caribsave: a sectoral approach to vulnerability, resilience and climate change in the caribbean:...

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CARIBSAVE: A SECTORAL APPROACH TO A SECTORAL APPROACH TO VULNERABILITY, RESILIENCE AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN: MONTEGO BAY, JAMAICA 12 May 2009 Dr MURRAY C SIMPSON Dr. MURRAY C. SIMPSON Co-Director CARIBSAVE Partnership Senior Research Associate Senior Research Associate, Oxford University Centre for the Environment

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Page 1: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

CARIBSAVE: A SECTORAL APPROACH TOA SECTORAL APPROACH TO

VULNERABILITY, RESILIENCE AND CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEANCLIMATE CHANGE IN THE CARIBBEAN:

MONTEGO BAY, JAMAICA 12 May 2009

Dr MURRAY C SIMPSONDr. MURRAY C. SIMPSONCo-Director CARIBSAVE Partnership

Senior Research AssociateSenior Research Associate, Oxford University Centre for the Environment

Page 2: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

Caribbean –Major Tourism Vulnerability ‘Hotspot’Major Tourism Vulnerability Hotspot

Regional Knowledge Gaps

Page 3: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

ACS = Geographic scope of CARIBSAVE

Page 4: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

SECTORAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SUSTAINABLE DESTINATIONS & CLIMATE CHANGE

AgricultureWater

Cli t

Transport

Sustainable

Agriculture Climate

InfrastructureSustainableCaribbean Tourism Health

InfrastructureEconomic Development

DestinationsNatural

ResourcesWaste

M tResources

EnergyManagement

Security

Simpson et al 2008a

Page 5: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

Key Issues• Supply • DemandDemand• Livelihoods – Economic Development - GDP

T i D d• Tourism Dependence • Vulnerability (‘Hot Spot’)y ( p )• Knowledge Gap• Fragmented work geography governance• Fragmented – work, geography, governance• Capacity and Data

Page 6: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

• Crucial interdependence: Tourism and ClimateMajor Impacts: Climate Change on Caribbean Tourism Sector

Crucial interdependence: Tourism and Climate… • - national economy, livelihoods, development, environment• Gradual and Extreme• Regulatory policy, voluntary initiatives and costs

Coastal EmphasisCoastal Emphasis• Air temperature• Sea surface temperature

S l l i• Sea level rise • Coastal erosion• Changes in levels of precipitationg p p• Extreme events: increase in intensity and frequency, • - e.g. drought, flood, storm surge, (hurricane)• Seasonality shifts• Seasonality shifts• Loss of Destination Aesthetics

Page 7: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

C ibb C it Cli t Ch C tCaribbean Community Climate Change CentreUniversity of Oxford Association of Caribbean StatesAssociation of Caribbean StatesCaribbean Tourism Organization

• Multi-Sector• Multi-Objective• Multi-Objective• Multi- Donor• USD $35 Million• Links and Compliments ACS – STZC• Long-Term Approach Established - Whole Region

PRACTICAL STRATEGIES• PRACTICAL STRATEGIES• Inclusive and Critical Mass

Page 8: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

e.g. ACS, CTO, CDERA, UNEP, UNWTO, UNDP,

WMO, UNECLAC, CANARI,

e.g. FCO, DFID, WWF, Travel Foundation ,

DANIDA, SMITHSONIAN,

Regional & International Organisations

International Development Organizations and NGOsCARIBSAVE

Partnership, , ,

IIED, CIMH, CHTA, CARICOM, CAST, OECS,

, ,WORLD BANK, IADB,

CIDA, GTZ, SNV, Buccoo Reef Trust

CENTRAL ACTIONGROUP

ACS, CTO, CCCCC, OXFORD UNIVERSITY + REPRESENTATIVES OF

PARTNER ACTIONPARTNER ACTION GROUPS

e.g. All Partner Countries and e.g. CCAA, VIRGIN,

SANDALS, Oil Companies, G Gl b S ti B k

e.g. UWI, TUFTS, UW, Leon, UMA, UNA, Limoge,

W. Norway, Maastricht, C li L d Green Globe, Scotia Bank Carolina, Lund,

Partner Countries and Private Sector

Academic & Research Institutes

Page 9: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

• CARIBSAVE WILL: In the face of climate change, strengthen, protect and enhance the economies and livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoraland livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoral stakeholderswho rely directly and indirectly on the Caribbean tourism industry, and to t th t t d h th t l d b ilt t d tstrengthen, protect and enhance the natural and built assets, and sectors

on which the industry is based.

• Project Objectives:Seven (7) principal objectives of this project….

Page 10: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Simpson

Page 11: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Simpson

Page 12: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Simpson

Page 13: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Buccoo Reef Trust

Page 14: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Buccoo Reef Trust

Page 15: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Simpson

Page 16: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

©Dubois

Page 17: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

• CARIBSAVE WILL: In the face of climate change, strengthen, protect and enhance the economies and livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoraland livelihoods of Caribbean nations and sectoral stakeholderswho rely directly and indirectly on the Caribbean tourism industry, and to t th t t d h th t l d b ilt t d tstrengthen, protect and enhance the natural and built assets, and sectors

on which the industry is based.

• Project Objectives:Seven (7) principal objectives of this project….

Page 18: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES1. Model and predict the changes on Caribbean Tourism S t i l ti l d d ti ti l lSector - regional, national and destinational scale.

2. To Assess the vulnerability, resilience and adaptive capacity of the Tourism Sector - nations and destinations –strategies and policiesstrategies and policies.

Page 19: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES3. Evaluate the impacts on tourism and livelihoods region, nations and destinations - sectoral basis:

– Water; – Energy– Agriculture,

Human Health;– Human Health; – Biodiversity,– Infrastructure– Comprehensive Disaster Management

Page 20: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES 4. Socio-economic analysis of the costs and risks inc. costs of benefits of emission reduction

5 EFFECTIVE d PRACTICAL d t ti d iti ti5. EFFECTIVE and PRACTICAL adaptation and mitigationstrategies DEVELOPMENT and IMPLEMENTATION - regional, localDEVELOPMENT and IMPLEMENTATION regional, local and national policy and strategies

Page 21: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

CARIBSAVE OBJECTIVES 6. Transition of the Caribbean to World’s first ‘Carbon Neutral’ Tourism RegionNeutral Tourism Region

7. Sectoral based capacity building seminars throughout the Caribbean region for all stakeholders including community outreach focuscommunity outreach focus.

Page 22: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

FundingBUDGET $35 Million (Initial approx 5 Years)

Seed Funding Stage

1. UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)

2. Caribbean Tourism Organization (CTO

3. UK Department for International Development (DFID)

4. World Bank

Page 23: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

Seed Funding Stage: Outputs

• Output 1: Model and predict the changes in climateOutput 1: Model and predict the changes in climate as they will affect the Caribbean Tourism Sector on destinational scale.destinational scale.

• Output 2: Assess the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of the Tourism Sector in the selectedcapacity of the Tourism Sector in the selected destinationsOutput 3: Two Symposia (Oxford Uni and Caribbean)• Output 3: Two Symposia (Oxford Uni. and Caribbean)

• Output 4: Website Development

Page 24: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

Seed Funding Stage: Pilot GoalsSeed Funding Stage: Pilot Goals

• Destinational Climate Processes Data and Graphicsp• Destination Vulnerability Profile• Adaptive Capacity Assessment• Adaptive Capacity Assessment • Adaptation and Mitigation Strategy Documents

Practical Links between Sectors• Practical Links between Sectors• Capacity Building • Consensus Building• CARIBSAVE Partnership Development

Page 25: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

ACTION – NOW

Interdisciplinary Approach – Unique and Innovative

• Climate Science• Physical Impacts and Vulnerability• Tourism & Related Sector Impacts & VulnerabilityTourism & Related Sector Impacts & Vulnerability• Stakeholder, Socio-Economic, Livelihood and Gender

Impacts and VulnerabilitiesImpacts and VulnerabilitiesWater – Energy – Agriculture – Health – Biodiversity – Infrastructure –

C h i Di t M tComprehensive Disaster Management

Page 26: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

• Cross-sectoral - Inter-ministerial, • Regional and International • Cooperation and Collaboration is requiredCooperation and Collaboration is required

(Actually it’s Essential!!!)

Page 27: CARIBSAVE: A Sectoral Approach to vulnerability, Resilience and Climate Change in the Caribbean: Jamaica

‘F I O ti i t‘For me, I am an Optimist…for there seems little point in anything else’Winston Churchill

THANK YOUTHANK YOU

i @ [email protected]

www.geog.ox.ac.uk/news/events/ccamts/ccamts.pdf