brazilian coal industry how to develop. · gas control 2014 larissa pinheiro pupo nogueira1, andré...
TRANSCRIPT
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Beijing , 28 October 2015
Brazilian Coal Industry
How to Develop.
Fernando Luiz Zancan
President of the Brazilian Coal Association - ABCM
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Brazil Energy Resources
31%
7%
42%
1%
19%
Energy
oil
natural gas
coal
hydro
nuclear
27 years without geologic survey
Source : BEN 2012 - toe
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
What about coal resources ?
Have we coal in
northeast of
Brazil?
Two decades
without geologic
surveyUruguai
Argentina
Coal
Peat
Lignite
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Source: Informative of Coal Industry – DNPM / 2000
UF Field Resource (106t) %
Paraná Cambuí 44 0,14
Sapopema 45 0,14
89 0,28
Santa Catarina Barro Branco 1.045 3,29
Bonito 1.601 5,04
Pré-Bonito 414 1,30 3.060 9,64
Rio Grande do Sul Candiota 12.275 38,67
Leão 2.439 7,68
Charqueadas 2.993 9,43
Iruí/Capané 2.688 8,47
Murungava 3.128 9,86
Santa Terezinha/Torres 5.068 15,97
28.591 90,08
Candiota
PR
SC
RS
Barro Branco
Bonito
Pré-Bonito
Iruí / Capané
Leão
Charqueadas
Murungava
Santa Terezinha
CambuíSapopema
Mining Areas
BRAZILIAN COAL RESOURCES
Sub-bituminous
and Bituminous
coal – high ash
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
REMPLAC
Program –
Ministry of
Marine and
Brazilian
Geologic
Service
Geological Survey for Coal
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
BRAZILIAN COAL INDUSTRY
Resources: 31,7 billion ton (90% RS)
Production - ROM (2014): 13,5 million ton
Saleable Coal – 7,6 million ton
Companies: 15
Number of Employees (2014): 5.321
Market Share (2014): 82 % Power Generation
Power Generation = 1.765 MW
All industry has ISO 14001
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
MATRIZ DE OFERTA DE ENERGIA (%)
28,0
5,5
13,8
38,7
9,4
15,5
6,96,3 3,0
1,2
13,514,8
13,0
18,5
2,99,1
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2005 2030
PETRÓLEO
GÁS NATURAL
CARVÃO MINERAL
HIDRÁULICA
LENHA&C.VEGETAL
PRODUTOS DA CANA
NUCLEAR
OUTRAS RENOVÁVEIS(4,3 H-BIO&BIODIESEL)
219 milhões tep e 44,5% renováveis 557 milhões tep e 46,6% renováveis
Brazil - Energy Offer (%)
PNE 2030
Source :MME
Coal
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Total (MW):Renewable energy:
101 mil84,0 %
143 mil83,2 %
221 mil83,1 %
83,9%80,8%
76,1%
0,1%
1,3%
2,9%
0,0%
1,1%4,1%
2,3% 2,6% 3,3%
1,6% 1,9%2,7%
9,9% 10,1%9,3%
2,3% 2,3% 1,5%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2005 2015 2030
Derivados do Petróleo
Gás Natural
Carvão
Nuclear
Eólica e Outros
Biomassa
Hidráulica
POWER GENERATION MATRIX
Source: MME
Coal
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Security of supply =
Termo power generation
Hydro : old =
0,51 Km2/MW
new =
0,06 Km2/MW
Less Hydro Annual Storage
Source : ONS –may/13
Planning
Storage of energy/energy demand
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
2014/15 - Lack of water =
Thermal dispach
With 1 GW of new
coal power we can
decrease the cost
of dispach in 250
million U$D
monthly
Coal power
Thermal Power generation
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
1
How to operate & cost ?
Expansion 2019
S
153.800 Km
transmission lines
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
64%10%
4%
9%
1%2%
6%0% 4%
Capacity in dez/2014
Hydro
gas
wind
biomass
nuclear
coal
oil
solar
import
Source : EPE
Coal is only 2,5 %
80 % renewable
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão MineralElectric Matrix 2014/2019
Hidro
Nuclear
Gas/LNG
CoalBiomass
Solar
Wind
Oil
Others
Increase 2014/19Type of
generation
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Planning - PDE 2024
New power: 84 GW
43 % already
contracted
47 GW planned is
renewable
After 2024
????
No more hydro
Instaled Capacity in Integrated System – SIN
in 2024 = 209 GW
Renewables : 83 %
117; 57%
3; 1%
30; 14%
24; 12%
7; 3%8; 4%
18; 9%
Hydro Nuclear Fossil Wind Solar PCH Biomass
Increase : 3 GW/y
firm energy
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
After 2035 the energy system changes deeply
with hydropower potential depletion
Coal-fired plants equipped with post-
combustion CCS acquire importance after
2035
After 2040, the main choice is IGCC plants
equipped with selexol CCS
We need to look at coal...
Fonte: International Journal of Greenhouse
Gas Control 2014
Larissa Pinheiro Pupo Nogueira1, André Frossard Pereira de Lucena, Régis Rathmann,
Pedro Rua Rodriguez Rochedo, Alexandre Szklo, Roberto Schaeffer - COPPE
Energy Planning Program, Graduate School of Engineering Universidade Federal do
Rio de Janeiro
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
If these Projects move on....
Project Capacity
MW
Coal
Consumption
tpy
Investment
U$D billion
USITESC/SC 300 1.412.000 0,75
ENEVA/RS 1.327 6.270.000 3,30
CTSUL/RS 650 3.070.000 1,60
Termopampa/RS 340 1.600.000 0,85
Total 2.617 12.252.000 6,50
Coal Production in 2014 : 6.000.000 t
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Brazilian Emissions - 2005
Source : MCT
15%
3%
19%
61%
2%
Sectors
Energia
Proc. Industrial
Agricultura
Uso do Solo
Residuos
2.192.602 GgCO2 eq -
GWP
Electricity: 1.5% of
GHG emissions
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
18
Emissions – We will be green
MW 2015 % 2030 % 2035 %
Hydro 105.443 70,84% 148.646 67,82% 170.152 64,62%
Nuclear 2.007 1,35% 5.861 2,67% 7.412 2,81%
Gas 12.697 8,53% 12.697 5,79% 14.602 5,55%
Coal 3.205 2,15% 14.665 6,69% 18.265 6,94%
Oil 7.853 5,28% 7.853 3,58% 7.853 2,98%
Biomass 10.704 7,19% 20.937 9,55% 24.500 9,30%
Wind 6.947 4,67% 8.510 3,88% 20.524 7,79%
TOTAL 148.856 219.170 263.308
% Renewable 82,69% 81,26% 81,72%
Power generation MtCO2 41,41 8,31% 104,3 8,60%
emissions from power
generation (%) 2,03% 3,77%
Total emissions*MtCO2 2016,06 2752,67*Source: LA ROVERE, Emílio L.; DUBEUX, Carolina B.S.; PEREIRA JR, Amaro O.; Wills, William. “Brazil beyond 2020: from
deforestation to the energy challenge”. Climate Policy. 13 (2013), S01, PP. 71–87.
Centro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos
Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação
Roadmap Tecnológico para Produção,
Uso Limpo e Eficiente do Carvão Mineral Nacional
MCTI Brazilian Coal Technology
Roadmap
2022 – 2035
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Develop technologies for coal mining and utilization in a sustainable way CCS
Add value to coal R&D for high value products including CTL to hydrogen
Optimized all process related to the coal economic chain
Capacity Building for all the technologies
Manage the R&D + I resources Central Knowledge Management
Increase partnership: CPRM, CETEM, Petrobras, Eletrobras, private companies, universities network and international partnerships (NETL, etc)
RD&I Goals
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Social commitment of coalR&D + Capacity Building
CTCL
Criciúma /SC
8.000
students
SATC
Faculty of Engineering: Electric,
Mechanics, Chemistry, Computing
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
SATC is a philanthropic private institution that deal with education, technology and
innovation.
Social Commitment of the Coal Industry from Santa Catarina - 1% of the revenue
Associação Beneficente da
Indústria Carbonífera da SC - SATC
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
Low carbon technology
center - SATC
fossil fuels’s
laboratory
Criciúma/SC
CTCL
CCUS lab
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão Mineral
CSATC/CTCL/NETL
CCUS Research
Block-Diagram of ARI’s Moving Bed TSA
CO2 Capture Process
Dry adsorbent-based carbon
capture process with internal
heat recovery
Zeolite synthesis from ash
Research includes bench
scale tests, process
modeling, CFD modeling
and economic evaluation.
Goal is conceptual design of
a carbon capture pilot unit to
apply in a slipstream of a
pulverized coal electric
power plant in Brazil.2,2 million U$D Project
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Associação Brasileira do Carvão MineralKEY POINTS
• To increase the use of the Brazilian coals it is
necessary to address the technology issues
regarding the use of low rank coals for conversion
into clean fuels.
• Geologic survey, mining technologies, coal
characterization and utilization, environmental
technologies and capacity building for all the
economic chain, should be done.
• Modernization of the fleet, new projects and a
industrial coal policy to look at the economic chain
is our goal.
09/05/08
Associação Brasileira do Carvão MineralConclusion
High energy demand in the world in near term – low offer = high prices => look for domestic energy sources;
Brazil will need all sources of energy and coal is
important;
Coal industry should be ready for a low carbon
economy and,
ABCM is compromised to contribute to an
sustainable energy security future to Brazil.