bill tedesco [email protected] 410.670.7880 how to identify planned giving prospects on your...
TRANSCRIPT
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
How to Identify Planned Giving Prospects on Your Giving ListPresented by Bill Tedesco, CEO & Managing Partner of DonorSearch
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Why Planned Giving?• Steady Increase in Planned Gifts• Giving by bequests increased
by 8.7% between 2012 and 2013• Largest increase of any
giving source in 2013 (Giving USA 2014)
• Dollars given by bequests more than doubled in the 20 years between 1991 and 2011 (Giving USA 2012)
Giving USA 2014: The Annual Report on Philanthropy for the Year 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Why Planned Giving?
• Excellent Return on Investment• AFP estimates 25 cents to raise
a dollar• MarketSmart research has found
1 cent to raise a dollar
Inside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Why Planned Giving?
• Research Suggests Future Growth in Legacy Giving• Aging Population• Population Growth• More Educated Populace• Increase in Childlessness
Inside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
What Moves People to Make a Bequest?
• Considering a charitable bequest activates two parts of the brain• Lingual gyrus• Part of the visual system• Contributes to dreaming
• Precuneus• Visual imagery• Memories• Looking at yourself from the
third person perspectiveInside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
What Moves People to Make a Bequest?
• When legacy gifts are discussed, mortality is recognized and causes• Alignment and
activation• Avoidance
Inside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
What Moves People to Make a Bequest?
• What causes people to break through avoidance?• Changes in life circumstances
or• A person’s feelings about their
own “autobiographical heroism” is ignited• What is my life story?• How do I want to be
remembered?• How does your mission align
with mine?
Inside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
How Can Nonprofits Apply This?• Nonprofits must inspire donors to think about their• Symbolic Immortality• How will you help the donor continue on after
death?• Autobiographical Heroism• How will you help the donor be perceived after
death?• Visualized Autobiography• How can you help the donor see
their life from a third party’s perspective?
Inside the Mind of the Planned Giving Donor, MarketSmart, 2013
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Prospects Who Feel Aligned to Your Mission
• DonorSearch previously offered the Planned Giving Likelihood to identify those likely to make planned gifts based on• Age• Relationship• Wealth indicators
• Recently created a new algorithm and back-tested the model.
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
The Most Predictive Planned Giving Factor?
RELATIONSHIP
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Planned Giving Prospects
• Our new algorithm determined relationship was the most predictive variable.
• When wealth and age was included, the model became less predictive.
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Planned Giving ProspectsResults below from test of 84,0000+ records with 351 known legacy donors.
• Categories:• 300-270• 269-240• 239-210• 209-180• 179-140• 139-100
• Base score of 0 (PGL not run)
• Categories:• 1• 2• 3• 4• 5• 6
• Base score of 0 (Not considered loyal)
Age, Relationship & Wealth
Relationship Only
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Planned Giving ProspectsResults below from test of 84,0000+ records with 351 known legacy donors.
• Categories:• 300-270 – 2.62% legacy donors• 269-240 – 0.826% legacy donors• 239-210 – 0.326% legacy donors• 209-180 – 0.522% legacy donors• 179-140 – 0.153% legacy donors• 139-100 – 0.084% legacy donors
• Missed 121 legacy donors
• Categories:• 1 – 7.37% legacy donors• 2 – 5.937% legacy donors• 3 – 1.655% legacy donors• 4 – 1.016% legacy donors• 5 – 0.385% legacy donors• 6 – 1.908% legacy donors
• Missed 75 legacy donors
Age, Relationship & Wealth
Relationship Only
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Planned Giving Prospects
Age, Relationship & Wealth
Relationship OnlyPGL Score # of
Legacy Donors Identified
Total Donors Identified
Predictive Strength
300-270
54 2,054 2.62
269-240
82 9,931 0.826
239-210
48 14,741 0.326
209-180
31 5,941 0.522
179-140
14 9,152 0.153
139-100
1 1,193 0.084
Unrated
121 41,851 0.291
Rated 230 42,782 0.537
PGID Score
# of Legacy Donors Identified
Total Donors Identified
Predictive strength
1 32 434 7.37
2 70 1,179 5.937
3 48 2,901 1.655
4 19 1,870 1.016
5 16 4,147 0.386
6 91 4,769 1.908
Unrated
75 69,333 0.108
Rated 276 15,300 1.803
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
How Do We Identify a Strong Relationship?
• Number of Gifts• 15+ gifts – very
loyal• 8-10 gifts –
moderate loyalty• 1-7 gifts – low
loyalty• Consistency• Number of
consecutive years
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Sample PGID Results• We reviewed 16,649
for an unnamed organization.
• Prospects are classified with PGID Loyalty Ratings of 1 through 6, with 1 being the most likely to respond to planned giving marketing.
• 4,631 prospects were rated with a PGID score of 1-6.
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
PGID Loyal Prospects as a Percentage of the Total Donor File
PGID Rating Count
PGID1 0
PGID2 468
PGID3 1087
PGID4 996
PGID5 2053
PGID6 27
10.11%
23.47%
21.51%
44.33%
0.58%
All Loyals
PGID 1PGID 2PGID 3PGID 4PGID 5PGID 6
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Identifying Planned Giving Prospects
• The assumption that age alone will help you identify good prospects is false.
• The chart to the right shows the distribution of donors by generation and PGID ranking.
• While age alone is not a good indicator, it is an important marker for understanding donor motivation.
Depre
ssio
n Er
a191
2-19
21
Wor
ld W
ar II C
ohor
t 192
2-19
27
Post W
ar C
ohor
t 192
8-19
45
Early
Bab
y Boo
mer
s (ol
der)
1946
-195
4
Late
Bab
y Boo
mer
s (yo
unge
r) 19
55-1
964
Gener
atio
n X 1
965-
1976
Millen
nial
s 197
7-19
84
Great
Rec
essio
n
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
PGID- 6
PGID- 5
PGID- 4
PGID- 3
PGID- 2
PGID- 1
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
DS Scores for All PGID Ranked Donors• After donors are assigned a PGID rank,
DonorSearch applies a DS Score to each of the ranked donors based on criteria found in external databases.
• DS1-1 indicates people who have made gifts of $5,000 or more to other nonprofits.
• DS1-2 and DS1-3 are indicators of significant and extraordinary wealth.
• DS1-4 and 1-5 are prospects who display an increased likelihood to make above average gifts to your annual fund.
• DS2 and DS3 are individuals with little external information and are usually considered unremarkable prospects. When coupled with a high PGID score, these are considered excellent prospects for “Gifts Anyone Can Afford.”
DSRating 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 All
DS1-1 0 160 303 223 326 7 1300 2319
DS1-2 0 13 36 30 79 0 434 592
DS1-3 0 27 55 58 127 1 726 994
DS1-4 0 45 127 127 273 5 1556 2133
DS1-5 0 69 187 151 329 4 1689 2429
DS2 0 3 5 10 11 0 72 101
DS3 0 151 374 397 908 10 6241 8081
All 0 468 1087 996 2053 01201
81664
9
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
“Super Donors”• Donors with high DS
Ratings and high PGID scores are considered super donors because of their• Consistency and loyalty• Propensity to be
philanthropic• Capacity based on
wealth 12
3
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
DS1-1
DS1-2
DS1-3
0
160
303
0 13 36
027
55
DS1-1DS1-2DS1-3
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Conclusion• Planned giving is a smart
fundraising investment.• High ROI• Increase in giving
• Create PG communications that speak to• Symbolic Immortality• Autobiographical Heroism• Visualized Autobiography
• Identify prospects based on relationship with your nonprofit.
Bill Tedesco [email protected] www.donorsearch.net 410.670.7880
Thank You!• Visit www.donorsearch.net or call 410-670-7880 for more
information on Planned Giving Identification.• Visit www.imarketsmart.com for a free copy of Inside the
Mind of the Planned Giving Donor.