business journal for the mattress...
TRANSCRIPT
| 36 BedTimes June 2012 www.bedtimesmagazine.com
According to the numbers, 2011 was a good year for the
U.S. mattress industry, with unit shipments, dollar val-
ues and average unit selling prices registering increas-
es—a trend that began in 2010 and an indication that
economic recovery, albeit slow, is finally under way.
Numbers. They often bring into focus insights that words
sometimes don’t tell us. That’s why this month’s cover story is a
presentation of economic analyses, comprising more than a dozen
graphic displays of fresh industry data and
vivid signposts that highlight recent bench-
marks, performance and trends in mattress
manufacturing.
The chart below, for example, shows the in-
dustry’s dramatic periods of growth beginning
2001 and the downturn it suffered during
the Great Recession. On the following pages,
you’ll find quantitative snapshots of both
U.S. and international productivity, including
mattress imports and exports, as well as an
overview of the mattress market in seven lead-
ing industrialized countries. In addition, this
report includes supplemental information to
help put the numbers in perspective.
The majority of the material was drawn
from the International Sleep Products Asso-
ciation’s recently released 2011 Mattress Industry Report of Sales
and Trends, including both statistical data and analysis. In addi-
tion, there’s research from CSIL Milano, the Centre for Industrial
Studies, and analysis by furniture industry expert Jerry Epperson
of Mann, Armistead & Epperson Ltd.
—Compiled by Mary Best, BedTimes managing editor,
and designed by Stephanie Belcher, BedTimes art director
-12%
-9%
-6%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
Annual growth of mattress and foundation shipments from year to year
20062005200420032002
0.7%
4.2%
2.4%
7.8%
3.2%
12.1%
6.2%
12%
-1.4%
4.7%
A VISUAL Guide to the BEDDING Biz
www.bedtimesmagazine.com June 2012 BedTimes 37 |
n U.S. mattress and foundation shipments
Dollar value Units shipped Average unit selling price (U.S. $ millions) (thousands) Shipments 2010 2011 % chg 2010 2011 % chg 2010 2011 % chg
Mattresses $4,596.7 $5,029.2 9.2% 19,257.3 19,452.6 1.0% $238.70 $258.54 8.3%
Innerspring $3,439.0 $3,529.9 2.6% 17,100.7 16,771.6 -1.9% $201.10 $210.47 4.7%
Noninnerspring $1,157.7 $1,499.3 29.6% 2,156.6 2,681.0 24.3% $536.80 $559.23 4.2%
Foundations $1,296.3 $1,319.8 1.8% 15,539.9 15,426.9 -0.7% $83.42 $85.55 2.6%
Total $5,893.0 $6,349.0 7.7% 34,797.2 34,879.5 0.2% $169.35 $182.03 7.5%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
n Unit shipments n Dollar value of shipments
-2.1%
1.4%
-11%
-9.1%-8.6%
-9.4%
6.2%
4.1%
0.2%
7.7%
Source: ISPA
Note: Includes contract and residential products. Excludes futons, crib mattresses and dual-purpose mattress inserts. Noninnerspring includes foam (all types), air, mattresses
incorporated in hybrid-type flotation and electric adjustable ensembles.
‘For all the well-documented reasons, mattress sales continue to
do well and we expect this to continue for the foreseeable future.
Innovation, exciting new products, health issues, respected
consumer brands and excellent press all help.’
—Jerry Epperson, managing director of Mann, Armistead & Epperson Ltd.
| 38 BedTimes June 2012 www.bedtimesmagazine.com
Share of mattress market Share of mattress market by value* by units**
Retail price points 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011
Less than $500 20.1% 22.1% 19.1% 42.6% 46.2% 42.5%
$500-$1,000 36.1% 32.4% 33.6% 39.0% 33.9% 36.7%
$1,000-$2,000 25.4% 26.7% 29.2% 13.8% 14.7% 15.8%
$2,000 and higher 18.4% 18.8% 18.1% 4.6% 5.2% 5.0%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Percent of industry participating in survey 70.3% 71.2% 72.8% 62.9% 62% 63%
2006 2008 2010
Bedding specialty stores 41% 42% 43%
Furniture stores 39% 39% 38%
Department stores 6% 5% 5%
Direct-to-consumer 5% 5% 5%
Warehouse clubs 4% 5% 5%
Other 3% 3% 3%
Factory direct 2% 1% 1%
n Share of mattress market merchandised at queen retail price points
Source: ISPA * This represents a limited sample (dollars) of total industry shipments. Each category is based on the number of bedding sets manufactured to be merchandised at specific retail price points using queen sets as the price-point benchmark.** This represents a limited sample (units) of total industry shipments. Each category is based on the number of bedding sets manufactured to be merchandised at specific retail price points using queen sets as the price-point benchmark.
n Bedding sales by retail distribution channel
Source: Furniture/Today market researchThe direct-to-consumer channel includes sales through the Internet, television, home shopping networks and via telemarketing.The “other” channel includes sales through furniture rental stores, discount department stores, off-price retailers and military exchanges, among others.
‘Mattress sales are healthy with
year-over-year gains in both units
and average selling price. The increase in
selling price is being driven by unit-share
gains for the noninnerspring category.
Pricing is likely to remain healthy as
noninnerspring unit share expands,
helped by new product introductions.’
—Goldman Sachs, Forbes.com, April 18
n Percentage of innerspring mattresses shipped by size 2011
Queen38.3%
Twin24.9%
Full 18.3%
King10.6%
Odd sizes4.1%
Twin XL1.7%
CaliforniaKing1.3%
Full XL0.8%
The growth of
noninnerspring mattresses
continued in 2011 with
unit shipments jumping
24.3% and the dollar value
rising 29.6% over 2010.
Source: ISPA
ISPA statistics are a key member benefit
Members of the International Sleep Products Association report that one of the most valuable of their member benefits is access to an array of statistical reports. Here’s a look at what’s
available from ISPA:n Mattress Industry Report of Sales and Trends. Published each
spring, this annual report provides comprehensive current and 20-year historical data and analysis of the U.S. and international mattress industry in terms of unit shipments, sales revenues and average unit selling prices. The report puts numbers into context with commentary on issues facing the mattress industry and data on econometric factors that influence mattress sales. It’s free to members.
n Mattress Industry Forecast. Published at least twice a year, the forecast provides a tool that companies can use in preparing their busi-ness plans. The forecast projects mattress unit shipments and dollar values for the current year and succeeding two-year period. It’s free for members.
n Bedding Barometer. The Bedding Barometer presents monthly, quarterly and year-to-date U.S. sales activity for 18 participating mat-tress producers that represent about 45% of the market by unit ship-ments and 55% by the wholesale dollar value of those shipments. It’s free for members.
n Cost Survey. This annual report includes an industry summary of manufacturing and operating expense ratios, net sales and profit ratios, data presented by volume categories and geographic regions for easy comparison, and charts and graphics that show how company trends compare with industry averages over time. It’s free to ISPA member companies who participate in the survey and includes a personalized, confidential company report for comparison. An industry summary is available to nonparticipating members for $500.
n Wage Survey. The Wage Survey allows companies to see how they compare with the larger industry regarding average earnings, employee longevity, employment practices, fringe benefits, union contracts, out-sourcing and more. Participants in ISPA’s Wage Survey receive a confi-dential report customized for their company free of charge. Other ISPA members may purchase the nonconfidential industry data for $500.
n CSIL World Mattress Industry Report. In partnership with CSIL Milano, the Centre for Industrial Studies, ISPA oVers this report of detailed import and export trends for the largest mattress manufac-turing countries, along with international trade analysis for additional countries. The report is included in ISPA’s Mattress Industry Report of
Sales and Trends. For more information about these reports or about becoming an
ISPA member, contact Jane Oseth, ISPA manager of member services and statistics, at [email protected] or 703-683-8371.
www.bedtimesmagazine.com June 2012 BedTimes 39 |
n Percentage of U.S. mattress and foundation shipments by region 2010-2011
Dollar value of shipments Unit shipments
20.6%
North
Central
15.2%
Northeast
42%
South
22.2%
West
20.8%
North
Central
14.9%
Northeast
45.8%
South
18.5%
West
All regions of the
United States
enjoyed value
increases while unit
shipments registered
slight decreases
in some regions in
2011.Northeast
South
North Central
West
Source: ISPA
| 40 BedTimes June 2012 www.bedtimesmagazine.com
Export value ($1,000s) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Canada $52,176 $67,234 $58,481 $65,385 $82,899% change 6.3% 28.9% -13.0% 11.8% 26.8%
Mexico $6,441 $7,779 $11,129 $13,545 $5,886% change 25.1% 20.8% 43.1% 21.7% -56.5%
Japan $13,410 $7,887 $6,734 $3,052 $3,042% change -18.0% -41.2% -14.6% -54.7% -0.3%
Australia $4,154 $4,940 $3,466 $2,141 $3,153% change -14.8% 18.9% -29.8% -38.2% -47.3%
Taiwan $4,119 $3,623 $3,358 $2,872 $2,970% change 27.3% -12.0% -7.3% -14.5% 3.4%
Germany $1,274 $1,338 $1,684 $1,190 $4,469% change -59.1% 5.0% 25.9% -29.3% 275.5%
Other countries $23,655 $27,502 $18,979 $26,035 $24,755% change -1.0% 16.3% -31.0% 37.2% -4.9%
Total exports $105,229 $120,303 $103,831 $114,220 $127,174% change -0.5% 14.3% -13.7% 10.0% 11.3%
n U.S. imports & exportsU.S. exports of mattresses and foundations by largest countries
n U.S. imports & exportsU.S. exports of mattresses and foundations by largest countries
Export units 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Canada 451,756 568,334 495,158 505,220 621,439% change 8.3% 25.8% -12.9% 2.0% 23.0%
Mexico 64,979 88,673 107,150 125,051 58,601% change -4.1% 36.5% 20.8% 16.7% -53.1%
Japan 62,261 47,394 38,177 29,948 33,048% change -21.3% -23.9% -19.4% -21.6% 10.4%
Australia 27,848 28,572 27,041 25,067 24,773% change 18.4% 2.6% -5.4% -7.3% -1.2%
Taiwan 18,799 18,930 21,242 18,577 15,504% change 49.5% 0.7% 12.2% -12.5% -16.5%
Germany 9,085 7,220 10,359 6,979 21,372% change -71.7% -20.5% 43.5% -32.6% 206.2%
Other countries 201,974 190,783 125,026 187,995 166,141% change -35.6% -5.5% -34.5% 50.4% -11.6%
Total exports 786,394 949,906 824,153 898,837 940,878% change -4.1% 20.8% -13.2% 9.1% 4.7%
Source: U.S. International Trade CommissionNote: Includes mattress supports (Harmonized Tariff Schedule 94041), mattresses of cellular rubber or plastics (HTS 940421) and mattresses of other than cellular rubber or plastics (HTS 940429).
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| 42 BedTimes June 2012 www.bedtimesmagazine.com
Import value ($1,000s) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
China $86,454 $74,908 $89,849 $137,741 $136,267
% change -3.9% -13.4% 19.9% 53.3% -1.1%
Mexico $49,372 $75,404 $57,637 $89,582 $90,322% change -2.0% 52.7% -23.6% 55.4% 0.8%
Canada $29,421 $25,393 $21,775 $26,852 $25,197% change -34.5% -13.7% -14.2% 23.3% -6.2%
Sweden $6,985 $6,469 $639 $2,897 $2,545% change 43.8% -7.4% -90.1% 353.4% -12.2%
Spain $1,827 $1,753 $456 $2,657 $2,193% change 55.1% -4.1% -74.0% 482.7% -17.5%
Dominican Republic $644 $1,196 $2,335 $1,953 $678% change -50.8% 85.7% 95.2% -16.4% -65.3%
Other countries $18,341 $13,972 $12,741 $12,030 $13,602% change 179.7% -23.8% -8.8% -5.6% -13.1%
Total imports $193,044 $199,095 $185,432 $273,712 $270,804% change -11.1% 3.1% -6.9% 47.6% -1.1%
U.S. imports & exportsU.S. imports of mattresses and foundations by largest countries
Innerspring and noninnerspring mattressesPercentage of value of production
United States
Brazil
Italy
Canada
Germany
France
United Kingdom
Spain
Mexico
NetherlandsBelgium
Sweden
Denmark
Switzerland
Portugal
Austria
Ireland
Sources: ISPA, Eurostat, CSIL MilanoNote: Map is not to scale. Innerspring Noninnerspring
www.bedtimesmagazine.com June 2012 BedTimes 43 |
U.S. imports & exportsU.S. imports of mattresses and foundations by largest countries
Import units 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
China 1,614,897 1,026,407 1,280,310 1,641,312 1,552,730% change -26.2% -36.4 24.7% 28.2% -5.4%
Mexico 688,702 878,464 664,289 948,384 936,669% change 0.2% 27.6% -24.4% 42.8% -1.2%
Canada 371,889 175,005 263,798 274,915 286,989% change -6.3% -52.9% 50.7% 4.2% 4.4%
Sweden 22,177 25,796 9,379 7,305 7,058% change 151.8% 16.3% -63.6% -22.1% -3.4%
Spain 7,386 4,294 2,932 90,395 117,973% change -19.0% -41.9% -31.7% 2983.0% 30.5%
Dominican Republic 29,188 16,695 18,200 44,480 21,309% change 36.4% -42.8% 9.0% 144.4% -52.1%
Other countries 223,359 183,436 202,774 148,149 235,647% change 23.9% -17.9% 10.5% -26.9% 59.1%
Total imports 2,957,598 2,310,097 2,441,682 3,154,940 3,158,375% change -19.3 -21.9% 5.7% 29.2% 0.1%
Source: U.S. International Trade CommissionNote: Includes mattress supports (Harmonized Tariff Schedule 94041), mattresses of cellular rubber or plastics (HTS 940421), mattresses of cotton (HTS 9404291) and mattresses of other materials (HTS 940429909).
Russia
Malaysia
Finland Production Innerspring Non- (U.S.$ millions) innerspring
United States $4,701 75% 25%
Brazil $1,062 15% 85%
Italy $745 33% 67%
Canada $700 80% 20%
Germany $678 38% 62%
France $647 31% 69%
United Kingdom $532 86% 14%
Spain $472 58% 42%
Mexico $416 72% 28%
Russia $335 75% 25%
Belgium $267 36% 64%
Turkey $251 85% 15%
Netherlands $229 84% 16%
Sweden $194 36% 64%
Denmark $193 17% 83%
Switzerland $190 35% 65%
Portugal $108 80% 20%
Malaysia $102 85% 15%
Austria $97 5% 95%
Ireland $41 84% 16%
Finland $20 55% 45%
Total 21 countries $11,981 60% 40%
Total
60%
40%
Turkey
| 44 BedTimes June 2012 www.bedtimesmagazine.com
Production Exports Imports Consumption Population Total GNPCountry (U.S.$ millions) (U.S.$ millions) (U.S.$ millions) (U.S.$ millions) (millions) (U.S.$ billions)
Canada $700 $36 $105 $769 34 $1,423
France $647 $77 $215 $786 63 $2,755
Germany $678 $137 $284 $826 82 $3,485
Italy $745 $211 $78 $612 60 $2,112
Japan $254 $14 $167 $407 128 $4,830
United Kingdom $532 $42 $108 $599 62 $2,567
United States $4,701 $104 $261 $4,858 307 $14,503
Total $8,258 $621 $1,218 $8,855 735 $31,675
Year 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Consumer sentiment 77.3 82.8 92.3 92.2 93.6 103.2 104.6 105.8 107.6 89.2
Year 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Consumer sentiment 89.6 87.6 95.2 88.6 87.3 85.6 63.8 66.3 71.8 67.3
n Index of consumer sentiment
‘Americans aren’t cutting back a whole lot. Personal consumption as a share
of gross domestic product is floating along at the highest it has been since
at least 1948, at 71.1%. For comparison, it was way down at 62% as recently
as the early 1980s.’—Peter Coy, Bloomberg Businessweek, May 7
n Overview of the world mattress market in 7 major industrial countries
Sources: CSIL Milano, World BankNote: Consumption means apparent consumption at production prices, excluding markup.Mattresses data are for 2010. Apparent consumption = production - exports + imports.Population and GNP data for 2009 from the World Development Indicators 2010.
CSIL Milano forecasts $3.18
billion (U.S.) of mattresses will
be traded between 60 countries
in 2012.
n International trade of mattresses between 60 countriesCurrent U.S.$ millions
Source: CSIL Milano* Forecasts
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012*
$3,182
$2,919
$2,678
$2,444
$2,767
$2,437
$1,967
$1,700
$1,424
$1,140
$892$796
Source: University of Michigan (1966 =100)