boosting eurasian economies through ict oovvuumm/media/informa-shop-window/tmt/... ·...

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Ovum Ovum TMT intelligence | Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Turkey Boosting Eurasian economies through ICT 1. ICT investment drives economic growth and diversity Eurasian GDP has slowed or stagnated… …but ICT investment increases efficiency and grows economies There is a significant link between broadband penetration and GDP. A 10% broadband penetration increase yields 0.9-1.5% increase in per capita GDP. * For low and middle income economies, it yields 1.38% in additional GDP growth. ** 2. Eurasia needs more investment in ICT infrastructure ICT spending is to be increased to sustain national GDP growth ICT spending as % of GDP Ovum broadband development index (global rank) International bandwidth per internet user (kbps) Number of quality certified data centers Development of high speed broadband infrastructure constrains citizen inclusion and digital economy development International connectivity has become bottleneck constraining global interconnection and participation Certified data centers are few, constraining local service development and deployment 3. What are the obstacles? Unclear regulation: Lack of clear, pro-competitive regulation creates uncertainty for investors. But clear, independent and pro-competitive regulation will attract investment in broadband, applications and data centers. The international connectivity bottleneck: Limited international connectivity slows down Internet services and increases risks of outages. But large, diverse international links will improve service quality and resilience. Service availability and affordability: Digital divides, high prices and low incomes are a challenge. Extending fixed and mobile networks and cutting prices will expand demand and economic activity. Stimulating service innovation and data center infrastructure: Sophisticated services improve the monetization of network investments and keep economic benefits in-country. -2 0 Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Turkey Turkmenistan 2013 2016 Ukraine 2 4 6 8 10 12 GDP growth (%) 2013–2016 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% Turkey Kazakhstan Georgia Belarus Azerbaijan Mongolia Ukraine Krgyzstan Tajikistan Uzbekistan T urkmenistan 1. South Korea 2. Singapore 3. Canada 4. Hong Kong 5. United Arab Emirates 29. Turkey 52. Belarus 53. Malaysia 54 Russia 65. Kazakhstan 73. Azerbaijan 76. Mongolia 77. Georgia 106. Turkmenistan 119. Ukraine 134. Egypt 158. Krgyzstan 166. Uzbekistan 186. Tajikistan 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 Mobile Score Fixed Score 100 0 Turkmenistan No Data Tajikistan Mongolia Kyrgyzstan Uzbekistan Georgia Ukraine Turkey Belarus Kazakhstan Azerbaijan 45.743 7.357 4.283 2.075 159.595 35.127 139.374 101.468 69.615 59.034 $ $ Ovum Ovum CONTACT US T +44 (0)20 7017 4994 E [email protected] W ovum.informa.com Ovum Ovum TMT intelligence | COPYRIGHT © 2017 OVUM DATA IS SOURCED FROM OVUM / * CZERNICH ET AL (2011) / ** QIANG ET AL (2009) – WORLDBANK Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Kazakhstan Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Georgia Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Belarus Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Azerbaijan ICT challenge radars Regional Average 4. Where are the opportunities? ICT Challenge Radar 1. Developed Eurasia: 3. Emerging Eurasia: 2. Developing Eurasia: Hot issues: OTT and 4G service innovation, data center investment Situation: Have diverse ICT ecosystems Priorities: Streamline and develop national infrastructure and regulatory system Fix digital divides by expanding network coverage to underserviced areas Streamline telecommunications licenses and spectrum access Strengthen wholesale access rules Hot issues: Broadband development, affordability, international connectivity Situation: Have basic ICT infrastructure and unmet demand Priorities: Kick-start their ICT ecosystems through network investment Cut tax on personal devices to improve affordability Facilitate network site access and infrastructure sharing to expand coverage Cut license costs and relax foreign investor rules to stimulate network rollout Improve capacity and diversity of international connectivity Hot issues: 4G broadband development, OTT and fixed/mobile convergence Situation: Have elements of the ICT ecosystem, need to invest in key areas Priorities: Expand supply and demand for ICT services Expand access with low-cost 4G licenses and fair access to spectrum Accelerate network rollouts by encouraging infrastructure sharing Develop e-government services to drive demand Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Mongolia Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Ukraine Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Krgyzstan Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Tajikistan Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Uzbekistan Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Turkmenistan Mobile pricing innovation and affordability Fixed pricing innovation and affordability Development beyond 4G 4G Infrastructure and uptake Regulation Fixed-Mobile Convergence Local storage and data center availability International connectivity Fiber and xDSL upgrades OTT availability Developed Countries Developing Countries Emerging Countries Georgia Tajikistan Mongolia Kazakhstan Turkmenistan Ukraine Turkey Uzbekistan Belarus Krgyzstan Azerbaijan 5. Eurasian ICT progress radars 0 5 10 15 Turkey Kazakhstan Georgia Belarus Azerbaijan Mongolia Ukraine Krgyzstan Tajikistan Uzbekistan T urkmenistan

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Page 1: Boosting Eurasian economies through ICT OOvvuumm/media/Informa-Shop-Window/TMT/... · 2018-01-30 · 139.374 101.468 69.615 59.034 $ $ Ovum Ovum ... Kazakhstan Mobile pricing innovation

OvumOvumTMT intelligence |

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Turkey

Boosting Eurasian economies through ICT

1. ICT investment drives economic growth and diversity

Eurasian GDP has slowed or stagnated…

…but ICT investment increases efficiency and grows economies

There is a significant link between broadband penetration and GDP. A 10% broadband penetration increase yields 0.9-1.5% increase in per capita GDP.* For low and middle income economies, it yields 1.38% in additional GDP growth.**

2. Eurasia needs more investment in ICT infrastructure

ICT spending is to be increased to sustain national GDP growth

ICT spending as % of GDP

Ovum broadband development index (global rank)

International bandwidth per internet user (kbps)

Number of quality certified data centers

Development of high speed broadband infrastructure constrains citizen inclusion

and digital economy development

International connectivity has become bottleneck constraining global

interconnection and participation

Certified data centers are few, constraining local service development

and deployment

3. What are the obstacles?

Unclear regulation:Lack of clear, pro-competitive regulation creates uncertainty for investors. But clear, independent and pro-competitive regulation will attract investment in broadband, applications and data centers.

The international connectivity bottleneck:Limited international connectivity slows down Internet services and increases risks of outages. But large, diverse international links will improve service quality and resilience.

Service availability and affordability:

Digital divides, high prices and low incomes are a challenge. Extending

fixed and mobile networks and cutting prices will expand demand

and economic activity.

Stimulating service innovation and data

center infrastructure:Sophisticated services improve

the monetization of network investments and keep economic

benefits in-country.

-2

0

Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan Turkey Turkmenistan

2013 2016 Ukraine

2

4

6

8

10

12

GDP growth (%) 2013–2016

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

Turk

ey

Kaza

khst

an

Geor

gia

Bela

rus

Azer

baija

n

Mon

golia

Ukr

aine

Krgy

zsta

n

Tajik

ista

n

Uzb

ekis

tan

Turk

men

ista

n

1. South Korea

2. Singapore

3. Canada

4. Hong Kong

5. United Arab Emirates

29. Turkey

52. Belarus

53. Malaysia

54 Russia

65. Kazakhstan

73. Azerbaijan

76. Mongolia

77. Georgia

106. Turkmenistan

119. Ukraine

134. Egypt

158. Krgyzstan

166. Uzbekistan

186. Tajikistan

1000900800700600500400300200

Mobile Score Fixed Score

1000

Turkmenistan No Data

Tajikistan

Mongolia

Kyrgyzstan

Uzbekistan

Georgia

Ukraine

Turkey

Belarus

Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan

45.743

7.357

4.283

2.075

159.595

35.127

139.374

101.468

69.615

59.034

$$

OvumOvum

CONTACT UST +44 (0)20 7017 4994 E [email protected] W ovum.informa.com

OvumOvumTMT intelligence |

COPYRIGHT © 2017 OVUM DATA IS SOURCED FROM OVUM / *CZERNICH ET AL (2011) / **QIANG ET AL (2009) – WORLDBANK

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Kazakhstan

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Georgia

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Belarus

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Azerbaijan

ICT challenge radars

Regional Average

4. Where are the opportunities?

ICT Challenge Radar

1. Developed Eurasia:

3. Emerging Eurasia:

2. Developing Eurasia:

Hot issues:OTT and 4G service innovation, data center investment

Situation:Have diverse ICT ecosystems

Priorities: Streamline and develop national infrastructure and regulatory system• Fix digital divides by expanding network coverage to

underserviced areas• Streamline telecommunications licenses and spectrum access• Strengthen wholesale access rules

Hot issues:Broadband development, affordability, international connectivity

Situation:Have basic ICT infrastructure and unmet demand

Priorities: Kick-start their ICT ecosystems through network investment• Cut tax on personal devices to improve affordability• Facilitate network site access and infrastructure sharing

to expand coverage• Cut license costs and relax foreign investor rules to

stimulate network rollout• Improve capacity and diversity of international connectivity

Hot issues:4G broadband development, OTT and fixed/mobile convergence

Situation:Have elements of the ICT ecosystem, need to invest in key areas

Priorities: Expand supply and demand for ICT services• Expand access with low-cost 4G licenses and fair

access to spectrum• Accelerate network rollouts by encouraging

infrastructure sharing• Develop e-government services to drive demand

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Mongolia

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Ukraine

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Krgyzstan

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Tajikistan

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Uzbekistan

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Turkmenistan

Mobile pricing innovation and affordability

Fixed pricing innovation and affordability

Development beyond 4G

4G Infrastructure and uptake

Regulation

Fixed-Mobile ConvergenceLocal storage

and data center availability

International connectivity

Fiber and xDSL upgrades

OTT availability

Developed Countries Developing Countries Emerging Countries

Georgia

Tajikistan

Mongolia

Kazakhstan

Turkmenistan

Ukraine

Turkey

Uzbekistan

Belarus

Krgyzstan

Azerbaijan

5. Eurasian ICT progress radars

0

5

10

15

Turk

ey

Kaza

khst

an

Geor

gia

Bela

rus

Azer

baija

n

Mon

golia

Ukr

aine

Krgy

zsta

n

Tajik

ista

n

Uzb

ekis

tan

Turk

men

ista

n