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BP 4Q 2009 and Full Year Results 2 nd February 2010

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Page 1: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

BP 4Q 2009 and Full Year Results

2nd

February 2010

Page 2: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations

Page 3: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Forward Looking Statements -

Cautionary StatementThis presentation and the associated slides and discussion contain forward looking statements, particularly those regarding production growth and future production; oil and gas markets; cash costs; capital expenditure and capital efficiency; divestments; effective tax rate; refining and petrochemical margins; global economic outlook; dividend and scrip dividend; efficiency of our regional business service centres; reverse of consolidation adjustments reflecting higher volumes of equity barrels in our

downstream inventories at year-end and higher prices; foreign exchange and energy costs; depreciation, depletion and amortization; underlying average quarterly charge from other business and corporate costs; strategy (including our focus on upstream profit growth, cost and capital efficiency, downstream turnaround and cost efficiency, focus and disciplined investment in Alternative Energy and corporate efficiency). By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will or may occur in the

future. Actual results may differ from those expressed in such

statements, depending on a variety of factors, including the timing of bringing new fields on stream; future levels of industry product supply; demand and pricing; operational problems; general economic conditions; political stability and economic growth in relevant areas of the world; changes in laws and governmental regulations; regulatory or legal actions; exchange rate fluctuations;

development and use of new technology; changes in public expectations and other changes in business conditions; the actions of competitors; natural disasters and adverse weather conditions; wars and acts of terrorism or sabotage; and other factors discussed elsewhere in this presentation.

Reconciliations to GAAP -

This presentation also contains financial information which is not presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). A quantitative reconciliation of this information to the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP can be found on our website at www.bp.com

Cautionary Note to US Investors -

We use certain terms in this presentation, such as ā€œresourcesā€

and ā€œnon-proved reservesā€, that the SECā€™s rules prohibit us from including in our filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-06262. This form is available on our website at www.bp.com.

You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330 or by logging on to their website at www.sec.gov.

February 2010

Cautionary Statement

Page 4: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Page 5: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Capital expenditure excluding acquisitions and asset exchanges

2009: Financial results

ā€¢

Replacement cost profit $14.0 bn

ā€¢

Post-tax operating cash flow $27.7 bn

ā€¢

Organic capex* of $20.0 bn

ā€¢

Divestments of $2.7 bn

ā€¢

Dividend

āˆ’

56 cents per share

āˆ’

$10.5 bn

ā€¢

Gearing at 20%, bottom of target range

Page 6: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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2009 delivery

*

Change versus 2008 **

Capital expenditure excluding acquisitions and asset exchanges

2009 initial guidance FY 09

Production* Growth +4%

Refining availability* Higher +5%

Cash cost reduction* Around $2bn More than $4bn

Divestments Around $2-3bn $2.7bn

Capex** $20-22bn $20.0bn

Page 7: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Strategic delivery Upstream growth

ā€¢

New access for future growthāˆ’

Iraq: Rumailaāˆ’

Indonesia: Sanga-Sanga

Coalbed

Methane and West Papua

āˆ’

Jordan: Rishaāˆ’

Gulf of Mexico and Egypt: new acreageā€¢

Continued exploration and appraisal successāˆ’

Gulf of Mexico: Tiber (giant discovery), Mad Dog Southāˆ’

Angola: 17th/18th/19th discoveriesāˆ’

Azerbaijan: Shafag, Asimanā€¢

Major project start-upsāˆ’

Indonesia: Tangguhāˆ’

Gulf of Mexico: Dorado, King South & Atlantis Phase 2āˆ’

Trinidad: Savonetteāˆ’

TNK-BP: Uvat, Kamennoyeā€¢

Sanctioned developmentsāˆ’

Angola: Block 15 Clochas

Mavacolaāˆ’

Trinidad: Serette

new field developmentā€¢

Resource replacement ratio of more than 250%ā€¢

Reserves replacement ratio* of 129%*

On a combined basis of subsidiaries and equity-accounted entities, excluding acquisitions and divestments

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Strategic delivery Downstream turnaround

ā€¢

Safe and reliable operations

āˆ’

Operating Management System (OMS) implemented at all major sites

ā€¢

Behaviours and core processes

āˆ’

Business service centres established

ā€¢

Restoring missing revenues

āˆ’

Refining availability re-established

ā€¢

Business simplification

āˆ’

Sale of Greek ground fuels marketing

āˆ’

Air and Lubricants footprint simplification

āˆ’

Exited US convenience retail operations

ā€¢

Repositioning cost efficiency

āˆ’

Cash costs more than 15% below 2008

āˆ’

Headcount reduced by more than 4500*

* Since Decā€™07

Page 9: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Strategic delivery Corporate efficiency

ā€¢

Alternative Energy

āˆ’

Focused and disciplined

ā€¢

Restructuring and delayering

āˆ’

Around 7500* reduction in BP non-retail staff

āˆ’

More than 1500 reduction in permanent contractors

āˆ’

Senior executive roles reduced from 650 to fewer than 500

ā€¢

Organization

āˆ’

Deepening expertise

ā€¢

Cash costs

down by more than $4bn in 2009

* Since Decā€™07

Page 10: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

Page 11: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Trading environment

Liquids realization Gas realization

Refining indicator margin

Average realizations 4Q FY

Liquids $/bbl 31% (38)%

Natural gas $/mcf (28)% (46)%

Total hydrocarbons $/boe 12% (39)%

Refining indicator margin $/bbl (71)% (38)%

Change vs 2008

$/bbl

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q2008 2009

$/bbl

0

3

6

9

12

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q

2008 2009

$/mcf

0

4

8

12

16

20

1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q2008 2009

Page 12: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Financial highlights All earnings figures are adjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax4Q09 vs 4Q08 ($bn)

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

4Q08 E&P R&M OB&C Co.adj. 4Q09

($bn) 4Q08 4Q09

Exploration & Production 4.3 7.1

Refining & Marketing 0.6 0.0

Other businesses & corporate (0.4) (0.3)

Consolidation adjustment 0.6 (0.5)

Replacement cost profit before interest and tax

5.2 6.3

Interest & minority interest (0.4) (0.4)

Tax (2.2) (1.5)

Replacement cost profit 2.6 4.4

Earnings per share ($c) 14.0 23.4

Cash from operations ($bn) 5.6 7.3

Dividend ($bn) (2.6) (2.6)

Dividend per share ($c) 14.0 14.0

Capital expenditure excluding acquisitions ($bn)

6.8 5.9

Page 13: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Exploration & Production

ā€¢

Stronger environmentā€¢

Production growth ā€“

strong operational performanceā€¢

Continued momentum in cost reductionā€¢

Higher DD&A in line with guidance

Pre-tax replacement cost profitAdjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

($bn)Average hydrocarbon

realizations ($/boe)

(2)

0

2

4

6

8

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

10

20

30

40

50

Production growth Y-o-Y(4 quarter rolling average)

0

1

2

3

4

5

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

%

Average Hydrocarbon realizations ($/boe)

US Non-US TotalTNK-BP

Page 14: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Refining & Marketing

ā€¢

Weak refining environmentā€¢

Good operational performanceā€¢

Weak supply and trading contributionā€¢

Lower costs

Refining availability

Solomon availability (%)

80

84

88

92

96

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

Pre-tax replacement cost profitAdjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

($bn)Refining indicator

margin ($/bbl)

(1.0)

(0.5)

0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

US Non-US Refining MarginsTotal

Page 15: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Other businesses & corporate

ā€¢

Favourable foreign exchange impact

ā€¢

Lower costs

ā€¢

Weaker margin environment for Shipping and Solar

Pre-tax replacement cost profitAdjusted for non-operating items and fair value accounting effects

($bn)

(0.8)

(0.6)

(0.4)

(0.2)

0.0

0.2

4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09

Page 16: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Sources & uses of cash

Dividends Dividends

CapexCapex

Buybacks

Disposals

Operations

Operations

Disposals

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

Sources Uses Sources Uses

2008 2009$bn

post tax

Page 17: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Net debt ratio

Net debt ratio = net debt / (net debt + equity)Net debt includes the fair value of associated derivative financial instruments used to hedge finance debt

%

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Page 18: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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2010 Outlook

2009 Delivery 2010 Guidance

Production 4% growth Slightly lower

Cash costs (year-on-year change) More than $4bn lower Further reduction*

Organic capital expenditure $20bn ~ $20bn

Divestment proceeds $2.7bn $2 -

3bn

OB&C: average quarterly charge (excl. NOIā€™s)

~ $450m ~ $400m

Full year effective tax rate 31%** 33% -

34%

*

Excluding the effects of changes in exchange rates and fuel costs** Adjusted for the impact of the goodwill impairment in Refining and Marketing which is not tax deductible

Page 19: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Page 20: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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BP strategy

ā€¢

Upstream

profit growth, cost and capital efficiency

ā€¢

Downstream

turnaround, cost efficiency

ā€¢

Alternative Energy; focused and disciplined

ā€¢

Corporate

efficiency

Page 21: BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation ......BP Fourth quarter and full year 2009 results presentation slides Author: BP Subject: BP results presentation slides

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Q&A

Tony Hayward

Group Chief Executive

Andy Inglis

Chief Executive Exploration & Production

Byron Grote

Chief Financial Officer

Iain Conn

Chief Executive Refining & Marketing

Fergus MacLeod

Head of Investor Relations