carta de codelco
TRANSCRIPT
Codelco Investor
Presentation
April 2014
2
Copyrights © 2010 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.Copyrights © 2011 CODELCO-CHILE. Todos los Derechos Reservados. Copyrights © 2011 by CODELCO-CHILE. All Rights Reserved.
Codelco´s Highlights
Development Plan Update & Outlook
Operating & Financial Review
Industry Overview
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Codelco At a Glance – December 2013
*: Includes 49% share in El Abra and 20% in Anglo American Sur
**: .Includes Anglo American Sur Stock Option Revaluation
Copper Reserves and
Resources(million mft)
Geological Resources 337.2
Mineral Resources 130.7
Reserves (9% of
Total World Reserves)61.2
Financial Results(million US$)
Pre-Tax Profit** 3,889
EBITDA 5,964
EBITDA Margin 39.9%
Credit Ratings
S&P AA- Stable
Moody‟s A1 Negative
Fitch A+ Stable
DBRS A Stable
Production* (thousand mft)
Copper 1,792
World largest copper producer
Molybdenum 23.0
2nd world largest moly producer
World Largest Copper Producer: 10% of Market Share
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Refined Copper 79%
Concentrate 21%- Cathodes 72%
- Anodes/Blister 7%
Sales Breakdown by Region (mft)Sales Breakdown by Product
Copper Sales Breakdown (mft)
US$ millions 2013 %
Copper 13,918 93.1%
Molybdenum 493 3.3%
Other Products
(anodic slimes,
sulfuric acid, etc.)
545 3.6%
Total 14,956 100%
Source: Codelco
Codelco: Sales Breakdown – December 2013
41% 41%
17% 19%
15%18%
12%10%
14% 11%
0% 1%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2013 2012
China Asia (exc. China) Europe
North America South America Oceania
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Codelco´s Highlights
Industry Overview
Development Plan Update & Outlook
Operating & Financial Review
6
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Price above long term average, explained by a strong demand1908-2014*
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
1908 1914 1920 1926 1932 1938 1944 1950 1956 1962 1968 1974 1980 1986 1992 1998 2004 2010
World War I:
military demand
Post-WWII recovery in the US,
European reconstruction,
industrialisation of Japan
Oil crisis
substitution
Emergence of
China and other
Developing
Economies
(*): Year 2014, average up to January 30th.
Note: The red line represents the average cooper price for each cycle
Great Depression
c/lb, 2014
currency
Subprime
crisis
1908-1919 1920-1954 1955-1978 1979-2004
China
new
growth
Pattern
2005 - ?
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Chinese Importance for the World Copper Mining Industry
Sources: Codelco based on different sources
Notes: Projected production per country does include projected disruption
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
1993 2000 2012 2022
China Cu Consumption World Cu Mine Production
943
6,231 6,358
3,592 3,511
6,242
0
1,400
2,800
4,200
5,600
7,000
2000 2012 2022
Marginal Chinese Cu Consumption Marginal World Cu Mine Production
Marginal Chinese Cu Consumption vs Marginal Global Mine Production
China Cu Consumption Evolution vs Global Mine Production
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Besides Fundamentals, Copper Price is Subject to Short
Term Volatility due to Chinese Recent Events
Since March 6, 2014, copper price volatility reflects latest news about China:
Potential slowdown in the Chinese economy, motivated by lower total exports ,
industrial production and others
Possible restrictions on financing operations using copper as collateral in China, which
could result in inventory movements
A soft landing to more sustainable growth rates showing the new path to a more stable
growth that Premier Li Keqiang has taken and will lead to a proper assessment of risk,
and the right price for that risk
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Copper Price
c/lb
Metal Exchange Stocks**
„000 mft
*:Year 2014: stocks and copper prices up to March 19. **: London, COMEX and Shanghai metal exchanges.
Copper Price and Stocks in Metal Exchanges
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Stocks
290
300
310
320
330
340
300
360
420
480
540
600
1/2/2014 2/2/2014 3/2/2014
2014
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-240
-180
-120
-60
0
60
120
180
240
300
360
2014 2015 2016 2017
Market Outlook for the following years2014 currency
Sources: Codelco (Q3 scenario), based on different sources, January and February 2014.
Analysts & Banks
Average Price
Balance
Market Balance Analysts and Banks Price Outlook
c/lb „000 mft
280
300
320
340
360
380
400
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Wood Mackenzie CRUMacquarie ScotiabankMorgan Stanley Cochilco
Sources: Forecasts March 2014, current currency .
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Codelco´s Highlights
Industry Overview
Development Plan Update & Outlook
Operating & Financial Review
12
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1,466
1,702 1,689 1,7351,647 1,622
0.770.79
0.84
0.80
0.73 0.73
0.68
0.73
0.78
0.83
0.88
0.93
0.98
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Codelco El Abra AAS Ore Grade w/o El Abra and AAS
1.547
1.782 1.760 1.796 1.758
Production & Ore Grade
Production vs. Ore Grade Evolution
c/lb %
1.792
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December 31, 2013 & 2012 Financial ResultsIFRS
2013 2012 2013/2012
Copper Production (‘000 mft)(1)
1,792 1,758 1.9%
Cash Cost (US¢/pound)(2)
163.1 163.5 (0.2)%
LME Copper price (US¢/pound) 332.1 360.6 (7.9)%
Metal Week Molybdenum price (US$/pound) 10.3 12.6 (18.3)%
Average Exchange Rate (US$/CLP) 495.0 486.7 1.7%
Closing Exchange Rate (US$/CLP) 524.8 478.6 9.7%
Total Revenues $14,956 $15,860 (5.7)%
Gross Profit $4,154 $5,253 (20.9)%
Gross Margin 27.8% 33.1% (16.0)%
Adjusted EBITDA (3)
$5,964 $9,818 (39.2)%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin 39.9% 61.9% (35.5)%
Adjusted EBITDA without Anglo Effect(3)
$5,964 $6,027 (1.1)%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin without Anglo Effect(3)
39.9% 38.0% 5.0%
Net Financial Debt(4)
$11,075 $8,639 28.2%
Net Interest Expense $298 $347 (14.1)%
Capex $4,178 $4,093 2.1%
1 Includes Codelco’s share of El Abra and Anglo American Sur production
2 Cash cost is expressed per unit of production. It includes all cash expenses of production net of the revenues from other metals extracted that are not copper
3 Calculated as Net Profit plus Taxes (includes Export Tax), Finance Cost, Depreciations and Amortizations
4 Net of cash and cash equivalents
In US$ million, except noted
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Codelco Costs Evolution
c/lb 2013 2012 Var
Total Costs & Expenses 231.5 264.5 (12.5)%
Net Cathode Cost (C3) 217.0 241.7 (10.2)%
Direct Cash Cost (C1) 163.1 163.5 (0.2)%
Savings in materials, services and input costs (especially energy), favorable
exchange rate movements and lower labor costs, due to a decrease in labor
agreement expenses, contributed to reduced Codelco’ costs.
130.2
163.7 173.1 181.1 170.0 172.5154.4 157.4
0
40
80
120
160
200
1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 4Q2012 1Q2013 2Q2013 3Q2013 4Q2013
Direct Cash Cost (C1) Evolution
2012 C1: 163.5 c/lb 2013 C1: 163.1 c/lb
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Estructural Control Cost Program up to December 2013
PRODUCTIVITY
COSTS
Performance Optimization
(minimize disruptions)
Energy and Input costs
Optimization
Budget Optimization:
Third Party Services,
Inputs and staffing
Hygienic Factors
December
18.7
Total Savings
2013 GoalReal up toDecember
%
418 490 172%
December
49.3
December
419.2
December
21.4KMFT
MUSD
MUSD
MUSD
MUSD
Conferencia de prensa | 28 de marzo 2014
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Industry Overview
Operating & Financial Review
Highlights
Development Plan Update & Outlook
17
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Santiago
Calama
C
H
I
L
E
Antofagasta
Mining PortfolioProduction: 1,792 thousand mft in 2013 vs. 1,758 thousand mft in 2012
Radomiro TomicProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 380
Share in Codelco’s Production 21.2%
Gabriela MistralProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 128
Share in Codelco’s Production 7.2%SalvadorProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 54
Share in Codelco’s Production 3.0%
AndinaProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 237
Share in Codelco’s Production 13.2%
El TenienteProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 450
Share in Codelco’s Production 25.1%
ChuquicamataProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 339
Share in Codelco’s Production 18.9%
*: Proportional production according to Codelco‟s share
El Abra*Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 76
Share in Codelco’s Production 4.3%
Anglo American Sur*Production of Copper (‘000 mft) 94
Share in Codelco’s Production 5.2%
Ministro HalesProduction of Copper (‘000 mft) 34
Share in Codelco’s Production 1.9%
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Shaping the Future
Structural Mining Projects
CAPEX Source: CODELCO - Project & Investment Evaluation Management, March 2014, Codelco Website www.codelco.com
Under construction In feasibility stage Feasibility studies completed and starting early works
2013Mina
Ministro Hales
183,000 mft/year
Capex US$3.1 bn
2021Andina Phase II
(244)
350,000 mft/year
Capex US$6.8 bn
2018Chuquicamata
Underground
366,000 mft/year
Capex US$4.2 bn
2017Radomiro Tomic
Sulphides Phase II
343,000 mft/year
Capex US$5.4 bn
2017El Teniente New
Mine Level
434,000 mft/year
Capex US$3.4 bn
Note: Projects production refers to first 10 years average production after ramp up
December 31, 2013 Progress per Project:
• 99.9% total execution
progress and delivering first
production
• Developing feasibility study
• Environmental Impact
Study submitted on May 31
• 20.2% execution progress:
constructing main &
ventilation tunnels, mine
interior and Maitenes road
• 72.7% execution progress
of early works
• Continues processing the
Environmental Impact Study
and an extension of the
deadline was requested until
July 31, 2014
19
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Codelco LT Debt Maturity Profile - December 2013* In US$ million
134
691
5
605
4 3 3 1
500600
10001150
1250
750
500 500
750
950
208
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2025 2035 2036 2042 2043
Local bonds International bonds
955
Bank Debt
*: Does not include Anglo American Sur acquisition debt with Mitsui because it is non recourse to Codelco
Includes the amortization schedule of the loans for the development, construction and operation of a metals processing plant to be constructed in Mejillones
20
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Codelco: Largest Copper Producer with High Grade
Quality Reserves and Solid Financial Metrics
100% owned by the Republic of Chile (Aa3 /AA- / A+), representing 14% of
Government total revenues
World s largest copper producer representing approximately 10% of world production
and 9% of molybdenum world production in 2013
An integrated business model that generates stable cash flows with strong contribution
to the Chilean Treasury
A consistent ,well-defined business plan based on world s largest proven and probable
reserves (9%) and a sustainable production to serve a large and stable market
A history of solid investment grade credit ratings (A1 / AA- / A+)
21
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This presentation has been prepared by Corporación Nacional del Cobre de Chile (“Codelco” or the “Company”) This presentation does not constitute
or form part of an offer or any solicitation to any other person or to the general public to subscribe for or otherwise acquire securities issued by Codelco
in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity, nor shall it (or any part of it) or the fact of its distribution or availability, form the
basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as any inducement to enter into, any contract or commitment or investment decision.
The information contained in this independently presentation has not been verified and is subject to change without notice. No representation or
warranty express or implied is made as to and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information
or the opinions contained herein. None of the Company, any of its respective affiliates, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in
negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the
presentation.
This presentation is only for persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments and must not be acted or relied on by people
who are not relevant persons.
This presentation includes „forward-looking statements‟. These statements may include words such as “anticipated”, “believe”, “intend”, “estimate”,
“expect”, “preliminary” and words of similar meaning. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including,
without limitation, those regarding the Company‟s financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations
(including development plans and objectives relating to the Company‟s products and services) are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking
statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or
achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking
statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company‟s present and future business strategies
and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this presentation.
The Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained
herein to reflect any change in the Company‟s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such
statement is based.
As is standard in the industry, CODELCO divides its mineral holdings into two categories, reserves and resources. Resources are ore bodies of
economic value that have been identified and evaluated through exploration, reconnaissance and sampling. Reserves are the portion of the resource
that can be extracted based on an economic, environmental and technological analysis set forth in the mining plan. Reserves and resources are both
subdivided further, based on the degree of knowledge that CODELCO has of their extent and composition. The system used by CODELCO for
categorizing mineral ore is widely used within the mining industry (and codified in such international regulations as the Joint One Reserves Committee
(JORC) code of Australia, the South African Mineral Resources Committee (SAMREC), and the Reporting Code of Great Britain). Other systems of
categorization are also used; one such system is that used by the U.S. Geological Survey. This presentation may not be taken away with you. The
contents of this presentation may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in
part, for any purpose.
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