central asia: consumption booms while exports …...lower imports in china, vietnam, and bangladesh...

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Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board/USDA

Central Asia: Consumption Booms While Exports Falter

Note: Central Asia countries include (from highest to lowest consumption) Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Kyrgyzstan

Central Asia cotton consumption is expanding significantly as countries implement political measures to

curb exports and to support value-added use. Share of world exports has dropped per annum since

2015/16 as 2019/20 shipments

are projected to be less than half

of the region’s exports just 4

years earlier. With stable

production, major producing

countries such as Uzbekistan,

Turkmenistan, and Tajikistan

have sought to secure greater

domestic supplies for inward

processing and downstream

exports (e.g. cotton yarn, fabric,

and garments).

Uzbekistan banned exports

starting this month, a similar

measure to Turkmenistan

banning exports in 2018/19 (for a

brief period); Tajikistan had also

discussed following the same measure. Uzbekistan comprises the bulk of production and use, with the

2019/20 forecast accounting for more than three-fourths of the region’s total consumption. Government

funding and support for cotton “clusters” has encouraged foreign and domestic companies to implement

1%

3%

5%

7%

9%

11%

13%

0

1

2

3

4

5

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Mil

. B

ales

Record Consumption in Central Asia

Use (left axis) % of World Exports (right axis)

United States

Department of

Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service January 2020

Cotton:

World Markets and Trade

a more fully integrated supply chain.1 These companies are expected to improve efficiency of lint

production via drip irrigation and machine harvesters (versus handpicked), expand spinning mills’

operating capacity, and further develop fabric and garment manufacturing as they shift to exports of

value-added cotton products versus unprocessed lint. Expanded capacity is evident with record first

quarter (Aug - Oct) cotton yarn exports for the respective period.

Note: August – October global reported cotton yarn imports from respective Central Asia countries;

2019/20 represents August 2019 – October 2019 reported imports

Greater government and foreign investment has also been evident in Tajikistan, as the government

proposed to establish a full cycle of processing cotton by 2025. The country has recently expanded

spinning capacity with additional government and Chinese investment. Turkmenistan, the region’s

second-largest producer, temporarily embargoed exports in 2018/19 (record low volume) to ensure

adequate supplies for domestic consumers.

Challenges in regard to expanding exports of processed products include consistent and sufficient

domestic crops, affordable electricity, reliable and timely transportation for exports, and mill access to

financing. Nonetheless, Central Asia’s 2019/20 cotton consumption is forecast at a record, in contrast to

lower consumption expected in China and anemic growth in Vietnam. Future growth in Central Asia is

expected due to significant political objectives in the region.

Overview

For 2019/20, the January forecast shows less production and beginning stocks. Production is lowered

again for India, Pakistan, Australia, and Turkey. Consumption is largely unchanged with higher

consumption in Uzbekistan offsetting lower use in Bangladesh and Vietnam. Global trade is down with

lower imports in China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh coupled with lower exports for Australia, India, and

Uzbekistan. The U.S. forecast is mostly unchanged from last month, with slightly lower production and

ending stocks, and the U.S. season-average farm price is raised 2 cents to 63 cents per pound.

For current prices received by farmers click here; NASS farm price

1 For more information regarding Uzbekistan please see the December Cotton and Products Update.

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Met

ric

To

ns

(1,0

00

)

First Quarter Cotton Yarn Exports Soar (Aug - Oct)

Uzbekistan Turkmenistan Azerbaijan Tajikistan Kazakhstan

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA 2 January 2020Global Market Analysis

https://usda.library.cornell.edu/concern/publications/c821gj76b?locale=en

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=Cotton%20and%20Products%20Update_Tashkent_Uzbekistan%20-%20Republic%20of_11-30-2019

Prices

The A-index and the U.S. spot prices continued to rally, supported in part by optimistic market

sentiment about the U.S.-China trade situation.

For more information on U.S. spot price click here; AMS Cotton Market News

Jan-20, 78.3

Jan-20, 65.2

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

Ja

n-1

7

Feb

-17

Ma

r-1

7

Ap

r-17

Ma

y-1

7

Ju

n-1

7

Ju

l-17

Au

g-1

7

Sep

-17

Oct-1

7

No

v-1

7

Dec-1

7

Ja

n-1

8

Feb

-18

Ma

r-1

8

Ap

r-18

Ma

y-1

8

Ju

n-1

8

Ju

l-18

Au

g-1

8

Sep

-18

Oct-1

8

No

v-1

8

Dec-1

8

Ja

n-1

9

Feb

-19

Ma

r-1

9

Ap

r-19

Ma

y-1

9

Ju

n-1

9

Ju

l-19

Au

g-1

9

Sep

-19

Oct-1

9

No

v-1

9

Dec-1

9

Ja

n-2

0ce

nts

/lb

.

Monthly Average Cotton Prices

A-Index U.S. Spot Price


http://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/cotton

2019/20 TRADE OUTLOOK

Major Importers:

Change Current Prev. Reason

WORLD - 44,833 44,383

China -500 8,500 9,000

Lower

consumption and

slow first quarter

imports

Bangladesh -100 7,200 7,300 Weakening

apparel exports

Pakistan 100 4,300 4,200 Lower crop

Turkey 100 4,100 4,000 Lower crop

Vietnam -100 7,100 7,200

Weak import pace

and less

consumption

Major Exporters:

Change Current Prev. Reason

WORLD - 44,848 44,398

Uzbekistan -200 300 500 Announced export

restrictions

India -200 3,800 4,000

Slow first quarter

exports and

concerns

regarding quality

Australia -150 1,350 1,500 Smaller crop

Mali -100 1,300 1,400 Smaller crop

Note: 1,000 Bales (480-lbs)

The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database

for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand

Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This publication is released by 12:15 p.m.

FAS Reports and Databases:

Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads

Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online):


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/downloads

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home

Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports:

World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Questions may be directed to:

James Johnson (202) 690-1546 ([email protected])

Graham Soley (202) 772-4235 ([email protected])


https://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/app/index.html#/app/home

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Australia

-25000-1500-1750-20 2019/20

Bangladesh

-200-1000-1000-300000 2018/19

-200-1000-1000-1000-2000 2019/20

Burkina

0000500500-25 2019/20

China

-5000000-500000 2019/20

Cote d'Ivoire

50000005000 2018/19

5000050050500 2019/20

India

200000-2000000 2019/20

Mali

-40000-1000-1400-40 2019/20

Mexico

-10-500-500-50-1000 2019/20

Pakistan

00000100-10000 2019/20

South Africa

-600000-600 2018/19

-6000000-60 2019/20

Turkey

-1000000100-20000 2019/20

United States

-100-4-4000-1040-285 2019/20

Uzbekistan

02000200-2000000 2019/20

Vietnam

0-1000-1000-100000 2019/20


Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Continued)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

World

World

-156-1000-1000-3004400 2018/19

-731-54-4-50-550-550-629-156-370 2019/20


Table 01 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 MT)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Dec

2019/20

Jan

2019/20

Production none

5,639 India 5,879 6,314 5,617 6,423 6,423

4,790 China 4,953 5,987 6,042 5,933 5,933

2,806 United States 3,738 4,555 3,999 4,399 4,377

1,289 Brazil 1,528 2,007 2,726 2,722 2,722

1,524 Pakistan 1,676 1,785 1,655 1,350 1,328

827 Uzbekistan 811 840 713 762 762

577 Turkey 697 871 806 784 740

3,485 Other 3,943 4,589 4,165 3,996 3,947

20,937 Total 23,226 26,951 25,722 26,368 26,231

USE Dom. Consumption none

7,838 China 8,382 8,927 8,600 8,382 8,382

5,389 India 5,302 5,258 5,225 5,334 5,334

2,243 Pakistan 2,243 2,373 2,330 2,308 2,308

1,372 Bangladesh 1,481 1,633 1,589 1,611 1,589

1,459 Turkey 1,426 1,622 1,502 1,546 1,546

980 Vietnam 1,176 1,437 1,524 1,568 1,546

675 Brazil 697 740 740 740 740

4,699 Other 4,589 4,738 4,657 4,696 4,729

24,654 Total 25,295 26,728 26,168 26,186 26,175

Imports none

959 China 1,096 1,243 2,099 1,960 1,851

1,388 Bangladesh 1,481 1,655 1,502 1,589 1,568

1,002 Vietnam 1,197 1,524 1,502 1,568 1,546

718 Pakistan 533 740 621 914 936

918 Turkey 801 876 762 871 893

640 Indonesia 738 766 664 675 675

233 India 596 365 392 479 479

1,858 Other 1,766 1,792 1,647 1,607 1,597

7,717 Total 8,208 8,962 9,189 9,663 9,544

Exports none

1,993 United States 3,248 3,544 3,214 3,592 3,592

939 Brazil 607 909 1,310 1,916 1,916

1,255 India 991 1,128 764 871 827

209 Greece 221 234 295 337 337

142 Benin 174 218 305 305 305

616 Australia 812 852 791 327 294

218 Mali 239 283 294 305 283

2,184 Other 1,948 1,870 2,028 2,014 1,992

7,555 Total 8,241 9,039 9,001 9,667 9,547

Ending Stocks none

12,345 China 9,998 8,272 7,766 7,238 7,129

1,534 India 1,716 2,009 2,028 2,725 2,768

1,243 Brazil 1,509 1,885 2,564 2,635 2,635

827 United States 599 914 1,056 1,197 1,176

569 Pakistan 504 616 543 472 472

334 Turkey 333 387 347 380 358

330 Bangladesh 355 404 344 393 349

2,446 Other 2,468 3,114 2,668 2,448 2,441

19,628 Total 17,481 17,601 17,316 17,488 17,329


Table 02 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 Bales)

2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19

Dec

2019/20

Jan

2019/20

Production none

5,920 Brazil 7,020 9,220 12,520 12,500 12,500

22,000 China 22,750 27,500 27,750 27,250 27,250

25,900 India 27,000 29,000 25,800 29,500 29,500

7,000 Pakistan 7,700 8,200 7,600 6,200 6,100

2,650 Turkey 3,200 4,000 3,700 3,600 3,400

12,888 United States 17,170 20,923 18,367 20,206 20,102

3,800 Uzbekistan 3,725 3,860 3,275 3,500 3,500

16,005 Other 18,112 21,079 19,129 18,352 18,127

96,163 Total 106,677 123,782 118,141 121,108 120,479

USE Dom. Consumption none

6,300 Bangladesh 6,800 7,500 7,300 7,400 7,300

3,100 Brazil 3,200 3,400 3,400 3,400 3,400

36,000 China 38,500 41,000 39,500 38,500 38,500

24,750 India 24,350 24,150 24,000 24,500 24,500

3,000 Indonesia 3,300 3,500 3,150 3,100 3,100

10,300 Pakistan 10,300 10,900 10,700 10,600 10,600

6,700 Turkey 6,550 7,450 6,900 7,100 7,100

3,450 United States 3,250 3,225 2,975 3,000 3,000

1,800 Uzbekistan 2,000 2,500 2,800 3,100 3,300

4,500 Vietnam 5,400 6,600 7,000 7,200 7,100

13,332 Other 12,527 12,536 12,464 12,368 12,318

113,232 Total 116,177 122,761 120,189 120,268 120,218

Imports none

6,375 Bangladesh 6,800 7,600 6,900 7,300 7,200

4,406 China 5,032 5,710 9,640 9,000 8,500

1,072 India 2,736 1,677 1,800 2,200 2,200

2,941 Indonesia 3,391 3,517 3,051 3,100 3,100

443 Malaysia 392 739 744 750 750

975 Mexico 1,000 925 850 850 800

3,300 Pakistan 2,450 3,400 2,850 4,200 4,300

1,275 Thailand 1,226 1,149 1,075 1,000 1,000

4,218 Turkey 3,679 4,024 3,499 4,000 4,100

4,600 Vietnam 5,500 7,000 6,900 7,200 7,100

5,839 Other 5,491 5,419 4,894 4,783 4,783

35,444 Total 37,697 41,160 42,203 44,383 43,833

Exports none

2,828 Australia 3,731 3,915 3,632 1,500 1,350

650 Benin 800 1,000 1,400 1,400 1,400

4,314 Brazil 2,789 4,174 6,018 8,800 8,800

1,080 Burkina 1,155 1,225 940 925 975

550 Cameroon 500 400 575 600 600

780 Cote d'Ivoire 625 620 895 950 1,000

959 Greece 1,017 1,076 1,355 1,550 1,550

5,764 India 4,550 5,182 3,511 4,000 3,800

1,000 Mali 1,100 1,300 1,350 1,400 1,300

9,153 United States 14,917 16,279 14,763 16,500 16,500

7,623 Other 6,668 6,343 6,904 6,773 6,573

34,701 Total 37,852 41,514 41,343 44,398 43,848

Ending Stocks none

1,515 Bangladesh 1,630 1,855 1,580 1,805 1,605

5,709 Brazil 6,929 8,657 11,776 12,101 12,101

56,698 China 45,919 37,993 35,670 33,245 32,745

7,044 India 7,880 9,225 9,314 12,514 12,714

2,615 Pakistan 2,315 2,830 2,495 2,170 2,170

1,533 Turkey 1,528 1,777 1,594 1,744 1,644

3,800 United States 2,750 4,200 4,850 5,500 5,400

11,235 Other 11,337 14,301 12,254 11,244 11,213

90,149 Total 80,288 80,838 79,533 80,323 79,592


Table 04 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Jan 2017/18 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2017/18

Prel.

2018/19 Dec Dec

Prel.

2018/19 Jan

Prel.

2018/19 Dec Jan Percent

2019/20 Proj.2019/20 Proj. 2019/20 Proj.

2017/18

33.73World 1.982.34-0.52-0.63120.4833.54 34.87 34.50 799 767 756 760 123.78 118.14 121.11

4.49United States 9.451.74-0.51-0.1020.104.13 5.06 4.78 1,014 968 869 916 20.92 18.37 20.21

29.23Total Foreign 0.600.60-0.52-0.53100.3829.41 29.81 29.72 766 739 737 735 102.86 99.77 100.90

none

Western Hemisphere

1.18 Brazil -0.16-0.020.000.0012.501.62 1.62 1.62 1,708 1,683 1,680 1,680 9.22 12.52 12.50

0.21 Mexico -9.51-0.17-0.63-0.011.570.24 0.23 0.23 1,617 1,555 1,529 1,519 1.56 1.74 1.58

0.32 Argentina -10.71-0.120.000.001.000.38 0.36 0.36 558 642 605 605 0.82 1.12 1.00

0.01 Paraguay 0.000.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 416 416 416 416 0.02 0.02 0.02

0.02 Peru -9.57-0.010.000.000.090.02 0.02 0.02 1,118 1,077 1,028 1,028 0.08 0.09 0.09

0.01 Colombia 16.670.010.000.000.070.01 0.02 0.02 968 1,306 1,016 1,016 0.04 0.06 0.07

Africa

0.85 Burkina 17.650.155.260.051.000.63 0.60 0.58 307 294 345 379 1.20 0.85 0.95

0.71 Mali 6.300.08-9.40-0.141.350.73 0.78 0.74 432 381 419 400 1.40 1.27 1.49

0.33 Cote d'Ivoire 8.110.085.260.051.000.39 0.43 0.43 536 514 487 512 0.81 0.93 0.95

0.23 Cameroon 7.500.050.000.000.650.25 0.26 0.26 484 523 540 540 0.50 0.60 0.65

0.53 Benin 3.570.050.000.001.450.65 0.68 0.68 468 469 468 468 1.14 1.40 1.45

0.12 Chad 125.000.050.000.000.090.06 0.13 0.13 181 145 151 151 0.10 0.04 0.09

0.16 Togo 3.920.010.000.000.270.18 0.19 0.19 299 308 312 312 0.22 0.26 0.27

0.02 Senegal -13.790.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 359 301 320 320 0.03 0.03 0.03

0.09 Egypt -30.00-0.150.000.000.350.14 0.10 0.10 718 772 762 762 0.30 0.50 0.35

0.20 Zimbabwe -5.00-0.010.000.000.190.20 0.20 0.20 294 218 207 207 0.27 0.20 0.19

0.27 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.240.27 0.27 0.27 190 190 190 190 0.24 0.24 0.24

Asia Oceania

3.40 China -1.80-0.500.000.0027.253.50 3.45 3.45 1,761 1,726 1,720 1,720 27.50 27.75 27.25

12.60 India 14.343.700.000.0029.5012.60 13.00 13.00 501 446 494 494 29.00 25.80 29.50

2.70 Pakistan -19.74-1.50-1.61-0.106.102.30 2.50 2.50 661 719 540 531 8.20 7.60 6.20

0.13 Kazakhstan 4.350.020.000.000.360.13 0.12 0.12 523 587 670 670 0.30 0.35 0.36

0.19 Tajikistan 6.020.030.000.000.440.18 0.18 0.18 671 502 532 532 0.57 0.42 0.44

0.55 Turkmenistan 9.890.090.000.001.000.55 0.55 0.55 535 364 399 399 1.34 0.91 1.00

1.25 Uzbekistan 6.870.230.000.003.501.10 1.05 1.05 672 648 726 726 3.86 3.28 3.50

0.47 Turkey -8.11-0.30-5.56-0.203.400.52 0.56 0.56 1,853 1,549 1,400 1,322 4.00 3.70 3.60

0.53 Australia -69.32-1.53-20.59-0.180.680.38 0.08 0.06 1,972 1,261 2,313 2,449 4.80 2.20 0.85

0.03 Syria 0.000.000.000.000.140.03 0.03 0.03 1,161 1,219 1,219 1,219 0.16 0.14 0.14

0.25 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.700.24 0.24 0.24 634 635 635 635 0.73 0.70 0.70

Europe

0.23 Greece 17.020.240.000.001.650.25 0.28 0.28 1,157 1,253 1,283 1,283 1.22 1.41 1.65

1.68Others 3.840.140.000.003.821.84 1.89 1.89 420 434 439 439 3.24 3.68 3.82

Note: Yeild for Total Foreign and Others is an incorrect calculation.


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2019/20

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 35030826536 Afghanistan 17

0 001211 Albania 1

30 00303500 Algeria 5

10 00152252 Angola 7

15 50005501,5311,000360 Argentina 481

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 1,3500352,24767560 Australia 862

15 00151800 Austria 3

0 350080511450140 Azerbaijan 81

40 00404800 Bahrain 8

7,200 0107,3008,91513544 Bangladesh 1,605

40 00404600 Belarus 6

30 100203600 Belgium-Luxembour 6

0 1,4000151,6781,450675 Benin 263

2 00101484 Bolivia 4

25 8,80003,40024,30112,5001,620 Brazil 12,101

25 003542102 Bulgaria 7

0 9750251,1401,000575 Burkina 140

75 50775994700240 Burma 214

1 001200 Cambodia 1

0 600020789645260 Cameroon 169

2 002200 Canada 0

0 3200443232 Central African Republic 12

0 9001015190130 Chad 51

0 000000 Chile 0

8,500 175038,50071,42027,2503,450 China 32,745

65 501301647015 Colombia 29

2 0017211530 Congo (Kinshasa) 4

42 00455711 Costa Rica 12

0 1,0000251,2801,000425 Cote d'Ivoire 255

0 000000 Croatia 0

10 00141644 Cuba 2

0 000000 Cyprus 0

7 007900 Czech Republic 2

0 000000 Denmark 0


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2019/20 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

1 004534 Dominican Republic 1

60 00708693 Ecuador 16

500 250106301,104350100 Egypt 214

180 0018022411 El Salvador 44

15 00151800 Estonia 3

40 10029536025080 Ethiopia 55

40 50354800 France 8

90 1008010600 Germany 16

0 20010392816 Ghana 9

30 1,55025901,7451,650280 Greece 80

150 0015018732 Guatemala 37

0 1400171412 Guinea 3

5 00101157 Haiti 1

26 00303542 Honduras 5

5 500800 Hong Kong 3

3 300300 Hungary 0

2,200 3,800024,50041,01429,50013,000 India 12,714

3,100 503,1003,63533 Indonesia 530

300 0057572027580 Iran 145

35 0050731510 Iraq 23

0 000000 Ireland 0

2 400456435 Israel 12

160 5015518100 Italy 21

215 0021524900 Japan 34

0 300065503360117 Kazakhstan 138

15 0040582530 Kenya 18

95 001502055519 Korea, North 55

700 5070086100 Korea, South 156

0 1100012011018 Kyrgyzstan 10

7 106900 Latvia 2

5 005600 Lebanon 1

90 009011500 Lesotho 25

0 000000 Lithuania 0

5 005600 Macedonia 1

0 10020453020 Madagascar 15


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 75051499080 Malawi 69

750 55003751,29600 Malaysia 371

0 1,3000251,8211,350735 Mali 496

120 0012014100 Mauritius 21

800 450251,9503,1351,570225 Mexico 710

70 00658200 Moldova 17

35 00354311 Morocco 8

0 11005200115125 Mozambique 85

15 00151700 Netherlands 2

0 90112104 Nicaragua 2

0 6031495 Niger 5

10 300200314235270 Nigeria 84

4,300 1002510,60012,8956,1002,500 Pakistan 2,170

0 000000 Panama 0

8 15014362111 Paraguay 7

220 503003928518 Peru 87

65 00657821 Philippines 13

17 00172000 Poland 3

170 0017021100 Portugal 41

1 001200 Romania 1

100 0011012900 Russia 19

0 2500302517 Senegal 5

8 0081000 Serbia 2

3 500600 Singapore 1

1 001100 Slovakia 0

8 0081000 Slovenia 2

3 001011712 Somalia 1

50 16009048521545 South Africa 235

15 27502035830065 Spain 63

5 00101255 Sri Lanka 2

0 500075739600200 Sudan 164

0 000000 Sweden 0

2 002300 Switzerland 1

0 5006516414025 Syria 49

600 0060074400 Taiwan 144


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 375070746440180 Tajikistan 301

0 2000175700400500 Tanzania 325

1,000 0251,0001,17921 Thailand 154

0 250015342265185 Togo 77

20 003035102 Tunisia 5

4,100 35007,1009,0943,400560 Turkey 1,644

0 25008251,6291,000545 Turkmenistan 554

0 11001522512575 Uganda 100

5 005600 Ukraine 1

2 002300 United Kingdom 1

5 16,500573,00024,95720,1024,777 United States 5,400

0 000000 Uruguay 0

0 30003,3004,6583,5001,050 Uzbekistan 1,058

15 00901208515 Venezuela 30

7,100 007,1008,29131 Vietnam 1,191

0 3025342818 Yemen 6

0 20005448210130 Zambia 243

0 1751030349190200 Zimbabwe 134

World

43,833 43,848187120,218243,845120,47934,498 World 79,592


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2019/20

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 807181436 Afghanistan 4

0 000001 Albania 0

7 007800 Algeria 1

2 003512 Angola 2

3 1090120333218360 Argentina 105

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 2940848914760 Australia 188

3 003400 Austria 1

0 7601711198140 Azerbaijan 18

9 0091000 Bahrain 2

1,568 021,5891,9412944 Bangladesh 349

9 0091000 Belarus 1


0 30503365316675 Benin 57

0 002324 Bolivia 1

5 1,91607405,2912,7221,620 Brazil 2,635

5 008922 Bulgaria 2

0 21205248218575 Burkina 30

16 10169216152240 Burma 47

0 000000 Cambodia 0

0 13104172140260 Cameroon 37

0 000000 Canada 0


0 20023320130 Chad 11

0 000000 Chile 0

1,851 3808,38215,5505,9333,450 China 7,129

14 1028361515 Colombia 6


9 00101201 Costa Rica 3

0 21805279218425 Cote d'Ivoire 56

0 000000 Croatia 0

2 003314 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2019/20 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country


13 00151923 Ecuador 3

109 54213724076100 Egypt 47

39 00394901 El Salvador 10

3 003400 Estonia 1

9 2064785480 Ethiopia 12

9 1081000 France 2

20 20172300 Germany 3

0 4028616 Ghana 2

7 337520380359280 Greece 17

33 00334112 Guatemala 8

0 3004312 Guinea 1

1 002217 Haiti 0

6 007812 Honduras 1


1 100100 Hungary 0

479 82705,3348,9306,42313,000 India 2,768

675 1067579113 Indonesia 115

65 001251576080 Iran 32

8 001116310 Iraq 5

0 000000 Ireland 0

0 9011295 Israel 3

35 10343900 Italy 5

47 00475400 Japan 7

0 6501411078117 Kazakhstan 30

3 00913530 Kenya 4

21 0033451219 Korea, North 12

152 1015218700 Korea, South 34

0 2400262418 Kyrgyzstan 2

2 001200 Latvia 0

1 001100 Lebanon 0

20 00202500 Lesotho 5



0 20410720 Madagascar 3


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 1601322080 Malawi 15

163 12008228200 Malaysia 81

0 28305396294735 Mali 108

26 00263100 Mauritius 5

174 985425683342225 Mexico 155

15 00141800 Moldova 4

8 008901 Morocco 2

0 24014425125 Mozambique 19



0 101325 Niger 1

2 70446851270 Nigeria 18

936 2252,3082,8081,3282,500 Pakistan 472

0 000000 Panama 0

2 3038511 Paraguay 2

48 1065851918 Peru 19


4 004400 Poland 1

37 00374600 Portugal 9

0 000000 Romania 0

22 00242800 Russia 4

0 5007517 Senegal 1

2 002200 Serbia 0


0 000000 Slovakia 0

2 002200 Slovenia 0

1 0022212 Somalia 0

11 350201064745 South Africa 51

3 6004786565 Spain 14

1 002315 Sri Lanka 0

0 109016161131200 Sudan 36

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 11014363025 Syria 11

131 0013116200 Taiwan 31


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 8201516296180 Tajikistan 66

0 4403815287500 Tanzania 71

218 0521825701 Thailand 34

0 54037458185 Togo 17

4 007822 Tunisia 1

893 7601,5461,980740560 Turkey 358

0 540180355218545 Turkmenistan 121

0 2403492775 Uganda 22

1 001100 Ukraine 0


1 3,592126535,4344,3774,777 United States 1,176

0 000000 Uruguay 0

0 6507181,0147621,050 Uzbekistan 230

3 0020261915 Venezuela 7

1,546 001,5461,80511 Vietnam 259

0 1057618 Yemen 1

0 44019846130 Zambia 53

0 38277641200 Zimbabwe 29

World

9,544 9,5474126,17553,09226,23134,498 World 17,329


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2018/19

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 35030826536 Afghanistan 17

0 001211 Albania 1

30 00303500 Algeria 5

10 00152252 Angola 7

5 54505751,6361,120380 Argentina 516

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 3,6320355,2392,200380 Australia 1,572

15 10141800 Austria 3

0 384075520390130 Azerbaijan 61

40 00404800 Bahrain 8

6,900 0107,3008,89013544 Bangladesh 1,580

42 00404600 Belarus 6


0 1,4000151,6431,400650 Benin 228

2 00101484 Bolivia 4

17 6,01803,40021,19412,5201,620 Brazil 11,776

25 003643102 Bulgaria 7

0 9400251,105850630 Burkina 140

75 50775999700240 Burma 219

1 001200 Cambodia 1

0 575020739600250 Cameroon 144

2 002200 Canada 0


0 1000101714060 Chad 61

0 000000 Chile 0

9,640 213039,50075,38327,7503,500 China 35,670

84 051451796010 Colombia 29


45 00455911 Costa Rica 14

0 8950251,200925392 Cote d'Ivoire 280

0 000000 Croatia 0

10 00141644 Cuba 2

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2018/19 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country


60 00708793 Ecuador 17

520 350106001,214500141 Egypt 254

177 0017021311 El Salvador 43

14 00131600 Estonia 3

30 8027535324377 Ethiopia 70

36 20374700 France 8

86 1308010900 Germany 16

0 15010362816 Ghana 11

31 1,35525901,5351,410245 Greece 65

148 0014517932 Guatemala 34

0 1400171412 Guinea 3

5 00101157 Haiti 1

25 00293442 Honduras 5


3 300300 Hungary 0

1,800 3,511024,00036,82525,80012,600 India 9,314

3,051 603,1503,68833 Indonesia 532

300 0057572027580 Iran 145

35 0050731510 Iraq 23

0 000000 Ireland 0

2 450460425 Israel 11

159 5015518100 Italy 21

230 0023526900 Japan 34

0 275065483345128 Kazakhstan 143

15 0040582530 Kenya 18

95 001502055519 Korea, North 55

781 7080096800 Korea, South 161

0 1000011010518 Kyrgyzstan 10

7 106900 Latvia 2

5 005600 Lebanon 1

85 008511000 Lesotho 25



0 10020453020 Madagascar 15


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 70051349070 Malawi 59

744 31303501,20900 Malaysia 546

0 1,3500251,8461,270725 Mali 471

120 0012014100 Mauritius 21

850 500251,9503,2401,735243 Mexico 765

60 00607200 Moldova 12

29 00354211 Morocco 7

0 11005200130125 Mozambique 85



0 6031495 Niger 5

10 300200299235270 Nigeria 69

2,850 602510,70013,2807,6002,300 Pakistan 2,495

0 000000 Panama 0

2 11014322111 Paraguay 7

214 203003899419 Peru 87


16 10162000 Poland 3

174 4017021500 Portugal 41

1 001200 Romania 1

150 2016019100 Russia 29

0 2502322921 Senegal 5

8 0081000 Serbia 2


1 001100 Slovakia 0

7 007900 Slovenia 2

3 001011712 Somalia 1

68 13808944722244 South Africa 220

10 32202038530065 Spain 43

3 00101255 Sri Lanka 2

0 425075639500180 Sudan 139

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 9006517914025 Syria 24

592 0060074400 Taiwan 144


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 350055711415180 Tajikistan 306

0 2000175675425500 Tanzania 300

1,075 1251,0751,27821 Thailand 177

0 225015317255180 Togo 77

20 003035102 Tunisia 5

3,499 48206,9008,9763,700520 Turkey 1,594

0 15008001,579910545 Turkmenistan 629

0 11001522512075 Uganda 100

3 003400 Ukraine 1


3 14,763-182,97522,57018,3674,130 United States 4,850

0 000000 Uruguay 0

0 75002,8004,7083,2751,100 Uzbekistan 1,158

12 001001208515 Venezuela 20

6,900 007,0008,18831 Vietnam 1,188

0 2025332818 Yemen 6

0 15605399200125 Zambia 238

0 1751030374200200 Zimbabwe 159

World

42,203 41,343117120,189241,182118,14133,539 World 79,533


(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2018/19

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseImportsProductio

n

Country

0 48071436 Afghanistan

0 000001 Albania

7 100700 Algeria

2 200312 Angola

1 1121190125244380 Argentina

0 000000 Armenia

0 34279108479380 Australia

3 100300 Austria

0 138401685130 Azerbaijan

9 200900 Bahrain

1,502 344021,5892944 Bangladesh

9 100900 Belarus

7 120400 Belgium-Luxembour

0 5030503305650 Benin

0 100224 Bolivia

4 2,5641,31007402,7261,620 Brazil

5 200822 Bulgaria

0 3020505185630 Burkina

16 4810169152240 Burma

0 000000 Cambodia

0 3112504131250 Cameroon

0 000000 Canada

0 3700732 Central African Republic

0 132202960 Chad

0 000000 Chile

2,099 7,7664608,6006,0423,500 China

18 601321310 Colombia

0 1004330 Congo (Kinshasa)

10 3001001 Costa Rica

0 6119505201392 Cote d'Ivoire

0 000000 Croatia

2 000314 Cuba

0 000000 Cyprus

2 000200 Czech Republic

0 000000 Denmark


(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2018/19 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Country

0 000114 Dominican Republic

13 4001523 Ecuador

113 55762131109141 Egypt

39 9003701 El Salvador

3 100300 Estonia

7 1520605377 Ethiopia

8 200800 France

19 3301700 Germany

0 2302616 Ghana

7 14295520307245 Greece

32 7003212 Guatemala

0 1300312 Guinea

1 000217 Haiti

5 100612 Honduras

2 110000 Hong Kong

1 010000 Hungary

392 2,02876405,2255,61712,600 India

664 1161068613 Indonesia

65 32001256080 Iran

8 50011310 Iraq

0 000000 Ireland

0 2100195 Israel

35 5103400 Italy

50 7005100 Japan

0 316001475128 Kazakhstan

3 4009530 Kenya

21 1200331219 Korea, North

170 352017400 Korea, South

0 222002318 Kyrgyzstan

2 000100 Latvia

1 000100 Lebanon

19 5001900 Lesotho

0 000000 Lithuania

1 000100 Macedonia

0 3204720 Madagascar


(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Country

0 1315012070 Malawi

162 1196807600 Malaysia

0 10329405277725 Mali

26 5002600 Mauritius

185 1671095425378243 Mexico

13 3001300 Moldova

6 200801 Morocco

0 19240128125 Mozambique

3 000300 Netherlands

0 020024 Nicaragua

0 110125 Niger

2 15704451270 Nigeria

621 5431352,3301,6552,300 Pakistan

0 000000 Panama

0 2203511 Paraguay

47 1900652019 Peru

13 2001401 Philippines

3 100300 Poland

38 9103700 Portugal

0 000000 Romania

33 6003500 Russia

0 1500621 Senegal

2 000200 Serbia

0 100000 Singapore

0 000000 Slovakia

2 000200 Slovenia

1 0002212 Somalia

15 48300194844 South Africa

2 970046565 Spain

1 000215 Sri Lanka

0 3093016109180 Sudan

0 000000 Sweden

0 000000 Switzerland

0 5200143025 Syria

129 310013100 Taiwan


(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Country

0 677601290180 Tajikistan

0 654403893500 Tanzania

234 390523401 Thailand

0 17490356180 Togo

4 100722 Tunisia

762 34710501,502806520 Turkey

0 137330174198545 Turkmenistan

0 2224032675 Uganda

1 000100 Ukraine

0 000000 United Kingdom

1 1,0563,214-46483,9994,130 United States

0 000000 Uruguay

0 25216306107131,100 Uzbekistan

3 400221915 Venezuela

1,502 259001,52411 Vietnam

0 1005618 Yemen

0 52340144125 Zambia

0 35382744200 Zimbabwe

World

9,189 17,3169,0012526,16825,72233,539 World


Table 09: World Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Beginning

Stocks

Area

Harvested

Production Imports Total

Supply

Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Stock to

Use %

World

3631,05785,88064285,23833,481150,41833,58284,22233,83132,614 1988/89

2924,98487,13923486,90531,357143,48032,70379,72031,69631,057 1989/90

3227,47385,69417085,52429,560142,72730,57887,16533,15324,984 1990/91

4336,97186,55636886,18828,204151,73129,02495,23434,75827,473 1991/92

4034,51086,4006386,33725,435146,34527,06782,30732,64336,971 1992/93

3327,83385,70314385,56026,620140,15627,96777,67930,71834,510 1993/94

3832,02084,292-33084,62228,118144,43030,30086,29732,25027,833 1994/95

4740,13585,396-54485,94027,396152,92727,00493,90335,92032,020 1995/96

5144,63987,351-58587,93626,777158,76728,57990,05333,74040,135 1996/97

5749,47386,686-58187,26726,777162,93625,92992,36833,79744,639 1997/98

6252,85883,651-1,11484,76523,517160,02624,48086,07332,88549,473 1998/99

5651,14490,490-60291,09227,126168,76027,99387,90932,35052,858 1999/00

5449,56290,724-1,42492,14826,156166,44226,20989,08932,01151,144 2000/01

5854,68093,601-78194,38229,081177,36229,29798,50333,71749,562 2001/02

4947,88297,608-80498,41230,400175,89030,18891,02230,77954,680 2002/03

4948,37697,179-90998,08833,152178,70734,15096,67532,25847,882 2003/04

5660,977107,960-1,245109,20534,949203,88633,965121,54535,75948,376 2004/05

5361,906115,178-1,793116,97144,922222,00644,668116,36134,49460,977 2005/06

5162,987122,493-1,715124,20837,416222,89638,305122,68534,70561,906 2006/07

5061,878121,743-2,094123,83738,868222,48939,453120,04932,87862,987 2007/08

5661,453108,860-1,436110,29630,207200,52030,573108,06930,62261,878 2008/09

3946,179119,482-12119,49435,804201,46536,928103,08430,18761,453 2009/10

4349,288115,611119115,49234,875199,77436,297117,29833,82646,179 2010/11

6972,055103,906-210104,11645,994221,95545,423127,24436,05649,288 2011/12

8389,336107,900-343108,24346,350243,58647,630123,90134,31672,055 2012/13

9199,904109,99892109,90640,997250,89941,204120,35932,85589,336 2013/14

95106,739112,499268112,23135,948255,18636,065119,21733,86599,904 2014/15

8090,149113,496264113,23234,701238,34635,44496,16330,752106,739 2015/16

6980,288116,383206116,17737,852234,52337,697106,67729,81190,149 2016/17

6680,838122,878117122,76141,514245,23041,160123,78233,72580,288 2017/18

6679,533120,306117120,18941,343241,18242,203118,14133,53980,838 2018/19

6679,592120,405187120,21843,848243,84543,833120,47934,49879,533 2019/20


Table 10: United States Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks


Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Stock to

Use %

United States

517,0921657,7826,14821,187515,4115,7716944,835 1988/89

183,000-1638,7597,69419,290212,1967,0926883,860 1989/90

142,344-2858,6577,79318,509415,5053,0007114,748 1990/91

233,70489,6136,64619,9711317,6142,3447315,245 1991/92

304,662-19010,2505,20119,923116,2183,7047854,501 1992/93

203,530-810,4186,86220,802616,1344,6626795,173 1993/94

132,650-3811,1989,40223,2122019,6623,5307945,391 1994/95

142,6092710,6477,67520,95840817,9002,6506026,478 1995/96

223,971-811,1266,86521,95440318,9422,6097915,216 1996/97

213,8874111,3497,50022,7771318,7933,9717545,425 1997/98

273,939-39410,4014,29818,24443913,9183,8877014,324 1998/99

233,91514510,1946,75021,0049716,9683,9396805,433 1999/00

386,000-4838,8626,74021,1191617,1883,9157085,282 2000/01

407,4481807,69611,00026,3242120,3036,0007905,596 2001/02

285,3851667,27311,90024,7246717,2097,4487465,025 2002/03

173,4502116,26613,75823,6854518,2555,3858184,858 2003/04

265,4951086,69114,43626,7302923,2513,4509585,284 2004/05

266,069-2005,87117,67329,4132823,8905,4959315,586 2005/06

539,4793034,93512,95927,6761921,5886,0699125,152 2006/07

5510,0514294,58413,63428,6981219,2079,4799854,245 2007/08

386,337-2633,54113,26122,876012,82510,0519123,063 2008/09

192,947-143,55012,03718,520012,1836,3378703,049 2009/10

142,6001823,90014,37621,058918,1022,9479104,330 2010/11

223,350-1723,30011,71418,1921915,5732,6008863,829 2011/12

233,8003483,50013,02620,6741017,3143,3509993,772 2012/13

172,3502923,55010,53016,7221312,9093,8009213,051 2013/14

253,6502103,57511,24618,6811216,3192,3509393,785 2014/15

303,8001683,4509,15316,5713312,8883,6508593,268 2015/16

152,750603,25014,91720,977717,1703,8009723,848 2016/17

224,200-283,22516,27923,676320,9232,7501,0144,492 2017/18

274,850-182,97514,76322,570318,3674,2009684,130 2018/19

285,400573,00016,50024,957520,1024,8509164,777 2019/20


Table 11: Foreign Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks


Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Total Foreign

23,96547777,45627,333129,23133,57768,81126,84351728,996 1988/89

21,98439778,14623,663124,19032,70167,52423,96552827,836 1989/90

25,12945576,86721,767124,21830,57471,66021,98454928,405 1990/91

33,26736076,57521,558131,76029,01177,62025,12957329,513 1991/92

29,84825376,08720,234126,42227,06666,08933,26751128,142 1992/93

24,30315175,14219,758119,35427,96161,54529,84852525,545 1993/94

29,370-29273,42418,716121,21830,28066,63524,30354026,859 1994/95

37,526-57175,29319,721131,96926,59676,00329,37056229,442 1995/96

40,668-57776,81019,912136,81328,17671,11137,52654328,524 1996/97

45,586-62275,91819,277140,15925,91673,57540,66856528,372 1997/98

48,919-72074,36419,219141,78224,04172,15545,58655028,561 1998/99

47,229-74780,89820,376147,75627,89670,94148,91957426,917 1999/00

43,562-94183,28619,416145,32326,19371,90147,22958626,729 2000/01

47,232-96186,68618,081151,03829,27678,20043,56260528,121 2001/02

42,497-97091,13918,500151,16630,12173,81347,23262425,754 2002/03

44,926-1,12091,82219,394155,02234,10578,42042,49762327,400 2003/04

55,482-1,353102,51420,513177,15633,93698,29444,92670230,475 2004/05

55,837-1,593111,10027,249192,59344,64092,47155,48269628,908 2005/06

53,508-2,018119,27324,457195,22038,286101,09755,83774529,553 2006/07

51,827-2,523119,25325,234193,79139,441100,84253,50876728,633 2007/08

55,116-1,173106,75516,946177,64430,57395,24451,82775227,559 2008/09

43,2322115,94423,767182,94536,92890,90155,11672927,138 2009/10

46,688-63111,59220,499178,71636,28899,19643,23273229,496 2010/11

68,705-38100,81634,280203,76345,404111,67146,68875432,227 2011/12

85,536-691104,74333,324222,91247,620106,58768,70576030,544 2012/13

97,554-200106,35630,467234,17741,191107,45085,53678529,804 2013/14

103,08958108,65624,702236,50536,053102,89897,55474530,080 2014/15

86,34996109,78225,548221,77535,41183,275103,08966027,484 2015/16

77,538146112,92722,935213,54637,69089,50786,34975125,963 2016/17

76,638145119,53625,235221,55441,157102,85977,53876629,233 2017/18

74,683135117,21426,580218,61242,20099,77476,63873929,409 2018/19

74,192130117,21827,348218,88843,828100,37774,68373529,721 2019/20


central asia: consumption booms while exports …...lower imports in china, vietnam, and bangladesh...

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