broadband in alberta · broadband in the eatc region: 7.9% • in december, 2017, the crtc declared...
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting Craig Dobson 1
Broadband in Alberta2019 Local to Global Forum
March 7, 2019
þ The World has Changed
þ Broadband in Canadaþ Who’s Problem is It?
þ Broadband as a Utility
þ Regional Studiesþ Novel Options
þ Next Steps
þ Questions &Further Discussion
FPSP
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
The World has Changed
Craig Dobson 2
Smart&Homes
Virtual&&&Augmented&Reality Autonomous&Vehicles
WearablesPhones&&&Laptops
Industrial& Internet
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Participation Requires Broadband
Craig Dobson 3
… a ‘general purpose’ or ‘meta’ technology that impacts everything.
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Take Agriculture For Example
Craig Dobson 4
Digital Building Blocks Applications
• New computing technologies • Big data and advanced analytics • The Internet of Things (IoT) • Artificial intelligence and machine learning • Blockchain • Virtual and augmented reality
Advances in Science
• Next-generation biotechnologies and genomics
• Energy creation, capture, storage, and transmission
Reforming the Physical
• Autonomous and near autonomous vehicles • Advanced smart robotics • Additive manufacturing and multi-
dimensional printing • Advanced materials and nanotechnologies
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Wall Street Valuations
• Asset Builders: use capital to make, market, distribute, and sell physical products (e.g.:
manufacturing, hospitals, hotels, retailers)
• Service providers: use people who produce billable hours for which they charge clients (e.g.:
consulting, financial services)
• Technology Creators (Information Revolution): use capital to develop and sell intellectual
property (e.g.: software, biotechnology)
• Network Orchestrators: use digital networks of businesses or consumers to create, market, and
sell goods, services, or information, with the company acting as organizer (e.g.: credit card
companies, social networks).
Craig Dobson 5
Source: Ribaudo, W.; Technology is Changing How We View Industry, Value Companies, and …; 16-05
Technology*Creators
4XNetwork*
Orchestrators
8X
1XAsset*
Builders
2XServiceProviders
Digital*Divide
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
This Is About More Than Internet
Craig Dobson 6
!!
!Industrial!Revolution! Improving!‘Quality!of!Life’!not!‘Quality!of!Service”! Societal!
Transformation!
! Broadband networks rank among the most important infrastructure assets of our time—for purposes of economic development and competitiveness, innovation, workforce preparedness,
healthcare, education, democratic discourse, and environmental sustainability.
Source: CTC Technology & Energy, et al; The Potential for Ubiquitous, Open Fiber-to-the-Premises in San Francisco; 2017-10-17.
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Broadband In Canada
• Based on the Internet Develop Index, Canada dropped another three spots in 2017 and is now in 29th place globally.
• In Canada, Alberta ranks 10th out of 12 and rural speeds are under half those available in urban areas.
Craig Dobson 7
30.429.1
24.923.8 23.4
18.2 17.7 17.1 16.4
14.0 13.6
7.3
23.7
11.1
3.6
19.4
15.8
12.1
5.9
3.5
14.1
6.34.6 5.4
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
NewBrunswick
Newfoundland
Saskatchewan
NovaScotia
Ontario
BritishColumbia PE
I
Nunavut
Quebec
Alberta
Manitoba
Yukon
AverageDo
wnloa
dSpeeds,M
b/s Urban
Rural
Source: CIRA Factbook: https://cira.ca/factbook/canada’s-internet-factbook-2018
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Broadband in the EATC Region: 7.9%• In December, 2017, the CRTC declared Internet as a basic service with a minimal
(residential) objective of 50 Mb/s down and 10 Mb/s up.• Across the EATC region, the new (minimal) CRTC broadband objective of 50 Mb/s
down by 10 Mb/s up is met in only 17 of the 199 communities – 7.9%.
Craig Dobson 8
Source: Taylor Warwick Analysis
0
5
10
15
20
Bonn
yvill
e
Lac
La B
iche
Lam
ont
Min
burn
Smok
y La
ke
St. P
aul
Thor
hild
Two
Hill
s
Verm
ilion
Riv
er
Beav
er
Cam
rose
Flag
staf
f
Pain
tear
th
Wai
nwrig
ht
Cypr
ess
Fort
y M
ile
New
ell
Aca
dia
SA 2
SA 3
SA 4
Alberta HUB BRAED PEP
Num
ber o
f Com
mun
ities
Counties in the Eastern Alberta Trade Corridor
Don't Meet CRTC BB Objective
Meet CRTC BB Objective
A quarter to half of the population declines in the rural areas of the US is attributable to poor or no broadband access.
– BBC Magazine / US Auditor General
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Who’s Problem is It?
Source: Scooters
Jennifer Massig 9
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
A Municipal Responsibility
As a utility, broadband becomes a municipal responsibility:– The key to Vibrant, Sustainable Communities, similar to safe roads and clean
drinking water.– Essential addition to your community’s overall utility plan and vision.– From young families looking for economically viable opportunities, to your
community historians who are in need of basic digital skills to carry out their daily routines, there is a digital gap that today’s municipalities are going to need to address.
– Long-Game (Municipal) vs the Short-Game (incumbent)
Some initial considerations:– Technology – What type of technology works for your community?– Ownership – Who will own and maintain the infrastructure?– Service Provision – Who will provide services over the infrastructure?– Business Model – What will be the revenue/cost model to support your
broadband system?.
Jennifer Massig 10
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Options to Enhance Broadband
• There are a range of options available to communities interested in helping to facilitate enhancing broadband services. To best address Strathcona’s requirements, the focus here is on a do-it-yourself (DIY) community fibre network approach. Note that this does not exclude working with private sector partners to make it so.
– Status Quo– Incremental:
• Work with your neighbours…• Deal with fires as they occur• Embed fibre network requirements in planning processes• Accelerate currently planned IT infrastructure deployment• Leverage the civil infrastructure projects• Develop a Broadband Services Strategic plan
– Negotiate with current providers• Work with the providers – Shaw, TELUS, Axia, CCI, O-Net, …• Subsidize a private partner
– Develop a utility community fibre network• Assume fibre as a utility play and deploy a network as critical civic infrastructure• Decisions on governance, business model, financing, services, and operations will be required, but
– Other than that, you and your council can be as involved, or not, as you wish as– Options range from in-sourced to turn-key outsourced deployment of operations and services
– Together or separate?
Communities across Alberta are considering an open-access utility
network solution.
Craig Dobson 11
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Community Broadband• Community Broadband has many advantages over Private Networks
– Survival of rural communities• Private enterprise will not service smaller communities and rural areas• Regional community broadband solutions can
– Capital efficiency• Deploying one network is 2 to 3 times more capital efficient that multiple private networks.
With this efficiency, more capable networks can be deployed more deeply into rural areas
– Connectivity infrastructure – multiple access networks supporting 80 Gb/s services• Required for traditional Internet to enable access to global assets, increased business
efficiency, and disruptive entrepreneurship• Going forward, it’s required to support advanced wireless access, autonomous vehicles,
management of water, wastewater, gas, and power networks, security and emergency services, smart agriculture and the Internet-of-Things – to which billions of sensors will be connected over the next few years.
– Services-based competition• With the network off the table, service providers can
compete on the basis of innovative services, affordability, and customer service.
– Social mandate issues• Communities can ensure the most bandwidth for the least cost vs the least bandwidth for
the most cost.
Craig Dobson 12
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Harvard / Berkman Studies
Harvard Study Shows Why Big Telecom Is Terrified of Community-Run BroadbandCommunity-owned internet service providers are cheaper and better.Karl BodeJan 12 2018, 9:00am
Harvard’s latest study found that community-owned broadband networks are not only consistently cheaper than traditional private networks, but pricing for broadband service also tends to be notably more transparent, more consistent, and less confusing.
Harvard’s earlier study found that running an open access network (where multiple ISPs can come in and compete) usually dramatically ramps up this competition. In fact, [the study] found that open access networks routinely result in lower prices and better service. The more competition, the better the service, faster the speeds, and lower the rates.
Source: Motherboard; 2018-01-12
Craig Dobson 13
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Regional Studies
Craig Dobson 14
REDI
PREDALSLEA
CRP
BRAED
CAEP
Alberta
SWSouth
-Grow
PEP
GrowthHUB
NADC
NADC
Completed Underway
CAEPBRAED
AGORA
Big Lakes
Smoky River
VRRA
South
-Grow
PEP,
et al
EATC EATC
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Moving Forward
• In the past, communities considering their options would start with a Business Case to obtain a high level view of the options and financials
– Moving forward can then be done in steps with increasing detail.• Recently a number of interesting alternatives have emerged and an initial
evaluation is needed to see which, if any, might be applicable and worth pursuing…
Craig Dobson 15
FeasibilityAssessment
Community Enablement
Implementation Plan DeploymentOperational
Partnerships
Deployment Track
Business Case Business PlanMaster
Infrastructure Plan
Evaluation Track
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting
Emerging Infrastructure Alternatives• ATCO
– ATCO is actively evaluating the opportunity to potentially leverage its infrastructure to provide fibre connectivity to ruralcommunities.
– The business models under which this may be done are being evaluated– ATCO will likely either do this on a provincial scale, or not at all
– Brian Krest from ATCO will likely let us know where ATCO is at with this.
• Gas Pipeline Technology– Some years ago, the technology to place fibre inside active
pipelines was developed in the US and then picked up inEurope. The technology, however, was not implemented.
– The technology is now being investigated for potential testing and deployment in Alberta by the Federation of Gas Coops.
– If the results are positive, the opportunity here would be significant.– One of next speakers was involved in some of these discussions and may shed
some additional light on this.
Craig Dobson 16
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Connect Mobility
• In partnership with Rigstar and Hook’d, this spring Connect willbe introducing a new wireless technology into Canada.
• Their new wi-fi device will cover the same area as six of today’s units• The network will be offered on a Network-As-A-Service (NAAS) basis.
Craig Dobson 17
Range Signal Integrity Security Intelligence
2,000
active
users
600’
2,000’* High
Low WPA2/3
WPA2/3 +
Packet
Inspection
Basic
Analytics
Dynamic Resource
Alloc., Power Mgmt,
Adaptive to Environ.
Unit Cost
Associated users on multiple wireless VLANS*Range for internal antenna; external antenna can range upwards of 15 miles
$20
$4
500
active
users
Active User CostCapacity
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Mage Networks• Mage Networks offers a system with ‘pipeline’ capa-
bility that can customize coverage to cover difficult areas.
Craig Dobson 18
Traditional Network MagiNet™
CapacityMax. 150 Mbps, divided among 3 sectors, since the spectrum interference is limiting. Declines rapidly with distance from the tower.
Whatever the ISP Chooses; limited only by number of data pipelines initiating from a single point. This depends on topography only, as Mage can follow any route. Adaptable and scalable with usage.
CoverageHigh hills, towers or buildings are needed as mounting areas. Obstacles, valleys and foliage cause issues.
Ability to access behind and around obstacles; bypasses dense foliage; can reach 100% of users.
Range Limited by signal degradation. No degradation for data pipeline. 20 kilometers have been tested without degradation.
DeployabilityPermits needed for tower construction, professionals needed to wire, install and test equipment. 12 – 18 months needed to deploy average network.
Low skill to install simple mounting kits on any type of building. Can connect to any type of input (internet). Can connect to any kind of client/receiving, including an Ethernet (cable net- work). 2 – 5 weeks to deploy average network.
Usability Skilled trades-people and network managers are needed to maintain, track, and repair.
Very basic, low-skilled labour needed to maintain network. Speed and data usage can be monitored remotely.
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Recommendations
Broadband networks rank among the most important infrastructure assets of our time—for purposes of economic development and competitiveness, innovation,
workforce preparedness, healthcare, education, democratic discourse, and environmental sustainability –
San Francisco Broadband Project
• The advantages are many and varied. Only with control of this infrastructure can the communities ensure its policy objectives of inclusion, equity, and opportunity are available to all.
• What you can do today:– Develop broadband friendly policies– Incorporate broadband into your plans and leverage development
projects– Think and Work Regionally– Advocacy and Awareness for Stakeholders
Craig Dobson 19
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2019 © Taylor Warwick Consulting Craig Dobson 20
Thank You!
Craig [email protected](780) 669-1605
http://www.taylorwarwick.ca/
Questions &Further Discussion