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BfR ED Forum Exposure to endocrine disrupters at low doses – implications for testing and risk assessment Andreas Kortenkamp The School of Pharmacy, University of London Berlin, 19-20 April 2010

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Page 1: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

BfR ED Forum

Exposure to endocrine disrupters at low doses –implications for testing and risk assessment

Andreas KortenkampThe School of Pharmacy, University of London

Berlin, 19-20 April 2010

Page 2: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Testicular dysgenesissyndrome

Cryptorchidism

Poor semen quality

Testis cancer

Hypospadia

Page 3: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Trends in reproductive health

Sharpe 2008

Page 4: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

The action of…

… the male sex hormone in the womb makes a man!

Page 5: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Certain chemicals…

• blocking the receptor• suppressing sex hormone

synthesis

Demasculinisation

…disrupt hormone action in foetal life by

Page 6: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Estimating low effect doses

• Doses of a test chemical associated with low effects

• No-observed-adverse-effect-level

Page 7: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Minimum significant effects

10

100

1.000

10.000

100.000

1.000.000

10.000.000

0.01 0.1 1 10

Vite

lloge

nin

conc

. [ng

/ml]

mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L]

control

LOEC

NOEC

estimated min.effect =192

Minimal detectable significant effect* = 510

*Dunnett test, one-sided, alpha=5%, beta=10%

Estradiol

Vitellogenininduction

Thorpe et al.2001, EST 35, 2476

Data analysis:

Martin Scholze

Page 8: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

FinasterideRetained nipples of male offspring of female treated rats

Ulla Hass and colleagues

Page 9: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

MSD and number of replicates

100

1000

10000

100000

1000000

Number of units per treatment group1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Vit e

llog e

nin

con c

.[ng

/ ml]

average control level =192average data variability

high data variability

Dunnett, one-sided, alpha=5%, beta=10%, equal numbers of units in each treatment group

Estradiol

Vitellogenininduction

Thorpe et al.2001, EST 35, 2476

Data analysis:

Martin Scholze

Page 10: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

NOAEL

Page 11: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Issues

• Are existing tests sufficiently sensitive to show small effects?

• Likelihood of overlooking effects?

Page 12: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Implications

• Critical assessment of assay sensitivity

• Consider larger test groups

Page 13: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Extrapolations - example: vinclozolin

Rat (demasculinising effects):5 mg/kg body weight/day

Human exposure:0.005 – 0.01 mg/kg body weight/day

Margin of Safety:200 - 1000

Page 14: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

ExtrapolationsHuman Lab animal

Exposure(ill-defined)

Exposure(controlled)

Tissue levels(partly measured)

Effects(Observed)

Cryptorchidism

Hypospadia

Effects(Observed)

AGD, Nipple retention,

Hypospadia

?

? Tissue levels(measurable)

Page 15: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Implications

• Critical assessment of uncertainty factors

• Introduction of alternative dose metrics

Page 16: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Known unknowns• In vitro AR antagonists

– 35 pesticides– UV-filter substances (4-

MBC, OMC)– 1,2,3,6,7,8 HCDD;

2,3,4,7,8 PeCDF

• Fragmentary exposure information

Page 17: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

But…

Page 18: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

“Toxic cocktails”

Can chemicals that are safe on their own “gang” up when they meet in our bodies?

Effects predictable?

Page 19: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Developmental toxicity

Dam

Male offspring

AGDPND 1

Retained nipplesPND 13

MalformationsPND 47

Birth

Dosing

Organ weights

MalformationsPND 16

GD 7 PND 16

Experimental design

Page 20: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Androgen receptor antagonists produce mixture effectsHass et al. 2007 EHP 115 Suppl 1, 122

Dose addition

Page 21: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Something from “nothing”

Hass et al.2007, EHP 115 (Suppl 1), 122

Page 22: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Penile malformationsFinasteride

Vinclozolin

DEHP

Prochloraz

Christiansen et al. 2009, EHP 117, 1839

Page 23: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

Implications

• Presumed low effects of chemicals judged in isolation are uninformative

Page 24: BfR ED Forum · 0.01 0.1 1 10 V i te l l ogen i n conc. [ng / m l] mean measured estradiol concentration [ng/L] control LOEC NOEC estimated min.effect =192 Minimal detectable significant

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