategy
4. Communi-cate for
understan-ding and
buy-in
5. Empower all others
to act
6. Produce
short-term wins
7. Don'tlet up!
8. Create a
new culture
1.Create a sense of urgency
2. Pull
together a guiding coalition
1. Ending 3. Beginning2. Neutral Zone
Organisational Change
Individual-psychological Transition
Sources: F. Röösli based on an K. Lewin, J. Kotter, W. Bridges, F. Frei & A. Alioth
Revolution Evolution
Unfreeze Alter Stabilise
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 34Franz Röösli
Partial vision leads to non-viable Incoherence
Coherent Managment Model
(‘Complexity’)
Full vision1. Fast response2. Continuous innovation3. Operational excellence4. Customer intimacy5. Best people6. Compliance and Ethical behaviour
Adaptive processes
Dangerous “vision”:• abandoning budgeting and replace it by introducing rolling planning.
Traditional model
(‘Efficiency’)
Management model Adaptive & DevolvedFixed & Centralized
Com
petit
ive
Perf
orm
ance
Hig
hLo
w
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 35Franz Röösli
Coherence is key to sustainability
© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 36Franz Röösli
Benefits versus Risks
• Any change-/tranformation-project is a risk
• But which risk is actually higher: To align management with today critical sucess factors?orKeep on managing in the tradtional pattern of the industrialtime?
Be aware of ‚perceived risk versus real risk – asymmetry‘
Pionieers and Early Adapters will have a strong competitiveadvantage:Leadership as ultimate competitive strategy!
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© 2010 FHNW | BBRT 37Franz Röösli
If everything seems under control, you're just not goingfast enough.
Mario Andretti, US automobile racer,
Forumula 1 Champion 1978
Franz Röösli [email protected] +41 (0)61 279 17 56
FHNW School of BusinessPeter Merian-Strasse 864002 Basel,Switzerland