biofuel situation present1. bioethanol -bioethanol strategic plan-situation (supply &...

1. Bioethanol

- Bioethanol Strategic Plan

- Situation (Supply & Demand)

- Current Policy

2. Biodiesel

- Biodiesel Stratigic Plan

- Situation (Supply & Demand)

- Current Policy

Presentation OutlinePresentation Outline

7.6%

Target 5,604 MWExisting 1,816 MW Mini hydro/Wind/SolarBiomass/Biogas/MSW/Hydrogen

Target 7,433 ktoeExisting 3,098 KtoeBiomass/BiogasMSW/Solar

15.6%

2.4%

EthanolTarget 9.0 MLPDExisting 1.25 MLPD

Bio-dieselTarget 4.5 MLPDExisting 1.75 MLPD

HydrogenTarget 0.1 Million kg

4.1%

Power

Heat

Bio Fuel

20.3%6.4%

R&DR&D

Adder costAdder cost

ESCO FundESCO Fund

Measures

Measures

CDMCDM

NGVTarget 690 mmscfd

(6,090 ktoe)Existing 194 mmscfd

6.2%

19.1%

2011 20222008* 2016

Oil Replacing of 4,237 ktoe Currency Saving 99,500 mil. Baht GHG Reduction 13 million tons

Target 19,800 ktoe Currency Saving 461 Billion Baht GHG reduction 42 Million Tons

As per 2008 oil average price of 94.45 USD/barrel As of Mar 2010

Alternative Energy Development PlanAlternative Energy Development Plan20082008--20222022

BOI/Revolving Fund

BOI/Revolving Fund

Biofuels in ThailandBiofuels in Thailand

Ethanol Demand(ML/day)** 1.24 1.34 2.11 2.96 6.2 9.0

Ethanol MarketSustainable ethanol production

R&D and promote ethanol logistic , ethanol depot for export

Ethanol Production

Promote ethanol production from molasses and cassava

Promote ethanol production from sugar cane

Promote by-product utilization from ethanol production ex. Acetic acid

Feed Stock

R&D yield of cassava 3.5 to 4.5 ton/rai/yr in 2012

R&D yield of sugarcane 11.8 to 15 ton/rai/yr in 2012

Sustainable feed stock for ethanol production

R&DR&D 2

ndgeneration of ethanol production (Cellulosic) Promote 2

ndgeneration of ethanol production

value added ex. sawage

study E85

51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 6551 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 6551 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 6551 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 6551 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 6508 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22

E20E85

,promote FFV Gasohol E10nationwide 390,000 FFVs 1,070,000 FFVs 2,000 FFVs

Budget(M฿)

/ที่มา ** ความตองการเอทานอลป 51-54 เปนไปตามผลการประชุม E85 ครั้งที่ 2 เมื่อ 9 ก.ค.51 ซึ่งมีเปาหมายมากกวายุทธศาสตร 2.4 ลานลิตร/วันในป 2554

ป 55-61 เปนไปตามผลการประชุม E85 ครั้งที่ 3 เมื่อ 30 ก.ค.51 , ป 62-65 เปนประมาณการ

- 28 60 30 160 280

Bioethanol Development Plan Bioethanol Development Plan 22008008 -- 22022022

Existing Ethanol Plants9 Molasses/Sugarcane4 Cassava6 Molasses/Sugarcane/CassavaLicensed Ethanol Plants16 Molasses/Sugarcane24 Cassava8 Molasses/Sugarcane/Cassava


Material Permitted Operated

(Mar. 10)

Plant Total cap.

(Ml/day)

Plant Total cap.

(Ml/day)

1 Molasses/

Sugarcane

16 2.89 9 1.30

2 Cassava 24 8.39 4 0.63

3 Molasses/

Sugarcane/

Cassava

8 1.22 6 1.00

Sum 48 12.5 19 2.93

Currently (Mar. 10) 19 existing plants total installed cap. 2.93 Ml/day- Molasses/Sugarcane 9 Plants Cap. 1.30 Ml/day- Cassava 4 Plants Cap. 0.63 Ml/day- Molasses/Sugarcane/Cassava6 Plants Cap. 1.00 Ml/dayIn 2010

4 new ethanol producers, total installed capacity 1.62 Ml/dayTotal installed capacity 4.55 million liters/day in 2010

Bioethanol ProductionBioethanol Production

Gasahol Usage� Total GSH95, GSH91, E20 and E85 Usage 11.46 MLPD

(Mar. 10)

� Total stock of ethanol 92.76 ML. (Feb. 10)

� @ Oil companies 44.89 ML @ Ethanol producer 47.87 ML

� Total GSH Service station 4,302 stations, 12 oil companies

Oil Companies

Total Service Stations

GSH Service Stations

Feb. 10 Dec. 07 Dec. 08 Dec. 09

Ptt. 1,138 1,185 1,139 1,135

Bangchak 875 756 852 868

Shell 590 548 578 590

ESSO 553 513 550 553

Chevson 453 370 423 453

IRPC oil 1 1 1 1

Ptt. retail 145 146 146 145

Petronas 116 98 117 116

SUSCO 140 106 143 145

Pak tai 220 35 144 212

Thai oil 2 - 2 2

Rayong Pure 69 64 71 67Total 4,302 3,822 4,166 4,287

GSH Service StationsFeb. 09

GSH E85 5

GSH E20 311

Ref. DOEB, Mar. 10


Total GSH+Gasoline(ML/day)

20.13 100%

GSH 11.46 56.9%

Gasoline 8.67 43.1%

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

ม.ค.

ก.พ.

มี.ค.

เม.ย.

พ.ค.

มิ.ย.

ก.ค.

ส.ค.

ก.ย.

ต.ค.

พ.ย.

ธ.ค.

ล้านลิตร/วัน

2004200520062007200820092010

11.46 Ml/day

Gasohol service stations & Volume saleGasohol service stations & Volume sale

Thai and Global Ethanol PriceThai and Global Ethanol Price


ThailandThailand’’s Ethanol exports Ethanol export

Producers Export (ML.) Destination

Mar. 10 Accum.(Jan.08-Mar.10)*

Khonkan alchohol - 13.89

Singapore, Philippines, Australia

Petrogreen 0.27 41.06Singapore,Netherland, Arab Emirates ,Japan

Thai Sugar - 0.14 Taiwan

Akarat 4.04 42.66Singapore, Taiwan, Korea, Indonesia

Thai Ngun - 0.0002 Philippines

PSC Starch - 0.024 Netherland

Total 4.31 97.77

2 producers exported ethanol 4.31 ML

5

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Jan-06

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-06

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Mar-10

Baht/Liter

CBOT BMF(Brazil) Thai CEPEA (Brazil)

Ref : * Excise Department Mar. 10

Gasohol Measures (Apr. 10)

1. Market incentive

Ethanol reference price = 21.57 Baht/liter

Current price:

ULG95 – E85 = 22.32-23.52 Baht/liter ULG95 – E20 = 8.80-10.00 Baht/liter ULG91 – Gasohol91 = 5.30 Baht/literULG95 – Gasohol95 = 11.10-12.30 Baht/liter


Bioethanol PoliciesBioethanol Policies

2. Promote E85 and FFVs (Flexible Fuel Vehicles)

Cabinet resolution 19 Nov. 08 National Agenda : Promote E85

� Ministry of Finance: Reduction of custom from 80% to 60% for 2,000 imported FFVs (2,000 cc - 2,500 cc engine) before 31 Dec. 2009

� Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Energy: Reduction of excise tax from 25 % – 22 % by using oil fund for 2,000 imported FFVs (2,000 cc -2,500 cc engine) and domestic FFVs (2,000 cc - 2,500 cc engine) before 31 Dec. 2010

� Current Status: At the end of Mar. 10 FFV Sell Volume is 1,616 cars (Volvo S80 & C30 178 cars, Mitsubishi Lancer Ex 1,438 cars) and in Q3/2010 a new production line of FFVs will open



3. Reduction of custom and excise tax for FFVs (Flexible Fuel Vehicles) and imported FFVs parts

Cabinet resolution 27 Apr. 10



ItemIncentive Policies

(Percent - %)

1. Excise TaxFFVs (Flexible Fuel Vehicles) cylinder volume

� from 1,780 c.c. not exceed 2,000 c.c.� above 2,000 c.c. not exceed 2,500 c.c.� above 2,500 c.c. not exceed 3,000 c.c.

Ministry of FinanceReduction of excise tax 3%

from 25 to 22from 30 to 27from 35 to 32

2. Custom� Imported CBU (Complete Build Up) FFVs

cylinder volume from 1,780 c.c. not exceed 3,000 c.c.

� Imported FFVs parts

Ministry of Finance� Reduction of custom from 80% to 60%

1 yr. for imported 2,000 FFVs since this regulation enforce

� To make a notification ofreduction of custom for imported FFVs parts

3. Excise Tax compensation from Oil fund Ministry of Energycancel

excise tax compensation from Oil fund for imported FFVs and domestic FFVs since

the regulation in No.1 enforce

Biofuels in ThailandBiofuels in Thailand

B100 Marketing

Enforcement B2 Enforcement B5

Optional B5 Optional B10

Sustainable B100 production

B100Production

Biodiesel production from CPO and Sterine

R&D production / Community usage

Biodiesel standard development

FeedstockExpanding Palm oil cultivation areas 2.5 million rai

R&D Yield of palm 2.8 to 3.2 ton/rai/yr

Sustainable CPO production

R&D

R&D and promote value added of gycerline/small CPO extraction unit

R&D BTL / BHD Promote BTL and/or BHD, seaweed

R&D biodiesel production from seaweed R&D Alternative feed stock for biodiesel production

ZERO waste of Jatropha for biodiesel production

08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 2122

B5 nationwide, B10 optionalResearch on Biodiesel with fish boat Engines

Budget(M฿)

DemandB100

(ML/day)1.35 1.35 1.35 3.02 3.64 4.50

129.75 37.4 29.4 19.4 450 330

Biodiesel Development PlanBiodiesel Development Plan 22008008 -- 22022022

Existing B100 plants 4 CPO/RBD5 Palm Stearine

6 CPO/RBD/Stearine

Material

Permitted

Plant Total cap.

(Ml/day)

1 CPO/RBD 4 2.36

2 Palm Stearine 5 2.35

3 CPO/RBD /PalmStearine

6 1.40

Total 15 6.11

Currently (Mar. 10) 15 existing plants total installed cap. 6.11 Ml/day- CPO/RBD 4 Plants Cap. 2.36 Ml/day- Palm Stearine 5 Plants Cap. 2.35 Ml/day- CPO/RBD/Palm Stearine 6 Plants Cap. 1.40 Ml/day

Biodiesel ProductionBiodiesel Production


Biodiesel ProductionBiodiesel Production

Ref : DOEB, Mar 10

B100 producers Provinces Installed Capacity(L/day)

1. Bangchark Petroleum Bangkok 50,000

2. Bio Energy Plus Ayutthaya 100,000

3. Sun Tech Palm oil Prajeenburi 200,000

4. Patum Vegetable Oil Pathumtani 800,0005. Bangkok Renewable Energy Chachoengsao 200,0006. Green Power Cooperation Chumporn 200,0007. AI Energy Samutsakorn 250,000

8. Veerasuwan Samutsakorn 200,000

9. Thai Oleochemical Rayong 685,800

10. New Biodiesel Suratthani 220,000

11. Pure Biodiesel Rayong 300,000

12. Technic Plus Petchaburi 1,200,000

13. E-Ester Chaingrai 50,000

14. Bangchark Biofuel Ayutthaya 300,000

15. Bio Energy Plus 2 Ayutthaya 150,000

Total 6,105,800


Biodiesel Volume SaleBiodiesel Volume Sale ((Mar. 10Mar. 10))• B5 Volume Sale 21.46 ML/day (B100 1.072 ML/day)• Diesel(B2) Volume Sale 31.42 ML/day (B100 0.628 ML/day)• Total volume of B100 1.701 ML/day


628,481

1,072,845

1,701,326

0200,000400,000600,000800,000

1,000,0001,200,0001,400,0001,600,0001,800,0002,000,000

Jun-

05Au

g-05

Oct

-05

Dec

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Feb-

06Ap

r-06

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06Au

g-06

Oct

-06

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07Ap

r-07

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07Au

g-07

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08Ap

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g-08

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r-09

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09Au

g-09

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-09

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10Ap

r-10

Liter/Day

B100 in B5 B100 in B2 Total B100

Biodiesel Service Stations & priceBiodiesel Service Stations & price3,721 B5 service stations

Average Price Biodiesel = 30.49 ฿/l. CPO = 26.14 ฿/kg.in Mar. 10 Methanol = 12.36 ฿/kg. FFB = 3.48 ฿/kg.


-300600900

1,2001,5001,8002,1002,4002,7003,0003,3003,600

Nov-06

Dec-

06Ja

n-07

Feb-

07Mar

-07

Apr-0

7May

-07

Jun-

07Ju

l-07

Aug-

07Se

p-07

Oct-0

7No

v-07

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n-08

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-08

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8May

-08

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p-08

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n-09

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Apr-0

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Jun-

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l-09

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v-09

Dec-

09Ja

n-10

Feb-

10

ServiceStaion

PTT BCP ESSO SHELL PTT RETAIL RPC CHEVRON(THAI) SUSCO PAK TAI PETRONAS

Biodiesel PoliciesBiodiesel Policies

1. Market Incentive

Retailed price of B5 is lower than Diesel.

Current price : (Apr. 10)Diesel (B2) 29.89 ฿/L B5 28.69 ฿/L

2. Biodiesel Usage

Diesel (B2) was enforced nationwide on 1 Feb, 2008, while B5 will be enforced nationwide in 2011 by expanding palm oil cultivation 2.5 million rais in 2012 and using the rest of palm oil from exporting and domestic consumption.


biofuel situation present1. bioethanol -bioethanol strategic plan-situation (supply &...

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