breakout session 1: ghg mitigation potential in the transport sector
DESCRIPTION
By Ko Sakamoto and Michael Replogle. Presented on Day Two of Transforming Transportation. Washington, D.C. January 15, 2010. www.transformingtransportation2010.orgTRANSCRIPT
Breakout session 1:
GHG Mitigation Potential in the Transport Sector
Moderated by:
Michael Replogle (ITDP)
Ko Sakamoto (TRL)
Rationale and aim for this session
What is potential and cost-effectiveness of transport sector GHG emission strategies?
How can we consider marginal costs, incremental costs, co-benefits?
What are capabilities and limits of different methodologies to assess these questions?
What changes are needed to maximize transport GHG mitigation?
Session outline 13:30 - 15:30
Presentations (13:30 – 14:30)- Mitigation potential in the transport sector in USA:
Joanne Potter, Senior Associate, Cambridge Systematics
- Carbon and Transport in Latin America in 2050 - Avoiding the Worst, Shifting to the Best, Improving all the Way Along: Lee Schipper, Project Scientist, University of California Berkeley
- GHG mitigation potential in the transport sector in Mexico: Adriana Lobo, Director; Hilda Martinez, Environment Director; Jorge Macias, Environment Specialist, CTS-México
Discussion (14:30 – 15:30)
- 4 Key Questions
- Summary of discussion
Financial flows for “transport”
Financial flows for“climate mitigation”
Domestic public funding
(trillions)
Domestic public funding
(trillions)
Private funding
(trillions)
Private funding
(trillions)
GEFGEF
MitigationFund
MitigationFund
Climate Funds
Climate Funds
(millions)
ODA
(billions)
ODA
(billions)
How can we influence financial flows to maximize support for sustainable low-carbon transport?
CDMCDM
How can climate & transport finance foster change?
Transport (fuel) taxes
Value capture
Grants
Loans
Climate funds
Crediting mechanisms
User charges
Private investmentsPerformance-based funding
and contracting
Revolving Funds
From Mitigation Potential to Action
How can we best:- Improve the mitigation potential/cost effectiveness?
-Remove the technical, financial and political barriers?
-Communicate the mitigation potential and cost effectiveness of action in transport?
-Curb backsliding and lock-in of unsustainable investments and policies?
GUIDING QUESTIONS FOR DISCUSSIONS
1. What’s the potential for transport GHG reduction?
Reflecting on the presentations, how can we best summarize the GHG reduction potential from the transport sector for developed and developing countries?
- Should it be proportionate to other sectors?
- What share from “avoid-shift” vs. “improve” strategies?
5 minutes discussion
2. What’s needed to holistically measure and verify transport GHG mitigation?
How can current ways of accounting for transport emissions be improved?
How to better account for complex behavioural and land use impacts?
5 minutes discussion
Source: McKinsey and co. Boxes by Daniel Bongardt, GTZ
McKinsey GHG abatement cost curve
Transport
Source: Moving Cooler (2009)sponsors included US DOT/EPA, Shell, NRDC, EDF
Costs vs. Savings ofa bundle of mitigation measures in transport in the US
3. Cost effectiveness of mitigation in transport
What if anything is missing from McKinsey Marginal Abatement Cost (MAC) curves?
How can co-benefits be better accounted for in transport GHG mitigation cost-effectiveness analysis?
How best to handle bundling of strategies and plans vs. reductionist analysis of projects and single elements?
How to communicate evidence (e.g on negative costs of mitigation actions, benefits of sustainable transport) to policy makers in a tangible manner?
20 minutes discussion
4. How can finance incentivise change?
- Which part of the financing conundrum can carbon finance support? Does this differ by country or region?
- Could new climate-sensitive transport (infrastructure) funds become part of the solution?
- Is there a role for sectoral crediting in the transport sector? How can this be designed?
- What data and analysis tools are needed to support progress? What is their role for verification?
- How can transport NAMAs be piloted, in the context of the Copenhagen Accord?
20 minutes discussion
Page 15
Thank you
Join the debate on our Google Group:
http://groups.google.co.uk/group/Financing_SLOCAT
(Registration required – Please send requests to Ko Sakamoto below)
For further information, please contact:
Michael Replogle (ITDP)Global Policy [email protected]
Ko Sakamoto (TRL)Senior Consultant – Economics and [email protected]