center for deliberative democracy deliberative polling ®

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Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

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Page 1: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Page 2: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Deliberative Polling ®

Page 3: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Deliberative Polling is:

• A scientific form of public consultation

• A way to listen to the voice of the people after they have thought about an issue

• A way to achieve democratic legitimacy for intelligent public policy decisions

Page 4: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Why should Deliberative Polling be used to consult the public on energy policy?

Page 5: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Because the intelligent public policy decisions

reached by Deliberative Polling will carry

legitimacy in the public eye just as they have

been seen to be legitimate in the past by governments, advocacy groups, citizens and the

media.

Page 6: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

• Decisions are made by a scientifically

selected sample which is representative of

the entire society.

• Decisions are made based on balanced

briefings and question & answer sessions

with balanced panels of experts.

This is because of three things:

Page 7: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

• Decisions are made after discussion with good information.

Knowledge Gains

Time 1 Time 2 Difference

(CPL) Which Fuel Releases Most Emissions?

0.60 0.73 0.13

(CPL) What Agency Regulates Electric Rates?

0.25 0.75 0.50

(TU) Which Fuel is Used by Most Plants

0.17 0.56 0.39

Selected Knowledge Gains: (CPL)= Central Power and Light in Corpus Christi

(TU)= Texas Utilities in Dallas

Page 8: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll

Percent supporting requiring higher mileage from cars, even if it means less powerful cars

65%74%

Before After

Page 9: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Illustrative Preference Changes

Average of 8 Utility Deliberative Polls Time 1 Time 2

Percentage willing to pay extra for increased 52% 84%wind and solar power

52%

84%

Time 1 Time 2

Page 10: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

RenewableResources

ReduceNeed

Fossil Fuel Buy andTransport

PRE Event Willingness to Pay for Resource Options(median response)

CPL

SWEPCO

WTU

EL PASO

HL&P

ENT

SPS

TU

Page 11: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

$0.00

$1.00

$2.00

$3.00

$4.00

$5.00

$6.00

$7.00

RenewableResources

ReduceNeed

Fossil Fuel Buy andTransport

POST Event Willingness to Pay for Resource Options(median response)

CPL

SWEPCO

WTU

EL PASO

HL&P

ENT

SPS

TU

Page 12: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Utility Deliberative Poll

Page 13: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll

Percent supporting requiring cleaner electricityproduction, even if it means higher rates

46%56%

Before After

Page 14: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

2003 “By the people” Online Deliberative Poll

Percent saying that human activity is cause of global warming

63%72%

Before After

Page 15: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

Illustrative Preference Changes

Average of 8 Utility Deliberative Polls Time 1 Time 2

Percentage willing to pay more to reduce the 43% 73%need for electricity (demand side management)

43%

73%

Time 1 Time 2

Page 16: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

What has been the impact of these eight Deliberative Polls on

Energy Policy in Texas?

Page 17: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

While Texas utilities were still regulated, Deliberative Polls prompted the construction of multiple wind farms including the second largest array of windmills in America.

Page 18: Center for Deliberative Democracy Deliberative Polling ®

As a direct consequence of these Deliberative Polls, when Texas utilities were deregulated in 1999, a Renewable Portfolio Standard was included in legislation restructuring utilities. “The state of Texas estimates that more megawatts of renewable energy came on-line as a result of the RPS program than has in the past 100 years. After the RPS was implemented, Texas wind corporations and utilities invested $1 billion in wind power, creating jobs, adding to the Texas Permanent School Fund and increasing the rural tax base. The RPS was so successful that its 10-year goal was met in just over six years. Wind power development has more than quadrupled since 1999”. Texas currently leads America in wind power production. http://www.seco.cpa.state.tx.us/

re_rps-portfolio.htm