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Building resilience to a changing climate in the South Australian Murray-Darling Basin Workshop 1 – Loxton 1 November 2013

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Page 1: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Building resilience to

a changing climate in

the South Australian

Murray-Darling Basin

Workshop 1 – Loxton

1 November 2013

Page 2: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Project Team

• Dr Mark Siebentritt

• Ms Nicole Halsey

• Professor Wayne Meyer

• Mr Craig Clifton

• Dr Mark Stafford Smith et al.

Page 3: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Overview

• Why and how?

• What influences viability of sectors?

• What does climate change mean for the • What does climate change mean for the region?

• Values and governance

• Next steps

Page 4: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

1. Why and how?

Page 5: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Why?

Page 6: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

How?

Page 7: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

How?

Page 8: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

How?

Page 9: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

How?

Page 10: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Opportunities

Managing risk

Resilience

Managing risk Partnerships

Page 11: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Building on existing learnings

• Solid foundation of past projects

• Local knowledge and experience

• What does it tell us?

We have sufficient knowledge to act, • We have sufficient knowledge to act,

we need to identify and prioritise action

Page 12: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Build on existing knowledge

LOCAL KNOW HOW

We have sufficient knowledge to act; we need to identify and prioritise adaptation options

LOCAL KNOW HOW

Page 13: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Objective and aims

Implement adaptation planning and build momentum

for a collaborative approach in addressing climate

change risks

The project aims include :

a) Building a higher level of understanding of the Cut through a) Building a higher level of understanding of the

adaptive capacity of the region

b) A more coordinated approach to planning for and

managing climate change

c) A contribution to emergency risk management

d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners

to work together to identify risks and opportunities

e) Build a greater degree of understanding of the

work already completed in the region and whom

within the region should undertake this work

Cut through

Motivate people

to act

Relevant now

Look for

opportunity

Page 14: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Process

1. Viability and values

2. Impacts and adaptive capacity

TODAY

3. Assessing and prioritising adaptation options

4. Adaptation plan

Page 15: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

2. What influences the viability of

sectors in the region?sectors in the region?

Page 16: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build
Page 17: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build
Page 18: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

When to

plant a crop

Buy a tractor

????

Buy new land

Maintain

roads

Access to

export

markets

Page 19: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Decisions and their lifetimes

Today’s decisions

must account for how

long their effects will be felt

Stafford Smith et al, PhilTransRoySoc 2011 (after Jones & McInnes 2004)Stafford Smith et al, PhilTransRoySoc 2011 (after Jones & McInnes 2004)

Page 20: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Eyre Peninsula

Page 21: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Eyre Peninsula

Page 22: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Question:

What influences the viability of your

sector?sector?

Page 23: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

3. What does climate change

mean for the region?mean for the region?

Page 24: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

4. Understanding knowledge,

values and governance

structures in the region structures in the region

Page 25: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

values

The context for decision

making: Values, rules

and knowledge

knowledge rules

decisions

Adapted from Gorddard 2013

Page 26: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

5. Next steps

Page 27: Building resilience to a changing climate - Workshop 1 ... · d) Build collaboration and desire for regional partners to work together to identify risks and opportunities e) Build

Assessing vulnerability and

resilience

• Select indicators

• Potential impact:

– Exposure

– Sensitivity– Sensitivity

• Adaptive capacity

• Provides a measure of vulnerability