ch-32 business valuation
TRANSCRIPT
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Chapter 32Chapter 32
Business ValuationBusiness Valuation
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Approaches/Methods ofApproaches/Methods of
ValuationValuation
There are four approaches to valuation of
business (with focus on equity share
valuation!
" Assets based
2 #arnin$s based
3 Mar%et value based
& 'air value ethod
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)rice #arnin$s ()/# *atio)rice #arnin$s ()/# *atio
The )/# ratio (also %nown as the )/# ultiple is the ethod ost widelyused by finance ana$ers+ investent analysts and equity shareholdersto arrive at the ar%et price of an equity share, The application of thisethod priarily requires the deterination of earnin$s per equity share
(#)-, The #)- is coputed as per #quation
#)- . et earnin$s available to equity shareholders durin$ the
period/uber of equity shares outstandin$ durin$ the period, (0
The #)- is to be ultiplied by the )/# ratio to arrive at the ar%et price ofequity share (M)-,
M)-. #)- 1 )/# ratio (
The )/# ratio ay be derived $iven the M)- and #)-,
)/# ratio . M)-/#)- ((
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#4aple
Copany has future aintainable profits after ta4es as *s, 5 la%hs
(i The copany has "+66+666 ""7 )reference shares of *s "66 each+
fully paid8up,(ii The copany has &+66+666 #quity shares of *s "66 each+ fully paid8 up,
(iii )/# ratio is 5 ties,
-olution
9eterination of Mar%et )rice of #quity -hare
'uture aintainable profits after ta4es
Less: )reference dividends ("+66+666 × *s ""
#arnin$s available to equity8holders
9ivided by nuber of equity shares
#arnin$s per share (*s la%h/& la%h
Multiplied by )/# ratio (ties
Mar%et price per share (*s ",0 1 5
Value of Business is M)- x no, of outstandin$ shares
*s 5+66+666
""+66+666
+66+666
&+66+666
",0
5
*s "3&
*s 03+66+666
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Coputation of 'ree8CashCoputation of 'ree8Cash
'lows to the fir'lows to the fir After tax operating earnings (including interest cost)
Plus: Depreciation & Other non-cash items
Less: Investment in long-term assetsLess: Investment in operating net or!ing capital"""""""""""""""""""""""
Operating free cash flos (O#$#)
Plus: After-tax non-operating income%$#
Plus: Decrease in non-operating assets"""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""
'ree Cash flows to the fir ('C''
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Alternatively+ the value of equity can be deterined directly by discountin$the free cash flows available to equityholders ('C'# after eetin$interest+ preference dividends and principal payents+ the discount ratebein$ k
e+ that is+
( )∑∞
= +=
&tt
'
t'
!&
investorsallto#$###irmof (alue
( )∑∞
= +=
&tt
e
t'
!&
erse)uit*holdto#$##+)uit*of (alue
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Mar%et Value Based Approach to Valuation
,he mar!et value (reflected in the stoc! mar!et uotations) is the
most idel* used approach to determine the value of a .usiness/ inparticular of large listed firms0
,he mar!et value indicates the price the investors are illing to pa*
for the firm1s earning potentials and the corresponding ris!0
,
his method is particularl* useful in deciding sap ratios in the caseof merger decisions0
,2suall*/ 3 months average of stoc! prices or the average of high &
lo values of stoc!s during a *ear can .e ta!en0
,4ar!et value per share x no0 of outstanding shares 5 value of
.usiness
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'air Value Method
,#air value method is not an independent method of share valuation0
,he method uses the average%eighted average of to or more of the
a.ove methods0
,herefore/ such a method helps in smoothening out ide variations
caused .* different methods and indicates the 6.alanced1 figure ofvaluation0
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;0 Price%+arnings (P%+ atio) method:;0 Price%+arnings (P%+ atio) method:
alue of .usiness 5 $o1s expected future maintaina.le profits xalue of .usiness 5 $o1s expected future maintaina.le profits x
Industr*1s average P%+ atioIndustr*1s average P%+ atio
Valuation *elative to :ndustryValuation *elative to :ndustry
Avera$esAvera$es
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9iscounted Cash 'low9iscounted Cash 'low
Valuation ModelsValuation Models00 Discounted Dividend 4odel (to-stage groth model)Discounted Dividend 4odel (to-stage groth model)
3030 Discounted $ash-#lo 4odel ($ontinuing alueDiscounted $ash-#lo 4odel ($ontinuing alue
method)method)9090 Discounted I 4ethod (Instead of cost of capitalDiscounted I 4ethod (Instead of cost of capital
(!)/ I is used to discount the cash flos and(!)/ I is used to discount the cash flos and
determine the present valuedetermine the present value
;0;0 Discounted +A methodDiscounted +A method
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Valuation based on Co;sValuation based on Co;s
fundaentalsfundaentals;0 P%+ 4ultiple:;0 P%+ 4ultiple:
4ar!et price per share4ar!et price per share == O+ @ g"" O+ @ g""
+P>+P> O+ x (!-g)O+ x (!-g)
0 Price%?oo! alue multiple:0 Price%?oo! alue multiple:
4ar!et price per share4ar!et price per share 55 O+ @ g" O+ @ g" x O+ x O+
?oo! value per share O+ x (!-g)?oo! value per share O+ x (!-g)
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#4aple
-upree :ndustries has an equity ar%et capitalisation of *s 3+&66
crore in current year, Assue further that its equity share capital is *s
2+666 crore and its retained earnin$s are *s 66 crore, 9eterine the
MVA and interpret it,
-olution
MVA . (*s 3+&66 core = *s 2+66 crore . *s 566 crore,
The value of *s 566 crore iplies that the ana$eent of -upree:ndustries has created wealth/value to the e4tent of *s 566 crore forits equity shareholders,
@ell ana$ed copanies+ havin$ $ood $rowth prospects+ andperceived so by the investors+ have positive MVA, :nvestors ay bewillin$ to pay ore than the net worth, :n contrast+ copaniesrelatively less %nown or en$a$ed in businesses that do not holdfuture $rowth potentials ay have ne$ative MVA,
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#4aple
ypothetical iited has equity ar%et capitalisation of *s 66 crore in
the current year, :ts equity share capital and accuulated losses are of
*s "+266 crore and *s 266 crore respectively, 9eterine the MVA of the
fir,
-olution
MVA . (*s 66 crore = *s "+666 crore . (=*s "66 crore,
The fir has ne$ative MVA of *s "66 crore, The investors discount itsvalue/worth+ as it is loss incurrin$ fir,
The ar%et value added approach reflects ar%et e4pectations and isessentially a future8oriented and forward loo%in$ approach, Theinvestors+ willin$ to pay a different price (other than one su$$ested byboo% value+ are $uided by the individual copany;s future prospects+future $rowth rates+ ris% cople4ion of the fir+ industry to which thefir belon$s+ required rate of return and so on,
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Than% DouThan% Dou