cdc indicators and thresholds for community transmission

22
covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021 INDICATOR Low transmission Moderate transmission Substantial transmission High transmission Case rate in past 7 days 0 – 9.99 10 – 49.99 50 – 99.99 ≥ 100 (Daily case rate approximation) (0 – 1.49) (1.5 – 6.99) (7 – 13.99) (≥ 14) Test positivity < 5.0% 5.0% – 7.9% 8.0% – 9.9% ≥ 10% CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission of Covid

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Page 1: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

INDICATORLow

transmissionModerate

transmissionSubstantial

transmissionHigh

transmission

Case rate in past 7 days 0 – 9.99 10 – 49.99 50 – 99.99 ≥ 100

(Daily case rate approximation) (0 – 1.49) (1.5 – 6.99) (7 – 13.99) (≥ 14)

Test positivity < 5.0% 5.0% – 7.9% 8.0% – 9.9% ≥ 10%

CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission of Covid

Page 2: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Current Status

Deaths Reported Today 3

Total Deaths 24,566

Cases Reported Today 1,537

Total Cases 1,262,578

Currently Hospitalized 406

Total People Tested 7,142,456

Daily test positivity rate 3.75%

7-day daily average case rate* 7.1 cases/100,000

*As of 07/08/2021

Page 3: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

New Masking Requirement

New Health Officer Order will require masking indoors regardless of vaccination status

• Will go into effect at 11:59pm on Saturday night, July 17th

• Exceptions will apply (similar to masking requirements in place prior to June 15th)

• Full HOO will be on our website no later than July 16th

Page 4: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Daily Average Number of COVID-19 Cases and Hospitalizations by Episode Date and Daily Average Deaths by Date of Death

March 1 – July 7, 2021

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Dai

ly A

vera

ge N

um

ber

of

Rep

ort

ed D

eath

s

Dai

ly A

vera

ge N

um

ber

of

Rep

ort

ed C

ases

an

d

Ho

spit

aliz

atio

n

7-day Daily AverageReported Cases

Average Confirmed CasesHospitalized

7-day Daily AverageReported Deaths

Page 5: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Unadjusted Case Rate per 100,000 for Los Angeles County by Vaccination StatusMay 1 – July 3, 2021

On July 3rd, cases were 5.1 times more likely to be unvaccinated than vaccinated

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Unvaccinated

Vaccinated

Page 6: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Case Incidence Rate Hospitalization Rate % Vaccinated

Race/Ethnicity June 5 July 3 June 5 July 3 July 11

Black 40 97 8.5 12.5 45%

Latinx 21 38 5.9 6.7 55%

White 17 39 3.4 3.2 66%

Asian 6 17 1.8 2.0 76%

Age-Adjusted Case, Hospitalization, and Death Rates per 100,000 Peopleby Race and Ethnicity

Over Two-Week Periods ending June 5 and July 3, 2021

Page 7: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

LAC Cases Caused by Variants of Concern by Specimen Collection DateIdentified by PHL and Other California Laboratories

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Seq

uen

ces

rep

ort

ed t

o L

AC

DP

H

Specimen Collection Date (Week Ending)

Delta B.1.617.2

Zeta P.2

Gamma P.1

Lambda C.37

B.1.617.3

Kappa B.1.617.1

Iota B.1.526/526.1

Eta B.1.525

Epsilon B.1.427/B.1.429

Beta B.1.351

Alpha B.1.1.7

Page 8: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Percentage of Sequenced Specimens That Were Delta Variantby Week of Sequenced Specimen Collection Date, LAC

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Del

ta v

aria

nt

spec

imen

ts s

equ

ence

d

Week Ending

Delta Variant, Cases and Percentage of Specimens Sequenced, by Week of Specimen Collection

% delta variant

Page 9: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Post-Vaccination Infections Among LAC Cases Tested for Variants Among Specimens Collected June 2021

91% 86% 92% 89%

9% 14% 8% 11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

AlphaB.1.1.7

DeltaB.1.617.2/AY.1/AY.2

Gamma P.1

Other lineages

Fully vaccinated and finaldose 14 days or morebefore episode date

Not fully vaccinated

variants

Page 10: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

COVID-19 Vaccine UpdateAs of July 11, 2021

Total Doses Administered 10,712,037

First Doses 5,948,447

Second Doses 4,763,590

LAC Residents with ≥1 Dose 5,777,184

LAC Residents Fully Vaccinated 5,067,109

Page 11: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

First Doses Administered Weekly Among All Eligible Persons

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

450,000

500,000

1st

do

ses

adm

inis

tere

d

COVID-19 surge

65+ openedSnowstorm

12-15 start

Phase 1B

50+, universal in hard-hit areas

J&J pause

Beyond the Blueprint reopening

Page 12: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Cumulative Percent of Population Who Have Received at Least 1 Dose of Vaccine, by Week and Age Group

Age Group June 11, 2021 July 11, 2021 Relative % Increase

12-15 32% 41% 30%16-17 49% 55% 12%18-29 54% 58% 7%30-49 63% 66% 5%50-64 72% 74% 3%65-79 90% 92% 1%80+ 76% 77% 1%

533,159 (10%) residents were 35 days or more overdue for their second dose

Page 13: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

7-day cumulative case rates* per 100,000 people, by Age groupJune 1, 2021 to July 7, 2021

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

7-d

ay c

um

ula

tive

cas

e ra

tes

7-day cumulative rates - Age 0 to 11

7-day cumulative rates - Age 12 to 17

7-day cumulative rates - Age 18 to 29

7-day cumulative rates - Age 30 to 49

7-day cumulative rates - Age 50 to 64

* Crude rates

Page 14: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Cumulative Percent of Population 16 and Older Who Have Received at Least 1 Dose of Vaccine, by Race/Ethnicity

Race/Ethnicity June 11, 2021 July 11, 2021Relative % Increase

Black/African American 43% 45% 5.3%Latinx 52% 55% 5.2%American Indian/Alaska Native* 60% 63% 5.5%White 64% 66% 2.3%Asian 74% 76% 2.8%NHOPI** 115% 119% 3.6%

*Likely an overestimate due to inclusion of multiracial people**NHOPI estimates not reliable due to high likelihood of inaccuracies

Page 15: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Where Can We Close Vaccination Gaps?Percent of LA County Residents With At Least 1 Dose of Vaccine

as of July 11, 2021

12-15 16-17 18-29 30-49 50-64 65-79 80+

Black/African American 20 27 29 39 53 69 61

Latinx 29 43 43 51 66 80 61

American Indian/Alaska Native* 42 53 60 66 58 69 65

White 46 59 59 63 61 83 72

Asian 71 82 77 74 75 85 68

*Likely an overestimate due to inclusion of multiracial people

Page 16: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Vaccination Sites in LA County

Page 17: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Mobile Vaccine Units in LA County

Page 18: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Outreach and Education Efforts

• Pilot project: vaccinating close contacts of cases engaged in contact tracing

• Thank-you gift cards for completing case investigation interviews

• Partnerships with Parks After Dark, McDonald’s, YMCA, and others to bring vaccinations to community events

Page 19: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Covid Among Fully Vaccinated People in LACAs of July 13, 2021

4,769,828 fully vaccinated

4,122 tested positive

213 hospitalized

26 died

Of fully vaccinated people:• 0.09% tested positive • 0.0045% hospitalized for Covid • 0.0005% died

Page 20: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Protecting Children from Covid

• New K-12 guidance from state requiring everyone inside schools to wear a face covering

• The risk to children for severe illness and hospitalization is low but not zero

• Preventing transmission in children prevents transmission in adults

Page 21: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

Planning to Vaccinate Schoolchildren with Pfizer

2nd

1st

Page 22: CDC Indicators and Thresholds for Community Transmission

covid19.lacounty.gov 7/15/2021

• Enter the sweepstakes to win entrance to one of 7 sets of event tickets• 1st and 2nd-dose recipients

• Enter the sweepstakes by getting your vaccine between this Friday and next Thursday at:• LA County sites• LA City sites• St. John’s Well Child and Family Center sites• More sites to come

• Go to VaccinateLACounty.com to find a location near you

• THANK YOU TO THE STAPLES CENTER!

To Thank You for Getting Vaccinated