cesc limited - aceanalyser meet/100084_20131112.pdf · 11 11 surya vidyut ltd, a fully owned...
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CESC Limited Powering India since 1899
November 2013
www.cesc.co.in
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RP- Sanjiv Goenka Group
Power & Natural
Resources Carbon Black Retail
Media & Entertainment
Infrastructure IT &
Education
Power & Natural Resources
Retail
Carbon Black
Infratructure
Media & Entertainment
IT & Education
CESC - 4th largest Private Power Utility
Noida Power *- Private Discom in Noida
Integrated Coal Mining * - Pioneer in private sector Coal Mining
Harrisons Malayalam – Largest Plantation company in South India
Spencer`s Retail *- Pioneer in organized food retailing in India
Phillips Carbon Black - Largest in India & 8th largest in world
CESC Properties*- Showcasing East India’s 1st Specialty Mall
Saregama India - Biggest collection of Indian Music
Open* – Weekly current affairs magazine
Firstsource Solutions - Among the top 3 pure play BPO companies in India
Business Sectors Companies
* unlisted
RP- Sanjiv Goenka Group – Business Sectors
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Power & Natural Reources
51%
Media & Entertainment
1%
Carbon Black 19%
IT & Education 19%
Retail 10%
Asset base Rs. 25,000 crs+
(Rs. bn )
Financials of RP- Sanjiv Goenka Group companies
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Gross
Revenues
(FY`13)
EBIDTA
(FY`13)
Net Profit
(FY`13)
Current
Market cap*
Promoter
Holding
Institutional
Holding
CESC 53.20 14.20 6.18 48.00 52% 39%
Firstsource Solutions 28.20 2.80 1.47 14.00 57% 22%
Phillips Carbon Black 22.80 1.10 (0.20) 1.80 52% 21%
Spencer`s Retail 13.50 (0.78) (2.10) - 100% -
Noida Power Company 8.00 2.73 1.33 - 73% -
Saregama India 1.75 0.28 0.11 1.10 55% 24%
Harrisons Malayalam 3.47 0.25 0.02 1.00 50% 5%
Integrated Coal Mining 3.70 0.36 0.22 - 100% -
Crescent Power 1.24 0.62 0.20 - 100% -
• 4 thermal plants – Installed capacity of 1225 MW • Meeting peak system demand of 1900 MW
Generation
• Distribution Licensee for Kolkata & Howrah - 567 sq.km area, 2.7 mn consumers, 19500 ckt km T&D network , T&D loss 12%
Distribution
• Coal mining of 3 MTPA via associate company meets 50% of coal requirement
Coal
• Pursuing Organized retailing via Spencer`s Retail • PAN India presence with 1 mn sqft and 130+ stores
Retail
• Risk free annuity income generating asset - Inaugurated “Quest”, Eastern India`s first Luxury mall in Kolkata
Real Estate
• Two IPPs of 600 MW each under construction in Haldia & Chandrapur. Generation capacity to double by 2014
IPPs
• Recently acquired Fisrtsource Solutions Ltd • Among the top 3 pure play BPO companies in India
Technology
SPV`s
CESC Snapshot
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Operating performance:
No. Of Consumers (Lakhs) PLF%(excluding peaking Station)
Sales (MU) *
Revenue (Rs. bn)
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6948 7206
7595
8135 8270 8577
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY'12 FY'13
29.30 32.00 34.49
41.72 46.69
53.17
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY`12 FY`13
97% 97% 93%
85% 88% 86%
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY'12 FY'13
22.08 22.94
23.84 24.89
25.86 27.02
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY`12 FY`13
Dividend History
PBT (Rs. Bn) Debt / Equity Ratio
Profitability
EPS (Rs.)
7
4.03 4.65
5.22
6.14
6.93
7.73
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY'12 FY'13
30 33
35 39
45 50
FY'08 FY'09 FY'10 FY`11 FY'12 FY'13
25%
35% 40%
50%
70%
FY'06 FY'07 FY`11 FY'12 FY'13
Coal & Gas based IPPs on a PAN India basis
Portfolio of Renewable projects (Solar, Wind, Hydro and MSW)
Privatization of Distribution Franchisee
Growth plans
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First Independent Power Plant (IPP) of CESC
Being set up in Chandrapur, near Nagpur
2x300 MW configuration
Project cost of Rs. 3450 crs funded at 75:25 debt equity ratio
Coal linkage available from CIL
BTG supplied by Shanghai Electric , China
BoP undertaken by Punj Lloyd
First unit synchronized on 2nd Sept 2013
Project to be commissioned in 2013-14
600 MW Chandrapur TPP, Maharashtra
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600 MW Haldia TPP, West Bengal
To meet the growing need of its consumers, CESC is setting up a 600 MW (2x300) TPP in Haldia, near Kolkata
Fully regulated project approved by WBERC
Project include 80 kms long 400 kV Transmission line from Haldia to CESC network
Project cost of Rs. 3500 crs+ funded at 75:25 debt equity ratio
Coal linkage available from CIL
BTG supplied by Shanghai Electric , China
BoP undertaken by Punj Lloyd
Project to be commissioned in 2014-15
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Surya Vidyut Ltd, a fully owned subsidiary of CESC
has commissioned a total of 24 MW wind power
project in Jaisalmer, Rajasthan
The project consist of 12 WTGs of 2 MW each
The first phase of 14 MW was commissioned in Jan
2013 and the PPA was signed with Jaipur Vidyut
Vitran Nigam Ltd (JVVNL) for 25 years
The second phase of 10 MW was commissioned in
March 2013 and the PPA was signed with Ajmer
Vidyut Vitran Nigam Ltd (JVVNL) for 25 years
CESC plans to increase its presence in the wind
business, driven by favorable tariff regime and
positive long term outlook for renewable energy
Wind Power Project
CESC wind sites in Jaisalmer, Rajasthan
Distribution Franchisee
Ranchi, Jharkhand – Declared H1 through competitive bidding.
Distribution Franchisee Agreement singed. Formal handover in next few
months. Annual Revenue Rs.4000 million and 0.3 million consumers
Member of successful bidding consortium in Port Harcourt Distribution
Co., Nigeria. Our role is for consultancy services relating to planning for T
& D Network, augmentation & loss reduction. Annual fee $2.5 million
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Coal Sourcing Strategy
Thermal power plants to continue to meet the country`s energy requirements
CESC would implement IPPs which secures a domestic coal linkage
Secure long term off take arrangements of imported coal to meet shortfall if any
Landed cost of imported coal to be competitive
Acquisition of coal mine to enjoy cost advantage
Participation in domestic coal block auction when such opportunity arise
Resource Generation Ltd
Coal purchases from Resource Generation’s planned Boikarabelo mine has been extended to 139
MT from 37 MT
Access to 139 MT over 38 years – 73 MT in phase 1, 66 MT in phase 2
Mining expected to start by 2015, Index linked favorable pricing formula
Current holding of RP-SG Group at 5.3%
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Developed 1st luxury mall in Eastern India on 3 acres land in central Kolkata area
4,15,000 sq.ft retail area, 900+ car parking
Designed by RTKL (UK), construction by L&T
95%+ area already signed
Anchor stores incl Lifestyle, Spencer's, Mother care, Star Mark, INOX
International brands inc Burberry, Emporio Armani, Apple, Estee Lauder, Gucci, Canali,
Furla, Tumi, Rolex, Omega….
Food brands include Smoke House Deli, Bombay Brasserie, Irish House, Yauatcha,
Serafina …..
Mall inaugurated on 30th September 2013
Real Estate
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“Quest” Shopping Mall inaugurated
RETAIL BUSINESS
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Rs.14 bn food-first, hyper & supermarket chain since 1996
30 million NOB’s per annum (est. 50 Mn footfalls per annum)
Strong Brand traction with target customer
14% same store sales growth in each of last 3 years
Private label program across food, fashion, home and general merchandising.
130+ stores spread over 35 cities and about 1mn sq ft
Ranked 2nd in India’s most respected companies in Retail in a study conducted by
Business World in 2013
Won the ‘Most Admired Hypermarket Retailer of the Year Award’’ at the India
Retail Forum in September 2013
Spencer’s Retail
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FINE LIVING AFFORDABLE
We’re on top of
trends so you will
find the latest and
finest at Spencer’s
- a mix of
commodity &
indulgence
merchandise
Bright, clean
stores, category
adjacencies and
fast checkouts
make shopping at
Spencer’s easy and
fun
Superior quality
products since
1863 including
private labels
bearing the
Spencer’s hallmark
signature
Market Right prices
are a great reason
to shop at
Spencer’s
ASSORTMENT SERVICE PRICE QUALITY
• Caters to consumer aspirations
• Platform for differentiation
• Fashion / “Want” items
• Drive Shopping trips / build traffic
• Create market right price impression
• OPP / KVI benchmarking to drive
affordability
How Spencer’s “Makes Fine Living affordable”
• A blend of commodity (80%) & indulgence (20%) merchandise with relevant opening price points
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Spencer’s Footprint
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• TA Hypers – 646 K sft
• TA Supers – 101 K sft
• TA Small stores – 208 K sft
• Au bon pain – 28 cafes
Regions States TA (‘000) Hypers >15
k
Supers Dailies
<3k SAS TOTAL
3k -15k
East WB 230 7 2 10 0 19
TOTAL 230 7 2 10 0 19
West Maharash
tra
36 1 0 0 0 1
Gujarat 24 1 0 1
TOTAL 60 2 0 0 0 2
North East UP 114 3 1 14 0 18
NCR 132 4 3 5 0 12
TOTAL 246 7 4 19 0 30
South 1 Kerala 17 1 4 0 5
T.N 120 2 2 33 0 37
TOTAL 137 2 3 37 0 42
South 2 Bangalore 48 2 2 2 0 6
Coastal
A.P
93 4 1 8 0 13
Hyderaba
d
141 3 3 16 22
TOTAL 282 9 6 26 0 41
TOTAL 955 K 27 15 92 0 134
Hyper & Super footprint
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Hypers
Supers
Mumbai
(Malad)
Hyderabad Vizag
Vijayawada, Guntur
Kakinada
Durgapur
Gorakhpur
NCR
Hypers : Ghaziabad, Gurgaon, Dreamz, Haridwar
Super : MMX mall, Indirapuram,Dharuhera
Vadodara
Warangal
Bangalore - Hyper : Koramangala, Sarjapur; Supers: Mosque Rd, JP Nagar
Trichy,
Thiruvalla Super
Kolkata
Hypers : South City, Mani Square, Rash Behari, Axis mall,New Town,
Super : Avisar,Upahar
Luckno
w
27 Hypers – 646 K sqft
15 Supers – 101 K sqft
Rajamundhry
Allahabad
Coimbatore super, Erode super,Velachery Hyper
Siliguri
Food has highest share ~ 80%
Sales Mix
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STAPLES 20.2%
FRESH 15.8%
FMCG 39.4%
LIQUOR 3.2%
APPAREL 5.8%
E & E 5.8%
HWP 9.8%
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TA Mix 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Hypers 47% 51% 53% 59% 66%
Supers/ Dailies 53% 49% 47% 41% 34%
Format Mix – Growing in Hypers
694
795
962
1,060
1,230
122 136
174
199
233
175 170
172 171 183
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2
27
50
-100
-50
-
50
100
150
200
250
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
R
s
/
s
q
f
t
R
s
/
s
q
f
t
Progress on Operating Matrix
Sale/sqft GMROF Opex/sqft EBIDTA/sqft
Sales/Sft
Opex/Sqft
Store EBIDTA/Sqft
GMROF
Working capital trends
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Category Net Working Capital
(Rs. Mn)
Mar'09 Mar'10 Mar'11 Mar’12 Mar'13
Staples 50 0 -13 21 -8
FMCG 140 60 -34 25 68
Apparel 130 100 36 50 30
E & E 90 50 14 20 22
HWP & Fur 100 70 19 -5 10
Others 10 -30 -38 -15 -31
Total 520 250 -16 96 91
No. of days
Cover 30 12 0 4 3
New Roll Out Plan - For FY-14
STORE LOCATION MOP HYPER
Kolkata* Apr-13 39000
Chennai* May-13 20000
Dharuhera (NCR)* June-13 8000
Meerut* Oct-13 22000
Kolkata* Nov-13 26000
Raipur Nov-13 30000
Dhanbad Nov-13 19500
Aligarh Dec-13 19000
Lucknow Jan-14 23000
Bhopal Feb-14 35000
Greater Noida Feb-14 35000
Hyderabad Mar-14 19000
Total 3,00,000 apprx
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* Since open
Private Label FMCG / Food FMCG / Non- Food
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Private Label General Merchandise Apparel
Formal Wear Casual Wear Ethnic Wear
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Au Bon Pain is a is a fast casual dining concept founded in Boston in 1978 by the late Louis Kane and has over 280 cafes across the world
RP-SG group is the master franchisee of Au Bon Pain, USA in India
Started in 2009, in Bengaluru; Au Bon Pain Café India Limited has 28 cafes in the city
Cafes spread across High Street & Malls, Business & IT Parks, Hospitals and Universities
Au Bon Pain offers a wide range of menu choices for all day parts consisting of scrumptious sandwiches, palatable soups, salads, delectable baked goods, beverages, cakes and desserts
Strong roll out plan in 2013-14. Entering NCR and West Bengal
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Specialty Brands -Au Bon Pain
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Firstsource Solutions Ltd.
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Among the top 3 pure play BPO companies in India (NASSCOM 2012 rankings) Leading Scale
Player
In December 2001 by ICICI Ltd, CESC acquired majority stake in FY`13 Founded
CESC (56.82%), Metavante (6.90%), ICICI Bank (4.87%%) Major
Shareholders
Full range of business process management services across the customer life cycle delivered
through transaction processing, CRM, collections and receivables mgmt. Service Offerings
Client base includes 21 Fortune 500 and 9 FTSE 100 companies.
Healthcare: 5 of the top 10 Health insurance / managed care companies in the US and over 800
hospitals in the US
Telecom & Media: 2 of the Top 10 U.S. telecom companies, 2 of the top 5 mobile service
providers in the U.K., largest pay TV operator in the U.K., largest pay TV operator in Australia, 3
of the Top 5 mobile service providers in India
BFSI: 5 of the top 10 U.S. banks, 8 of the top 10 general-purpose credit card issuers in the
U.S., largest bank and mortgage lender in the U.K., 1 of the Top 3 motor issuers in the U.K,
India’s leading private life insurer
Clients
An Overview
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Enhanced business continuity capability
USA
14 Centers
3,396 Employees
Sri Lanka
1 Center
543 Employees
6 Centers
4,811 Employees
Europe
22,177 Employees
25 Centers
India
1,438 Employees
2 Centers
Philippines
Strong Domain Expertise driven business model Blended 78% onshore and 22% offshore model
3,248 Seats
637 Seats
2,097 Seats
17,167 Seats
1,209 Seats
An Overview
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Financial Performance – FY2013
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US Healthcare spending to increase to $4.3 trillion in 2017 (20% of GDP) from $2.7 trillion
in 2008 (17% of GDP) (Source: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services)
Hospital care accounts for
approximately 30% of total
healthcare expenditure
amounting to $700 billion
Recently passed healthcare reform bill represents a significant opportunity across both payer and provider segments
through increased penetration and specific reform mandates
Administrative costs
are estimated to be
14%, amounting to $100
billion
Administrative costs for private health
insurers have averaged approx. 12% of
premiums over the last 40 years,
amounting to about $50 billion
Estimated USD 50-55 bn addressable market opportunity in Healthcare provider space by 2020
Provider Payer
Challenging operating environment and revenue
pressures for hospitals leading to increased focus
on revenue cycle management
Complex environment that can benefit from
outsourcing
Key regulatory changes include:
Mandated expansion of Medicaid to families earning up-to 133%
of Federal Poverty Level. Likely to bring approx 11M Americans
under Medicaid as per this provision
Increased focus on quality and improved health outcomes as
reimbursement and payment become predicated on outcomes
Reimbursement reductions and payment bundling to providers.
Likely to save $300BN in cost to government in 10 years, forcing
healthcare providers to look at reducing administrative costs
Key regulatory changes include:
Mandated medical loss ratio threshold of 15%
Elimination of pre-existing condition as a basis for coverage
Lifetime caps on medical expenses eliminated. Payor companies will have
to pay much more for chronic treatments
Rescission of coverage eliminated, except non payment of premiums
Fundamental and profound changes will emerge as insurers adapt their
care delivery models toward managing a member’s wellness rather than
their disease state
Industry fees of $8 billion for insurance companies from 2014 increasing
to $14.3 billion in 2018
Healthcare – BPO Market Opportunity US HC Spend ($ trillion)
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T&M – BPO Market Opportunity
As per NASSCOM-McKinsey perspective 2020 study, total addressable BPO market for telecom & media is expected to
be USD 20-25 bn by 2020
Industry Trends BPO Opportunity
In developed countries, Telecom is a
mature industry
Increased usage of new and complex
technologies (i.e. Smart-phones, HDTV,
DVR, Wi-fi@home etc.)
Market convergence –
Triple play / quad play
Market concentration (3-4 large players)
Focus shifting from subscriber growth to consolidation and cost optimization
Clients rationalizing their outsourcing partners to a smaller number of
strategic partners with flexible global delivery networks
Growing demand for technical support as consumers start using complex
technology
Suppliers who have domain expertise in all sub segments (Mobile, fixed
line, broadband and DTH) and understand the underlying business
dynamics / complexities are well positioned
Revenue potential from each client is high due to market concentration/
high transaction volumes.
Local political issues favor companies having in-country delivery capabilities
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BFSI – BPO Market Opportunity
BFSI is the largest market segment constituting 45% of addressable BPO market opportunity by 2020 (USD 155-
165 bn)
Key Addressable Segment Current State and Impact on BPO Opportunity
Industry is resurfacing from the financial crisis
- Clients are preoccupied with internal restructuring and
outsourcing decisions are lower on priority
Increasing regulatory oversight and government ownership
- Less conducive environment for offshoring due to political
considerations
- Organisations with onsite delivery capabilities positioned
favorably in such environment
Though BFSI has been estimated as a large market segment
for BPO, immediate prospects are challenging
- Strong in-sourcing philosophy with major / tier-1 financial
institutions having large captives
- Large sub segments such as wholesale banking and mid tier
banking market is yet to open up
- Specific segments such as credit card collections / recovery is
seeing significantly lower volumes due to lower placements
Expect growth to come back in medium to long term once
overall economic environment stabilizes
Sub segment Addressable market
2020 in USD Bn
Retail Banking 90-95
Deposits 48-50
Credit cards 27-29
Mortgages 9
Lending 6-7
Wholesale banking 30-33
Insurance 30
Asset management 5-7
Total BFSI 155-165
The materials contained herein (the “Materials”) are for use at this presentation only and not for further distribution
by you or any other person. Neither the Materials, nor anything contained herein, shall form the basis of, or be relied
on in connection with, any contract to purchase or subscribe for any securities of any of the companies described
herein, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment
whatsoever. None of the companies described herein or any of their respective affiliates, advisors or representatives
shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of the
Materials or their contents or otherwise arising in connection with the Materials. The Materials are confidential and
must not be distributed, published or reproduced (in whole or in part) or disclosed by recipients to any other person.
The Materials do not constitute an offer or recommendation regarding the securities of the companies described
herein.
Except for the historical information contained herein, statements in this release which contain words or phrases
such as “will”, “aim”, “will likely result”, “would”, “believe”, “may”, “expect”, “will continue”, “anticipate”, “estimate”,
“intend”, “plan”, “contemplate”, “seek to”, “future”, “objective”, “goal”, “strategy”, “philosophy”, “project”, “should”, “will
pursue” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions may constitute "forward-looking statements".
These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual
results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties
include, but are not limited to our ability to successfully implement our strategy, future levels of non-performing
loans, our growth and expansion, the adequacy of our allowance for credit losses, our provisioning policies,
technological changes, investment income, cash flow projections, our exposure to market risks as well as other
risks. CESC undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after
the date thereof.
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Thank You