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  • 8/9/2019 Carbon Ebitda Strategy Completed 100607 002

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    GIN 2010 Conference

    Carbon Ebitda Strategy

    Generating Performance with Lower than Averaged GHG Emissions

    Presented byYoungjae Ryu(CEO, Sustinvest Research & Consultancy)

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting

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    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 2

    US $ 2.2Trillion

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    UN report tells us

    According to the UN Report conducted by Trucost, Worlds top firms

    cause $2.2tn of environmental damage in 2008 The figure accounts for one-third of profit firms made in 2008

    More than half of$2.2tn was caused by GHG emission

    What if firms were forced to pay for use, loss and damage ofenvironment ? One-third of their profit would be lost

    How does investor integrate the risk into investment process ? Quantitative data on environment impact is severely needed

    (Source : The Guardian Newspaper, 18th Feb. 2010)

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 3

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    TRUCOST METHODOLOGY OVERVIEW

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 4

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    Measuring Company Environmental Impacts

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 5

    Financial andSegmentalAnalysis

    InitialProfile

    Disclosureand PublicRegisters

    CompanyProfile

    464Environmental

    Activity Profiles

    Identify company

    activities and assignrevenue to sectors

    Produce company

    profile withquantities of 700

    resources and

    emissions

    Analyze company

    disclosures foractual impact data

    Calculate direct

    and indirectenvironmental

    impacts

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    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 6

    Financial and

    Segmental Analysis

    Initial

    Profile

    Disclosure

    and Public Registers

    Company

    Profile

    464 EnvironmentalActivity Profiles

    Modeling env.impacts Developed unique methodology based on an input-output

    model to calculate companys env. impact Extensive studies of industries to identify the quantities of

    over 700 env. Indicators

    Trucost calculates env. Impact of 464 industries, based on

    the North American Industrial Classification System(NAICS)

    Trucost produces environmental profiles All companies have impact on environment through their

    operations and supply chain Trucosts profile provides quantitative data on companys

    environmental impact

    Many companies do not disclose their env. impacts in

    quantitative terms

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    Identify company activities and assign revenue to sectors

    Break down and assign company activities into 464 sectors

    Use data from FactSet and company accounts to identify segmental

    revenue data and map each company to a set of sectors

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 7

    Financial and

    Segmental Analysis

    Initial

    Profile

    Disclosure

    and Public Registers

    Company

    Profile

    464 EnvironmentalActivity Profiles

    Oil and Gas Utilities: Power GenerationCrude petroleum and natural gas extraction Hydroelectric

    Natural gas liquid extraction Coal

    Drilling activities for oil and gas operation Natural Gas

    Support activities for oil and gas operations Petroleum

    Tar sands extraction Nuclear

    Petroleum refineries Solar

    Industrial gas manufacturing Wind

    Petrochemical manufacturing Geothermal

    Petroleum lubricat ing oil and grease manufacturing Wave & Tidal

    Gas stations Biomass

    Natural gas distribution Landfill gas

    Pipeline transportation Other

    All other petroleum and coal products manufacturingpipeline transportation of natural gas

    Power distribution

    Power transmission

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    Financial andSegmental Analysis

    InitialProfile

    Disclosureand PublicRegisters

    CompanyProfile

    464 EnvironmentalActivity Profiles

    Produce company profile with quantities of 700 resources and emissions

    Includes the resources such as water, as well as waste production and pollutants such as

    mercury and GHG emissions.

    The system is consistent with the United Nations Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

    Initial profile includes data from the US Toxic Release Inventory, Federal Statistics Office

    of Germany(Destatis), The UK Environmental Accounts, Japanese Pollution Release and

    Inventory and Canadas National Pollutant Release Inventory

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    Financial andSegmental Analysis

    InitialProfile

    Disclosureand PublicRegisters

    CompanyProfile

    464 EnvironmentalActivity Profiles

    Analyze company disclosures for actual impact data

    Review and incorporate publicly disclosed data into the profile

    Standardize the quantities of resources used or pollutants emitted using metric tones

    or cubic meters to allow for direct comparison across companies, industrial sectors and

    geographies

    Companies are given the opportunity to review and verify their data

    Companies can easily verify their data through Trucosts on-line system

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    Financial andSegmental Analysis

    InitialProfile

    Disclosureand PublicRegisters

    CompanyProfile

    464 EnvironmentalActivity Profiles

    Calculate direct and indirect environmental impacts

    The quantity of profile of a company is calculated and a damage cost is applied to

    each resource and emission to generate an external environmental cost profile.

    The costs represent the quantities of natural resources used or pollutants emitted

    multiplied by their environmental damage costs to society

    External costs are incurred whenever a natural resource is used or emissions are made to

    air, land or water

    Valuing environmental impacts

    Price the damage that is done to society and human capital by pollutants and natural

    resource use, including quantifying associated with health costs

    By applying a price to each environmental resource, based on the environmental impact of

    that resource, the model is able to analyze, in financial terms, the productivity and

    environmental performance of each sector

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    CARBON PORTFOLIO STRATEGY

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 11

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    Sustinvest applied T/C into Korean company

    Sustinvest made partnership with Trucost in 2009

    Established DB of Env. impact on 250 Korean companies, using the Trucosts

    input-output model

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 12

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    Carbon Ebitda Strategy

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 13

    No NegativeScreening!

    Carbon Ebitda Strategy uses screening process based on GHGemissions of a company relative to other companies in the same

    sector

    Carbon Ebitda Strategy applies the Ebitda selection

    factors to companies that have been pre-filtered for

    lower carbon emissions

    The bulk of CO2 emission is concentrated in a few

    sectors, such as power companies, material manufacture

    etc. Excluding the sectors from the portfolio(negative

    screening) would cause significant tracking error

    relative to the benchmark

    The Carbon Ebitda Strategy adopts a best of the class

    approach by allowing only the stocks with lower CO2Emission stocks in each sector to be eligible for selection

    by the Ebitda performance

    Carbon Ebitda Strategy was developed, referring to CROCI Carbon Strategy conducted

    by Deutsche Bank

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    Objectives

    Selection of companies with lower greenhouse gas emissions in each sector,

    reducing the intensity of the greenhouse gas emissions

    Apply Ebitda/Total Asset selection process within the lower CO2 emitting stocks

    to generate performance

    Historically, the Ebitda/Total Asset process has outperformed the benchmark

    Although the emissions screening has had a modest effect on performance,

    it has significantly reduced greenhouse gas emissions of the porffolio

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 14

    Objective: Lower emissions and outperformance relative to the benchmark

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    Selection Process

    200 stocks selected from KOSPI200

    Stocks filtered according to carbon

    emission(CO2 Equivalents/Revenue),

    with only those with below sector

    median emissions

    Top 50 selected on Ebitda/TA ratio

    Portfolio weighted according to market

    capitalization

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 15

    KOSPI200

    100 stocks with below sectorMedian emissions

    50 stocks with highestEbitda/TA

    Stocks weighted byMarket Capitalization

    * Ebitda=Earning before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and

    Amortization

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    Historical Performance Analysis(I)

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 17

    0.000

    0.200

    0.400

    0.600

    0.800

    1.000

    1.200

    1.400

    1.600

    1.800

    2007/04/30

    2007/05/29

    2007/06/26

    2007/07/24

    2007/08/21

    2007/09/17

    2007/10/18

    2007/11/14

    2007/12/11

    2008/01/11

    2008/02/12

    2008/03/10

    2008/04/04

    2008/05/06

    2008/06/03

    2008/07/01

    2008/07/28

    2008/08/25

    2008/09/22

    2008/10/20

    2008/11/14

    2008/12/11

    2009/01/12

    2009/02/10

    2009/03/09

    2009/04/03

    2009/04/30

    2009/05/29

    2009/06/25

    2009/07/22

    2009/08/18

    2009/09/14

    2009/10/12

    2009/11/06

    2009/12/03

    2010/01/04

    2010/01/29

    2010/02/26

    2010/03/26

    2010/04/22

    KOSPI200

    Carbon50

    56.8%

    14.3%

    Time period: 30-April-07 ~ 30-April-10

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    Historical Performance Analysis(II)

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 18

    0.000

    0.200

    0.400

    0.600

    0.800

    1.000

    1.200

    1.400

    1.600

    1.800

    2007/04/30

    2007/05/31

    2007/07/02

    2007/08/01

    2007/08/31

    2007/10/05

    2007/11/05

    2007/12/04

    2008/01/08

    2008/02/11

    2008/03/11

    2008/04/10

    2008/05/14

    2008/06/13

    2008/07/14

    2008/08/12

    2008/09/11

    2008/10/14

    2008/11/12

    2008/12/11

    2009/01/14

    2009/02/16

    2009/03/17

    2009/04/15

    2009/05/18

    2009/06/16

    2009/07/15

    2009/08/13

    2009/09/11

    2009/10/13

    2009/11/11

    2009/12/10

    2010/01/13

    2010/02/11

    2010/03/16

    2010/04/14

    Ebitda 55

    KOSPI200

    Carbon50

    Time period: 30-April-07 ~ 30-April-10

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    Comparison of Risk Profile

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 19

    0.0886

    0.1567

    0.1999

    0.0000

    0.0800

    0.1600

    0.2400

    Sharpe ratio

    1.0000

    0.8567

    0.9770

    0.7200

    0.8000

    0.8800

    0.9600

    1.0400

    Beta

    0.0068

    0.0106

    0.0155

    0.0000

    0.0080

    0.0160

    0.0240

    Treynor

    KOSPI200 Ebitda55 Carbon50

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    Comparison of Carbon Intensity

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 20

    0.00043

    0.00034

    0.00010

    0.00000

    0.00010

    0.00020

    0.00030

    0.00040

    0.00050

    Carbon intensity

    KOSPI200

    Ebitda55

    Carbon50

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    Implications

    Carbon50 Portfolio outperformed respectively KOSPI200 by 42% and Ebitda55 by 20%

    On the other hand, the carbon intensity of carbon50 portfolio lowered that of

    KOSPI200 by 76%

    In terms of risk profile, carbon50 portfolio is less volatile as well as less risky

    Carbon Ebitda Strategy represents excellence in terms of performance, risk profile and

    greenhouse gas emissions

    So, Carbon Ebitda Strategy is strongly recommendable

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 21

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    END OF PRESENTATION

    SUSTINVEST Research & Consulting 22