ceat investor presentation nov'14
TRANSCRIPT
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2
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Indian Tyre Industry: Robust Fundamentals
4
Domestic Tyre Industry: An Overview
235
293
355 367 382
FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
OEM
32%
Replacement
68%
MHCV
49%
LCV
7%
Cars &
UVs
18%
Tractors
11%
2/3
Wheelers
12%
Others
3%
Break up by End Use1 Break up by Customer1
Competitive LandscapeMarket Share2
MRF Ltd.
27%
Apollo Tyres
Ltd.
19%
JK Tyre & Inds.
Ltd.
13%
CEAT
12%
Others
29%
• The domestic tyre industry has grown at a CAGR of
12.9% driven by robust growth in the Indian
automobile industry
• Commercial vehicles (M&HCV and LCV) account
for > 50% of the domestic market
• Top 4 players account for ~ 70% market share
Turnover (Rs Bn)
Source CRISIL
1. Based on total tonnage of 15,92,000 in FY’14
2. Market share of FY’14 as per CRISIL based on turnover
OEM Production across Key Segments
OEM Demand is likely to rebound on Economic Revival
5
OEM
560
523
504
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
9-11%
FY'15P
(000’ Tonnes) Growth
Replacement
978
1,0551,088
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
5-7%
FY'15P
(000’ Tonnes) Growth
385281
222
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
(‘000s)
M&
HC
V 6%
H1 FY'15 (YOY)¹
Growth rates
Improved Economic Growth and Consumer Sentiment will drive sales across categories (M&HCV, PC + UV
and 2/3 Wheeler)
PC
+ U
V 3,146
3,231
3,066
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
(‘000s) Growth rates
3%
H1 FY'15 (YOY)¹
2/3
Wh
ee
ler
15,42815,744
16,879
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
(‘000s) Growth rates
18%
H1 FY'15 (YOY)¹
Source CRISIL
1. Growth in H1 FY’15 is over H1 FY’14
Radialisation Trend
6
Radialisation in M&HCV and LCV Segment to gain momentum on back of improved road infrastructure , launch of multi-
axle vehicles and stricter regulation
Source: ATMA
M&HCV & Passenger Cars(%)
3%4%
6%
10%
12%
18%
22%
25%
95% 95%
97% 97%
98% 98% 98% 98%
80%
84%
88%
92%
96%
100%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY'11 FY'12 FY'13 FY'14
M&HVC (LHS) Passenger Cars (RHS)
Raw Material Price Trend
7
3.0
1.7
184.6
123.3
100
120
140
160
180
200
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14
International ($ per Kg) (LHS) Domestic (Rs per Kg) (RHS)
Rubber Prices have fallen due to weak global demand amidst an increase in supply
102.1
82.680.0
85.0
90.0
95.0
100.0
105.0
110.0
115.0
1-Sep-12 23-Dec-12 15-Apr-13 6-Aug-13 27-Nov-13 20-Mar-14 11-Jul-14 4-Nov-14
Natural Rubber
Brent Crude Oil (US$/bbl)
Source CRISIL
Source Bloomberg
RPG Group : Overview
9
TYRE INFRASTRUCTURE
IT SPECIALITY
PHARMA
PLANTATIONS
POWER / TELECOM
ANCILLARY
����RPG Group is a leading Business Group
in India
����Diversified business operations with Diversified business operations with
presence in key sectors of the
economy
���� Over 20,000 employees
CEAT : Overview
10
CEAT Distribution Reach
India
Sri Lanka
88 countries where
CEAT Products were sold
in FY’14
• Leading Tyre Company in India with
over 50 yrs of presence
• 4th Largest Company in India with
Market Share of ~ 12%1
• Manufacturing Facilities in Bhandup,
Nashik and Halol
• Pan India Distribution Network
comprising of 3,500+ Dealers and 300+
CEAT Franchisees (CEAT Shoppe + CEAT
Hubs)
• Presence through 50% interest in a JV
with Kelani Tyres Ltd
• Strong presence in the Sri Lankan tyre
market
• Sri Lanka JV companies operates from
two manufacturing facilities in Sri Lanka
Note
1. Market share of FY’14 as per CRISIL based on turnover
3 Pronged Growth Strategy…
11
Effective Implementation of Business Strategy resulting in Improved Profitability
• Strong Brand Recall
• Barriers to Entry
• Proven Model in Sri Lanka
• Replicate in Bangladesh
• Competitive Advantage
• CEAT Global Brand
Passenger
segment1
Emerging
markets
Exports
Focus on
Profitable
Growth
Brand
Building
Channel
Expansion
R&D
Capability
Note
1. Consists of Two Wheeler, Passenger Cars and Utility Vehicles sub segments
…resulting in Favourable change in Business Mix
12
Gross Sales1 by Customer
Gradual shift towards profitable segments and radial tyres
Gross Sales1 by End Use Gross Sales1 by Tyre Type
Replacement
64%
OEM 16%
Exports 20%
FY’12
Replacement
61%
OEM 21%
Exports 18%
FY’14
Bias 87%
Radial 13%
FY’12
FY’14
Bias 81%
Radial 19%
Truck & Bus
53%
2/3 Wheeler
12%
LCV 10%
Cars & Uvs 6%
Farm &
Speciality 15%Last Mile 4%
FY’12
FY’14
Truck & Bus
46%
Two Wheeler²
17%
LCV 8%
Cars & Uvs 9%
Farm &
Speciality 14% Last Mile 5%
Note
1. Gross Sales represents Standalone Gross Sale of Products (Including excise Duty before discount)
Passenger Segment1: Overview and Strategy
13
• Achieved higher than industry growth in both the 2 Wheeler as well as PC + UV categories
• Partner of choice for many 2 Wheeler OEMs
• Increased share of business with leading passenger car OEMs mainly due to ability to produce low rolling resistant passenger car radial tyres
• Aim to further strengthen position by building brand loyalty through
• Product innovations and differentiated customer services
• Innovative marketing campaigns
• Optimum mix of in-house vs outsourced production
Gross Sales2 (Rs mn) Market Share3
6,088
10,652
FY'12 FY'14
2 Wheelers Passenger Car & Utility Vehicle
(PC + UV)
3,224
5,557
FY'12 FY'14
Notes1. Consists of Two Wheeler, Passenger Cars and Utility Vehicles sub segments2. Gross Sales represents Standalone Gross Sale of Products (Including excise Duty before discount)3. Market share data in FY’12 and H1 FY’14 is based on production (No of tyres) of CEAT and industry production as per ATMA for respective period
2 Wheelers Passenger Car & Utility Vehicle
(PC + UV)
5%
8%
FY'12 H1 FY'14
8%
14%
FY'12 H1 FY'14
Emerging Markets: Overview and Strategy
14
• Presence through CEAT Kelani Ltd : a 50% JV with Kelani Tyres Ltd
• CEAT Kelani Ltd has a strong presence in the truck, light truck, three-wheeler, two-wheeler and other radial tyre segments in Sri Lanka
• Sri Lanka JV companies operate from two manufacturing facilities in Sri Lanka with total capacity2 of 61 tonnes per day
• Manufacturing within Sri Lanka enables avoidance of import duty on tyres thereby enabling CEAT Kelani Ltd to competitively price
products
• Plans to replicate the Sri Lankan success in Bangladesh (through a 70:30 JV with AK Khan & Company Ltd) with the aim to cater to local
and eastern part of Indian market
• Setting up a manufacturing plant with an initial capacity of 65 tonnes per day that is likely to be operational by end CY’15
• Commencement of seed marketing campaign to prepare for product launch
• Imports from Bangladesh to India enjoy zero basic customs duty
Sri
La
nk
aB
an
gla
de
sh
Revenue
(SL Rs mn)
EBITDA1 (SL Rs mn) &
EBITDA Margin (%)
PAT
(SL Rs mn)
EBITDA
Margin 12.2% 20.1%
Net Worth
(SL Rs mn)
4,357
4,889
FY'12 FY'14
532
983
FY'12 FY'14
316
687
FY'12 FY'14
1,071
1,924
FY'12 FY'14
Notes
1. EBITDA = Profit before taxation + Depreciation and Amortization Exps + Finance Costs
2. Capacity refers to achievable capacity
Investment in Brand Building
Key Catalysts of Growth
15
“Monsoon Smart”“Monsoon Smart”
“Be Idiot Safe”“Be Idiot Safe” SUV Tyre CampaignSUV Tyre Campaign
Other InitiativesOther Initiatives
Effie Award Winning Campaigns Branded Campaign Others
Key Catalysts of Growth (Cont’d)
16
����
Strong R&D Capability
• State of the Art R&D Facility set up in Halol plant in 2011
• Capabilities include three dimensional modeling and
prototyping, tyre building, nanotechnology, structural and
noise simulations amongst others
• Introduced over 100 new products/ variants in FY’14
• Research focused on new product development, alternate
materials, green tyres as well as projects to reduce tyre
weight and material cost to improve margins
• Partnerships with institutes of global repute such as Indian
Institute of Technology
• Strong team of 70+ employees as on Sept’14
GRIPPGRIPP DHOOM SeriesDHOOM Series CZARCZAR
R&D led recent Product Launches
Pan India Distribution Network
17 warehouses
including
distribution centers
150 retail franchisees
branded as CEAT
Shoppe for PC + UV
segment
3,500+
Dealers
Direct coverage to the 2 Wheeler market by establishing 2
– step distribution network to directly reach mechanic
shops that service 2 – wheeler vehicles
Other
Initiatives
189 CEAT Hubs for
truck tyres
Financial Overview¹
17
46,52750,522
55,540
29,003
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 H1 FY'15
Growth 28.1% 8.6% 9.9%
2,737
4,379
6,579
3,128
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 H1 FY'15
EBITDA
Margin 5.9% 10.9%
PAT and RoE2
(Rs mn)
182
1,202
2,712
1,340
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 H1 FY'15
RoE 2.7% 15.3% 26.4%
Total Debt³ and Total Debt/ Net Worth(Rs mn)
11,049
8,288
10,202
7,914
FY'12 FY'13 FY'14 H1 FY'15
Total Debt/
Net Worth1.6x 1.0x 0.7x 1.1x
8.7% 11.9%
23.3%
Notes1. Numbers for FY12, FY13 and FY14 are based on the audited consolidated financial statements; numbers for H1FY15 are based
on the auditors’ review report on interim condensed consolidated financial statements2. EBITDA: Earnings before Depreciation & Amortization, Interest and Tax; RoE: Return on Equity on closing networth. For H1 FY’15
PAT has been annualized to compute RoE
3. Total Debt = LT debt + ST Debt excluding Current maturities of Long Term Debt
Net Revenue from Operations and its Growth(Rs mn)
EBITDA² and EBITDA Margin (Rs mn)