cbs news poll: ohio frustration, pessimism and job worries (september 28, 2010)

8/8/2019 CBS News Poll: Ohio Frustration, Pessimism and Job Worries (September 28, 2010)

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Ohio residents are divided in their assessment of President Obamas job performance 43%approve of how the President is handling his job overall and 47% disapprove. But they are morenegative in their assessments of how the President is handling the economy and jobs. 55% ofOhioans disapprove of the way President Obama is handling the economy, and six in 10disapprove of how hes handling job creation.

Obamas Approval RatingsOverall The Economy Job Creation

Approve 43% 38% 34%Disapprove 47 55 59

In 2008 President Obama won the Ohio vote and the presidency with a campaign that stressedchanging the way Washington worked, but Ohio residents are divided as to whether or not hehas accomplished this. 49% of Ohio residents think he has changed Washington at leastsomewhat, but nearly as many 48% - do not think he has changed Washington much or at all.

How Much Has Obama Changed Washington?

Total Reps Dems IndsA lot 9% 9% 12% 8%Some 40 24 60 35Not much/not at all 48 66 25 55

And perhaps as a result, a majority of Ohioans 58% - say they are at least somewhatdisappointed in the Obama presidency so far, including three in 10 who are very disappointed.Fewer, 40%, say they are satisfied. Nearly two in three independents are disappointed.

Feelings about the Obama PresidencyTotal Reps Dems Inds

Very satisfied 7% 1% 14% 4%

Somewhat satisfied 33 9 56 29Somewhat disappointed 28 29 21 32Very disappointed 30 61 7 31

People who are doing worse today than they were two years ago are especially critical of thePresident. Just 35% of them approve of the job he is doing overall, and only a quarter approvesof how he is handling the economy or job creation. 68% say they are disappointed in hispresidency.

And while 52% of Ohioans think the President understands their needs and problems, 44%think he does not. There is a clear partisan divide on this issue: eight in 10 Democrats think heunderstands their needs and problems, while three in four Republicans do not.

Jobs, Jobs, Jobs

With an unemployment rate of just over 10%, jobs are the foremost problem facing the state,and job insecurity is widespread. 70% of Ohioans volunteer it as the most important problem inOhio, far outdistancing any other problem mentioned.


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Most Important Problem in OhioJobs 70%Other economic issues 10Education 4

Two in three Ohio residents say that the number of jobs in their community has decreased over

the last two years, and most think those jobs will never come back.

Over Last Two Years, Local Jobs Have:Increased 6%Decreased 65Stayed the same 26

Local Jobs Lost WillProbably come back when economy improves 33%Probably never come back 56

Job concern is personal in Ohio. Six in ten Ohioans are concerned that someone in their

household will lose their job in the next year, including 35% who are very concerned.

Concerned About Job Loss in HouseholdVery concerned 35%Somewhat concerned 26Not concerned 38

And expectations for the local job market in the next year are mixed. While half expect it to staythe same, 27% think it will improve, and 21% think it will get worse.

The effects of the recession and job loss are reflected in Ohioans personal finances. While50% say they have just enough to get by (and 20% have more than enough), three in 10 dont

have enough to make ends meet.

Household Income isMore than enough 20%Just enough to make ends meet 50Not enough to meet bills 29

26% say the recession has caused a hardship for them, and 43% say they are now doing worsefinancially than they were two years ago.

Compared to Two Years Ago, Financial Situation isBetter 15%

Worse 43Same 41

In this recession-battered population, there is some optimism. 58% think that the recession inOhio is a temporary downturn and eventually the Ohio economy will fully recover. However,35% thinks this is part of a long-term permanent decline and the Ohio economy will never fullyrecover.


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Current Recession in Ohio isAll Worse off now

Temporary downturn 58% 48%Permanent decline 35 43

Those who are worse off today than they were two years ago are even more likely to respond

negatively when it comes to Ohios economic future. Among this group, 43% say the state is inpermanent decline, and 61% think the jobs Ohio has lost will probably never come back.

More than four in five Ohioans think Ohios economy is in bad shape, and a similar percentagesays the same about the national economy.

Rating the EconomyIn Ohio Nationally

Good 15% 15%Bad 82 83

And three in four Ohioans are dissatisfied with how things are going in Ohio, including 17% who are

angry. Jobs and unemployment are the top reason given for their anger.

Feel about the Way Things are Going in Ohio?Enthusiastic 3%Satisfied 21Dissatisfied 57Angry 17

Seven in ten think Ohio is headed off on the wrong track; just 25% think their state is going in the rightdirection.

Ohio: Right Direction or Wrong Track?Right direction 25%

Wrong track 69

The Presidents Economic Policies

Ohioans are mixed when it comes to the effect the stimulus package, passed in 2009, has hadon Ohio. 48% of Ohio residents say the stimulus package wont create jobs, while about asmany, 46%, think it has already or expect it will eventually.

Impact of Stimulus Package on Jobs in OhioAlready created jobs 8%Hasnt, but will create jobs 38Wont create jobs 48

Similarly, 48% say that the stimulus package has had no effect on the economy in Ohiogenerally. 26% say it has made Ohios economy better, and 20% say its made it worse.

Impact of Stimulus Package on Ohios EconomyBetter 26%Worse 20No impact 48


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Ohioans are slightly more likely to view the government assistance provided to U.S. automakerslast year as beneficial to the state. 31% say that assistance has made Ohios economy better,while 22% say it made things worse. 39% think it had no impact on Ohios economy.

But by two to one, Ohioans see a negative impact on their state as a result of the governmentassistance provided to banks and financial institutions. Just 16% say that helped their state,

while 32% say it hurt. 44% say it has had no impact.

Ohio residents are divided when it comes to President Obamas most recent attempt to shoreup the federal budget by letting the 2001 tax cuts to expire for couples and families earningmore than $250,000 a year: 47% think this is a good idea, while 43% think it is a bad one. In anational poll conducted by CBS News and The New York Times earlier this month, 53% ofAmericans said it was a good idea that the tax cuts expire for households earning $250,000.

Is Letting the 2001 Tax Cuts Expire for those Earning Over $250K?Ohio U.S. (CBS/NYT, 9/15)

A good idea 47% 53%A bad idea 43 38

And the President receives little credit from Ohio residents for the biggest legislativeachievement of his first two years in office the 2010 health care reform law. 51% of Ohioresidents disapprove of the health care overhaul passed this year, while just 37% approve.

The 2010 Health Care LawOhio U.S. (CBS/NYT, 9/15)

Approve 37% 37%Disapprove 51 49

Furthermore, among Ohioans who disapprove, 86% think Congress should repeal the law, andhalf think so even if it meant allowing insurance companies to refuse coverage to Americans

suffering from pre-existing medical conditions.

Congress and Discontent with Washington

Ohio voters, like the nation as a whole, express dissatisfaction with incumbents in Congress.Just 29% of voters say their own member of Congress deserves re-election, while nearly halfsay it is time to give someone new a chance.

Voters' Representative in Congress:(Among registered voters)

Ohio U.S. (CBS/NYT, 9/15)Deserves re-election 29% 34%

Time for someone new 49 55Depends (vol.) 9 3Dont know 13 8

Only 16% of Ohioans approve of the job Congress is doing -- a lower approval rating thanAmericans nationwide give Congress. Majorities of Ohioans also disapprove of the job both theDemocrats and Republicans in Congress are doing.


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Approval of CongressOhio U.S. (CBS/NYT, 9/15)

Approve Disapprove Approve DisapproveCongress overall 16% 75 21% 70Republicans in Congress 22% 66 20% 68

Democrats in Congress 28% 62 30% 58

Congressional leaders are not viewed especially favorably by Ohio voters either. Ohio votersare divided in their opinions of John Boehner, the House Minority Leader, who representsOhios eighth Congressional district. 15% view Boehner favorably, while 16% have anunfavorable view of him. A high percentage 69% - are undecided or dont know enough tooffer an opinion. Views of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi are more negative. More than four in 10voters in Ohio have an unfavorable opinion of her, while just 13% have a positive view. 43% ofOhio voters are undecided or dont know enough about her.

Opinion of Congressional Leaders(among registered voters)

John Boehner Nancy PelosiFavorable 15% 13%Unfavorable 16 44Undecided 23 22Havent heard enough 46 21

Just like the nation as a whole, Ohio voters express discontent with Washington. Three in fourare dissatisfied with the way things are going in Washington, including three in 10 who say theyare angry -- a higher proportion than among Americans nationwide (20%). Republicans andindependents are more likely than Democrats to be angry with Washington.

Feelings about Washington

Ohio U.S. (CBS/NYT, 9/15)Enthusiastic 3% 1%Satisfied 18 24Dissatisfied 47 53Angry 29 20

The 2010 Elections

41% of Ohios likely voters say they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting in thiselection, and similar to the national electorate, enthusiasm is much greater among Republicans-- 57% of whom say they are more enthusiastic about voting than usual. Just 26% ofDemocrats feel more enthusiastic. This is a reversal from the 2006 midterm elections, when

Democrats in Ohio felt more enthusiastic.

More Enthusiastic About Voting(Among likely voters)

2010 2006All voters 41% 45%Republicans 57% 32%Democrats 26% 58%Independents 40% 43%


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There is additional evidence in this poll that independents and swing voters are not as engagedas Republicans. Among those who say they usually split votes evenly between Republicans andDemocrats, a plurality are less enthusiastic about voting this year.

A majority of likely voters in Ohio are paying at least some attention to the midterm election

campaign, with more Republican voters than Democrats or independents paying a lot ofattention.

Attention to the Campaign(Among likely voters)

All Reps Dems IndsA lot 39% 43% 36% 37%Some 40 41 40 40Not much/none 21 16 24 23

If the midterm elections for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, Republicanswould hold a lead among Ohios likely voters. 43% say they would vote for the Republican

candidate, while slightly fewer -- 39% -- would support the Democrat. Still, a sizable number 16% - are undecided at this point.

2010 House Vote(among likely voters)

Republican 43%Democrat 39Dont know/depends 16

Each party retains most of their base: 89% of Republican voters say they would vote for theRepublican candidate in their district, and 83% of Democrats would support the Democrat.Among the key swing group of independents, Republicans have an edge. 39% of independent

voters say they will back the Republican candidate, while 28% plan to vote for the Democrat.However, 29% of independent voters are undecided at this point.

2010 House Vote(among likely voters)

Reps Dems IndsRepublican 89% 5% 39%Democrat 4 83 28Dont know/depends 6 12 29

Ohioans divide on which will matter to them more in their vote this year national or stateissues. There are partisan differences here; Republicans are more likely to say national issues

will matter to them, while more Democrats choose state issues.

In spite of their skepticism about the accomplishments of the Obama administration so far, mostlikely voters in Ohio do not see the president as much of a factor in their vote in the upcomingmidterm elections. Six in ten likely voters in Ohio say that their vote would not be affected if thePresident supported a candidate in their area. Most Democrats and independents say it wouldhave no effect, while his support would have a negative effect on many Republicans.


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If Obama Supported a Candidate in Your Area, Would You be?(among likely voters)

Total Reps Dems IndMore likely to vote for him/her 14% 4% 30% 7%Less likely to vote for him/her 26 51 4 25No effect 59 45 65 67

Both political parties are working to try and get voters to cast their ballots early. In this poll, 25%of Ohios likely voters say they plan to vote absentee, before Election Day. 73% plan to vote atthe polls on November 2nd. In 2008, about a quarter of Ohios votes were cast before ElectionDay, an increase from 2006.

How Do You Plan To Vote?(among likely voters)

By mail/absentee 25%In-person on Election Day 73

The Race for Governor

The Ohio Governors race is a key contest this year, with implications for the economy,redistricting, and even the 2012 Presidential race.

In the race for Governor, Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland is battling to save his job.Strickland leads Republican John Kasich among all voters, but Kasich leads by one pointamong likely voters.

Ohio Governors Race(Among voters)

All Likely votersRepublican John Kasich 39% 43%

Democrat Ted Strickland 44 42Undecided/Dont know 12 11

Kasich has an edge among independents likely to vote. Strickland gets strong but notunanimous support from those who say they backed President Obama in 2008.

Ohio Governors Race(Among likely voters)

All Reps Dems Inds Obama 08 votersRepublican John Kasich 43% 79% 7% 44% 14%Democrat Ted Strickland 42 12 79 33 74Undecided/Dont know 11 7 11 16 9

Governor Strickland has net unfavorable ratings, though many still dont have an opinion of thesitting governor. John Kasich is even less known.

Opinions of the Candidates(Among registered voters)

Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Dont knowJohn Kasich 21% 25 53Ted Strickland 31% 36 32


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Governor Strickland also receives net disapproval for his job performance so far; 38% of Ohiovoters approve and 49% disapprove.

That may be because few voters think Strickland has made progress fixing Ohios economy.Democrats are somewhat more forgiving, but even most of them think he has not made

progress.

Has Strickland Made Progress Fixing Economy?(Among registered voters)

All Reps Dems IndsYes 21% 8% 39% 15%No 68 87 51 71

While still low, Strickland gets slightly higher ratings than Kasich for his plans for jobs creation.

DoesHave a Plan to Create Jobs in Ohio?(Among registered voters)

Yes No Dont knowStrickland 29% 56 15Kasich 23% 41 36

The Senate Race

In the Ohio Senate race, Republican Rob Portman has an edge over Democrat Lee Fisher.However, both candidates remain little-known to many Ohio voters.

Among all voters, Portman is up by six points, but among likely voters he has an 11 point lead.However, as might be expected five weeks out, one in five are still undecided.

Ohio Senate Race(Among voters)

All Likely votersRepublican Rob Portman 41% 45%Democrat Lee Fisher 35 34Undecided 21 18

Although 34% of registered voters say they have been contacted by one or both of thecampaigns, both Senate candidates remain widely unknown to most voters: About 7 in ten haveno opinion of either Fisher or Portman. And many voters have no opinion or hold negativeviews of both candidates on specific qualities.


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Does Portman or Fisher?(Among registered voters)

Portman FisherUnderstand your problems

Yes 27% 27%No 30 35

Dont know 43 38

Confidence in economic decisionsA lot of confidence 6% 6%Some confidence 37 34Not much/no confidence 32 39Dont know 25 21

________________________________________________________________________This poll was conducted among a random sample of 1,114 adults in Ohio, interviewed by telephoneSeptember 23-27, 2010, including 973 registered voters, and 941 likely voters. Phone numbers weredialed from random digit dial samples of both standard land-line and cell phones. The error due to

sampling for results based on the entire sample could be plus or minus three percentage points. Theerror for subgroups is higher.

This poll release conforms to the Standards of Disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.


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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES OHIO POLLThe State of Ohio: Frustration, Pessimism, and Job Worries

September 23-27, 2010

q1 How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2010 election campaigns in Ohio

this year -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?

** LIKELY VOTERS **

*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Oct06b*

% % % % %

A lot 39 43 36 37 39

Some 40 41 40 40 49

Not much 18 14 22 19 10

No attention 3 2 2 4 2

DK/NA 0 0 0 0 0*2006 election

q2 How likely is it that you will vote in the 2010 election in November -- would you say

you will definitely vote, probably vote, probably not vote, or definitely not vote in the

election?

** REGISTERED VOTERS **

*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Oct06b*

% % % % %

Definitely vote 77 86 75 72 69

Probably vote 16 10 18 19 16

Probably not vote 5 2 5 7 7

Definitely not vote 1 1 0 1 7

Alread voted (Vol.) -- -- -- -- 1

DK/NA 1 1 2 1 0*2006 election

q3 Is your opinion of Rob Portman favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't youheard enough about Rob Portman yet to have an opinion?

Favorable 17 31 4 18

Not favorable 9 2 18 6

Undecided 26 22 29 27

Haven't heard enough 46 43 48 47

Refused 2 2 1 2

q4 Is your opinion of Lee Fisher favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't you heard

enough about Lee Fisher yet to have an opinion?

Favorable 13 4 25 7

Not favorable 17 30 7 17Undecided 30 21 32 36


Refused 2 1 1 2


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q5 If the 2010 election for U.S. Senate were being held today, would you vote for Rob

Portman, the Republican candidate, OR for Lee Fisher, the Democratic candidate?

***** LIKELY VOTERS *****

*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Reg. Vtrs

% % % % %

Portman 45 86 7 45 41

Fisher 34 4 72 25 35

Someone else/Neither/Other 2 1 1 4 2

Won't Vote (Vol) 1 1 0 1 1

Depends (Vol.) 9 4 9 13 9

DK/NA 9 4 11 13 12

q6 Is your opinion of John Kasich favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't you

heard enough about John Kasich yet to have an opinion?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %Favorable 21 43 4 20




Refused 1 0 1 2

q7 Is your opinion of Ted Strickland favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't you

heard enough about Ted Strickland yet to have an opinion?





Refused 1 0 0 1

q8 If the 2010 election for Governor of Ohio were being held today, would you vote for

John Kasich, the Republican candidate, or Ted Strickland, the Democratic candidate?

** LIKELY VOTERS **

*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Reg. Voters

% % % % %

Kasich 43 79 7 44 39

Strickland 42 12 79 33 44

Someone else/Neither/Other 2 1 2 3 3

Won't Vote (Vol. 2 1 1 3 2

Depends (Vol.) 7 4 6 9 7DK/NA 4 3 5 8 5


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q9 If the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would

you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Reg. Vtrs Oct06b

% % % % % %

Republican 43 89 5 39 40 32

Democratic 39 4 83 28 40 50

Other (Vol.) 1 0 0 2 1 0

Won't vote (Vol.) 1 1 0 2 1 0

Depends (Vol.) 8 3 6 14 8 6

DK/NA 8 3 6 15 10 12

q10 Well as of today, do you lean more toward the Republican candidate or more toward the

Democratic Candidate?

* LIKELY VOTERS UNDECIDED IN HOUSE VOTE *

Republican 17 49 3 17

Democratic 28 10 53 21

Won't vote (Vol.) 1 0 0 1DK/NA 54 41 44 61

q11 Compared to previous Congressional elections, this year are you more enthusiastic

about voting than usual, or less enthusiastic?


More enthusiastic 41 57 26 40 45

Less enthusiastic 39 25 49 41 29

Same (vol.) 20 18 24 18 23

DK/NA 0 0 0 1 3

q12 Do you think the representative in Congress from your district has performed his or

her job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new

person a chance?


Deserves re-election 29 22 40 24

Time for new person 49 59 35 55

Depends (vol.) 9 9 8 10

DK/NA 13 10 17 11

q13 Regardless of how you intend to vote in November, which will matter to you more when

you vote -- your state's local issues or national issues?

State's local issues 43 35 48 44

National issues 40 46 35 39

Both (Vol.) 15 17 14 16DK/NA 2 2 3 1

q14-15 BLANK

q16 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as

President?

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS **

Approve 43 12 73 36

Disapprove 47 84 17 48

DK/NA 10 4 10 16


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q17 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Approve 38 10 67 31


DK/NA 7 2 6 12

q18 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling job creation?

Approve 34 12 60 26


DK/NA 7 4 9 9

q19 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?

Approve 16 9 26 11


DK/NA 9 5 10 12

q20 Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling

their job?

Approve 22 40 13 18


DK/NA 12 9 10 17

q21 Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their

job?

Approve 28 10 54 19


DK/NA 10 3 10 13

q22 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as

Governor?


Approve 38 18 63 31


DK/NA 13 11 13 14

q23 Is your opinion of Nancy Pelosi favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you

heard enough about Nancy Pelosi yet to have an opinion?

Favorable 13 0 27 9Not favorable 44 74 17 48



Refused 1 1 0 0


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q24 Is your opinion of John Boehner favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you

heard enough about John Boehner yet to have an opinion?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %





Refused 0 0 1 0

q25 Do you feel things in OHIO are generally going in the right direction or do you feel

things have pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?

** TOTAL RESPONDENTS ** Oct06b

% % % % %

Right direction 25 15 33 23 23

Wrong track 69 81 58 70 71DK/NA 6 4 9 7 6

q26 What do you think is the most important problem facing Ohio today?

Jobs and Unemployment 70 72 74 66

Economy/economic issues 10 11 7 12

Education 4 3 6 3

Other 13 13 11 14

DK/NA 3 1 2 5

q27 BLANK

q28 Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in OHIO

enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?

Enthusiastic 3 2 5 2

Satisfied, not enthusiastic 21 13 27 22

Dissatisfied but not angry 57 64 55 54

Angry 17 19 11 20

DK/NA 2 2 2 2

q29 Thinking about the way things are going in Ohio, what are you most angry about?

* THOSE ANGRY ABOUT THINGS IN OHIO *

Unemployment/economy 70 69 66 72

Nothing for voters 5 4 7 5

Gov't spending 3 1 6 2Taxes 3 6 1 3

Partisan politics 2 3 0 2

Everything 2 1 5 1

Other 14 15 15 14

DK/NA 1 1 0 1


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q30 Which comes closest to your feelings about the way things are going in Washington

enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Enthusiastic 3 0 7 2

Satisfied, not enthusiastic 18 9 27 15

Dissatisfied but not angry 47 44 46 49

Angry 29 46 14 30

DK/NA 3 1 6 4

q31 How would you rate the condition of the national economy these days? Is it very good,

fairly good, fairly bad or very bad?

Oct06b

%

Very good 1 0 2 0 7

Fairly good 14 6 24 12 42

Fairly bad 43 39 44 45 32Very bad 40 55 30 40 18

DK/NA 2 0 0 3 1

q32 How would you rate the condition of the economy in OHIO these days? Is it very good,

fairly good, fairly bad or very bad?

Oct06b

Very good 0 1 1 0 3

Fairly good 15 9 21 14 31

Fairly bad 42 47 39 43 37

Very bad 40 42 38 41 28

DK/NA 3 1 1 2 1

q33 Which comes closer to your view? The current recession is a temporary downturn and

eventually the Ohio economy will fully recover. The current recession is part of a long-

term permanent decline and the Ohio economy will never fully recover.

Temporary downturn 58 55 66 54

Permanent and won't recover 35 38 28 37

Don't know/No answer 7 7 6 9

q34 Who do you think is mostly to blame for the current state of the nation's economy

1. the Bush administration, 2. the Obama administration, 3. Wall Street and financial

institutions, 4. Congress, or 5. someone else?

Bush administration 28 6 50 22Obama administration 9 20 3 7

Wall Street and financial 20 22 19 21

Congress 12 19 4 14

Someone else 7 8 6 7

All of the above (vol.) 10 12 4 13

Combination (vol.) 12 10 13 13

DK/NA 2 3 1 3

q35-36 BLANK


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q37 Do you think of your vote for U.S. Senator this fall as a vote for Barack Obama, a

vote against Barack Obama, or dont you think of your vote this fall as being about

Barack Obamas presidency?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Support of Obama 22 5 40 17

Against Obama 24 51 8 20

Not about Obama 48 42 43 57

DK/NA 6 2 9 6

q38 BLANK

q39 Regardless of how you intend to vote, would you prefer that the Democrats keep

control of the House of Representatives, that the Republicans win control of the House of

Representatives, or does it not matter to you one way or the other?

Prefer Democrats 33 3 70 20

Prefer Republicans 35 82 2 32Doesn't matter 28 13 24 43

DK/NA 4 2 4 5

q40 Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of people like yourself,

or not?


Understands 52 21 81 47

Does not 44 75 16 49

DK/NA 4 4 3 4

q41 BLANK

q42 Since he took office, has Barack Obama made real progress in fixing the economy or

hasnt he made real progress in fixing the economy?

Made real progress 32 8 56 27

Hasn't made real progress 61 89 35 66

DK/NA 7 3 9 7

q43 Do you think Barack Obama does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs?

Does 37 15 60 33

Does not 54 81 29 59

DK/NA 9 4 11 8


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q44 So far, have Barack Obama's economic programs helped you personally, hurt you

personally, or have they not had much of an effect on you personally so far?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Helped 12 2 22 10

Hurt 20 33 9 20

No effect 66 65 67 67


q45 How much progress do you think Barack Obama has made in changing the way things are

done in Washington a lot, some, not much, or none at all?

A lot 9 9 12 8

Some 40 24 60 35

Not much 25 29 18 28

None at all 23 37 7 27

DK/NA 3 1 3 2

q46 In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far ---

Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very

disappointed?

Very satisfied 7 1 14 4

Somewhat satisfied 33 9 56 29

Somewhat disappointed 28 29 21 32

Very disappointed 30 61 7 31

Both (vol.) 1 0 2 2

DK/NA 1 0 0 2

q47-48 BLANK

q49 Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican Party or the

Democratic Party is more concerned with the needs and problems of people like yourself?


Republican party 33 74 5 30

Democratic party 41 7 77 34

Both (vol.) 2 2 1 3

Neither (vol.) 17 14 10 25

DK/NA 7 3 7 8

q50 BLANK


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q51 Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the

Democratic party is more likely to create new jobs?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind Oct06b

% % % % %

Republican 41 80 11 39 27

Democratic 38 7 75 27 54

Both (Vol.) 2 1 1 2 3

Neither (Vol.) 11 7 7 19 6

DK/NA 8 5 6 13 10

q52 If Barack Obama supported a candidate for political office in your area, would that

make you more likely to vote for that candidate, less likely to vote for that candidate,

or wouldn't it affect how you voted one way or another?

** LIKELY VOTERS **

More likely 14 4 30 7

Less likely 26 51 4 25

Wouldn't affect vote 59 45 65 67DK/NA 1 0 1 1

q53 BLANK

q54 Since he took office, has Ted Strickland made real progress in fixing Ohios economy,

or hasnt he made real progress in fixing Ohios economy?


Made real progress 21 8 39 15

Hasn't made real progress 68 87 51 71

DK/NA 11 5 10 14

q55 Do you think Ted Strickland does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs in

Ohio?

Does 29 13 47 24

Does not 56 76 35 60

DK/NA 15 11 18 16

q56 Do you think John Kasich does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs in

Ohio?

Does 23 43 9 22

Does not 41 22 57 39

DK/NA 36 35 34 39

q57 Do you think Rob Portman understands the needs and problems of people like yourself,or not?


Does not 30 16 42 29

DK/NA 43 38 42 49

q58 Do you think Lee Fisher understands the needs and problems of people like yourself,

or not?


Does not 35 51 23 36

DK/NA 38 34 31 46


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q59 How much confidence do you have that Rob Portman will make the right decisions about

Ohios economy a lot, some, not much or none at all?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

A lot 6 15 2 5

Some 37 46 28 40

Not much 20 10 28 20

None 12 5 20 9

DK/NA 25 24 22 26

q60 How much confidence do you have that Lee Fisher will make the right decisions about

Ohios economy a lot, some, not much or none at all?

A lot 6 1 14 2

Some 34 22 42 36

Not much 23 32 18 22

None 16 24 8 17DK/NA 21 21 18 23

q61 BLANK

q62 Have you been contacted on behalf of any of the Senate candidates -- whether it was

by a letter in the mail, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker?

Oct06b

%

Yes 34 37 36 31 41

No 64 61 63 67 58

DK/NA 2 2 1 2 1

q63 Which campaign contacted you -- Rob Portman's or Lee Fisher's?

Portman's 24 43 13 21

Fisher's 24 11 40 19

Both (vol.) 29 28 25 34

DK/NA 23 18 22 26

q64 BLANK

q65 Have you been contacted on behalf of any of the candidates for governor -- whether it

was by a letter in the mail, by telephone, or in person by a campaign worker?

Yes 28 28 35 22

No 69 69 62 76DK/NA 3 3 3 2


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q66 Which campaign contacted you -- Rob Portman's or Lee Fisher's?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Kasich's 20 46 8 15

Strickland's 40 15 61 32

Both (vol.) 32 36 22 43

DK/NA 8 3 9 10

q67 BLANK

q68 The Obama administration has proposed letting the tax cuts passed in 2001 expire for

households earning about $250,000 a year or more. This would increase federal income

taxes for those people. Do you think this proposal is a good idea or a bad idea?


Good idea 47 22 68 45

Bad idea 43 68 23 44

DK/NA 10 10 9 11

q69 From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law

that was enacted last March? IF APPROVE, ASK: Do you strongly approve or somewhat

approve? IF DISAPPROVE, ASK: Do you somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove?

Strongly approve 18 4 35 12

Somewhat approve 19 9 27 17

Somewhat disapprove 13 16 11 13

Strongly disapprove 38 64 11 44

DK/NA 12 7 16 14

q70 Do you think Congress should repeal the health care law that was passed in March, or

should they let it stand?

* THOSE WHO DISAPPROVE OF HEALTH CARE LAW **

Repeal law 86 93 70 84

Let stand 9 3 22 9

DK/NA 5 4 8 7

q71 What if repealing the law meant that insurance companies were no longer required to

cover people with existing medical conditions or prior illnesses, then do you think the

law should be repealed, or not?

* THOSE WHO WANT HEALTH CARE LAW REPEALED **

Should be repealed 57 59 49 57

Should not 33 32 45 32

DK/NA 10 9 6 11


22/26

q72 Some people say trade restrictions are necessary to protect domestic industries.

Other people say free trade must be allowed because it helps the overall economy even if

domestic industries are hurt. Would you be more likely to support a candidate who favors

trade restrictions or a candidate who favors free trade, or would a candidate's position

on trade not make much difference to your vote?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Trade restrictions 42 37 48 39

Free trade 20 24 13 22

No difference 31 32 33 29


q73 Overall, would you say U.S. trade with other countries creates more jobs for the

U.S., loses more jobs for the U.S., or does U.S. trade with other countries have no

effect on U.S. jobs?

Oct06b

%Creates jobs 20 25 16 20 18

Loses jobs 64 61 68 62 66

No effect 8 8 6 10 9

Don't know/No answer 8 6 10 8 7

q74 So far, do you think the government's stimulus package has made the economy in Ohio

better, made the economy in Ohio worse, or has it had no impact on the economy in Ohio so

far?

Better 26 11 41 22

Worse 20 28 12 23

No impact 48 57 42 48

DK/NA 6 4 5 7

q75 From what you know so far, which comes closest to your own view? 1. the economic

stimulus package has already created a substantial number of new jobs in Ohio OR 2. it

will create a substantial number of new jobs but hasn't done that yet OR 3. it will not

create a substantial number of new jobs?

Has already created jobs 8 1 16 6

Will create jobs 38 23 53 34

Will never create new jobs 48 72 26 52

DK/NA 6 4 5 8

q76 In the last two years, has the number of jobs in your community increased, decreased,

or stayed about the same?

Increased 6 1 12 5

Decreased 65 74 53 69

Stayed about the same 26 22 34 21


q77 Over the next year, do you think the job market in your area will get better, get

worse, or stay about the same?

Better 27 18 43 20

Worse 21 23 13 25

Same 49 55 43 51

DK/NA 3 4 1 4


23/26

q78 In your own community, just from what you've seen or heard, do you think the jobs

that your community has lost in this recession will probably come back when the economy

improves, or do you think they were jobs that will probably never come back?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Jobs will come back 33 32 37 29

Jobs will never come back 56 58 51 58

Some will come back (vol.) 8 9 7 8

DK/NA 3 1 5 5

q79 So far, do you think the financial assistance that the government provided to the

auto industry has made Ohios economy better, made Ohios economy worse, or has it had no

impact on Ohios economy?

Better 31 21 43 27

Worse 22 28 15 23

No impact 39 42 34 40DK/NA 8 9 8 10

q80 So far, do you think the financial assistance that the government provided to the

banking and financial industry has made Ohios economy better, made Ohios economy worse,

or has it had no impact on Ohios economy?

Better 16 10 24 12

Worse 32 39 23 35

No impact 44 45 45 43

DK/NA 8 6 8 10

q81 BLANK

q82 Think about your household income, would say that it is more than enough so that you

can save and buy some extras, just enough to meet your bills and obligations, or it is

not enough to meet your bills and obligations?

Oct06b

%

More than enough 20 25 19 19 30

Just enough 50 54 47 49 50

Not enough 29 20 34 30 19

DK/NA 1 1 0 2 1

q83 Do you think your household's financial situation is getting better, getting worse or

staying about the same?

Getting better 11 11 13 10

Getting worse 30 33 26 32

Same 58 55 61 56

DK/NA 1 1 0 2

q84 Compared to two years ago, is your family's financial situation better today, worse

today, or about the same?

Better 15 13 15 15

Worse 43 43 41 46

About the same 41 44 44 38

DK/NA 1 0 0 1


24/26

q85 And what is your best guess about your family's financial situation two years from

now? Generally if things go pretty much as you now expect, do you think your family's

financial situation will be better, worse, or about the same as it is today?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Better 35 27 42 33

Worse 19 24 12 21

Same 43 46 44 41


q86 Which best describes the way you and your family have been affected by the recession?

1) The recession has been a hardship and caused major life changes, or 2) The recession

has been difficult but not caused any major life changes, or 3) The recession has not had

much affect one way or the other.

Hardship 26 26 28 25

Difficult 46 46 44 47Not much affect 27 28 28 27

Positive effect (vol.) 0 0 0 0

DK/NA 1 0 0 1

q87 How concerned are you that in the next 12 months you or someone else in your

household might be out of work and looking for a job very concerned, somewhat

concerned, or not concerned at all?

Very concerned 35 27 36 38

Somewhat concerned 26 30 21 28

Not at all concerned 38 43 42 33

DK/NA 1 0 1 1

q88 Are you currently employed - either full-time or part-time or are you temporarily

out of work, or are you not in the market for work at all?

IF NOT IN MARKET FOR WORK, ASK: Are you currently retired, or not?

Currently employed 55 63 47 57

Temporarily out of work 12 6 15 14

Not in the market for work 12 13 12 12

Retired 20 18 26 16

DK/NA 1 0 0 1

q89 In the last twelve months, has any adult in your household been out of work and

actively looking for work?

Oct06b%

Yes 37 26 36 44 28

No 63 74 64 56 72

DK/NA 0 0 0 0 0


25/26

q90 In the last twelve months, has any adult in your household received unemployment

benefits from the government? IF YES, Is that person still receiving unemployment

benefits?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

Currently receiving benefits 7 5 9 7

Did receive benefits 10 8 12 10

Did not receive benefits 82 87 79 81

DK/NA 1 0 0 2

q91 BLANK

q92 If you were asked to use one of these five names for your social class, which would

you say you belong in upper class, upper-middle class, middle class, working class, or

lower class?

Upper 1 1 0 1

Upper-middle 7 10 5 6

Middle 37 47 32 35Working 37 29 41 38

Lower 18 13 22 18

DK/NA 0 0 0 2

q93 Do you ever feel as if you're at risk of falling out of your current social class?

Yes 42 40 41 43

No 56 58 56 54

DK/NA 2 2 3 3

q94 Are you or any other members of your household -- that is any other adult living in

your home or apartment -- a member of a labor union? IF YES ASK: Is that person you or

someone else?

Yes, respondent 10 8 12 9

Yes, someone else 8 4 14 6

Yes, respondent and someone 1 2 1 1

No 80 85 73 83

DK/NA 1 1 0 1

q95 Do you have any children?

IF YES, ASK: Are any of your children under 18?

Yes, under 18 33 34 29 36

Yes, over 18 37 40 42 31

No 30 26 29 33


26/26

q96 Think about past elections in which you have voted, including national and statewide

elections. Would you say you always vote Republican, usually vote Republican, vote about

equally for both parties, usually vote Democratic, or always vote Democratic?


*** Party ID ***

Total Rep Dem Ind

% % % %

Always vote of Republicans 6 18 1 1

Usually vote for Republicans 27 64 2 18

Split vote evenly 30 17 16 56

Usually vote for Democrats 23 1 52 15

Always vote for Democrats 10 0 29 1

Never vote (Vol.) 0 1 0 0

DK/NA 4 0 0 9

q97 If you do vote in the November 2nd election, will you vote by mail or by turning in

an absentee ballot, OR will you vote at your precinct polling place on Election Day?

Mail/absentee 25 26 29 19

Precinct voter 73 73 69 78Won't vote (vol.) 1 1 1 1

DK/NA 1 0 1 2

q100 Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of Tea Party movement, or not?


Yes 22 47 4 22

No 68 45 86 67

DK/NA 10 8 10 11

Sample sizes:

UNWEIGHTED WEIGHTED

Total Respondents 1114

Total registered voters 973 918

Total likely voters 941

Effective likely voters 408

Total Republicans 315 279 (28%)

Total Democrats 367 373 (33%)

Total Independents 432 462 (39%)

Registered Republicans 296 254 (28%)Registered Democrats 326 319 (35%)

Registered Independents 351 345 (37%)

cbs news poll: ohio frustration, pessimism and job worries (september 28, 2010)

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